Xavier Neyens — OGILVIE

Xavier NeyensSS Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 19 L/R 6'3" / 210 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION305 act + 203 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†102

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .333 / .393

PA203

HR8

SB7

K%35

BB%14

BABIP303

ISO182

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 65

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER65

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.7	$22M	+$21M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.9	$21M	+$21M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+4.1	$21M	+$20M
2033	Arb-1	$9M	+4.2	$20M	+$16M
2034	Arb-2	$14M	+4.2	$18M	+$12M
2035	Arb-3	$20M	+4.0	$16M	+$8M
Totals		$46M		$118M	+$99M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	HOU	—	305	250	47	6	0	12	50	131	5	16	6	188	334	356	690	168	327	43	16	305	92	-3	+1	+0	+3	+9	1.0
YTD	19	A	HOU	—	305	221	53	7	0	14	79	92	5	16	6	240	449	462	911	222	339	30	26	413	174	+25	+1	+0	+3	+9	3.9
ROS	19	A	HOU	0%	203	170	36	5	1	8	28	71	3	7	2	211	333	393	726	182	298	35	14	319	102	+1	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.9
ROS	19	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		301	—	—	313	98	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	A	HOU	—	305	251	47	6	0	12	50	131	5	16	6	187	334	355	689	167	324	43	16	305	92	-3	+1	+0	+3	+9	1.0
TOT	19	A	HOU	—	508	420	83	11	1	20	78	202	8	23	8	197	334	371	705	174	316	40	15	311	96	-2	+1	-1	+5	+14	1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	HOU	48%	570	480	102	15	2	21	77	194	8	11	4	212	331	383	714	171	302	34	14	324	106	+4	+1	-1	+6	+16	2.6
2028	21	MLB	HOU	68%	597	505	112	17	2	24	79	196	8	11	3	222	336	406	742	184	302	33	13	330	111	+7	+1	-2	+6	+17	3.1
2029	22	MLB	HOU	76%	615	522	117	18	2	25	80	198	8	11	3	224	336	410	746	186	303	32	13	336	115	+10	+1	-2	+7	+17	3.5
2030	23	MLB	HOU	80%	627	532	121	18	2	27	81	199	9	10	3	227	339	421	760	194	304	32	13	340	118	+13	+1	-2	+7	+18	3.7
2031	24	MLB	HOU	79%	634	538	124	19	2	28	82	200	9	10	3	230	342	429	771	199	305	32	13	343	121	+15	+1	-2	+7	+18	3.9
2032	25	MLB	HOU	79%	639	542	125	19	2	29	83	201	9	10	3	231	342	434	776	203	305	31	13	345	122	+16	+1	-2	+7	+18	4.1
2033	26	MLB	HOU	79%	642	544	126	19	2	29	84	202	9	10	3	232	344	434	778	202	305	31	13	347	123	+17	+1	-2	+7	+18	4.2
2034	27	MLB	HOU	78%	639	541	125	19	2	29	84	202	9	10	3	231	344	434	778	203	305	32	13	347	124	+17	+1	-2	+7	+18	4.2
2035	28	MLB	HOU	77%	633	535	123	18	2	29	84	201	9	10	3	230	344	434	778	204	304	32	13	346	123	+16	+1	-2	+7	+18	4.0
2036	29	MLB	HOU	75%	621	524	120	18	2	28	83	198	9	9	3	229	344	431	775	202	304	32	13	344	121	+15	+1	-3	+7	+18	3.8
2037	30	MLB	HOU	74%	610	516	117	17	2	27	81	196	8	9	3	227	340	424	765	198	302	32	13	341	119	+13	+1	-4	+7	+17	3.5
2038	31	MLB	HOU	73%	595	503	112	16	2	26	79	193	8	8	3	223	337	417	755	195	300	32	13	338	117	+11	+0	-4	+6	+17	3.1
2039	32	MLB	HOU	72%	577	487	107	15	2	24	77	190	8	8	2	220	336	407	742	187	297	33	13	333	113	+8	+1	-5	+6	+16	2.7
2040	33	MLB	HOU	72%	547	462	98	14	1	22	73	183	7	7	2	212	328	390	718	177	293	33	13	326	108	+5	+1	-6	+6	+15	2.2
2041	34	MLB	HOU	68%	499	424	88	12	1	20	66	170	6	6	2	208	323	382	705	175	287	34	13	318	101	+1	+0	-6	+5	+14	1.5
2042	35	MLB	HOU	63%	443	377	75	9	1	17	58	154	5	5	2	199	314	363	677	164	281	35	13	308	94	-3	+0	-7	+5	+13	0.8
2043	36	MLB	HOU	54%	382	324	63	7	1	14	50	136	5	4	1	194	311	352	663	157	275	36	13	298	87	-6	+0	-7	+4	+11	0.2
2044	37	MLB	HOU	45%	316	269	50	6	1	10	40	115	4	3	1	186	300	327	627	141	268	36	13	287	78	-8	+0	-8	+3	+9	-0.3
2045	38	MLB	HOU	31%	247	211	37	4	1	7	31	91	3	3	1	175	290	303	593	128	260	37	13	276	70	-8	+0	-8	+3	+7	-0.7
2027	20	MLB	HOU	48%	276	233	51	8	1	11	37	94	4	5	2	219	336	403	739	185	305	34	13	317	101	+0	+0	-1	+3	+8	1.1
2028	21	MLB	HOU	68%	407	344	77	12	1	17	54	134	6	7	2	224	339	413	752	189	306	33	13	324	106	+3	+1	-1	+4	+12	1.9
2029	22	MLB	HOU	76%	469	399	91	14	2	20	61	151	6	8	3	228	339	424	763	195	306	32	13	329	110	+5	+0	-1	+5	+13	2.3
2030	23	MLB	HOU	80%	499	424	98	15	2	22	65	158	7	8	3	231	343	432	774	200	307	32	13	333	113	+8	+0	-1	+5	+14	2.7
2031	24	MLB	HOU	79%	504	426	100	15	2	23	66	159	7	8	3	235	347	441	788	207	308	32	13	337	116	+9	+0	-1	+5	+14	2.8
2032	25	MLB	HOU	79%	507	429	100	15	2	23	66	160	7	8	3	233	345	438	783	205	308	32	13	339	118	+10	+0	-1	+5	+14	3.0
2033	26	MLB	HOU	79%	509	430	101	15	2	24	67	160	7	8	3	235	347	447	794	212	308	31	13	341	119	+11	+0	-1	+5	+14	3.0
2034	27	MLB	HOU	78%	497	421	99	15	2	23	66	157	7	8	3	235	348	444	792	209	308	32	13	341	119	+11	+0	-1	+5	+14	3.0
2035	28	MLB	HOU	77%	487	412	96	14	2	23	65	154	7	8	2	233	347	444	791	211	308	32	13	340	118	+10	+1	-2	+5	+14	2.9
2036	29	MLB	HOU	75%	464	393	90	14	1	21	62	148	6	7	2	229	343	430	773	201	307	32	13	338	117	+9	+1	-2	+5	+13	2.6
2037	30	MLB	HOU	74%	449	380	86	13	1	20	60	144	6	7	2	226	341	424	764	197	306	32	13	335	115	+8	+1	-3	+5	+13	2.3
2038	31	MLB	HOU	73%	433	366	82	12	1	19	58	141	6	6	2	224	340	418	758	194	303	33	13	332	112	+6	+0	-3	+5	+12	2.0
2039	32	MLB	HOU	72%	418	353	78	11	1	18	56	137	6	6	2	221	337	411	748	190	300	33	13	327	108	+4	+0	-4	+4	+12	1.7
2040	33	MLB	HOU	72%	395	335	73	10	1	17	52	132	5	5	2	218	332	406	738	188	296	33	13	320	103	+1	+0	-4	+4	+11	1.3
2041	34	MLB	HOU	68%	338	286	61	8	1	14	45	115	4	4	1	213	328	395	723	182	290	34	13	312	97	-1	+0	-4	+4	+10	0.8
2042	35	MLB	HOU	63%	280	238	48	6	1	11	37	97	3	3	1	202	317	374	690	172	284	35	13	303	90	-3	+0	-4	+3	+8	0.4
2043	36	MLB	HOU	54%	207	175	35	4	1	8	27	74	3	2	1	200	317	371	689	171	277	36	13	293	82	-4	+0	-4	+2	+6	-0.0
2044	37	MLB	HOU	45%	143	122	23	3	0	5	18	52	2	1	0	189	303	336	639	148	270	36	13	282	74	-4	+0	-4	+2	+4	-0.2
2045	38	MLB	HOU	31%	77	66	11	1	0	2	10	28	1	1	0	167	286	273	558	106	263	36	13	271	65	-3	+0	-3	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	7359	6233	1400	205	24	321	972	2395	100	110	37	225	338	420	758	195	304	33	13	328	109	+79	+7	-46	+79	+209	33.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	551	123	18	2	28	86	212	9	10	3	223	338	416	754	192	303	33	13	328	109	+7	+1	-4	+7	+18	3.0
Career	—			—	10636	9006	1978	285	33	444	1400	3490	144	162	50	220	334	406	740	187	299	33	13	332	112	+145	+12	-74	+114	+301	50.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	550	120	17	2	27	86	213	9	10	3	218	333	404	737	185	297	33	13	332	112	+9	+1	-5	+7	+18	3.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	11	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.3	32.4
	/162	664	26	6	251	321	442	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	14	7,678	323	117	223	333	413	+73	-8	41.8	32.4
	/162	664	28	10	223	333	413	+6.3	-0.7	3.6	pk7: 23
#2Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	15	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
	/162	664	17	8	266	329	423	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#3Jason Variteklast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA	12	5,047	166	22	255	343	431	+61	+15	33.1	30.8
	/162	664	22	3	255	343	431	+8.0	+1.9	4.4	pk7: 28
#4Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	10	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
#4Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	/162	664	28	3	241	336	447	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#5Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	8	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
	/162	664	26	14	245	326	442	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#6Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	10	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
	/162	664	29	10	242	319	448	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Xavier Neyens (OGILVIE)	19	28→42	50→65	48→44	60	197/334/371	174	316	20	23	40%	15%	96	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Arce 2012 · A	20	41	55→60	47→30	47	215/313/403	188	288	23	4	32%	10%	104	+2.0	199/289/354	155	336	18	4	42%	10%	81	+0.4	142/252/289	146	259	20	0	49%	11%	47	-0.5
✕Heriberto Hernández 2019 · A	19	43→49	54→60	46→50	55	223/325/414	191	274	20	7	26%	12%	111	+2.5	223/302/390	167	328	17	6	35%	9%	95	+1.4	221/302/428	208	278	28	9	31%	9%	103	+1.2
●Miguel Sanó 2013 · A	20	39→49	53→70	46→45	44	207/282/382	175	291	21	5	35%	9%	85	+0.7	227/308/454	227	315	29	7	35%	9%	115	+2.7	242/333/468	226	340	30	2	35%	11%	124	+3.1
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	43→53	50→70	49→45	44	225/281/372	147	272	18	5	25%	7%	82	+0.5	253/302/420	167	306	22	7	25%	6%	102	+1.9	260/323/512	251	270	38	5	20%	8%	130	+3.2
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	47→50	45→40	47	217/283/352	135	277	15	5	27%	8%	76	+0.1	243/301/378	135	296	16	4	23%	7%	91	+1.1	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
●Nolan Gorman 2019 · A	19	43	54→60	38→45	41	220/283/396	176	316	23	4	37%	8%	89	+0.9	203/255/348	145	298	17	4	36%	6%	64	-0.8	213/287/426	213	282	31	7	35%	9%	96	+1.2
✕Jaff Decker 2010 · A	20	51→49	48→55	47→55	56	244/344/393	149	323	15	9	27%	12%	113	+2.6	218/300/401	183	287	23	9	31%	10%	98	+1.6	196/280/384	188	248	24	10	31%	9%	83	+0.4
★Corey Seager 2014 · A	20	46→56	52→65	50→45	44	237/290/404	167	293	20	9	26%	7%	93	+1.3	271/318/464	193	329	21	6	23%	6%	121	+3.2	293/355/490	197	339	22	4	20%	8%	137	+4.7
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	82	+0.5	219/304/418	199	291	25	6	32%	9%	104	+2.0	270/324/464	194	313	25	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
●Eddie Rosario 2012 · A	20	46→56	54→60	55→50	41	241/281/417	177	291	22	16	26%	6%	93	+1.3	247/285/390	143	309	14	10	24%	5%	86	+0.8	280/315/487	207	298	28	7	17%	5%	122	+3.2
●Joey Gallo 2013 · A	19	41→34	62→70	53→45	45	222/308/451	229	313	31	8	38%	10%	114	+2.7	185/258/395	210	309	29	8	47%	8%	79	+0.3	213/333/523	310	265	43	6	37%	14%	136	+3.4
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	43→53	51→55	45→50	48	223/303/383	161	292	19	5	30%	10%	94	+1.3	207/305/377	170	279	21	9	31%	11%	94	+1.3	261/339/417	156	319	16	5	22%	10%	113	+1.9
★Xander Bogaerts 2012 · A	19	42→52	49→60	41→55	41	218/270/362	144	284	17	4	29%	6%	74	-0.1	241/295/389	148	309	16	5	26%	6%	91	+1.1	287/361/450	163	330	18	10	18%	9%	131	+4.1
✕Roan Salas 2010 · A	20	46	50→65	46→40	45	236/285/393	157	263	17	5	18%	6%	88	+0.9	244/297/371	127	282	12	5	17%	6%	87	+0.8	268/322/383	115	301	9	3	14%	6%	98	+0.7
✕Edgar Quero 2023 · A	20	47→57	53→50	47→40	51	238/336/419	181	304	20	8	27%	10%	117	+2.9	237/317/366	129	297	14	3	24%	9%	95	+1.4	241/317/348	107	299	12	1	22%	9%	88	+0.7
●Colby Rasmus 2008 · AA	21	44→54	54→60	53→50	46	229/296/411	182	276	21	15	26%	8%	98	+1.6	235/303/399	164	282	19	12	23%	8%	98	+1.6	241/308/459	219	314	28	3	32%	8%	113	+2.0
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	45→50	45	51	220/308/355	135	308	10	8	30%	11%	88	+0.9	191/266/284	93	290	7	5	34%	9%	52	-1.6	183/233/258	75	242	8	4	27%	6%	29	-0.9
●Tyler Soderstrom 2022 · A	20	51→56	49→60	47→40	41	246/303/401	155	343	15	6	31%	7%	98	+1.6	222/273/414	192	290	26	2	32%	6%	89	+1.0	257/339/469	212	298	26	4	22%	10%	126	+2.6
✕Orelvis Martinez 2022 · A	20	40→36	58→60	47→40	42	219/285/423	204	276	26	5	31%	7%	97	+1.5	200/266/399	199	251	28	4	33%	7%	83	+0.6	189/257/391	202	228	29	3	32%	7%	75	+0.0
●Ryan McMahon 2014 · A	19	46→56	48→55	42→45	40	227/283/376	149	325	15	6	34%	7%	83	+0.6	217/273/363	146	324	14	6	35%	6%	76	+0.0	247/298/412	164	344	17	8	31%	6%	96	+1.3