Matthew Boughton

Matthew BoughtonSS Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 21 R/R A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .277 / .301

PA320

HR3

SB8

K%24

BB%7

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	20	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	452	393	88	16	4	4	46	92	8	30	9	224	317	316	632	92	279	20	10	290	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	452	408	73	12	3	3	32	125	8	30	9	179	252	245	497	66	243	28	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	452	408	73	12	3	3	32	125	8	30	9	179	252	245	497	66	246	28	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	452	393	88	16	4	4	46	92	8	30	9	224	317	316	632	92	279	20	10	290	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	452	409	73	12	3	3	32	125	8	30	9	178	252	244	497	66	243	28	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	452	409	73	12	3	3	32	125	8	30	9	178	252	244	497	66	243	28	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	562	510	109	21	4	6	40	135	7	14	4	213	279	303	583	90	276	24	7	265	66	-23	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CWS	34%	488	444	96	18	3	7	35	116	6	12	3	218	285	319	605	101	278	24	7	274	72	-17	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	CWS	48%	527	477	105	20	3	8	39	123	6	14	4	222	290	331	621	109	279	23	7	281	76	-15	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	CWS	53%	569	514	116	22	4	10	43	132	7	15	4	225	293	340	633	115	281	23	8	285	79	-14	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2031	25	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	612	554	125	24	4	11	46	142	7	16	4	227	295	346	641	119	281	23	8	288	81	-14	+2	+0	+7	+13	0.8
2032	26	MLB MLE	CWS	56%	619	560	127	24	4	12	47	143	7	16	4	228	296	349	645	121	282	23	8	290	83	-13	+2	+0	+7	+13	0.9
2033	27	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	619	559	127	24	4	12	48	144	7	15	4	227	295	346	642	120	281	23	8	289	82	-14	+1	+0	+7	+13	0.8
2034	28	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	614	555	125	24	4	11	47	144	7	14	4	225	294	342	636	117	280	23	8	286	80	-15	+1	-1	+7	+13	0.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	CWS	53%	604	546	121	23	3	11	46	143	7	13	4	223	291	336	627	114	279	24	8	283	78	-16	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	CWS	53%	594	538	118	22	3	10	45	143	6	12	4	220	288	329	616	109	278	24	8	279	75	-18	+1	-2	+6	+13	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	CWS	34%	168	152	33	6	1	2	12	40	2	4	1	219	286	321	607	102	278	24	7	275	72	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	CWS	48%	255	231	52	10	2	4	19	60	3	7	2	223	290	334	624	111	280	24	7	282	76	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	CWS	53%	300	271	61	12	2	5	22	70	4	8	2	226	294	342	636	117	281	23	7	287	79	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	335	303	68	13	2	6	25	78	4	9	2	227	296	348	644	121	282	23	7	290	81	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	CWS	56%	345	312	72	14	2	7	26	80	4	9	2	228	297	351	648	123	282	23	8	291	83	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	340	307	70	13	2	7	26	79	4	8	2	227	296	349	645	121	282	23	8	290	82	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	336	303	68	13	2	6	26	79	4	8	2	226	294	344	639	119	281	24	8	288	80	-8	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	CWS	53%	322	290	65	12	2	6	25	76	4	7	2	223	292	338	630	115	280	24	8	284	78	-9	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	CWS	53%	312	282	62	12	2	5	24	75	3	6	2	221	288	331	619	111	279	24	8	280	75	-9	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2713	2451	551	105	17	48	205	637	32	66	17	225	293	340	633	115	282	23	8	286	75	-68	+6	-2	+29	+59	2.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	132	25	4	12	49	153	8	16	4	225	293	342	636	118	282	24	8	286	75	-16	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6018	5445	1195	225	37	98	451	1432	72	165	46	219	288	328	616	109	278	24	7	279	75	-147	+12	-4	+60	+121	4.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	129	24	4	11	49	155	8	18	5	219	288	330	618	111	278	24	8	279	75	-17	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.6	3,033	52	73	224	289	337	+32	+18	4.2	4.0
