Tyson Lewis

SS Daytona Tortugas
Age 21 L/R 6'1" / 195 lbs A HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
ETA2029MLB%4%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202519A/ROKCIN351.311/.378/.48692764—.220/.278/.325
202620A+/ACIN463.258/.314/.403112158—.213/.260/.320
2027PROJMLE21MLBCIN8.176/.226/.2780038-0.0
2028PROJ36% MLB22MLBCIN152.183/.235/.3024447-0.5
2029PROJ49% MLB23MLBCIN230.191/.244/.3256755-0.5
Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$1M2033Arb-2$1M2034Arb-3$1.0M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Speed62
ISO52
wOBA39
wRC+36
Z-Con%28
K%22
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 93%
CompsJase Bowen (age 21) · Kahlil Watson (age 21) · Ricardo Méndez (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†38
AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .226 / .278
PA8
HR0
K%38
BB%5
BABIP260
ISO107
MLB%4%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -15.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-15BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Arb-1$1M———
2033Arb-2$1M———
2034Arb-3$1.0M———
Totals $0.0M $-3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202519 ADaytona Tortugas — 144127 34813 14512 84 268350417767 150419 3510 342 55 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Reds — 207188 64856 15513 194 340398532930 191439 257 407 71 — — — — — —
202620 A+Dayton Dragons — 227212 581017 11682 145 274316429745 156370 305 328 69 — — — — — —
202620 ADaytona Tortugas — 236210 511604 18784 75 243313376689 133359 338 307 47 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202519 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 144130 26512 11692 84 200273300573 100382 488 250 55 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Reds — 207193 45633 10733 194 233282342624 109351 355 273 71 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEDayton Dragons — 227215 51815 8862 145 237271353625 116359 384 270 69 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 236216 411203 131064 75 190249287536 97339 456 237 47 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 351323 711145 211415 278 220278325603 105369 406 264 65 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAW2 teams — 351315 981669 291025 278 311378486864 175432 298 380 65 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 463431 922018 211926 2110 213260320580 107357 415 253 57 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW2 teams — 463422 10926111 291466 2110 258314403717 145364 326 317 57 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 351322 711145 211415 278 220278326604 106364 406 264 65 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 463433 922018 211926 2110 212260319579 106349 415 253 57 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 351322 711145 211415 278 220278326604 106364 406 264 65 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 463433 922018 211926 2110 212260319579 106349 415 253 57 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECIN 4% 573533 9319210 292096 166 174224273497 99259 365 225 38 -42 +1 -0 +6 +12 -0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202721 MLB CTXCIN 4% 88 1000 030 00 176226278504 103260 380 228 38 -1 +0 -0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECIN 36% 421391 701419 221505 125 181233295528 113262 365 237 47 -27 +0 +0 +5 +9 -1.3
202923 MLB MLECIN 49% 468435 8216212 251635 145 189242317558 128265 355 250 55 -25 +1 +0 +5 +10 -0.9
203024 MLB MLECIN 53% 520480 9418215 291776 156 195250335585 140268 346 261 63 -23 +1 +0 +6 +11 -0.5
203125 MLB MLECIN 55% 568524 10520218 331896 166 200256348603 148270 336 268 68 -22 +1 +1 +6 +12 -0.2
203226 MLB MLECIN 56% 580534 10820219 351906 167 203260356616 153271 336 274 71 -20 +0 +1 +6 +13 0.0
203327 MLB MLECIN 55% 580534 10820219 351916 166 202259354613 151271 336 272 71 -20 +1 +1 +6 +13 -0.0
203428 MLB MLECIN 55% 571526 10620218 341896 136 201257349607 149270 336 270 69 -21 +0 -0 +6 +12 -0.3
202822 MLB CTXCIN 36% 152141 26504 8542 42 183235302537 119263 365 241 47 -10 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.5
202923 MLB CTXCIN 49% 230214 41816 12802 73 191244325569 134267 355 254 55 -12 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.5
203024 MLB CTXCIN 53% 276255 51919 16943 83 198252345597 147269 346 265 63 -12 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.3
203125 MLB CTXCIN 55% 312288 5911111 181043 94 203258358616 156271 336 273 68 -12 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.1
203226 MLB CTXCIN 56% 323298 6211112 191063 94 206263367630 161273 336 279 71 -11 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.0
203327 MLB CTXCIN 55% 319294 6011111 191053 94 205262365626 159272 336 278 71 -11 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.0
203428 MLB CTXCIN 55% 312287 5911111 191033 73 203260360620 157271 336 275 69 -12 +0 -0 +3 +7 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 19241777 35866664 11164619 5323 201256353609 152273 346 269 62 -80 +1 +1 +21 +42 -1.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650600 12122222 382186 188 202256355611 153272 346 269 62 -27 +0 +0 +7 +14 -0.5
Career— MLE — 47324374 87116619127 265165953 15661 199253333586 134285 356 261 62 -173 +4 +3 +42 +85 -4.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650601 12023317 362287 218 200253333586 133286 356 261 62 -29 +1 +0 +7 +14 -0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ADaytona Tortugas · 236 PAwOBA .303 → .237 (−65)K% 33.1% → 44.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.05%÷1.000×1.360——44.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.63%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0305.42%
HBP% /PA1.69%—×0.780—×1.0301.36%
Singles /BIP23.48%÷1.000×0.920×1.040×1.03023.14%
Doubles /BIP12.12%÷1.000×0.830×1.040×1.03010.77%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.040×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP3.03%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0302.50%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .303 → .237; ISO .133 → .099; BABIP .359 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Dayton Dragons · 227 PAwOBA .320 → .270 (−50)K% 30.0% → 38.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.96%÷1.000×1.270——38.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.85%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0423.59%
HBP% /PA0.88%—×0.790—×1.0420.73%
Singles /BIP27.78%÷1.000×0.920×1.050×1.04227.96%
Doubles /BIP6.94%÷1.000×0.810×1.050×1.0426.15%
Triples /BIP0.69%÷1.000×0.850×1.050×1.0420.65%
Home runs /BIP4.86%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0424.05%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .320 → .270; ISO .156 → .121; BABIP .370 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Reds · 207 PAwOBA .398 → .273 (−124)K% 24.6% → 35.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.64%÷1.010×1.440——35.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.25%÷0.931×0.620—×1.0084.86%
HBP% /PA1.45%—×0.720—×1.0081.05%
Singles /BIP32.85%÷1.039×0.820×1.050×1.00827.43%
Doubles /BIP5.84%÷0.963×0.720×1.050×1.0084.62%
Triples /BIP3.65%÷1.150×0.720×1.050×1.0082.42%
Home runs /BIP4.38%÷1.252×0.780—×1.0082.75%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 102, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .398 → .273; ISO .191 → .115; BABIP .439 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADaytona Tortugas · 144 PAwOBA .336 → .250 (−86)K% 35.4% → 47.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.42%÷1.008×1.360——47.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.72%÷0.956×0.690—×1.0457.33%
HBP% /PA1.39%—×0.780—×1.0451.13%
Singles /BIP28.95%÷0.980×0.920×0.987×1.04528.05%
Doubles /BIP10.53%÷1.088×0.830×0.987×1.0458.29%
Triples /BIP1.32%÷1.000×0.910×0.987×1.0451.24%
Home runs /BIP3.95%÷1.032×0.800—×1.0453.20%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 118, 3B 100, K 102, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .336 → .250; ISO .150 → .101; BABIP .419 → .382. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).