Emil Morales

SS Great Lakes Loons
Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 191 lbs A+ HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP50OGV rank#36ETA2028MLB%4%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL LAD Mega201.342/.490/.691141293—.200/.327/.370
202518A/ROK2 orgs412.314/.400/.515141174—.222/.287/.348
202619A+/ALAD547.295/.386/.546269100—.234/.309/.424
2027PROJMLE20MLBLAD9.221/.294/.39300940.0
2028PROJ45% MLB21MLBLAD233.229/.303/.416941020.8
2029PROJ62% MLB22MLBLAD333.235/.310/.4341461091.5
Next 3 projected WAR 2.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$7M2034Arb-2$12M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
ISO90
wOBA86
wRC+84
Chase%66
BB%63
K%44
Career WAR2.2 WAR median (P10 -0.6 / P90 52, comp-based) · star 20% · didn't stick 52%
CompsGary Sánchez (age 20) · Miguel Sanó (age 20) · Derek Norris (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†94
AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .294 / .393
PA9
HR0
K%33
BB%11
BABIP284
ISO169
MLB%4%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.70+0.7WAR
0.01.42.80.00.81.51.92.12.22.32.22.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$82M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.9$12M+$11M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.1$12M+$12M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.2$12M+$12M
2033Arb-1$7M+2.3$12M+$8M
2034Arb-2$12M+2.2$10M+$5M
2035Arb-3$16M+2.0$9M+$2M
Totals $38M $67M +$49M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL LAD Mega — 201152 5211014 40454 122 3424906911.181 349388 2220 490 93 — — — — — —
202518 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 143124 421105 17331 50 339423548971 210425 2312 424 116 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Dodgers — 269233 701339 31762 63 300387498885 197404 2812 387 51 — — — — — —
202619 A+Great Lakes Loons — 368313 8819020 48934 73 281384534917 252335 2513 399 99 — — — — — —
202619 AOntario Tower Buzzers — 179158 511536 15473 21 323392570962 247417 268 412 101 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 201165 33707 27554 122 200327370696 170231 2713 305 93 — — — — — —
202518 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 143129 37904 12451 50 287352450802 163396 318 340 116 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 269245 46725 191102 63 188252294546 106301 417 244 51 — — — — — —
202619 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 368326 7415016 351184 73 227310420730 193290 3210 315 99 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEOntario Tower Buzzers — 179162 401125 11643 21 247307432739 185360 366 317 101 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 201165 33707 27554 122 200327370696 170241 2713 305 93 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL LAD Mega — 201152 5211014 40454 122 3424906911.181 349388 2220 490 93 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 412374 831629 311563 113 222287348634 126347 388 277 74 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAW2 teams — 412357 11224314 481093 113 314400515915 202412 2612 400 74 — — — — — —
202619 A+ MLE2 teams — 547488 11426221 461827 94 234309424733 191320 338 316 100 — — — — — —
202619 A+ RAW2 teams — 547471 13934326 631407 94 295386546932 251363 2612 403 100 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 201168 33707 27554 122 196327363690 167231 2713 305 93 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 412375 831629 311563 113 221287347633 125334 388 277 74 — — — — — —
202619 A+ MLE2 teams — 547489 11426221 461827 94 233309423732 190313 338 316 100 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 201168 33707 27554 122 196327363690 167231 2713 305 93 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 412375 831629 311563 113 221287347633 125334 388 277 74 — — — — — —
202619 A+ MLE2 teams — 547489 11426221 461827 94 233309423732 190313 338 316 100 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLELAD 4% 645580 13128322 541916 93 225297395692 171291 308 307 94 -5 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202720 MLB CTXLAD 4% 98 1000 130 00 221294393687 171284 3311 305 94 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLELAD 45% 517463 10722220 441485 93 232305418723 186292 299 319 102 +1 +1 -1 +6 +11 1.8
202922 MLB MLELAD 62% 541483 11523223 471516 103 237312435747 198293 289 329 109 +6 +1 -1 +6 +12 2.4
203023 MLB MLELAD 68% 560500 12024224 491526 113 241316445761 204294 279 335 113 +8 +1 -0 +6 +12 2.8
203124 MLB MLELAD 70% 578516 12625226 511556 113 244319451770 207295 279 338 115 +10 +1 -0 +6 +13 3.0
203225 MLB MLELAD 70% 590527 13026326 521566 113 245320452773 207295 269 339 116 +11 +1 -0 +6 +13 3.2
203326 MLB MLELAD 71% 599535 13226327 531596 113 245321453774 208294 279 340 116 +11 +1 -0 +6 +13 3.2
203427 MLB MLELAD 69% 596532 12926226 531596 103 244320450770 207294 279 338 115 +11 +1 -0 +6 +13 3.1
203528 MLB MLELAD 69% 585522 12625226 521576 93 242318446764 204293 279 336 113 +9 +1 -1 +6 +13 2.9
203629 MLB MLELAD 67% 568508 12124224 501545 73 240315440755 200292 279 332 111 +7 +0 -2 +6 +12 2.5
203730 MLB MLELAD 66% 552493 11723223 491525 63 237312432744 195290 289 328 108 +5 +0 -2 +6 +12 2.1
203831 MLB MLELAD 65% 534477 11222222 471495 44 233307423730 190287 289 322 104 +3 -1 -3 +6 +12 1.7
203932 MLB MLELAD 65% 511458 10521220 441454 211 228301410711 182283 289 315 99 -1 -4 -4 +5 +11 0.8
204033 MLB MLELAD 65% 476430 9518118 401373 316 221293395688 173278 298 305 93 -4 -6 -4 +5 +10 0.1
204134 MLB MLELAD 60% 419378 8115115 351243 317 213284375659 162271 308 293 85 -8 -6 -5 +4 +9 -0.5
202821 MLB CTXLAD 45% 233209 481019 20672 41 229303416719 187286 299 318 102 +1 +0 -0 +2 +5 0.8
202922 MLB CTXLAD 62% 333298 7014114 29933 62 235310434744 199287 289 327 109 +3 +0 -0 +4 +7 1.5
203023 MLB CTXLAD 68% 383342 8116117 341044 72 239314444758 206287 279 333 113 +6 +1 -0 +4 +8 1.9
203124 MLB CTXLAD 70% 403360 8717119 361084 82 241317450766 209288 279 336 115 +7 +1 -0 +4 +9 2.1
203225 MLB CTXLAD 70% 415371 8917119 371104 82 242318452769 209288 279 338 116 +8 +1 -0 +4 +9 2.2
203326 MLB CTXLAD 71% 423378 9117120 381124 82 242318452771 210288 269 338 116 +8 +1 -0 +5 +9 2.3
203427 MLB CTXLAD 69% 413369 8917119 371104 72 241317450767 209288 279 337 115 +7 +1 -0 +4 +9 2.2
203528 MLB CTXLAD 69% 402359 8516118 361084 62 240315445761 206287 279 334 113 +6 +0 -1 +4 +9 2.0
203629 MLB CTXLAD 67% 380339 8015117 341034 52 237313439752 202286 279 331 111 +5 +0 -1 +4 +8 1.7
203730 MLB CTXLAD 66% 363325 7614116 321003 42 234309432741 197284 289 326 108 +3 +0 -1 +4 +8 1.4
203831 MLB CTXLAD 65% 348312 7314115 30973 22 231305422727 192281 289 321 104 +2 -0 -2 +4 +8 1.1
203932 MLB CTXLAD 65% 331297 6813114 28943 17 225299410708 184277 288 313 99 -0 -3 -2 +4 +7 0.5
204033 MLB CTXLAD 65% 307276 6111112 26892 210 219291394685 175273 298 304 93 -3 -4 -3 +3 +7 0.1
204134 MLB CTXLAD 60% 252227 49919 21752 210 211282375657 164266 308 292 85 -5 -4 -3 +3 +5 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 49864462 104720014218 438137046 7048 235310432742 198286 279 327 105 +49 -5 -14 +53 +108 19.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 13626228 571796 96 234309430738 196286 289 327 105 +6 -1 -2 +7 +14 2.5
Career— MLE — 89968038 188837833364 787255388 14288 235310426736 191294 289 324 105 +69 -10 -23 +84 +170 29.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 13527226 571846 106 232307420727 188291 289 324 105 +6 -1 -2 +7 +14 2.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Great Lakes Loons · 368 PAwOBA .391 → .315 (−77)K% 25.3% → 32.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.27%÷1.000×1.270——32.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.04%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0429.65%
HBP% /PA1.09%—×0.790—×1.0420.89%
Singles /BIP22.27%÷1.000×0.920×0.950×1.04220.28%
Doubles /BIP8.64%÷1.000×0.810×0.950×1.0426.92%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×0.950×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP9.09%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0427.58%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .391 → .315; ISO .252 → .200; BABIP .335 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AOntario Tower Buzzers · 179 PAwOBA .407 → .317 (−90)K% 26.3% → 35.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.26%÷1.000×1.360——35.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.38%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0305.96%
HBP% /PA1.68%—×0.780—×1.0301.35%
Singles /BIP24.32%÷1.000×0.920×0.954×1.03021.99%
Doubles /BIP13.51%÷1.000×0.830×0.954×1.03011.02%
Triples /BIP2.70%÷1.000×0.910×0.954×1.0302.42%
Home runs /BIP5.41%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0304.45%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .407 → .317; ISO .247 → .189; BABIP .417 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Dodgers · 269 PAwOBA .381 → .244 (−138)K% 28.3% → 41.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.25%÷0.993×1.440——40.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.52%÷0.997×0.620—×1.0087.22%
HBP% /PA0.74%—×0.720—×1.0080.54%
Singles /BIP28.66%÷0.996×0.820×0.971×1.00823.09%
Doubles /BIP8.28%÷1.102×0.720×0.971×1.0085.29%
Triples /BIP1.91%÷1.060×0.720×0.971×1.0081.27%
Home runs /BIP5.73%÷1.187×0.780—×1.0083.80%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 112, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .381 → .244; ISO .197 → .114; BABIP .404 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 143 PAwOBA .414 → .340 (−74)K% 23.1% → 31.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.08%÷0.987×1.360——31.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.19%÷0.981×0.690—×1.0458.22%
HBP% /PA0.70%—×0.780—×1.0450.57%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷1.004×0.920×1.028×1.04528.11%
Doubles /BIP12.09%÷1.054×0.830×1.028×1.04510.22%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×1.028×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP5.49%÷1.055×0.800—×1.0454.35%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .414 → .340; ISO .210 → .159; BABIP .425 → .396. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 201 PAwOBA .490 → .305 (−184)K% 22.4% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.39%÷0.994×1.220——27.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.90%÷1.030×0.700—×1.00813.62%
HBP% /PA1.99%—×0.700—×1.0081.40%
Singles /BIP25.23%÷0.988×0.680×0.950×1.00816.62%
Doubles /BIP10.28%÷0.953×0.600×0.950×1.0086.20%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.079×0.600×0.950×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP13.08%÷1.095×0.470—×1.0085.66%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 116, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .490 → .305; ISO .349 → .176; BABIP .388 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).