Jarol Capellan

SS DSL Orioles Orange
Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 176 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1196ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKCOL140.279/.420/.3330255—.198/.326/.233
202519ROKDSL Colorado112.228/.366/.3481231—.143/.250/.194
202620ROKDSL Orioles O…140.264/.364/.3721836—.169/.264/.218
2027PROJMLE21MLBCOL250.222/.291/.30524700.0
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBCOL42.237/.305/.34311750.0
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBCOL97.240/.309/.35512790.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
K%92
Z-Con%88
Whiff%75
ISO45
wOBA44
Speed44
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsRaynel Delgado (age 21) · Danny Woodrow (age 22) · Logan Watkins (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA
wRC+†70
AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .288 / .303
PA73
HR1
K%25
BB%7
ISO84
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.40.40.30.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 61 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT61
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE51
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M
2036Arb-1$0.6M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $2M +$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202418 ROKDSL Rockies — 140111 31600 152212 21 279420333754 54344 1611 354 55 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Colorado — 11292 21421 16244 21 228366348714 120299 2114 332 31 — — — — — —
202620 ROKDSL Orioles Orange — 140121 321001 11168 82 264364372736 107298 118 339 36 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 140116 23400 102712 21 198326233559 34242 197 250 55 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 11298 14310 10294 21 143250194444 51198 269 214 31 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 140124 21600 8198 82 169264218482 48197 146 221 36 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 140116 23400 102712 21 198326233559 34256 197 250 55 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Rockies — 140111 31600 152212 21 279420333754 54344 1611 354 55 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 11298 14310 10294 21 143250194444 51203 269 214 31 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWDSL Colorado — 11292 21421 16244 21 228366348714 120299 2114 332 31 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 140124 21600 8198 82 169264218482 48200 146 221 36 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWDSL Orioles Orange — 140121 321001 11168 82 264364372736 107298 118 339 36 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 140117 23400 102712 21 197326231557 34242 197 250 55 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 11297 14310 10294 21 144250196446 52198 269 214 31 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 140123 21600 8198 82 171264220484 49197 146 221 36 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 140117 23400 102712 21 197326231557 34242 197 250 55 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 11297 14310 10294 21 144250196446 52198 269 214 31 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 140123 21600 8198 82 171264220484 49197 146 221 36 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECOL 0% 250226 50922 17625 41 222291305596 84293 257 272 70 -9 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECOL 34% 122111 25511 8302 21 225295319613 93294 257 279 75 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.0
202923 MLB MLECOL 48% 201181 42813 14494 41 228298329627 101295 247 284 79 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.2
203024 MLB MLECOL 53% 286258 591124 20696 62 231300338638 107296 247 289 82 -6 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.3
203125 MLB MLECOL 55% 346311 721326 25837 72 232302344646 112296 247 292 84 -7 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.5
203226 MLB MLECOL 56% 380343 801527 27917 83 233303348652 115295 247 294 85 -7 +0 +0 +4 +8 0.6
203327 MLB MLECOL 55% 394355 831537 29957 83 232302346648 114295 247 292 84 -7 +0 +0 +4 +9 0.6
203428 MLB MLECOL 55% 399360 841537 29977 83 230300342642 111294 247 290 82 -8 +0 -1 +4 +9 0.4
203529 MLB MLECOL 53% 393355 811526 28977 73 228298336634 108293 257 287 80 -9 +0 -1 +4 +9 0.2
203630 MLB MLECOL 53% 385348 781426 27967 63 225295328623 103292 257 282 77 -10 +0 -2 +4 +8 -0.0
202822 MLB CTXCOL 34% 4238 9201 3101 10 237305343649 106309 247 293 75 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202923 MLB CTXCOL 48% 9788 21411 7242 21 240309355664 115310 257 299 79 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
203024 MLB CTXCOL 53% 151136 33613 11363 31 243312365676 122311 247 304 82 -3 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.2
203125 MLB CTXCOL 55% 189169 42823 14454 41 244313371685 127310 247 307 84 -4 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.3
203226 MLB CTXCOL 56% 212191 46824 15514 41 245314376691 131310 247 309 85 -4 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.4
203327 MLB CTXCOL 55% 217195 48924 16524 51 244313373687 129310 247 308 84 -4 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.4
203428 MLB CTXCOL 55% 218196 48924 16534 41 243311368680 126309 247 305 82 -5 +0 -0 +2 +5 0.3
203529 MLB CTXCOL 53% 210189 46824 15524 41 240309362670 122308 257 301 80 -5 +0 -1 +2 +5 0.2
203630 MLB CTXCOL 53% 202183 43823 14503 32 237305353659 116306 257 296 77 -5 -0 -1 +2 +4 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 15381385 336621427 11137329 309 243312366678 123311 247 304 77 -34 +2 -2 +16 +33 1.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 14126611 4715812 134 241311362673 121310 247 304 77 -14 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 33713026 6781272048 24080080 6925 224298327625 103287 247 281 77 -67 +3 -4 +32 +65 2.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 1302449 4615415 135 223296324620 101286 247 281 77 -15 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Orioles Orange · 140 PAwOBA .331 → .221 (−110)K% 11.4% → 13.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.43%÷1.000×1.220——13.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.86%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9855.42%
HBP% /PA5.71%—×0.700—×0.9853.94%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.000×0.680×1.029×0.98513.79%
Doubles /BIP9.52%÷1.000×0.600×1.029×0.9855.79%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600×1.029×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP0.95%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9850.44%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .331 → .221; ISO .107 → .063; BABIP .298 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Colorado · 112 PAwOBA .321 → .214 (−107)K% 21.4% → 25.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.43%÷1.016×1.220——25.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.39%÷1.026×0.700—×0.9959.09%
HBP% /PA3.57%—×0.700—×0.9952.49%
Singles /BIP20.59%÷1.008×0.680×1.032×0.99514.27%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.011×0.600×1.032×0.9953.58%
Triples /BIP2.94%÷1.011×0.600×1.032×0.9951.79%
Home runs /BIP1.47%÷1.163×0.470—×0.9950.59%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 102, K 103, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .321 → .214; ISO .120 → .068; BABIP .299 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Rockies · 140 PAwOBA .349 → .250 (−99)K% 15.7% → 19.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.71%÷1.001×1.220——19.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.71%÷1.099×0.700—×1.0086.87%
HBP% /PA8.57%—×0.700—×1.0086.04%
Singles /BIP28.09%÷1.006×0.680×1.050×1.00820.09%
Doubles /BIP6.74%÷0.977×0.600×1.050×1.0084.38%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×1.050×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.188×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 100, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .349 → .250; ISO .054 → .038; BABIP .344 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).