Xavier Neyens

SS Fayetteville Woodpeckers
Age 20 L/R 6'3" / 210 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP45OGV rank#61ETA2028MLB%4%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202619A+/AHOU466.231/.429/.445201986—.178/.326/.333
2027PROJMLE20MLBHOU8.201/.328/.368001000.0
2028PROJ50% MLB21MLBHOU212.209/.334/.392841070.8
2029PROJ69% MLB22MLBHOU326.216/.338/.4101361121.5
Next 3 projected WAR 2.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$8M2034Arb-2$13M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Chase%99
BB%96
ISO73
wOBA70
wRC+57
Speed18
Career WAR0.5 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 25, comp-based) · star 6% · didn't stick 83%
CompsEric Arce (age 20) · Miguel Sanó (age 20) · Jaff Decker (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†100
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .328 / .368
PA8
HR0
K%38
BB%12
BABIP294
ISO166
MLB%4%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -0.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-0BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.80+0.8WAR
0.01.53.00.00.81.52.12.52.72.82.72.427282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$99M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.1$13M+$13M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.5$15M+$14M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.7$16M+$15M
2033Arb-1$8M+2.8$15M+$11M
2034Arb-2$13M+2.7$13M+$7M
2035Arb-3$18M+2.4$10M+$3M
Totals $42M $83M +$63M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202619 A+Asheville Tourists — 161125 27706 35631 35 216391416807 200375 3922 368 64 — — — — — —
202619 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 305221 537014 79925 166 240449462911 222339 3026 413 98 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202619 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 161138 22505 22831 35 159280304584 145331 5214 263 64 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 305244 466011 561255 166 189351348699 160316 4118 313 98 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 466382 6711016 782086 1911 175324330654 154323 4517 296 86 — — — — — —
202619 A RAW2 teams — 466346 8014020 1141556 1911 231429445874 214351 3324 397 86 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 466379 6711016 782086 1911 177324332656 156321 4517 296 86 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202619 A MLE2 teams — 466379 6711016 782086 1911 177324332656 156321 4517 296 86 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEHOU 4% 576480 9516220 852036 104 200326368694 168289 3515 315 100 -0 +0 -2 +6 +12 0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202720 MLB CTXHOU 4% 87 1000 130 00 201328368696 167294 3812 316 100 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEHOU 50% 425356 7312117 621454 83 208333392725 184291 3415 326 107 +4 +0 -1 +5 +9 1.7
202922 MLB MLEHOU 69% 473397 8514220 681575 83 215337410747 196292 3314 334 112 +7 +0 -1 +5 +10 2.2
203023 MLB MLEHOU 77% 525440 9716223 741716 93 220339423762 203293 3314 340 116 +10 +1 -1 +6 +11 2.8
203124 MLB MLEHOU 78% 578487 10818226 801846 94 224341432773 208294 3214 343 119 +13 +0 -0 +6 +13 3.2
203225 MLB MLEHOU 79% 590498 11319227 811856 94 227341437778 210295 3114 345 120 +14 +0 -0 +6 +13 3.4
203326 MLB MLEHOU 79% 599506 11419228 821886 94 227342441783 213294 3114 347 121 +15 +0 -0 +6 +13 3.5
203427 MLB MLEHOU 78% 596503 11419228 821886 94 226341438779 212294 3214 346 120 +14 +0 -0 +6 +13 3.4
203528 MLB MLEHOU 77% 585494 11118227 801856 84 224339433772 209293 3214 343 118 +13 +0 -1 +6 +13 3.2
203629 MLB MLEHOU 75% 568479 10718226 781826 74 222337427763 205291 3214 339 116 +11 -0 -1 +6 +12 2.8
203730 MLB MLEHOU 74% 552467 10217224 751785 64 219333419752 200289 3214 335 113 +8 -0 -2 +6 +12 2.4
203831 MLB MLEHOU 79% 534452 9716123 721755 48 215329409738 194286 3313 330 109 +6 -2 -3 +6 +12 1.8
203932 MLB MLEHOU 76% 511434 9115121 681694 325 210323396719 186282 3313 322 104 +3 -9 -4 +5 +11 0.6
204033 MLB MLEHOU 81% 476406 8313119 631614 3111 203316380696 177277 3413 313 98 -1 -44 -4 +5 +10 -3.4
202821 MLB CTXHOU 50% 212177 38718 31732 42 209334392726 183295 3415 327 107 +2 +0 -1 +2 +5 0.8
202922 MLB CTXHOU 69% 326273 5810113 471083 62 216338410748 194296 3314 335 112 +5 +0 -1 +3 +7 1.5
203023 MLB CTXHOU 77% 402338 7413117 571314 73 221341422763 201297 3314 340 116 +8 +0 -0 +4 +9 2.1
203124 MLB CTXHOU 78% 451380 8615220 631445 73 225342431773 206299 3214 344 119 +10 +0 -0 +5 +10 2.5
203225 MLB CTXHOU 79% 464393 9016221 631455 73 228343436779 208299 3114 346 120 +11 +0 -0 +5 +10 2.7
203326 MLB CTXHOU 79% 473400 9216222 651485 73 229343440783 211299 3114 347 121 +12 +0 -0 +5 +10 2.8
203427 MLB CTXHOU 78% 462391 9016221 631455 73 228342437779 209298 3114 346 120 +11 +0 -0 +5 +10 2.7
203528 MLB CTXHOU 77% 450380 8615220 621435 63 226340432773 207297 3214 343 118 +10 +0 -1 +5 +10 2.4
203629 MLB CTXHOU 75% 425360 8014119 581364 53 223338426764 203296 3214 340 116 +8 -0 -1 +5 +9 2.1
203730 MLB CTXHOU 74% 406344 7513117 551314 43 220334418752 198294 3214 335 113 +6 -0 -2 +4 +9 1.8
203831 MLB CTXHOU 79% 424360 7713118 571394 36 216330408738 192290 3313 330 109 +5 -2 -2 +5 +9 1.5
203932 MLB CTXHOU 76% 389331 7012116 521293 319 211324395719 184286 3313 323 104 +2 -7 -3 +4 +8 0.5
204033 MLB CTXHOU 81% 386329 6711115 511303 290 205317380696 175280 3413 314 98 -1 -36 -3 +4 +8 -2.8
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 52704456 98317118227 724170252 68143 221336420756 199296 3214 337 112 +88 -44 -14 +56 +114 20.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650550 12121228 892106 818 220335418753 198295 3214 337 112 +11 -5 -2 +7 +14 2.5
Career— MLE — 76886476 139723123332 1074255077 115194 216334412746 197293 3314 333 112 +115 -54 -19 +77 +156 28.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650548 11920228 912167 1016 217336414751 197296 3314 333 112 +10 -5 -2 +7 +14 2.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 305 PAwOBA .403 → .313 (−90)K% 30.2% → 41.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.16%÷1.000×1.360——41.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA25.90%÷1.000×0.690—×1.03018.41%
HBP% /PA1.64%—×0.780—×1.0301.32%
Singles /BIP24.81%÷1.000×0.920×1.021×1.03024.01%
Doubles /BIP5.43%÷1.000×0.830×1.021×1.0304.74%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.021×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP10.85%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0308.94%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .403 → .313; ISO .222 → .171; BABIP .339 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Asheville Tourists · 161 PAwOBA .360 → .263 (−97)K% 39.1% → 51.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA39.13%÷1.000×1.310——51.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.74%÷1.000×0.600—×1.04213.59%
HBP% /PA0.62%—×0.770—×1.0420.50%
Singles /BIP22.58%÷1.000×0.870×1.018×1.04220.83%
Doubles /BIP11.29%÷1.000×0.780×1.018×1.0429.34%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×1.018×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP9.68%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0428.87%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .360 → .263; ISO .200 → .160; BABIP .375 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).