Tyson Lewis — OGILVIE

Tyson LewisSS Daytona Tortugas

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 195 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION283 act + 188 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .230 / .265

PA188

HR3

K%37

BB%6

BABIP266

ISO92

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE42

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$6M	+$4M
2033	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$5M	+$3M
2034	Arb-3	$5M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$14M		$24M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	351	322	67	11	3	5	22	143	5	27	8	208	269	307	577	99	352	41	6	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	351	315	98	16	6	9	29	102	5	27	8	311	378	486	864	175	432	29	8	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	CIN	—	283	260	49	14	0	4	15	135	4	7	6	188	244	288	532	100	363	48	5	238	41	-19	-1	+0	+3	+8	-0.9
YTD	20	A	CIN	—	283	254	64	18	0	6	20	96	4	7	6	252	315	394	709	142	374	34	7	313	98	-1	-1	+0	+3	+8	1.0
ROS	20	A	CIN	4%	188	173	30	7	0	3	11	70	2	4	2	173	230	265	495	92	276	37	6	238	40	-13	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.6
ROS	20	MLB	CIN	4%	8	8	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	125	125	125	250		278	38	0	231	35	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	20	A	CIN	—	291	268	50	14	0	4	15	138	4	7	6	187	240	284	524	97	357	47	5	238	40	-20	-1	-0	+3	+8	-0.9
TOT	20	A	CIN	—	471	433	79	21	0	7	26	205	6	11	8	182	238	279	517	97	319	43	6	238	40	-32	-1	-1	+5	+13	-1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	CIN	36%	466	428	82	18	1	12	29	165	6	8	4	192	253	322	575	131	279	35	6	260	57	-23	+0	-1	+5	+13	-0.6
2028	22	MLB	CIN	49%	525	479	97	21	2	15	34	179	7	10	5	203	265	349	614	146	282	34	6	273	67	-19	+0	-2	+6	+15	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	CIN	55%	561	511	106	22	2	18	38	187	7	10	5	207	272	364	636	157	284	33	7	283	75	-16	+0	-2	+6	+16	0.4
2030	24	MLB	CIN	56%	583	530	112	23	2	20	40	192	8	11	5	211	277	375	652	164	285	33	7	289	80	-13	+0	-2	+6	+17	0.8
2031	25	MLB	CIN	56%	595	541	115	24	2	21	41	195	8	11	5	213	278	381	659	168	285	33	7	293	82	-12	+0	-2	+6	+17	1.0
2032	26	MLB	CIN	56%	600	545	117	24	2	22	42	197	8	11	5	215	281	387	668	172	285	33	7	295	84	-11	+0	-2	+6	+17	1.1
2033	27	MLB	CIN	55%	598	543	116	24	2	22	42	196	8	11	5	214	280	387	667	173	285	33	7	295	84	-11	+0	-2	+6	+17	1.1
2034	28	MLB	CIN	55%	591	536	114	23	2	22	42	195	8	10	5	213	280	386	666	174	285	33	7	294	83	-11	+0	-2	+6	+17	1.0
2035	29	MLB	CIN	53%	581	527	112	23	2	21	42	193	7	9	5	213	280	383	663	171	284	33	7	292	82	-12	-0	-3	+6	+16	0.8
2036	30	MLB	CIN	53%	570	517	107	22	1	20	41	190	7	8	4	207	274	369	644	162	283	33	7	290	80	-13	+0	-4	+6	+16	0.6
2027	21	MLB	CIN	36%	168	153	30	7	0	4	11	59	2	3	2	196	259	320	579	124	282	35	7	253	52	-9	-0	-1	+2	+5	-0.3
2028	22	MLB	CIN	49%	258	236	48	10	1	8	17	88	3	5	2	203	266	356	622	153	285	34	7	267	62	-11	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	CIN	55%	306	278	58	12	1	10	21	102	4	6	3	209	274	367	641	158	287	33	7	277	70	-10	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.1
2030	24	MLB	CIN	56%	324	295	63	13	1	11	22	106	4	6	3	214	277	376	654	163	288	33	7	283	75	-9	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.3
2031	25	MLB	CIN	56%	333	303	66	14	1	12	23	109	4	6	3	218	282	389	671	172	288	33	7	287	78	-8	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.4
2032	26	MLB	CIN	56%	338	307	67	14	1	13	24	111	4	6	3	218	284	397	681	179	288	33	7	289	79	-8	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.4
2033	27	MLB	CIN	55%	331	301	65	13	1	13	23	109	4	6	3	216	280	395	676	179	288	33	7	289	79	-8	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.4
2034	28	MLB	CIN	55%	324	294	63	13	1	12	23	107	4	6	3	214	280	388	668	173	288	33	7	288	79	-8	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.4
2035	29	MLB	CIN	53%	310	281	59	12	1	11	22	103	4	5	2	210	277	377	654	167	287	33	7	286	77	-8	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.3
2036	30	MLB	CIN	53%	300	271	58	12	1	11	22	100	4	4	2	214	283	387	670	173	286	33	7	284	76	-8	+0	-2	+3	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3000	2727	578	120	9	105	208	997	37	53	26	212	277	378	655	166	288	33	7	282	74	-88	+0	-11	+32	+85	1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	126	26	2	23	45	216	8	11	6	213	278	381	659	168	289	33	7	282	74	-19	-0	-2	+7	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	6209	5652	1175	242	21	201	424	2102	81	130	58	208	273	365	638	157	288	34	7	284	75	-173	+3	-22	+67	+176	5.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	122	25	2	21	44	220	8	14	6	206	270	361	631	155	285	34	7	284	75	-18	+0	-2	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	144	127	34	8	1	3	14	51	2	8	4	268	350	417	767	150	419	35	10	342	120	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2025	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	207	188	64	8	5	6	15	51	3	19	4	340	398	532	930	191	439	25	7	407	170	+16	+2	—	—	+6	2.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	3,005	103	53	211	273	374	+32	-5	4.5	4.4
	/162	664	23	12	211	273	374	+7.1	-1.2	1.0	pk7: 4
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyson Lewis (OGILVIE)	20	31→39	48→57	67→64	42	182/238/279	97	319	7	11	43%	6%	40	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→55	53→50	41	180/242/256	76	271	4	13	33%	7%	33	-2.9	213/262/339	126	310	10	6	32%	6%	63	-0.8	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A	20	41→48	42→55	52→55	41	203/255/306	103	257	10	13	25%	5%	53	-1.5	230/269/385	155	293	16	19	27%	4%	79	+0.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A	21	40→45	45→55	55→50	40	201/267/329	128	288	12	8	33%	6%	64	-0.8	209/259/340	131	294	14	8	32%	5%	63	-0.8	208/281/368	159	278	20	6	31%	8%	77	+0.1
●Gregory Polanco 2012 · A	20	37→47	38→60	58→55	42	183/239/259	76	244	5	18	27%	6%	33	-2.9	244/297/380	136	289	14	24	20%	7%	89	+1.0	254/325/453	200	285	22	14	19%	9%	113	+2.3
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	57	-1.2	191/237/342	151	271	18	8	36%	5%	55	-1.4	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
●Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	43→53	40→45	54→55	44	206/262/313	106	260	6	11	22%	6%	56	-1.3	245/295/352	107	322	5	15	24%	6%	81	+0.4	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	196/264/288	92	278	8	16	31%	8%	52	-1.6	236/297/340	104	317	6	24	26%	7%	79	+0.3	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
●Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→52	42→55	56→55	46	201/275/316	115	288	8	13	31%	9%	63	-0.8	212/280/338	126	319	10	16	34%	8%	72	-0.2	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Jordan Schafer 2007 · A	20	39→49	41→50	50→65	37	194/233/299	104	272	8	12	31%	5%	40	-2.4	232/286/371	139	325	12	13	30%	7%	82	+0.5	238/300/385	147	332	12	14	30%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Brian Pointer 2012 · A	20	41→43	44→45	56→50	38	203/257/327	124	300	11	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	192/263/308	116	299	11	12	37%	7%	57	-1.2	201/281/329	128	296	13	13	34%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Dustin Fowler 2015 · A	20	41→51	47→50	51→55	36	211/238/352	142	269	14	6	28%	3%	56	-1.3	234/259/354	120	294	10	17	23%	3%	66	-0.6	249/273/396	147	300	12	21	21%	3%	78	+0.2
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4
✕Jesus Valdez 2012 · A	20	41	43→45	51→40	44	206/259/320	115	251	11	7	23%	6%	58	-1.2	206/257/315	109	279	11	4	29%	5%	56	-1.3	195/246/301	106	265	12	3	30%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	39	187/256/305	118	276	12	9	35%	7%	54	-1.4	197/279/292	95	352	7	8	42%	9%	60	-1.0	146/272/221	75	359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Danny Ortiz 2011 · A	21	38→48	46→60	52→45	36	197/235/332	135	261	14	4	30%	4%	51	-1.7	207/246/325	118	265	11	4	25%	5%	53	-1.5	226/264/410	184	264	25	2	25%	4%	84	+0.5
●Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	40→44	44→55	51→50	41	201/254/327	127	274	11	7	30%	6%	57	-1.2	199/281/358	159	276	19	13	33%	10%	79	+0.3	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Francisco Santana 2008 · A	20	37	38→50	52→55	39	182/227/269	87	246	5	7	28%	5%	30	-3.1	203/247/310	107	265	8	12	26%	5%	50	-1.8	192/231/308	116	248	9	14	26%	5%	40	-0.9
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2019 · A	20	39→44	42→55	49→45	45	192/258/305	112	251	9	7	27%	7%	54	-1.4	191/244/308	117	258	13	7	30%	6%	49	-1.8	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7