Yolfran Castillo
SS Hickory Crawdads| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKTEX | 163 | .377/.488/.415 | 0 | 10 | 112 | — | .314/.400/.343 |
| 2025 | 18 | A/ROKTEX | 378 | .258/.320/.352 | 1 | 29 | 36 | — | .197/.245/.260 |
| 2026 | 19 | ATEX | 537 | .286/.395/.416 | 8 | 55 | 97 | — | .259/.343/.370 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBTEX | 635 | .237/.309/.327 | 6 | 25 | 82 | 0.6 | |
| 2028PROJ43% MLB | 21 | MLBTEX | 223 | .244/.317/.352 | 3 | 8 | 90 | 0.7 | |
| 2029PROJ61% MLB | 22 | MLBTEX | 336 | .249/.323/.373 | 7 | 12 | 96 | 1.3 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 163 | 130 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 377 | 487 | 415 | 903 | 38 | 415 | 9 | 17 | 408 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 120 | 106 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 255 | 331 | 321 | 651 | 66 | 297 | 14 | 8 | 296 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 258 | 235 | 61 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 52 | 3 | 18 | 2 | 260 | 315 | 366 | 681 | 106 | 323 | 20 | 6 | 301 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 537 | 447 | 128 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 70 | 71 | 10 | 55 | 10 | 286 | 395 | 416 | 811 | 130 | 320 | 13 | 13 | 362 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 163 | 140 | 44 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 22 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 314 | 400 | 343 | 743 | 29 | 349 | 13 | 11 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 120 | 109 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 220 | 280 | 275 | 555 | 55 | 266 | 20 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 258 | 241 | 45 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 76 | 3 | 18 | 2 | 187 | 228 | 253 | 481 | 66 | 258 | 29 | 4 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 537 | 467 | 121 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 50 | 97 | 10 | 55 | 10 | 259 | 343 | 370 | 714 | 111 | 297 | 18 | 9 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 163 | 140 | 44 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 22 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 314 | 400 | 343 | 743 | 29 | 364 | 13 | 11 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | ACL Rangers | — | 163 | 130 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 377 | 487 | 415 | 903 | 38 | 415 | 9 | 17 | 408 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 378 | 350 | 69 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 100 | 5 | 29 | 2 | 197 | 245 | 260 | 505 | 63 | 267 | 26 | 4 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 378 | 341 | 88 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 26 | 69 | 5 | 29 | 2 | 258 | 320 | 352 | 672 | 94 | 314 | 18 | 7 | 300 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 537 | 467 | 121 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 50 | 97 | 10 | 55 | 10 | 259 | 343 | 370 | 714 | 111 | 308 | 18 | 9 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 537 | 447 | 128 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 70 | 71 | 10 | 55 | 10 | 286 | 395 | 416 | 811 | 130 | 320 | 13 | 13 | 362 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 163 | 142 | 44 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 22 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 310 | 400 | 338 | 738 | 28 | 349 | 13 | 11 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 378 | 353 | 69 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 100 | 5 | 29 | 2 | 195 | 245 | 258 | 502 | 62 | 261 | 26 | 4 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 537 | 472 | 121 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 50 | 97 | 10 | 55 | 10 | 256 | 343 | 367 | 710 | 110 | 297 | 18 | 9 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 163 | 142 | 44 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 22 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 310 | 400 | 338 | 738 | 28 | 349 | 13 | 11 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 378 | 353 | 69 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 100 | 5 | 29 | 2 | 195 | 245 | 258 | 502 | 62 | 261 | 26 | 4 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 537 | 472 | 121 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 50 | 97 | 10 | 55 | 10 | 256 | 343 | 367 | 710 | 110 | 297 | 18 | 9 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | TEX | 0% | 635 | 571 | 136 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 51 | 114 | 8 | 25 | 4 | 237 | 309 | 327 | 636 | 89 | 284 | 18 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -14 | +3 | +2 | +7 | +14 | 0.6 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | TEX | 43% | 516 | 462 | 112 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 91 | 7 | 19 | 3 | 243 | 316 | 350 | 667 | 107 | 285 | 18 | 8 | 301 | 90 | -6 | +3 | +2 | +6 | +11 | 1.5 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | TEX | 61% | 552 | 493 | 122 | 21 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 96 | 8 | 19 | 3 | 248 | 322 | 369 | 691 | 121 | 287 | 17 | 8 | 311 | 96 | -2 | +3 | +2 | +6 | +12 | 2.1 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | TEX | 68% | 560 | 499 | 126 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 48 | 97 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 251 | 326 | 382 | 707 | 130 | 288 | 17 | 9 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +6 | +12 | 2.4 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | TEX | 70% | 578 | 515 | 130 | 22 | 4 | 13 | 50 | 100 | 8 | 17 | 3 | 253 | 328 | 389 | 717 | 136 | 289 | 17 | 9 | 321 | 103 | +2 | +2 | +3 | +6 | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | TEX | 70% | 590 | 526 | 133 | 23 | 4 | 14 | 51 | 103 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 254 | 328 | 393 | 721 | 139 | 289 | 17 | 9 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +2 | +3 | +6 | +13 | 2.8 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | TEX | 71% | 599 | 534 | 135 | 23 | 4 | 14 | 52 | 105 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 253 | 328 | 393 | 721 | 139 | 289 | 18 | 9 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +2 | +3 | +6 | +13 | 2.8 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | TEX | 69% | 596 | 531 | 134 | 23 | 4 | 14 | 52 | 105 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 252 | 327 | 390 | 717 | 137 | 288 | 18 | 9 | 321 | 103 | +2 | +2 | +3 | +6 | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | TEX | 69% | 585 | 522 | 131 | 23 | 4 | 13 | 51 | 105 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 251 | 326 | 386 | 711 | 135 | 288 | 18 | 9 | 318 | 102 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +6 | +13 | 2.5 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | TEX | 67% | 568 | 507 | 126 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 49 | 103 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 249 | 323 | 380 | 702 | 131 | 287 | 18 | 9 | 315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +6 | +12 | 2.1 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | TEX | 66% | 552 | 493 | 123 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 47 | 102 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 246 | 320 | 372 | 692 | 126 | 285 | 18 | 9 | 311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +1 | +6 | +12 | 1.8 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | TEX | 65% | 534 | 478 | 116 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 45 | 101 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 242 | 315 | 363 | 678 | 121 | 283 | 19 | 8 | 305 | 92 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB MLE | TEX | 65% | 511 | 458 | 108 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 99 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 237 | 309 | 351 | 659 | 114 | 280 | 19 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB MLE | TEX | 70% | 476 | 429 | 99 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 95 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 230 | 302 | 336 | 638 | 106 | 276 | 20 | 8 | 289 | 81 | -11 | -3 | -2 | +5 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | TEX | 43% | 223 | 200 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 39 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 244 | 317 | 352 | 669 | 109 | 285 | 17 | 8 | 302 | 90 | -3 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | TEX | 61% | 336 | 300 | 75 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 58 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 249 | 323 | 373 | 696 | 124 | 286 | 17 | 8 | 312 | 96 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +4 | +7 | 1.3 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | TEX | 68% | 381 | 341 | 86 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 66 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 252 | 326 | 386 | 713 | 134 | 287 | 17 | 8 | 319 | 101 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +4 | +8 | 1.6 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | TEX | 70% | 402 | 360 | 92 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 70 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 254 | 329 | 394 | 723 | 140 | 288 | 17 | 8 | 323 | 103 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +4 | +9 | 1.8 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | TEX | 70% | 414 | 370 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 72 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 255 | 329 | 398 | 727 | 143 | 289 | 17 | 9 | 325 | 104 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +4 | +9 | 1.9 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | TEX | 71% | 423 | 378 | 97 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 74 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 255 | 329 | 398 | 727 | 143 | 288 | 17 | 9 | 325 | 104 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +5 | +9 | 2.0 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | TEX | 69% | 413 | 369 | 93 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 73 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 254 | 328 | 395 | 724 | 142 | 288 | 18 | 9 | 323 | 103 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +4 | +9 | 1.9 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | TEX | 69% | 402 | 359 | 91 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 72 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 252 | 327 | 391 | 717 | 139 | 287 | 18 | 9 | 321 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +4 | +9 | 1.7 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | TEX | 67% | 380 | 339 | 85 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 69 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 250 | 324 | 384 | 708 | 135 | 286 | 18 | 9 | 317 | 99 | -0 | +1 | +1 | +4 | +8 | 1.4 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | TEX | 66% | 363 | 325 | 80 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 67 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 247 | 320 | 377 | 697 | 130 | 285 | 18 | 9 | 313 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +1 | +4 | +8 | 1.2 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | TEX | 65% | 348 | 312 | 75 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 66 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 243 | 316 | 367 | 683 | 124 | 283 | 19 | 8 | 307 | 92 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB CTX | TEX | 65% | 331 | 296 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 64 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 237 | 310 | 354 | 664 | 117 | 279 | 19 | 8 | 299 | 87 | -5 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB CTX | TEX | 70% | 334 | 301 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 66 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 231 | 302 | 340 | 642 | 108 | 275 | 20 | 8 | 290 | 81 | -7 | -2 | -1 | +4 | +7 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4750 | 4250 | 1057 | 172 | 34 | 106 | 404 | 856 | 58 | 106 | 25 | 249 | 322 | 380 | 702 | 131 | 287 | 18 | 9 | 315 | 95 | -13 | +11 | +14 | +51 | +103 | 16.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 582 | 146 | 24 | 5 | 15 | 55 | 117 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 251 | 324 | 387 | 711 | 136 | 289 | 18 | 8 | 315 | 95 | -2 | +2 | +2 | +7 | +14 | 2.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8505 | 7592 | 1874 | 317 | 60 | 159 | 716 | 1559 | 113 | 264 | 55 | 247 | 321 | 367 | 688 | 120 | 289 | 18 | 8 | 308 | 95 | -27 | +18 | +21 | +80 | +161 | 25.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 143 | 24 | 5 | 12 | 55 | 119 | 9 | 20 | 4 | 247 | 321 | 367 | 689 | 121 | 289 | 18 | 8 | 308 | 95 | -2 | +2 | +2 | +7 | +14 | 2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AHickory Crawdads · 537 PAwOBA .357 → .311 (−46)K% 13.2% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.22% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 17.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 9.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.86% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.989 | ×1.045 | 22.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.989 | ×1.045 | 5.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.989 | ×1.045 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 1.78% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .357 → .311; ISO .130 → .113; BABIP .320 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Rangers · 258 PAwOBA .298 → .211 (−87)K% 20.2% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.16% | ÷0.981 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.20% | ÷1.016 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 3.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.16% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.59% | ÷0.991 | ×0.820 | ×0.994 | ×1.022 | 20.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.37% | ÷1.017 | ×0.720 | ×0.994 | ×1.022 | 3.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.83% | ÷1.138 | ×0.720 | ×0.994 | ×1.022 | 2.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.55% | ÷1.302 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.33% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 128, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .298 → .211; ISO .106 → .065; BABIP .323 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AHickory Crawdads · 120 PAwOBA .293 → .245 (−48)K% 14.2% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.17% | ÷0.981 | ×1.360 | — | — | 19.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.051 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.60% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×0.965 | ×1.050 | 21.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.62% | ÷1.123 | ×0.830 | ×0.965 | ×1.050 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | ×0.965 | ×1.050 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 108, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .293 → .245; ISO .066 → .051; BABIP .297 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Rangers · 163 PAwOBA .406 → .333 (−74)K% 9.2% → 13.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.20% | ÷0.993 | ×1.440 | — | — | 13.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.56% | ÷0.971 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.038 | 10.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.038 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.26% | ÷1.014 | ×0.820 | ×1.013 | ×1.038 | 32.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.011 | ×0.720 | ×1.013 | ×1.038 | 3.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×1.013 | ×1.038 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.038 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 99, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 19.5 → +3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .406 → .333; ISO .038 → .031; BABIP .415 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).