Emil Morales — OGILVIE

Emil MoralesSS Great Lakes Loons

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 191 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION365 act + 243 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .282 / .384

PA243

HR8

K%34

BB%7

BABIP302

ISO167

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 62

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER62

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.3	$19M	+$19M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.6	$20M	+$19M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.7	$19M	+$18M
2033	Arb-1	$8M	+3.8	$18M	+$14M
2034	Arb-2	$13M	+3.8	$17M	+$11M
2035	Arb-3	$18M	+3.6	$15M	+$7M
Totals		$42M		$107M	+$89M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	201	169	39	8	0	9	23	66	4	12	2	231	337	438	775	207	303	33	11	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	201	152	52	11	0	14	40	45	4	12	2	342	490	691	1.181	349	388	22	20	490	233	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	412	374	78	14	2	8	31	156	3	11	3	209	275	321	595	112	327	38	8	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	412	357	112	24	3	14	48	109	3	11	3	314	400	515	915	202	412	26	12	400	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A+	LAD	—	365	331	71	18	2	13	25	133	4	6	2	215	278	399	677	184	305	36	7	295	84	-7	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.8
YTD	19	A+	LAD	—	365	320	92	25	3	17	36	99	4	6	2	287	367	544	910	256	359	27	10	392	158	+24	+0	+0	+4	+10	3.9
ROS	19	A+	LAD	4%	243	221	48	11	1	8	18	82	2	4	1	217	282	384	666	167	297	34	7	292	82	-5	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.5
ROS	19	MLB	LAD	4%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		292	36	9	281	73	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	19	A+	LAD	—	376	341	72	18	2	13	26	137	4	6	2	211	275	390	665	179	301	36	7	294	83	-7	+0	-0	+4	+11	0.8
TOT	19	A+	LAD	—	608	552	119	29	3	21	43	215	6	10	3	215	279	393	672	177	304	35	7	294	83	-12	+1	-0	+7	+17	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	LAD	45%	581	525	116	25	3	20	45	192	6	9	2	221	290	394	684	173	302	33	8	302	89	-7	+1	-0	+6	+16	1.7
2028	21	MLB	LAD	62%	609	549	125	26	3	23	49	195	6	10	3	228	298	412	710	184	303	32	8	313	98	-2	+1	-0	+7	+17	2.3
2029	22	MLB	LAD	68%	627	564	132	27	3	26	51	195	7	10	3	234	305	431	736	197	304	31	8	322	105	+3	+1	-0	+7	+18	2.9
2030	23	MLB	LAD	71%	638	573	136	28	3	27	53	195	7	11	3	237	310	438	748	201	304	31	8	328	110	+7	+1	-0	+7	+18	3.3
2031	24	MLB	LAD	71%	637	572	137	28	3	28	53	193	7	11	3	240	312	446	758	206	305	30	8	333	113	+9	+1	-0	+7	+18	3.6
2032	25	MLB	LAD	71%	639	573	138	28	3	29	54	193	7	11	3	241	314	452	766	211	305	30	8	335	115	+11	+1	-0	+7	+18	3.7
2033	26	MLB	LAD	71%	642	576	139	28	3	30	54	194	7	11	3	241	314	457	771	215	305	30	8	336	116	+11	+1	-0	+7	+18	3.8
2034	27	MLB	LAD	69%	639	572	137	28	3	29	55	194	7	11	3	240	314	451	765	212	305	30	9	337	116	+11	+1	-0	+7	+18	3.8
2035	28	MLB	LAD	69%	633	566	135	27	3	29	55	193	7	11	3	239	314	451	764	212	305	30	9	336	115	+11	+1	-1	+7	+18	3.6
2036	29	MLB	LAD	67%	621	555	133	27	3	28	54	190	7	10	3	240	315	450	765	211	304	31	9	334	114	+10	+1	-2	+7	+18	3.4
2037	30	MLB	LAD	66%	610	546	128	26	2	27	53	188	6	10	3	234	309	438	747	203	303	31	9	331	112	+8	+1	-2	+7	+17	3.1
2038	31	MLB	LAD	65%	595	532	123	25	2	26	52	186	6	9	2	231	307	432	739	201	301	31	9	328	109	+6	+1	-3	+6	+17	2.8
2039	32	MLB	LAD	65%	577	516	119	24	2	25	50	182	6	8	2	231	306	430	736	200	298	32	9	322	105	+3	+1	-4	+6	+16	2.3
2040	33	MLB	LAD	65%	547	490	109	21	2	23	47	176	5	7	2	222	297	414	711	192	293	32	9	315	99	-1	+1	-4	+6	+15	1.7
2041	34	MLB	LAD	60%	499	448	97	18	2	20	43	163	5	6	2	217	292	400	692	183	287	33	9	306	92	-4	+0	-5	+5	+14	1.1
2042	35	MLB	LAD	56%	443	398	83	15	2	17	38	148	4	5	1	209	284	384	669	176	279	33	9	295	84	-8	+1	-6	+5	+13	0.4
2027	20	MLB	LAD	45%	261	236	51	11	1	9	20	86	3	4	1	216	286	386	671	169	297	33	8	290	80	-6	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.5
2028	21	MLB	LAD	62%	375	338	76	16	2	14	30	120	4	6	2	225	296	408	704	183	298	32	8	301	88	-5	+0	-0	+4	+11	1.0
2029	22	MLB	LAD	68%	429	386	88	18	2	17	35	134	5	7	2	228	300	417	718	189	299	31	8	309	95	-2	+1	-0	+5	+12	1.5
2030	23	MLB	LAD	71%	454	409	95	19	2	19	37	139	5	8	2	232	304	428	732	196	300	31	8	316	100	-0	+1	-0	+5	+13	1.9
2031	24	MLB	LAD	71%	452	406	96	19	2	20	38	137	5	8	2	236	310	441	750	204	301	30	8	320	103	+2	+1	-0	+5	+13	2.0
2032	25	MLB	LAD	71%	453	407	96	19	2	20	38	137	5	8	2	236	309	440	749	204	301	30	8	322	105	+2	+1	-0	+5	+13	2.1
2033	26	MLB	LAD	71%	455	408	96	19	2	20	39	137	5	8	2	235	310	439	748	203	301	30	9	323	106	+3	+1	-0	+5	+13	2.2
2034	27	MLB	LAD	69%	444	398	94	19	2	20	38	134	5	8	2	236	311	445	755	209	301	30	9	324	106	+3	+1	-0	+5	+13	2.1
2035	28	MLB	LAD	69%	435	389	91	18	2	19	38	132	5	8	2	234	310	437	747	203	300	30	9	323	105	+3	+1	-1	+5	+12	2.0
2036	29	MLB	LAD	67%	415	372	86	17	2	18	36	127	4	7	2	231	306	433	739	202	300	31	9	321	104	+2	+1	-1	+4	+12	1.8
2037	30	MLB	LAD	66%	401	359	83	17	2	17	35	124	4	6	2	231	307	432	738	201	299	31	9	319	102	+1	+0	-2	+4	+11	1.6
2038	31	MLB	LAD	65%	388	347	80	16	1	17	34	121	4	6	2	231	306	429	736	199	296	31	9	315	99	-0	+0	-2	+4	+11	1.4
2039	32	MLB	LAD	65%	374	334	75	15	1	16	33	118	4	5	1	225	302	419	721	195	293	32	9	310	95	-2	+1	-2	+4	+11	1.1
2040	33	MLB	LAD	65%	353	316	68	13	1	14	31	113	3	4	1	215	291	396	687	180	289	32	9	303	90	-4	+0	-3	+4	+10	0.8
2041	34	MLB	LAD	60%	300	268	58	11	1	12	26	98	3	3	1	216	293	399	692	183	282	33	9	294	83	-6	+0	-3	+3	+8	0.3
2042	35	MLB	LAD	56%	246	221	45	8	1	9	21	82	2	3	1	204	279	371	650	167	275	33	9	284	76	-7	+0	-3	+3	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6246	5604	1279	255	26	261	530	1943	66	99	27	228	302	423	725	195	297	31	8	313	98	-17	+9	-18	+67	+177	22.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	134	27	3	27	55	202	7	10	3	230	304	425	729	196	300	31	8	313	98	-2	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.3
Career	—			—	10393	9319	2152	434	45	432	878	3281	109	177	47	231	305	426	731	195	304	32	8	322	104	+50	+17	-29	+111	+294	45.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	135	27	3	27	55	205	7	11	3	232	306	427	733	196	304	32	8	322	104	+3	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	201	152	52	11	0	14	40	45	4	12	2	342	490	691	1.181	349	388	22	20	490	233	+30	+2	—	—	+6	3.8
2025	18	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	143	124	42	11	0	5	17	33	1	5	0	339	423	548	971	210	425	23	12	424	183	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.9
2025	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	269	233	70	13	3	9	31	76	2	6	3	300	387	498	885	197	404	28	12	387	154	+16	+0	—	—	+8	2.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	11	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.3	32.4
	/162	664	26	6	251	321	442	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29
#2Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	10	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
#2Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	/162	664	28	3	241	336	447	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#3Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	8	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
	/162	664	26	14	245	326	442	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#4Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	10	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
	/162	664	29	10	242	319	448	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#5Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	11	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	24.9
	/162	664	20	20	263	315	427	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	6,253	269	99	234	304	435	+63	-0	29.6	23.7
	/162	664	29	10	234	304	435	+6.7	-0.0	3.1	pk7: 18
#6Evan Gattislast yr '18 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,662 PA	6	2,662	139	3	248	300	476	+30	+20	17.0	17.0
	/162	664	35	1	248	300	476	+7.6	+4.9	4.2	pk7: 17

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Emil Morales (OGILVIE)	19	38→47	53→62	48	47	215/279/393	177	304	21	10	35%	7%	83	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	82	+0.5	219/304/418	199	291	25	6	32%	9%	104	+2.0	270/324/464	194	313	25	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	43→53	50→70	49→45	44	225/281/372	147	272	18	5	25%	7%	82	+0.5	253/302/420	167	306	22	7	25%	6%	102	+1.9	260/323/512	251	270	38	5	20%	8%	130	+3.2
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	40→50	49→60	50→55	37	208/257/357	149	297	17	12	35%	6%	67	-0.5	252/297/423	171	319	19	23	26%	6%	101	+1.8	273/321/471	198	320	23	21	22%	6%	120	+2.5
●Gary Sánchez 2012 · A	19	43→50	48→65	45	37	217/266/360	142	312	17	4	35%	6%	71	-0.3	226/274/364	138	298	16	6	29%	5%	76	+0.0	240/315/464	224	265	32	4	23%	9%	117	+2.4
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→47	47→45	52→55	43	223/287/366	143	309	14	9	32%	8%	82	+0.5	211/317/346	135	289	14	16	29%	11%	91	+1.1	204/318/335	131	272	14	21	28%	12%	85	+0.6
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→49	43→60	54→55	44	208/271/317	109	280	11	13	29%	7%	63	-0.9	191/252/319	128	296	13	13	38%	7%	56	-1.3	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3
●Miguel Sanó 2013 · A	20	39→49	53→70	46→45	44	207/282/382	175	291	21	5	35%	9%	85	+0.7	227/308/454	227	315	29	7	35%	9%	115	+2.7	242/333/468	226	340	30	2	35%	11%	124	+3.1
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	47→50	45→40	47	217/283/352	135	277	15	5	27%	8%	76	+0.1	243/301/378	135	296	16	4	23%	7%	91	+1.1	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→47	45→55	48→55	46	233/305/357	125	310	12	12	27%	8%	87	+0.8	242/305/384	142	306	15	16	25%	7%	94	+1.3	248/306/416	169	299	18	16	23%	6%	100	+1.2
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→49	46→60	43→30	45	215/275/340	125	273	14	3	26%	7%	70	-0.3	206/250/349	143	284	18	2	33%	5%	62	-0.9	245/305/447	202	325	28	0	32%	7%	109	+2.0
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	50→60	47→60	53→55	40	246/288/387	141	326	13	8	28%	6%	87	+0.8	265/310/419	154	331	14	17	23%	6%	105	+2.1	295/336/472	177	344	22	13	20%	5%	128	+4.1
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	44→54	47→50	49→50	40	220/272/361	141	293	15	11	30%	6%	74	-0.1	251/300/391	140	316	15	13	24%	6%	94	+1.3	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	78	+0.2	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Marco Luciano 2021 · A	19	46→49	50	46→45	45	227/301/381	153	314	17	10	32%	8%	92	+1.2	207/269/352	145	298	18	5	35%	7%	71	-0.3	204/288/354	149	289	19	8	34%	10%	77	+0.1
●Cheslor Cuthbert 2012 · A	19	46→56	46→50	49→45	42	228/279/352	124	298	14	4	28%	6%	75	-0.0	216/258/326	110	270	11	6	24%	5%	59	-1.1	258/310/406	148	301	17	1	20%	7%	100	+0.9
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2011 · A	19	44→47	49→60	45→30	40	227/269/373	145	281	17	4	26%	5%	76	+0.0	210/245/360	150	253	19	3	26%	4%	63	-0.9	238/283/427	188	288	25	1	27%	4%	94	+0.9
✕Max Muncy 2023 · A	20	38→45	48→55	50	41	195/268/337	143	297	17	12	38%	8%	67	-0.5	211/276/338	127	323	13	9	36%	7%	70	-0.3	226/295/388	162	313	20	6	32%	6%	90	+0.5
✕Noelvi Marte 2022 · A	20	45→53	51→50	51→55	44	228/290/389	161	299	19	14	30%	7%	89	+1.0	230/292/361	131	296	15	18	26%	7%	82	+0.5	242/290/380	137	303	15	21	25%	5%	84	+0.4
✕Kevin Padlo 2015 · A	19	45→40	49→55	53→50	47	222/300/380	158	294	15	8	28%	9%	91	+1.1	187/271/315	128	267	12	8	32%	10%	63	-0.9	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Brady House 2022 · A	19	45→51	47→50	49→45	42	226/280/358	132	303	15	6	30%	7%	76	+0.1	227/277/345	118	349	13	6	37%	5%	72	-0.2	233/269/372	139	319	17	6	32%	4%	72	-0.1