Xavier Neyens — OGILVIE

Xavier NeyensSS Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 19 L/R 6'3" / 210 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION466 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%44

BB%11

BABIP304

ISO179

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$126M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 66

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER66

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED43

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.6	$16M	+$15M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.8	$16M	+$16M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.9	$16M	+$16M
2033	Arb-1	$9M	+3.0	$16M	+$12M
2034	Arb-2	$14M	+2.9	$14M	+$8M
2035	Arb-3	$20M	+2.7	$11M	+$4M
Totals		$46M		$90M	+$70M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	19	A MLE	HOU	—	466	387	66	10	0	16	73	215	6	19	11	171	311	320	632	150	321	46	16	287	81	-11	-1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A RAW	HOU	—	305	221	53	7	0	14	79	92	5	16	6	240	449	462	911	222	339	30	26	413	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A+ RAW	HOU	—	161	125	27	7	0	6	35	63	1	3	5	216	391	416	807	200	375	39	22	368	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	HOU	4%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		302	44	11	309	96	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	HOU	—	475	395	67	10	0	16	74	219	6	19	11	170	309	316	626	147	319	46	16	288	81	-11	-1	-0	+5	+10	0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	HOU	50%	503	421	87	14	1	20	71	189	6	9	5	207	329	387	716	181	308	38	14	321	104	+2	-0	-2	+5	+11	1.7
2028	21	MLB MLE	HOU	69%	544	457	97	16	1	23	75	196	7	9	5	212	332	403	735	190	309	36	14	331	110	+7	-0	-2	+6	+12	2.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	HOU	77%	587	494	109	18	2	26	81	206	7	10	5	221	338	423	762	202	309	35	14	338	115	+10	+0	-2	+6	+13	2.8
2030	23	MLB MLE	HOU	80%	627	528	118	19	2	29	86	216	8	10	5	223	341	432	773	208	309	34	14	343	119	+14	+0	-2	+7	+14	3.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	HOU	80%	634	534	121	20	2	30	87	217	8	10	5	227	343	440	783	213	310	34	14	347	121	+16	+0	-2	+7	+14	3.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	HOU	79%	639	538	122	20	2	31	88	218	8	10	5	227	344	444	788	217	310	34	14	350	123	+17	+0	-2	+7	+14	3.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	HOU	79%	642	540	124	20	2	32	89	219	8	10	5	230	347	452	799	222	310	34	14	351	124	+18	+0	-2	+7	+14	3.8
2034	27	MLB MLE	HOU	78%	639	537	123	20	2	32	89	219	8	10	5	229	347	453	800	223	310	34	14	352	124	+18	+0	-2	+7	+14	3.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	HOU	77%	633	531	120	19	2	31	89	218	8	9	5	226	346	444	790	218	310	34	14	351	123	+18	-0	-3	+7	+14	3.6
2036	29	MLB MLE	HOU	75%	621	521	116	19	1	30	87	215	8	9	4	223	343	436	778	213	309	35	14	349	122	+16	+0	-4	+7	+13	3.4
2037	30	MLB MLE	HOU	74%	610	511	113	18	1	29	86	212	8	8	4	221	342	431	773	209	308	35	14	346	120	+15	+0	-4	+7	+13	3.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	HOU	73%	595	499	109	17	1	28	84	209	7	8	4	218	339	425	764	206	305	35	14	343	118	+13	+0	-5	+6	+13	2.8
2039	32	MLB MLE	HOU	72%	577	484	104	16	1	27	81	205	7	7	4	215	336	419	755	205	302	36	14	337	114	+10	-0	-5	+6	+13	2.3
2040	33	MLB MLE	HOU	72%	547	458	97	15	1	25	77	197	7	7	3	212	334	413	747	201	297	36	14	331	110	+6	+0	-6	+6	+12	1.9
2041	34	MLB MLE	HOU	68%	499	420	86	12	1	22	70	183	6	6	3	205	327	395	722	190	291	37	14	322	104	+3	+0	-7	+5	+11	1.2
2042	35	MLB MLE	HOU	63%	443	374	73	10	1	18	61	166	5	5	2	195	316	372	688	176	284	37	14	313	98	-1	+0	-7	+5	+10	0.6
2043	36	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	382	323	61	8	1	15	52	146	4	4	2	189	309	359	668	170	278	38	14	302	91	-4	+0	-8	+4	+8	0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	HOU	50%	251	211	43	7	1	9	35	94	3	5	2	204	325	374	700	171	310	37	14	312	104	+1	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.9
2028	21	MLB CTX	HOU	69%	374	314	67	11	1	15	52	135	5	6	3	213	334	398	732	185	310	36	14	321	110	+4	+0	-1	+4	+8	1.6
2029	22	MLB CTX	HOU	77%	449	378	82	14	1	19	62	157	6	7	4	217	336	410	746	193	310	35	14	328	115	+8	-0	-2	+5	+10	2.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	HOU	80%	500	422	95	16	1	23	68	172	6	8	4	225	341	431	772	206	311	34	14	333	119	+11	+0	-2	+5	+11	2.6
2031	24	MLB CTX	HOU	80%	504	424	95	16	1	23	69	173	6	8	4	224	341	429	770	205	312	34	14	337	121	+13	+0	-2	+5	+11	2.8
2032	25	MLB CTX	HOU	79%	507	425	96	16	1	24	70	173	7	8	4	226	345	438	782	212	312	34	14	339	123	+14	+0	-2	+5	+11	2.9
2033	26	MLB CTX	HOU	79%	509	427	97	16	1	25	70	174	7	8	4	227	345	445	790	218	312	34	14	340	124	+15	+0	-2	+5	+11	3.0
2034	27	MLB CTX	HOU	78%	497	419	95	16	1	24	69	170	6	8	4	227	344	442	786	215	312	34	14	341	124	+14	+0	-2	+5	+11	2.9
2035	28	MLB CTX	HOU	77%	487	410	92	15	1	23	68	167	6	7	4	224	343	434	777	210	312	34	14	340	123	+14	-0	-2	+5	+11	2.7
2036	29	MLB CTX	HOU	75%	465	390	87	14	1	22	66	161	6	7	3	223	344	433	777	210	311	35	14	338	122	+12	+0	-3	+5	+10	2.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	HOU	74%	449	377	84	14	1	21	63	156	6	6	3	223	343	432	775	210	310	35	14	336	120	+11	+0	-3	+5	+10	2.3
2038	31	MLB CTX	HOU	73%	433	364	80	13	1	20	61	152	5	6	3	220	340	426	765	206	307	35	14	332	118	+9	+0	-4	+5	+9	2.0
2039	32	MLB CTX	HOU	72%	418	351	76	12	1	19	59	148	5	5	3	217	337	419	756	202	304	35	14	327	114	+7	-0	-4	+4	+9	1.7
2040	33	MLB CTX	HOU	72%	395	332	70	11	1	17	55	142	5	5	2	211	332	404	735	193	299	36	14	320	110	+5	+0	-4	+4	+9	1.4
2041	34	MLB CTX	HOU	68%	338	284	58	9	1	14	47	124	4	4	2	204	325	391	716	187	293	37	14	312	104	+2	+0	-4	+4	+7	0.8
2042	35	MLB CTX	HOU	63%	280	236	46	7	0	11	39	105	3	3	2	195	317	364	681	169	286	38	14	303	98	-1	-0	-5	+3	+6	0.4
2043	36	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	207	175	32	4	0	8	28	79	2	2	1	183	302	343	645	160	279	38	14	293	91	-2	+0	-4	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	7063	5939	1295	211	15	317	981	2482	88	103	52	218	337	419	756	201	308	35	14	329	115	+137	-0	-45	+76	+153	32.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	547	118	19	1	29	90	228	8	9	5	216	335	413	748	197	304	35	14	329	115	+13	-0	-4	+7	+14	3.0
Career	—	MLE		—	9731	8178	1781	281	24	448	1354	3435	120	141	71	218	337	422	760	205	307	35	14	339	115	+178	-0	-65	+104	+211	43.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	546	120	19	2	30	90	229	8	9	5	220	338	427	765	207	310	35	14	339	115	+12	-0	-4	+7	+14	2.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19 AS×3SS career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA	12.5	8,278	344	153	249	337	466	-10	-4	47.5	42.0
/162	664	28	12	-0.8	-0.3	3.8	pk7: 36
#2Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	9.3	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.4	32.4
/162	664	26	6	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	10.7	7,076	328	103	220	336	427	+70	-11	40.5	31.8
/162	664	31	10	+6.6	-1.0	3.8	pk7: 23
#3Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	8.3	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
/162	664	28	3	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#4Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	7.4	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
/162	664	26	14	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#5Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	7.4	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
/162	664	29	10	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#6Evan Gattislast yr '18 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,662 PA	4.0	2,662	139	3	248	300	476	+30	+20	17.0	17.0
/162	664	35	1	+7.6	+4.9	4.2	pk7: 17

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Xavier Neyens (OGILVIE)	19	30→42	52→66	47→43	60	192/318/355	163	302	12	10	39%	14%	96	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Arce 2012 · A	20	41	55→60	47→30	47	215/313/403	188	288	23	4	32%	10%	103	+1.6	199/289/354	155	336	18	4	42%	10%	83	+0.1	142/252/289	146	259	20	0	49%	11%	53	-0.5
●Joey Gallo 2013 · A	19	41→35	62→70	53→45	45	222/308/451	229	313	31	8	38%	10%	112	+2.2	191/264/407	216	311	30	8	46%	8%	86	+0.3	210/330/515	305	261	43	6	37%	14%	125	+2.5
✕Heriberto Hernández 2019 · A	19	43→48	54→60	46→50	55	223/325/414	191	274	20	7	26%	12%	109	+2.0	222/302/389	167	323	18	6	34%	9%	95	+1.0	219/301/418	199	277	26	10	30%	9%	100	+1.0
✕Francisco Alvarez 2022 · A	20	45	59→60	44→40	48	241/324/453	212	300	28	8	29%	9%	118	+2.7	229/305/429	200	282	27	4	29%	9%	106	+1.8	229/304/430	202	273	28	2	27%	9%	104	+1.1
●Nolan Gorman 2019 · A	19	43	54→60	38→45	41	219/282/393	174	319	23	4	37%	8%	88	+0.5	203/256/343	140	302	16	4	36%	6%	68	-1.0	216/289/434	218	283	32	7	35%	9%	100	+1.1
✕Jaff Decker 2011 · A	21	46→49	54→55	45→55	51	235/324/415	180	304	22	7	29%	10%	109	+2.0	209/292/354	145	278	16	9	29%	10%	84	+0.1	221/295/327	106	285	9	13	24%	9%	76	-0.3
★Corey Seager 2014 · A	20	45→55	50→65	50→45	43	233/287/390	157	292	18	9	27%	7%	90	+0.6	269/317/451	182	329	19	6	23%	6%	114	+2.4	287/349/471	183	334	20	4	19%	8%	128	+3.6
●Andy Pages 2022 · A	21	41→51	58→55	45→50	46	221/312/425	204	289	27	6	32%	9%	108	+1.9	220/299/395	175	286	20	7	29%	8%	96	+1.0	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
✕Edgar Quero 2023 · A	20	48→57	51→50	47→40	51	240/336/412	172	309	18	8	27%	10%	114	+2.3	241/321/361	120	299	12	3	22%	9%	96	+1.0	245/321/344	99	301	10	1	21%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	43→53	51→55	45→50	48	223/303/383	161	292	19	5	30%	10%	95	+0.9	204/301/365	161	275	19	9	31%	11%	90	+0.6	258/336/412	153	316	16	5	22%	10%	109	+1.5
✕Emmanuel Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	45→35	53→45	51→50	53	205/333/384	178	351	20	15	42%	15%	106	+1.8	206/328/358	152	351	15	16	39%	15%	99	+1.2	223/348/373	150	350	16	18	35%	15%	106	+0.7
✕Luis Torres 2023 · A	19	51	50→60	45→50	41	254/302/415	161	312	16	9	24%	5%	101	+1.4	215/280/315	100	345	8	5	37%	7%	70	-0.9	183/261/256	73	332	4	0	42%	8%	46	-0.6
●Colby Rasmus 2008 · AA	21	44→54	52→65	53→50	46	227/294/399	172	274	19	15	25%	8%	95	+0.9	235/303/397	162	282	19	12	23%	8%	97	+1.1	243/311/468	224	317	29	3	32%	8%	115	+1.8
✕Orelvis Martinez 2022 · A	20	38→34	57→60	47→40	41	213/277/410	198	272	25	5	32%	7%	91	+0.7	195/261/377	182	246	25	4	32%	7%	78	-0.3	185/252/364	180	225	25	3	31%	7%	70	-0.6
●Ian Stewart 2006 · A	21	45→52	50→60	46→45	43	226/288/390	164	303	17	4	30%	7%	90	+0.6	238/299/394	156	311	14	6	27%	7%	95	+0.9	239/315/432	193	304	23	9	28%	9%	107	+1.6
●Gary Sánchez 2011 · A	18	49→50	47→65	46→45	39	241/294/380	139	328	14	5	30%	6%	90	+0.6	221/270/362	141	305	16	6	32%	6%	77	-0.3	240/315/462	222	266	31	4	23%	8%	115	+1.9
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	45→50	45	51	220/308/355	135	308	10	8	30%	11%	89	+0.5	191/267/284	93	292	7	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	188/237/266	78	247	8	4	27%	6%	40	-0.9
✕Roan Salas 2010 · A	20	46	50→65	46→40	45	236/285/393	157	263	17	5	18%	6%	89	+0.5	244/297/371	127	282	12	5	17%	6%	88	+0.5	268/322/383	115	301	9	3	14%	6%	99	+0.5
✕Eric Campbell 2006 · A	20	43→49	55	50	39	228/278/420	192	294	23	12	31%	6%	94	+0.9	226/272/395	169	257	22	9	22%	5%	86	+0.3	227/289/374	147	255	18	3	18%	7%	85	+0.2
★Xander Bogaerts 2013 · AA	20	46→56	50→65	41→55	40	236/284/393	158	301	18	4	28%	5%	89	+0.5	258/312/389	131	323	13	6	23%	7%	98	+1.2	284/359/486	202	320	21	8	18%	10%	133	+3.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps