Jorge Quintana

SS Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 20 S/R 6'2" / 183 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1487ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Brewers 2238.250/.364/.38022238—.162/.254/.238
202518A/ROK2 orgs330.243/.343/.36342637—.168/.245/.245
202619ASD443.234/.330/.36792957—.199/.273/.306
2027PROJMLE20MLBSD553.187/.260/.28281654-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBSD135.192/.266/.3002462-0.2
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBSD214.198/.273/.3185669-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$2M2034Arb-2$4M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Speed74
ISO51
BB%47
Whiff%38
wOBA33
Chase%32
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.5 / P90 3.8, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 87%
CompsJavier Herrera (age 19) · Brainer Bonaci (age 20) · Allan Castro (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .258 / .279
PA210
HR3
SB6
K%33
BB%8
ISO95
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -11.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.40.40.40.327282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$2M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.9M+$0.3M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2033Arb-1$2M+0.4$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Arb-2$4M+0.4$0.9M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-3$4M+0.3$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $2M $5M +$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Brewers 2 — 238200 501432 33513 2211 250364380744 130322 2114 337 38 — — — — — —
202518 ALake Elsinore Storm — 10183 16301 15341 74 193323265588 72300 3415 277 33 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Brewers — 229201 531333 24503 194 264351403754 139336 2210 338 39 — — — — — —
202619 ALake Elsinore Storm — 443381 891839 521253 296 234330367698 134320 2812 313 57 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 238210 34921 23633 2211 162254238492 76215 2610 224 38 — — — — — —
202518 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 10187 13201 11481 74 149253207459 57295 4811 217 33 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 229210 37822 15743 194 176241262503 86257 327 226 39 — — — — — —
202619 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 443396 791537 371703 296 199273306578 106310 388 253 57 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 238210 34921 23633 2211 162254238492 76223 2610 224 38 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Brewers 2 — 238200 501432 33513 2211 250364380744 130322 2114 337 38 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 330297 501023 261224 268 168245246490 77269 378 223 37 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAW2 teams — 330284 691634 39844 268 243343363705 120327 2512 320 37 — — — — — —
202619 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 443396 791537 371703 296 199273306578 106324 388 253 57 — — — — — —
202619 A RAWLake Elsinore Storm — 443381 891839 521253 296 234330367698 134320 2812 313 57 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 238210 34921 23633 2211 162254238492 76215 2610 224 38 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 330297 501023 261224 268 168245246490 77269 378 223 37 — — — — — —
202619 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 443400 791537 371703 296 198273302575 105310 388 253 57 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 238210 34921 23633 2211 162254238492 76215 2610 224 38 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 330297 501023 261224 268 168245246490 77269 378 223 37 — — — — — —
202619 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 443400 791537 371703 296 198273302575 105310 388 253 57 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLESD 0% 553499 941838 451854 164 187260282542 95276 338 248 54 -30 +2 -2 +6 +12 -0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLESD 34% 393354 681327 331283 113 195269304573 109278 338 260 62 -18 +1 -1 +4 +9 -0.5
202922 MLB MLESD 48% 441397 791529 371394 123 201276322598 121280 328 271 69 -16 +1 -1 +5 +10 -0.2
203023 MLB MLESD 54% 489440 9017311 421514 123 206281335616 129281 319 278 74 -15 +1 -0 +5 +11 0.2
203124 MLB MLESD 55% 545488 10219313 471655 133 210285344629 134283 309 283 78 -15 +1 +0 +6 +12 0.5
203225 MLB MLESD 56% 589528 11221315 511755 133 212288349637 137284 309 286 80 -14 +1 +1 +6 +13 0.8
203326 MLB MLESD 56% 597535 11321315 521785 123 212287349636 137283 309 286 80 -14 +1 +1 +6 +13 0.8
203427 MLB MLESD 60% 596534 11221315 521785 113 211287346633 135283 309 285 79 -15 +1 +1 +6 +13 0.7
203528 MLB MLESD 62% 585524 11021314 511765 103 209285342627 133282 309 282 77 -16 +1 +1 +6 +13 0.4
203629 MLB MLESD 57% 566508 10520313 491724 82 207282336618 129281 309 279 75 -17 +1 -0 +6 +12 0.2
203730 MLB MLESD 60% 552496 10119312 471704 72 204279329607 125279 319 274 72 -19 +1 -1 +6 +12 -0.1
202821 MLB CTXSD 34% 135122 23412 11441 41 192266300565 108273 338 257 62 -6 +0 -0 +1 +3 -0.2
202922 MLB CTXSD 48% 214192 38715 18672 61 198273318591 120275 318 268 69 -8 +1 -1 +2 +5 -0.1
203023 MLB CTXSD 54% 265238 48916 23822 72 203278331610 128276 319 275 74 -8 +1 -0 +3 +6 0.1
203124 MLB CTXSD 55% 302270 571028 26913 72 207282340622 133277 309 280 78 -8 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.3
203225 MLB CTXSD 56% 330296 621129 28983 72 209285345630 136278 308 283 80 -8 +1 +1 +4 +7 0.4
203326 MLB CTXSD 56% 336301 631129 291003 72 209285345630 136278 309 283 80 -8 +1 +1 +4 +7 0.4
203427 MLB CTXSD 60% 355318 661229 311063 72 208284343626 135277 309 282 79 -9 +1 +1 +4 +8 0.4
203528 MLB CTXSD 62% 361324 671229 311093 62 206282338620 132276 309 279 77 -10 +0 +0 +4 +8 0.3
203629 MLB CTXSD 57% 325291 601128 28993 51 204279332612 128275 309 276 75 -10 +1 -0 +3 +7 0.1
203730 MLB CTXSD 60% 330297 611128 281012 41 201276325601 124274 318 272 72 -11 +0 -1 +4 +7 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 29532649 545981773 25389725 6016 206281338619 133278 309 277 70 -86 +6 +1 +32 +64 1.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650583 12122416 561976 134 208284341625 134281 309 277 70 -19 +1 +0 +7 +14 0.4
Career— MLE — 65745896 119122836138 564205756 19255 202278323601 121282 319 272 70 -170 +11 -0 +60 +121 2.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 11923414 562036 195 204281329610 125284 319 272 70 -20 +1 -0 +7 +14 0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ALake Elsinore Storm · 443 PAwOBA .306 → .253 (−53)K% 28.2% → 38.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.22%÷1.000×1.360——38.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.51%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0458.30%
HBP% /PA0.68%—×0.780—×1.0450.55%
Singles /BIP23.05%÷1.000×0.920×1.040×1.04523.03%
Doubles /BIP7.03%÷1.000×0.830×1.040×1.0456.34%
Triples /BIP1.17%÷1.000×0.910×1.040×1.0451.16%
Home runs /BIP3.52%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0452.94%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .306 → .253; ISO .134 → .107; BABIP .320 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Brewers · 229 PAwOBA .331 → .226 (−105)K% 21.8% → 32.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.83%÷0.973×1.440——32.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.48%÷1.011×0.620—×1.0226.57%
HBP% /PA1.31%—×0.720—×1.0220.96%
Singles /BIP22.52%÷1.031×0.820×0.997×1.02218.26%
Doubles /BIP8.61%÷1.109×0.720×0.997×1.0225.70%
Triples /BIP1.99%÷1.001×0.720×0.997×1.0221.46%
Home runs /BIP1.99%÷0.971×0.780—×1.0221.63%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 106, 2B 122, 3B 100, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .331 → .226; ISO .139 → .093; BABIP .336 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALake Elsinore Storm · 101 PAwOBA .272 → .217 (−55)K% 33.7% → 47.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.66%÷0.956×1.360——47.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.86%÷0.952×0.690—×1.05010.55%
HBP% /PA0.99%—×0.780—×1.0500.81%
Singles /BIP24.49%÷0.989×0.920×1.050×1.05025.12%
Doubles /BIP6.12%÷1.062×0.830×1.050×1.0505.28%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×1.050×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP2.04%÷0.936×0.800—×1.0501.83%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .272 → .217; ISO .072 → .053; BABIP .300 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Brewers 2 · 238 PAwOBA .332 → .224 (−108)K% 21.4% → 26.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.43%÷0.989×1.220——26.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.87%÷1.012×0.700—×1.0229.81%
HBP% /PA1.26%—×0.700—×1.0220.90%
Singles /BIP20.81%÷0.989×0.680×0.997×1.02214.58%
Doubles /BIP9.40%÷0.968×0.600×0.997×1.0225.93%
Triples /BIP2.01%÷1.150×0.600×0.997×1.0221.07%
Home runs /BIP1.34%÷0.808×0.470—×1.0220.80%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .332 → .224; ISO .130 → .078; BABIP .322 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).