/162	664	11	16	+7.1	+3.9	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matthew Boughton (OGILVIE)	21	39→44	33→38	57→62	51	212/277/301	89	276	3	8	24%	7%	66	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kristopher Negrón 2007 · A	21	43→49	39→45	56→55	44	206/262/290	84	251	6	12	20%	5%	57	-1.8	215/278/300	85	282	6	18	24%	6%	65	-1.2	231/294/333	102	293	8	23	23%	6%	76	-0.4
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	40	39→45	53→55	52	192/277/280	88	229	6	14	19%	8%	61	-1.5	221/287/329	108	296	9	10	27%	6%	75	-0.5	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→51	39→45	59→55	46	195/272/287	91	280	4	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	220/296/307	87	294	6	17	25%	9%	74	-0.6	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Wes Rogers 2015 · A	21	45→51	41→40	57→65	42	217/270/314	97	294	8	18	28%	6%	65	-1.2	225/283/314	89	299	5	34	25%	7%	70	-0.9	229/287/320	92	301	5	42	24%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Noel Cuevas 2013 · A	21	45→52	39→45	55	41	216/259/307	91	271	6	19	22%	4%	59	-1.6	226/267/331	105	293	8	20	25%	5%	68	-1.0	254/287/363	108	316	8	12	22%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	44→52	41→45	59→55	40	211/262/313	103	297	7	20	30%	6%	61	-1.5	227/284/341	114	305	9	18	27%	7%	76	-0.4	229/290/345	116	300	9	18	25%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Onil Perez 2024 · A	21	48	37→40	55	47	227/281/308	80	278	4	16	19%	6%	68	-1.0	216/286/290	74	269	4	16	20%	8%	66	-1.1	204/282/270	67	252	4	16	19%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Tito Polo 2015 · A	20	43→53	39→45	54→60	42	206/268/296	90	278	5	17	27%	6%	61	-1.5	222/276/320	98	295	8	26	26%	5%	69	-0.9	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	38→40	56→60	41	213/265/295	82	297	4	14	29%	6%	59	-1.7	241/298/346	105	336	10	30	29%	7%	83	+0.1	250/304/340	90	346	8	39	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Oswald Peraza 2021 · A	21	46→54	38→50	52→60	43	219/277/295	75	286	6	17	25%	6%	63	-1.3	241/295/375	134	309	15	28	26%	6%	89	+0.5	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Adan Velazquez 2011 · A	21	40→50	39→45	52→50	41	192/253/281	89	260	5	10	27%	6%	51	-2.2	222/270/312	90	297	7	9	26%	5%	64	-1.3	254/293/350	97	308	8	4	20%	4%	79	-0.1
✕David Kandilas 2013 · A	22	45→44	41→45	55	44	216/270/323	107	277	7	15	24%	6%	67	-1.1	210/271/303	93	279	7	17	26%	7%	63	-1.3	203/267/290	87	269	7	20	26%	7%	57	-1.2
✕Jose Cordova 2021 · A	21	45	36→40	50	43	214/272/279	65	268	3	13	21%	5%	58	-1.7	209/262/276	67	302	3	9	30%	5%	53	-2.1	237/299/326	89	314	5	11	24%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Derrik Gibson 2011 · A	21	44→54	35→40	55	46	205/269/266	61	272	2	21	24%	7%	53	-2.1	213/271/270	57	291	2	17	25%	7%	55	-2.0	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2019 · A	20	43→53	38→45	52→55	42	209/257/289	80	280	6	12	27%	6%	54	-2.0	226/281/328	102	291	8	8	24%	7%	72	-0.7	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2017 · A	21	44→40	39→50	55	45	212/283/303	91	280	6	19	25%	7%	68	-1.0	207/280/342	135	279	13	18	29%	8%	76	-0.4	195/275/337	142	264	15	19	30%	8%	71	-0.6
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	40→48	42→45	54→50	51	196/289/300	104	251	9	21	24%	9%	71	-0.8	219/276/335	116	269	11	15	22%	6%	72	-0.7	216/271/322	106	262	11	16	21%	6%	65	-1.1
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	44→54	39→45	50	42	209/270/300	91	293	6	11	29%	7%	62	-1.4	235/286/340	105	319	10	10	28%	6%	77	-0.3	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Nick Allen 2021 · A	22	46→56	38→40	52→50	44	219/270/303	84	277	4	14	22%	6%	62	-1.4	232/283/326	94	288	8	14	21%	6%	72	-0.7	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps