Emil Morales — OGILVIE

Emil MoralesSS Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 191 lbs A HR +15%K -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 5.0 · 2033

wRC+†95

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .291 / .366

PA320

HR9

SB7

K%30

BB%8

MLB%4%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30↗46

PWR

41↗60

SPD

47↗48

FLD

40↗47

EYE

51↘45

trajectory · 10 yrs

5.2peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+4.0	$36M	+$35M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+4.5	$42M	+$41M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+4.8	$46M	+$45M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+5.0	$49M	+$39M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+4.9	$50M	+$33M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$24M	+4.8	$50M	+$26M
Totals		$53M		$273M	+$219M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	201	168	40	8	0	10	24	65	4	12	2	.238	.347	.464	.811	.226	.306	32	12	.344	121	+5	+2	+0	+2	+6	1.5
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	412	374	80	15	2	9	31	156	3	11	3	.214	.279	.337	.616	.123	.333	38	8	.269	64	-17	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	19	A	Ontario Tower Buzzers	83	74	20	6	1	2	4	23	3	2	1	.270	.333	.459	.793	.189	.353	28	5	.328	109	+1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.4
ROS	19	MLB	LAD	237	214	48	10	1	7	18	70	3	5	1	.224	.294	.379	.672	.154	.303	30	8	.303	90	-3	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.6
TOT	19	MLB	LAD	320	288	68	16	2	9	22	93	6	7	2	.236	.304	.399	.703	.163	.312	29	7	.309	95	-2	+1	-1	+3	+9	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 14%	LAD	486	434	104	20	3	15	41	137	8	11	3	.240	.317	.403	.720	.164	.310	28	8	.318	101	+1	+1	-2	+5	+14	1.9
2028	21	MLB 31%	LAD	556	494	121	23	3	19	48	153	9	13	3	.245	.323	.419	.742	.174	.311	28	9	.327	108	+5	+1	-2	+6	+16	2.7
2029	22	MLB 51%	LAD	605	536	133	25	3	22	54	163	10	13	3	.248	.328	.429	.757	.181	.312	27	9	.336	115	+10	+1	-2	+6	+17	3.4
2030	23	MLB 73%	LAD	639	565	142	27	3	25	59	169	10	14	3	.251	.333	.442	.775	.191	.313	26	9	.343	121	+15	+2	-2	+7	+18	4.0
2031	24	MLB 89%	LAD	661	582	148	28	3	27	63	173	11	13	3	.254	.338	.452	.790	.198	.314	26	10	.349	125	+19	+1	-2	+7	+19	4.5
2032	25	MLB	LAD	673	592	152	28	4	28	65	175	11	13	3	.257	.341	.459	.801	.203	.315	26	10	.353	129	+22	+1	-2	+7	+19	4.8
2033	26	MLB	LAD	678	595	154	28	4	29	67	176	11	13	3	.259	.345	.466	.810	.207	.315	26	10	.355	130	+23	+1	-2	+7	+19	5.0
2034	27	MLB	LAD	676	592	152	28	3	29	68	176	11	12	3	.257	.344	.461	.805	.204	.315	26	10	.355	130	+23	+1	-2	+7	+19	4.9
2035	28	MLB	LAD	670	586	150	28	3	28	68	176	11	11	2	.256	.344	.457	.802	.201	.315	26	10	.354	129	+22	+1	-3	+7	+19	4.8
2036	29	MLB	LAD	659	577	147	27	3	28	67	175	10	11	2	.255	.343	.458	.800	.203	.314	27	10	.352	128	+21	+1	-4	+7	+19	4.5
2037	30	MLB	LAD	648	567	143	26	3	27	66	174	10	10	1	.252	.341	.451	.792	.199	.313	27	10	.349	125	+19	+2	-4	+7	+18	4.2
2038	31	MLB	LAD	633	554	138	25	3	26	64	173	10	8	0	.249	.338	.446	.783	.197	.312	27	10	.345	122	+16	+2	-5	+7	+18	3.8
2039	32	MLB	LAD	614	538	132	24	3	24	62	171	9	7	0	.245	.333	.435	.768	.190	.310	28	10	.341	119	+13	+1	-6	+7	+17	3.3
2040	33	MLB	LAD	585	512	123	22	3	22	59	167	9	7	0	.240	.329	.424	.753	.184	.308	29	10	.335	114	+9	+1	-6	+6	+17	2.8
2041	34	MLB	LAD	536	469	111	20	2	20	54	157	8	6	0	.237	.326	.416	.742	.179	.307	29	10	.328	109	+5	+1	-7	+6	+15	2.1
2042	35	MLB	LAD	479	422	97	17	2	17	47	145	7	6	0	.230	.317	.400	.718	.171	.304	30	10	.319	103	+1	+1	-7	+5	+14	1.4
2043	36	MLB	LAD	417	367	82	14	2	14	41	131	6	5	0	.223	.312	.387	.699	.163	.301	31	10	.310	95	-2	+1	-8	+4	+12	0.7
2044	37	MLB	LAD	351	309	66	11	1	11	34	114	5	5	0	.214	.302	.362	.664	.149	.297	32	10	.299	87	-5	+1	-8	+4	+10	0.1
2045	38	MLB	LAD	281	249	52	9	1	8	26	93	4	4	0	.209	.294	.349	.643	.141	.291	33	9	.288	78	-7	+1	-9	+3	+8	-0.4
2046	39	MLB	LAD	206	182	36	6	1	5	19	69	3	2	0	.198	.284	.324	.608	.126	.284	33	9	.276	69	-7	+0	-9	+2	+6	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			11903	10478	2551	469	56	450	1145	3358	183	212	35	.243	.329	.428	.756	.184	.312	28	10	.334	114	+189	+28	-93	+128	+337	60.1
/ 162G	—			650	572	140	26	3	25	63	183	10	12	2	.245	.330	.432	.762	.187	.313	28	10	.334	114	+10	+2	-5	+7	+18	3.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	201	152	52	11	0	14	40	45	4	12	2	.342	.490	.691	1.181	.349	.388	22	20	.490	233	+30	+2	—	—	+6	3.8
2025	18	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	143	124	42	11	0	5	17	33	1	5	0	.339	.423	.548	.971	.210	.425	23	12	.424	183	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.9
2025	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	269	233	70	13	3	9	31	76	2	6	3	.300	.387	.498	.885	.197	.404	28	12	.387	154	+16	+0	—	—	+8	2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Emil Morales (OGILVIE)	19	30→46	41→60	47→48	45	.220/.291/.366	.147	.294	9	6	30%	8%	85	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Trevor Story 2013 · A	20	40→50	46→65	53→55	41	.204/.264/.340	.136	.276	13	11	30%	7%	66	-0.6	.192/.252/.330	.138	.298	14	15	38%	7%	58	-1.2	.270/.336/.500	.231	.327	29	25	26%	8%	134	+3.6
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	44→52	49→65	49→45	45	.226/.283/.369	.143	.276	17	6	25%	7%	81	+0.4	.250/.300/.421	.171	.300	23	7	24%	6%	102	+1.8	.258/.305/.479	.221	.284	33	5	22%	6%	116	+2.6
●Miguel Sanó 2013 · A	20	39→49	53→70	46→45	43	.208/.278/.385	.177	.285	21	5	34%	8%	84	+0.6	.226/.306/.449	.223	.311	28	7	35%	9%	112	+2.6	.243/.334/.470	.227	.340	31	2	35%	11%	124	+3.1
●Gary Sánchez 2013 · A	20	43→51	50→65	47→45	37	.223/.267/.374	.151	.302	18	8	32%	5%	76	+0.0	.229/.278/.368	.139	.290	17	5	26%	6%	79	+0.3	.232/.315/.480	.248	.254	37	1	26%	9%	119	+2.3
★Austin Riley 2016 · A	19	44→54	49→65	45→40	38	.218/.279/.361	.143	.320	17	5	36%	6%	78	+0.2	.214/.260/.366	.152	.309	18	3	36%	5%	71	-0.3	.273/.345/.498	.224	.325	30	1	25%	8%	136	+4.9
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	41→51	47→60	46→45	46	.210/.298/.347	.138	.263	15	10	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.215/.301/.412	.197	.284	25	6	32%	9%	101	+1.8	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	42→52	49→55	51→55	38	.217/.265/.368	.151	.302	17	12	34%	6%	73	-0.1	.249/.293/.411	.162	.315	18	23	26%	6%	96	+1.5	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
✕Luis Torres 2023 · A	19	51	51→60	46→50	41	.257/.304/.425	.168	.315	17	9	24%	5%	105	+2.1	.220/.283/.330	.110	.348	9	5	36%	7%	71	-0.3	.183/.261/.257	.074	.337	5	0	43%	8%	40	-0.6
★Xander Bogaerts 2012 · A	19	43→53	49→60	42→55	41	.222/.273/.365	.143	.281	17	4	27%	6%	76	+0.0	.244/.297/.396	.152	.312	17	5	26%	6%	94	+1.3	.293/.370/.507	.214	.325	27	7	18%	10%	148	+4.3
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
●Julio Rodríguez 2021 · A	20	48→56	47→60	50→55	41	.239/.291/.385	.146	.305	14	6	26%	5%	89	+0.9	.279/.337/.469	.190	.351	23	22	26%	7%	130	+3.8	.288/.348/.497	.209	.353	27	29	25%	7%	136	+3.8
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	50→60	46→60	53→55	40	.243/.287/.379	.136	.324	13	8	28%	6%	85	+0.7	.267/.312/.417	.150	.332	13	17	23%	6%	105	+2.1	.305/.346/.482	.177	.358	22	13	20%	5%	135	+4.6
★Manny Machado 2012 · A	20	43→53	44→65	48→50	44	.217/.266/.340	.124	.267	11	10	24%	6%	66	-0.6	.250/.295/.396	.146	.294	13	8	19%	6%	92	+1.2	.280/.340/.502	.222	.295	29	7	16%	8%	128	+4.3
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	45→60	43→30	45	.215/.274/.337	.122	.275	14	3	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.206/.251/.346	.140	.279	17	2	32%	5%	62	-0.9	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
★Corey Seager 2013 · A	19	46→56	46→65	51→45	44	.231/.283/.361	.130	.288	14	9	25%	6%	79	+0.3	.250/.299/.420	.170	.314	19	7	26%	6%	101	+1.8	.291/.353/.484	.193	.337	22	4	20%	8%	135	+4.6
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A	20	48→58	43→60	52→60	46	.224/.316/.343	.119	.317	10	15	30%	9%	89	+1.0	.228/.285/.372	.144	.324	14	22	33%	5%	83	+0.6	.284/.330/.497	.213	.339	28	17	24%	5%	131	+2.8
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2011 · A	19	44→49	48→60	46→30	40	.226/.269/.368	.142	.281	16	5	26%	5%	75	-0.0	.206/.240/.352	.146	.247	19	3	25%	4%	58	-1.2	.243/.288/.435	.192	.292	26	1	26%	4%	98	+1.2
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→48	47→45	51→55	43	.223/.287/.361	.138	.312	14	9	32%	8%	81	+0.4	.213/.318/.341	.128	.297	12	16	29%	11%	89	+1.0	.203/.315/.324	.121	.277	12	21	28%	12%	81	+0.4
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	46→50	46→40	47	.216/.283/.346	.130	.273	14	5	26%	8%	75	-0.0	.241/.299/.377	.136	.292	16	4	22%	7%	90	+1.0	.259/.317/.396	.137	.305	16	3	20%	7%	100	+1.5
●J.T. Realmuto 2012 · A	21	43→53	44→60	49→55	38	.217/.259/.332	.115	.290	12	10	29%	4%	60	-1.0	.223/.273/.326	.103	.276	9	11	22%	6%	65	-0.7	.294/.347/.471	.177	.341	19	8	19%	6%	130	+3.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)