Jarol Capellan
SS DSL Orioles Orange| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKCOL | 140 | .279/.420/.333 | 0 | 2 | 55 | — | .198/.326/.233 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROKDSL Colorado | 112 | .228/.366/.348 | 1 | 2 | 31 | — | .143/.250/.194 |
| 2026 | 20 | ROKDSL Orioles O… | 140 | .264/.364/.372 | 1 | 8 | 36 | — | .169/.264/.218 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBCOL | 250 | .222/.291/.305 | 2 | 4 | 70 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBCOL | 42 | .237/.305/.343 | 1 | 1 | 75 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 23 | MLBCOL | 97 | .240/.309/.355 | 1 | 2 | 79 | 0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 61 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | — | 140 | 111 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 279 | 420 | 333 | 754 | 54 | 344 | 16 | 11 | 354 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Colorado | — | 112 | 92 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 228 | 366 | 348 | 714 | 120 | 299 | 21 | 14 | 332 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 140 | 121 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 264 | 364 | 372 | 736 | 107 | 298 | 11 | 8 | 339 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 140 | 116 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 198 | 326 | 233 | 559 | 34 | 242 | 19 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Colorado | — | 112 | 98 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 143 | 250 | 194 | 444 | 51 | 198 | 26 | 9 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 140 | 124 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 169 | 264 | 218 | 482 | 48 | 197 | 14 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 140 | 116 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 198 | 326 | 233 | 559 | 34 | 256 | 19 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Rockies | — | 140 | 111 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 279 | 420 | 333 | 754 | 54 | 344 | 16 | 11 | 354 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Colorado | — | 112 | 98 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 143 | 250 | 194 | 444 | 51 | 203 | 26 | 9 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Colorado | — | 112 | 92 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 228 | 366 | 348 | 714 | 120 | 299 | 21 | 14 | 332 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 140 | 124 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 169 | 264 | 218 | 482 | 48 | 200 | 14 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK RAW | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 140 | 121 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 264 | 364 | 372 | 736 | 107 | 298 | 11 | 8 | 339 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 140 | 117 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 197 | 326 | 231 | 557 | 34 | 242 | 19 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Colorado | — | 112 | 97 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 144 | 250 | 196 | 446 | 52 | 198 | 26 | 9 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 140 | 123 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 171 | 264 | 220 | 484 | 49 | 197 | 14 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 140 | 117 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 197 | 326 | 231 | 557 | 34 | 242 | 19 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Colorado | — | 112 | 97 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 144 | 250 | 196 | 446 | 52 | 198 | 26 | 9 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 140 | 123 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 171 | 264 | 220 | 484 | 49 | 197 | 14 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | COL | 0% | 250 | 226 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 62 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 222 | 291 | 305 | 596 | 84 | 293 | 25 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | COL | 34% | 122 | 111 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 225 | 295 | 319 | 613 | 93 | 294 | 25 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | COL | 48% | 201 | 181 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 49 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 298 | 329 | 627 | 101 | 295 | 24 | 7 | 284 | 79 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | COL | 53% | 286 | 258 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 69 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 231 | 300 | 338 | 638 | 107 | 296 | 24 | 7 | 289 | 82 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | COL | 55% | 346 | 311 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 83 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 232 | 302 | 344 | 646 | 112 | 296 | 24 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | COL | 56% | 380 | 343 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 91 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 233 | 303 | 348 | 652 | 115 | 295 | 24 | 7 | 294 | 85 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | COL | 55% | 394 | 355 | 83 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 95 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 232 | 302 | 346 | 648 | 114 | 295 | 24 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 55% | 399 | 360 | 84 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 97 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 230 | 300 | 342 | 642 | 111 | 294 | 24 | 7 | 290 | 82 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | COL | 53% | 393 | 355 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 97 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 228 | 298 | 336 | 634 | 108 | 293 | 25 | 7 | 287 | 80 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | COL | 53% | 385 | 348 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 96 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 225 | 295 | 328 | 623 | 103 | 292 | 25 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -10 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | COL | 34% | 42 | 38 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 237 | 305 | 343 | 649 | 106 | 309 | 24 | 7 | 293 | 75 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | COL | 48% | 97 | 88 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 309 | 355 | 664 | 115 | 310 | 25 | 7 | 299 | 79 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | COL | 53% | 151 | 136 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 243 | 312 | 365 | 676 | 122 | 311 | 24 | 7 | 304 | 82 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | COL | 55% | 189 | 169 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 45 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 244 | 313 | 371 | 685 | 127 | 310 | 24 | 7 | 307 | 84 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | COL | 56% | 212 | 191 | 46 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 51 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 245 | 314 | 376 | 691 | 131 | 310 | 24 | 7 | 309 | 85 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | COL | 55% | 217 | 195 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 52 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 244 | 313 | 373 | 687 | 129 | 310 | 24 | 7 | 308 | 84 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 55% | 218 | 196 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 53 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 243 | 311 | 368 | 680 | 126 | 309 | 24 | 7 | 305 | 82 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | COL | 53% | 210 | 189 | 46 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 52 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 240 | 309 | 362 | 670 | 122 | 308 | 25 | 7 | 301 | 80 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | COL | 53% | 202 | 183 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 237 | 305 | 353 | 659 | 116 | 306 | 25 | 7 | 296 | 77 | -5 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1538 | 1385 | 336 | 62 | 14 | 27 | 111 | 373 | 29 | 30 | 9 | 243 | 312 | 366 | 678 | 123 | 311 | 24 | 7 | 304 | 77 | -34 | +2 | -2 | +16 | +33 | 1.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 141 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 158 | 12 | 13 | 4 | 241 | 311 | 362 | 673 | 121 | 310 | 24 | 7 | 304 | 77 | -14 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3371 | 3026 | 678 | 127 | 20 | 48 | 240 | 800 | 80 | 69 | 25 | 224 | 298 | 327 | 625 | 103 | 287 | 24 | 7 | 281 | 77 | -67 | +3 | -4 | +32 | +65 | 2.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 130 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 154 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 223 | 296 | 324 | 620 | 101 | 286 | 24 | 7 | 281 | 77 | -15 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 DSLDSL Orioles Orange · 140 PAwOBA .331 → .221 (−110)K% 11.4% → 13.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.43% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.71% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 3.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.029 | ×0.985 | 13.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.029 | ×0.985 | 5.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.029 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.985 | 0.44% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .331 → .221; ISO .107 → .063; BABIP .298 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Colorado · 112 PAwOBA .321 → .214 (−107)K% 21.4% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷1.016 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.39% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 9.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.57% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 2.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.59% | ÷1.008 | ×0.680 | ×1.032 | ×0.995 | 14.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.011 | ×0.600 | ×1.032 | ×0.995 | 3.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.011 | ×0.600 | ×1.032 | ×0.995 | 1.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.47% | ÷1.163 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.59% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 102, K 103, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .321 → .214; ISO .120 → .068; BABIP .299 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Rockies · 140 PAwOBA .349 → .250 (−99)K% 15.7% → 19.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.71% | ÷1.001 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.099 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 6.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.57% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 6.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.09% | ÷1.006 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 20.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.74% | ÷0.977 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.188 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 100, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .349 → .250; ISO .054 → .038; BABIP .344 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).