Owen Gregg

SS FCL Blue Jays

Age 20 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	19	ATOR	25	.261/.320/.261	0	1	20	—	.174/.240/.174
2026	19	ROKTOR	52	.435/.490/.609	1	3	120	—	.333/.373/.479
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBTOR	187	.210/.267/.293	2	3	58	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBTOR	67	.214/.273/.305	1	1	63	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBTOR	156	.217/.277/.314	2	3	66	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wRC+98

wOBA97

Speed93

ISO75

Whiff%75

K%70

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsBraulio Vasquez (age 20) · Pablo Aliendo (age 20) · Denzer Guzman (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 87 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .265 / .290

PA87

HR1

K%29

BB%6

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	25	23	6	0	0	0	1	9	1	1	0	261	320	261	581		429	36	4	274	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	52	46	20	3	1	1	4	9	1	3	0	435	490	609	1.099	174	528	17	8	474	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	25	23	4	0	0	0	1	12	1	1	0	174	240	174	414		394	48	4	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	52	48	16	2	1	1	2	13	1	3	0	333	373	479	852	146	419	25	4	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	77	71	20	2	1	1	3	25	2	4	0	282	329	380	709	99	422	32	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	77	69	26	3	1	1	5	18	2	4	0	377	434	493	927	116	500	23	6	409	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	77	72	20	2	1	1	3	25	2	4	0	278	329	375	704	97	411	32	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	77	72	20	2	1	1	3	25	2	4	0	278	329	375	704	97	411	32	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	187	172	35	5	1	2	11	55	2	3	1	210	267	293	560	83	291	29	6	254	58	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	194	177	38	5	1	3	12	56	3	4	1	213	272	303	575	90	292	29	6	261	63	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	TOR	48%	321	294	63	9	2	5	20	91	4	6	1	216	276	313	589	96	293	28	6	266	66	-13	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	TOR	54%	407	373	82	12	3	7	26	114	5	8	2	219	280	321	600	102	294	28	6	271	70	-15	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	465	426	94	14	3	8	30	129	6	9	2	221	283	328	610	106	295	28	6	275	72	-15	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	TOR	56%	498	456	100	15	3	9	33	137	6	9	2	223	285	333	618	110	295	28	7	278	75	-15	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	TOR	56%	516	470	106	16	4	10	34	142	7	9	2	223	285	334	619	111	294	28	7	279	75	-16	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	523	476	107	16	4	10	35	144	7	9	2	222	284	331	615	109	294	28	7	277	74	-16	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.2
2035	28	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	523	477	105	16	3	9	35	146	6	7	2	220	282	327	609	107	293	28	7	275	72	-17	+1	-1	+6	+11	-0.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	TOR	58%	516	471	102	15	3	9	34	145	6	5	1	218	279	321	600	103	292	28	7	271	70	-19	+1	-1	+6	+11	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	67	62	14	2	1	1	4	19	1	1	0	214	273	305	578	91	294	28	6	262	63	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	TOR	48%	156	143	30	4	1	2	10	44	2	3	1	217	277	314	591	97	295	28	6	267	66	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	TOR	54%	221	202	45	6	2	4	14	62	3	4	1	220	280	322	603	102	295	28	6	272	70	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	258	236	53	8	2	5	17	72	3	5	1	222	284	329	613	107	296	28	7	276	72	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	TOR	56%	279	255	57	9	2	5	18	77	4	5	1	224	286	335	620	111	296	28	6	279	75	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	TOR	56%	290	265	59	9	2	5	19	80	4	5	1	224	286	335	621	111	296	28	7	280	75	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2034	27	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	289	264	59	9	2	5	19	80	4	5	1	223	285	333	618	110	295	28	7	278	74	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	287	262	58	9	2	5	19	80	4	4	1	221	283	328	611	107	295	28	7	276	72	-10	+0	-0	+3	+6	-0.0
2036	29	MLB CTX	TOR	58%	299	273	60	9	2	5	20	84	4	3	1	219	280	322	603	103	293	28	7	272	70	-11	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2146	1962	435	65	16	37	140	598	29	35	8	222	283	328	611	106	298	28	7	275	72	-72	+4	-1	+23	+46	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	132	20	5	11	42	181	9	11	2	222	283	328	612	106	300	28	6	275	72	-22	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4127	3772	834	122	28	72	267	1155	53	72	15	221	282	326	608	104	297	28	6	274	72	-139	+8	-2	+43	+88	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	130	19	4	11	42	182	8	11	2	219	279	320	599	101	295	28	6	274	72	-22	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#3Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.4	2,232	39	37	221	279	326	+24	+18	1.4	1.4
/162	664	12	11	+7.1	+5.4	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Owen Gregg (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	208/265/290	83	291	1	2	29%	6%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	75	292	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	193/262/269	76	307	6	15	36%	7%	53	-2.1	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Denzer Guzman 2024 · A	20	39→49	40→45	48→50	39	191/246/287	96	288	7	7	35%	7%	50	-2.3	209/268/322	113	303	11	10	33%	7%	67	-1.1	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Cutter Coffey 2024 · A	20	38→45	39→45	49→50	44	185/262/271	86	271	7	13	32%	8%	53	-2.1	201/271/317	116	296	12	10	34%	8%	67	-1.1	199/268/315	116	299	12	9	35%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Sammy Hernandez 2024 · A	20	37	43→40	51→50	40	188/254/301	113	262	11	5	31%	6%	57	-1.8	203/291/298	95	270	8	9	26%	9%	71	-0.8	201/300/298	97	262	9	13	24%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Jose Paez 2014 · A	20	43	37→45	50	39	203/249/286	83	278	4	11	27%	5%	50	-2.3	205/256/282	77	317	4	10	34%	6%	52	-2.2	192/248/248	56	315	4	11	38%	6%	38	-0.6
✕Danny De Andrade 2024 · A	20	41	42→45	51→50	45	201/277/305	104	269	9	11	28%	8%	67	-1.1	201/270/315	114	278	10	11	30%	7%	66	-1.1	190/254/309	120	266	11	10	31%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Liover Peguero 2021 · A	20	45→49	38→45	50→55	41	212/263/292	80	293	5	9	28%	6%	57	-1.8	229/272/346	117	315	12	22	30%	5%	73	-0.6	229/273/352	123	303	13	24	28%	5%	72	-0.6
✕Jorge Alcantara 2012 · A	20	44	40→45	52→50	42	209/274/307	98	306	7	12	32%	8%	65	-1.2	190/261/285	95	288	7	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Wendell Rijo 2016 · A	20	44→45	41→50	49→50	41	214/269/321	107	298	8	12	30%	6%	67	-1.1	202/257/285	83	278	6	10	28%	6%	53	-2.1	210/267/353	143	267	17	14	28%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→39	40	52→50	42	194/257/287	92	271	7	14	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/277/282	78	309	4	8	32%	9%	61	-1.5	194/278/266	72	301	3	7	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→45	54→50	42	182/250/279	97	263	6	9	32%	7%	50	-2.3	207/280/322	115	282	9	13	28%	9%	71	-0.8	209/284/324	115	280	10	14	27%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Rodolfo Durán 2018 · A	20	43	41→50	46→45	39	212/254/309	97	284	9	6	28%	5%	57	-1.8	212/248/354	142	283	18	3	31%	4%	66	-1.1	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕David Kandilas 2011 · A	20	41→44	38→45	51→55	39	199/238/277	78	271	5	10	28%	5%	44	-2.8	216/269/318	102	283	7	15	25%	6%	65	-1.2	214/274/312	98	280	7	19	25%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Cristian Hernández 2024 · A	20	39→48	37→45	53→60	38	187/246/255	68	296	5	17	37%	7%	42	-2.9	213/278/306	93	307	7	28	30%	8%	67	-1.1	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	41→44	36→50	48→45	43	194/262/264	70	258	3	9	25%	6%	51	-2.2	218/281/363	145	322	16	4	35%	7%	81	-0.1	210/279/360	150	310	18	4	36%	7%	78	-0.2

Owen Gregg

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps