Jarol Capellan — OGILVIE

Jarol CapellanSS DSL Orioles Orange

Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 176 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION140 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .286 / .308

PA14

HR0

K%21

BB%7

BABIP293

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$21M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	140	111	31	6	0	0	15	22	12	2	1	279	420	333	754	54	344	16	11	354	126	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2025	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	112	92	21	4	2	1	16	24	4	2	1	228	366	348	714	120	299	21	14	332	111	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	140	118	27	5	0	0	8	32	12	2	1	229	341	271	612	42	289	23	6	268	68	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	112	99	16	3	1	1	9	34	4	2	1	162	259	242	501	81	240	30	8	230	42	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	140	118	27	5	0	0	8	32	12	2	1	229	341	271	612	42	310	23	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	140	111	31	6	0	0	15	22	12	2	1	279	420	333	754	54	344	16	11	354	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	112	99	16	3	1	1	9	34	4	2	1	162	259	242	501	81	234	30	8	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	112	92	21	4	2	1	16	24	4	2	1	228	366	348	714	120	299	21	14	332	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	140	119	27	5	0	0	8	32	12	2	1	227	341	269	609	42	289	23	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	112	98	16	3	1	1	9	34	4	2	1	163	259	245	504	82	240	30	8	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	140	119	27	5	0	0	8	32	12	2	1	227	341	269	609	42	289	23	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	112	98	16	3	1	1	9	34	4	2	1	163	259	245	504	82	240	30	8	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	COL	—	140	125	26	7	0	1	7	23	8	8	2	208	293	288	581	80	248	16	5	251	56	-7	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	COL	—	140	121	32	10	0	1	11	16	8	8	2	264	364	372	736	107	298	11	8	339	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	COL	0%	14	13	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	231	286	308	593	77	278	21	7	274	72	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	COL	—	154	138	29	8	0	1	8	26	8	8	2	210	292	290	582	80	252	17	5	253	57	-8	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	COL	34%	205	185	42	9	1	3	13	46	5	4	1	227	296	335	631	108	278	22	6	281	76	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	COL	48%	329	296	67	14	2	5	22	73	8	7	2	226	298	338	635	111	280	22	7	288	81	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	COL	54%	413	373	85	17	2	7	28	91	9	8	2	228	298	340	638	113	282	22	7	293	84	-8	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.7
2030	24	MLB MLE	COL	55%	469	422	98	20	2	9	33	102	11	10	3	232	305	353	658	121	283	22	7	295	86	-8	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2031	25	MLB MLE	COL	56%	501	450	105	21	3	10	35	109	11	10	3	233	304	360	664	127	283	22	7	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2032	26	MLB MLE	COL	56%	519	466	109	22	3	10	36	113	12	11	3	234	305	358	664	124	283	22	7	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	526	471	109	22	3	10	38	115	12	11	3	231	305	355	660	123	283	22	7	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	COL	55%	525	470	109	22	3	10	38	116	12	11	3	232	306	355	661	123	282	22	7	296	87	-8	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.9
2035	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	518	463	107	22	2	10	38	115	12	10	3	231	306	352	658	121	282	22	7	295	86	-9	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.7
2036	30	MLB MLE	COL	53%	509	455	103	21	2	9	37	114	12	10	3	226	302	341	642	114	281	22	7	292	84	-10	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.5
2037	31	MLB MLE	COL	57%	497	447	100	20	2	9	36	113	11	9	2	224	298	338	635	114	279	23	7	288	81	-11	+1	-3	+5	+11	0.3
2038	32	MLB MLE	COL	59%	479	430	95	19	2	8	35	111	11	8	2	221	296	330	626	109	276	23	7	283	78	-13	+1	-4	+5	+10	0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	COL	34%	70	63	14	3	0	1	5	16	2	1	0	222	300	317	617	95	294	23	7	278	76	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	COL	48%	159	143	34	7	1	3	11	35	4	3	1	238	310	364	674	126	296	22	7	286	81	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	COL	54%	224	202	48	10	1	4	15	49	5	5	1	238	306	356	663	119	297	22	7	292	84	-4	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	COL	55%	260	234	57	12	2	5	18	57	6	5	1	244	314	376	690	132	299	22	7	295	86	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2031	25	MLB CTX	COL	56%	281	253	62	13	2	6	20	61	6	6	2	245	315	383	699	138	299	22	7	296	87	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	COL	56%	292	263	65	14	2	6	20	64	7	6	2	247	317	384	701	137	299	22	7	297	87	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	291	261	64	13	2	6	21	64	7	6	2	245	318	379	698	134	298	22	7	297	87	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2034	28	MLB CTX	COL	55%	288	258	63	13	2	6	21	63	7	6	2	244	318	380	698	136	298	22	7	296	87	-5	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	277	249	61	13	2	6	20	62	6	5	1	245	316	386	702	141	297	22	7	294	86	-5	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	COL	53%	268	240	58	12	2	5	20	60	6	5	1	242	316	371	687	129	296	22	7	291	84	-5	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2037	31	MLB CTX	COL	57%	281	253	59	12	2	5	20	64	6	5	1	233	305	356	660	123	294	23	7	287	81	-6	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.2
2038	32	MLB CTX	COL	59%	283	255	59	12	2	5	20	66	6	5	1	231	302	353	655	122	291	23	7	281	78	-8	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2974	2674	644	134	20	58	211	661	68	58	15	241	313	371	684	130	298	22	7	292	83	-56	+6	-6	+32	+64	4.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	140	29	4	13	46	144	15	13	3	240	311	370	681	130	296	22	7	292	83	-12	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5756	5158	1175	238	28	101	407	1287	142	113	32	228	302	344	646	116	283	22	7	291	83	-104	+10	-10	+59	+119	7.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	132	27	3	11	46	145	16	13	4	227	301	340	641	113	282	22	7	291	83	-12	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.6	3,081	55	60	230	299	347	+33	+21	6.4	5.6
/162	664	12	13	+7.1	+4.5	1.4	pk7: 5
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jarol Capellan (OGILVIE)	20	49→54	30→35	48→53	48	217/289/306	89	278	1	3	23%	6%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cam Maron 2011 · A	20	47→57	40	50→40	47	225/290/318	93	285	7	6	23%	8%	74	-0.6	243/312/324	81	312	5	4	22%	8%	83	+0.1	248/318/312	64	318	4	2	21%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Jorbit Vivas 2021 · A	20	46→55	37→45	49→50	46	217/288/299	82	276	3	11	21%	7%	70	-0.9	247/320/367	120	279	11	7	15%	7%	97	+1.1	244/324/361	117	272	11	9	14%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Adrian Cardenas 2008 · A	20	51→59	41→40	50	44	246/290/344	98	299	8	12	20%	6%	79	-0.2	259/306/352	93	311	6	10	18%	6%	86	+0.3	272/321/361	89	314	4	8	14%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Edgar Rondon 2016 · A	21	50	38→40	52→50	45	231/304/321	90	315	3	12	26%	7%	80	-0.2	213/282/287	74	343	3	10	36%	7%	64	-1.3	171/249/199	28	339	0	12	45%	7%	30	-0.7
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	43→53	40→45	54→55	44	206/262/313	106	260	6	11	22%	6%	61	-1.5	245/294/353	108	322	5	15	24%	6%	82	+0.0	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Logan Watkins 2010 · A	20	50→53	36→40	50→55	48	229/306/299	69	323	3	7	28%	9%	76	-0.4	234/295/316	82	316	3	14	25%	7%	74	-0.5	239/305/330	91	316	4	17	24%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Brayan Rocchio 2021 · A	20	48→53	38→45	48→50	43	226/277/308	82	281	5	13	21%	5%	66	-1.1	226/284/349	123	286	11	14	24%	6%	79	-0.2	222/294/342	121	256	12	16	18%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	50→54	38→50	51→50	44	238/283/324	87	297	4	10	21%	6%	72	-0.7	243/298/367	124	326	10	10	27%	7%	87	+0.4	246/302/387	142	310	12	11	24%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Marcus Lemon 2008 · A	20	48→53	37→40	46→45	46	226/292/310	84	301	3	10	24%	7%	72	-0.7	241/292/328	87	298	5	8	20%	6%	76	-0.4	235/284/324	88	297	4	6	21%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Tayden Hall 2023 · A	20	47	38→40	50	45	220/287/305	85	312	4	6	29%	8%	70	-0.9	208/300/272	64	293	2	7	26%	11%	68	-1.0	180/294/274	94	254	7	9	29%	12%	66	-0.7
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	51	37→40	46→50	53	240/305/319	80	282	3	10	16%	8%	79	-0.2	208/265/274	66	271	2	6	22%	7%	53	-2.1	181/234/228	47	241	0	2	23%	6%	30	-0.9
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	48	37→45	47→55	54	222/303/297	75	280	4	12	21%	10%	74	-0.5	206/279/302	96	327	9	15	36%	9%	66	-1.1	187/261/280	94	307	11	18	40%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2011 · A	20	53→57	36→40	54→55	45	246/295/312	67	314	2	17	22%	6%	73	-0.6	248/301/338	90	321	4	24	22%	7%	81	-0.1	233/289/317	84	304	4	25	23%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	50→58	38→45	58→60	49	232/294/325	93	280	3	14	18%	7%	76	-0.4	234/293/308	74	292	3	19	19%	6%	72	-0.7	260/317/349	89	329	5	34	21%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Tucker Barnhart 2011 · A	20	47→55	35→45	48→40	45	216/280/282	66	302	2	7	28%	8%	61	-1.5	225/283/306	81	291	4	3	22%	7%	68	-1.0	243/328/368	125	289	12	2	19%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	47→55	38→45	48→50	49	218/287/306	88	288	3	11	24%	8%	70	-0.9	245/307/361	116	300	9	13	20%	7%	90	+0.6	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	50→52	39→40	54→50	56	234/323/325	91	290	6	14	20%	11%	88	+0.4	239/315/327	88	307	7	14	23%	8%	86	+0.3	239/316/323	84	307	7	14	23%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Cesar Ortega 2021 · A	20	47	37→40	50→55	47	222/295/295	73	292	4	8	24%	8%	71	-0.8	212/288/291	79	259	4	13	18%	7%	67	-1.1	198/285/270	72	233	2	21	14%	7%	59	-0.6
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2019 · A	20	46→52	36→45	50→60	46	216/275/284	68	263	2	13	18%	6%	60	-1.6	230/290/316	86	319	3	20	27%	7%	73	-0.6	247/309/346	99	324	6	33	24%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→50	41→45	46→55	51	216/301/314	97	294	9	7	28%	10%	77	-0.3	232/302/345	113	325	10	11	29%	9%	84	+0.2	233/308/347	114	330	9	15	29%	10%	84	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps