Jorge QuintanaSS Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 19 S/R 6'2" / 183 lbs A HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION289 act + 192 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†42
AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .257 / .269
PA192
HR2
SB9
K%37
BB%8
BABIP302
ISO80
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -33.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-34BATRUN: +4.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: -0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +5.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+5POSREP: +13.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: -1.20-1.2WAR
0.00.91.80.20.60.91.21.31.31.31.2+$48M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 48
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER48
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED48
scouting grade only
DEFENSE51
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$3M+$2M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$7M+$6M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.3$7M+$6M
2033Arb-1$3M+1.3$6M+$5M
2034Arb-2$5M+1.3$6M+$4M
2035Arb-3$6M+1.2$5M+$3M
Totals $16M $32M +$25M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Brewers 2 238213 381022 20753 2211 178258272531 94261 328 241 43
202417 ROKDSL Brewers 2 238200 501432 33513 2211 250364380744 130322 2114 337 116
202518 ROK2 teams 330297 47923 261264 268 158235232468 74257 388 211 20
202518 ROK2 teams 330284 691634 39844 268 243343363705 120327 2512 320 103
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ASD 289261 51913 211192 214 195261272533 77340 417 231 35 -21 +3 +0 +3 +8 -0.7
YTD19 ASD 289251 591113 31892 214 235324323647 88348 3111 294 83 -6 +3 +0 +3 +8 0.9
ROS19 ASD 0% 192174 33612 15711 92 189257269526 80298 378 241 42 -13 +1 -0 +2 +5 -0.4
ROS19 MLBSD 0% 01 0000 000 00 295 232 36 -0 +0
FULL19 ASD 289262 51913 211192 214 195261271532 76338 417 231 35 -21 +3 +0 +3 +8 -0.7
TOT19 ASD 481435 841525 361903 306 193259271530 78324 397 235 38 -34 +4 -0 +5 +14 -1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBSD 34% 459416 831528 361604 144 200270303573 103300 358 260 57 -22 +1 -1 +5 +13 -0.4
202821 MLBSD 48% 528475 9818211 431775 144 206279322601 116300 348 274 68 -19 +1 -1 +6 +15 0.2
202922 MLBSD 54% 574515 11120314 481876 144 216290348638 132301 338 283 75 -16 +1 -1 +6 +16 0.6
203023 MLBSD 57% 604542 11821316 511936 134 218292356648 138301 328 289 79 -14 +1 -1 +6 +17 0.9
203124 MLBSD 57% 623559 12322317 531986 133 220294361656 141302 329 292 82 -13 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.2
203225 MLBSD 57% 633568 12422317 542016 133 218293357650 139302 329 294 83 -12 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.3
203326 MLBSD 56% 636570 12623318 552016 123 221296367663 146302 329 294 83 -12 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.3
203427 MLBSD 55% 633567 12422317 552016 123 219295358653 139302 329 294 83 -12 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.3
203528 MLBSD 55% 627561 12322317 552006 113 219296360656 141302 329 293 83 -12 +1 -2 +7 +18 1.2
203629 MLBSD 53% 615550 11921217 541976 113 216293355648 138301 329 292 81 -13 +1 -2 +7 +17 1.0
203730 MLBSD 53% 604540 11621216 531956 103 215292350642 135300 329 289 79 -14 +1 -3 +6 +17 0.7
202720 MLBSD 34% 158143 29513 13551 51 203274315589 112296 358 250 50 -9 +1 -0 +2 +4 -0.3
202821 MLBSD 48% 256231 47915 21862 72 203276316592 113296 348 264 60 -12 +1 -0 +3 +7 -0.2
202922 MLBSD 54% 311279 591117 261013 72 211286333619 122297 328 272 67 -12 +1 -1 +3 +9 0.0
203023 MLBSD 57% 342307 661228 291093 82 215289345634 130297 328 278 71 -11 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.2
203124 MLBSD 57% 352316 681229 301123 72 215289351641 136298 329 281 73 -11 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.3
203225 MLBSD 57% 358320 691229 311134 72 216293350643 134298 329 282 74 -10 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.4
203326 MLBSD 56% 359321 7012210 311144 72 218295361656 143298 329 283 75 -10 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.4
203427 MLBSD 55% 351314 681229 311113 72 217293354647 137298 329 283 75 -10 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.4
203528 MLBSD 55% 344308 661219 301103 62 214290347638 133298 329 282 74 -10 +0 -1 +4 +10 0.3
203629 MLBSD 53% 329294 631119 291053 61 214291350642 136297 329 281 73 -10 +1 -1 +4 +9 0.2
203730 MLBSD 53% 318284 601118 281033 51 211289342630 130296 329 278 71 -10 +1 -2 +3 +9 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 34783118 6651191686 299111932 7219 213289344633 131300 329 278 71 -116 +7 -8 +37 +99 1.9
/ 162G 650583 12422316 562096 134 213289343632 130298 329 278 71 -22 +1 -2 +7 +18 0.3
Career 72966547 138325234175 618238271 19458 211286340627 129300 338 281 74 -218 +16 -16 +78 +207 6.8
/ 162G 650583 12322316 552126 175 211285341627 130299 338 281 74 -19 +1 -1 +7 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Brewers 2 238200 501432 33513 2211 250364380744 130322 2114 337 116 +4 +0 +7 1.1
202518 ALake Elsinore Storm 10183 16301 15341 74 193323265588 72300 3415 277 70 -3 -0 +3 -0.1
202518 ROKACL Brewers 229201 531333 24503 194 264351403754 139336 2210 338 117 +4 +2 +6 1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,7989382214286345+41+45.25.1
/1626641614+7.1+0.80.9pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jorge Quintana (OGILVIE) 19 20→40 30→48 50→48 50 193/259/271 78324 530 39% 7% 38 -1.2
Dalton Pompey
2012 · A
19 39→49 41→45 56→55 45 193/266/287 94270 917 30% 8% 53 -1.5 217/281/315 98303 721 28% 8% 66 -0.6 259/316/35910033172922%7%87+0.7
Juan Mosquera
2007 · A
19 38 35→30 49→55 44 180/246/238 57263 315 31% 8% 30 -3.1 201/290/246 45281 114 26% 10% 53 -1.5 210/308/2372728001722%11%56-0.4
Luis Liberato
2015 · A
19 37→47 37→55 52→50 43 181/245/254 73265 414 32% 7% 35 -2.8 201/256/305 104305 69 33% 7% 52 -1.6 237/280/38915230018527%6%82+0.3
Steward Berroa
2018 · A
19 43→47 37→45 52→65 41 200/262/273 74297 317 32% 7% 46 -2.0 207/271/277 70311 317 31% 8% 51 -1.7 223/304/3229931394829%10%75+0.0
Riley Unroe
2015 · A
19 39→48 37→50 47→55 46 188/255/261 74254 48 27% 8% 41 -2.3 191/253/250 59276 410 30% 7% 37 -2.7 227/311/367139295152627%10%89+0.5
Jose Acosta
2019 · A
19 39 37→45 53→55 47 185/259/257 72250 414 26% 8% 42 -2.3 225/287/323 98318 619 29% 7% 70 -0.3 201/262/323122304122136%6%57-0.6
Yonathan Perlaza
2018 · A
19 40→50 37→60 48→50 37 193/233/270 77277 412 31% 5% 33 -2.9 212/258/285 73317 49 32% 6% 47 -1.9 232/306/413181303191228%9%98+1.5
Ronny Simon
2019 · A
19 41→51 37→50 47→55 44 195/271/269 74274 311 28% 7% 50 -1.7 212/273/338 126273 1014 25% 7% 68 -0.5 261/322/377116323102921%7%95+1.0
Isan Díaz
2015 · A
19 34→42 39→55 47→45 39 169/233/258 89267 68 37% 7% 31 -3.0 206/271/341 135300 138 33% 8% 69 -0.4 208/287/37316427521531%9%79+0.2
Logan Wagner
2023 · A
19 43→31 36→60 48→50 42 203/264/271 68294 48 31% 7% 47 -1.9 193/285/298 105300 99 35% 10% 65 -0.7 173/266/319146258171037%9%60-0.5
Delino DeShields
2012 · A
19 40→50 40→45 50→65 41 196/253/282 87272 816 30% 6% 45 -2.1 225/290/327 102307 838 27% 7% 72 -0.2 242/320/3399732363425%10%85+0.6
Bengie González
2009 · A
19 41→51 34→45 51→50 47 194/264/244 51272 211 28% 8% 40 -2.4 205/256/250 45276 112 24% 6% 37 -2.6 262/314/36510331951218%7%89+0.7
Nomar Fana
2022 · A
19 40 38→50 48→50 41 192/248/270 78285 59 33% 7% 40 -2.4 191/260/292 101307 911 38% 8% 52 -1.6 175/255/295120271141438%9%48-0.6
Rudy van Heydoorn
2008 · A
19 37 38→45 46→50 37 179/239/262 83292 610 38% 7% 34 -2.8 183/273/286 103276 118 35% 9% 57 -1.2 165/268/27110624013634%10%50-0.6
Eliezer Álvarez
2014 · A
19 37→47 38→45 50→55 44 183/245/265 82243 512 26% 7% 37 -2.6 233/283/341 108299 513 22% 6% 72 -0.2 254/308/36210834251926%6%87+0.4
Luis Vázquez
2019 · A
19 40→46 36→50 49→45 39 193/237/259 66276 38 30% 5% 32 -3.0 204/249/275 71283 510 28% 5% 41 -2.3 232/296/36613430116827%6%83+0.3
Wilmer Difo
2011 · A
19 39→49 35→45 53→55 43 185/240/246 61245 214 24% 6% 30 -3.1 206/272/279 73259 320 20% 8% 53 -1.5 251/290/35710630582620%4%76+0.1
Jordan Schafer
2006 · A
19 36→46 40→50 50→65 35 178/221/272 94267 613 35% 5% 28 -3.2 220/264/346 126308 1013 30% 6% 66 -0.6 238/300/385147332121430%8%87+0.5
Juan Villavicencio
2023 · A
18 43 40→50 55 41 205/263/297 92301 714 33% 7% 53 -1.5 187/262/281 94277 712 32% 8% 50 -1.8 192/266/303111286101834%8%55-0.5
Cole Tucker
2015 · A
19 44→46 37→45 50→55 45 209/273/283 74281 513 26% 7% 54 -1.4 222/267/297 75295 418 24% 6% 54 -1.4 211/274/331120275101226%8%63-0.5