Alcides Hernandez

C Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 22 L/R 5'8" / 160 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202520ROKSD50.190/.306/.190015—.133/.204/.133
202621ASD51.263/.429/.2890079—.244/.367/.268
202621ROKSD24.278/.435/.5000191—.250/.348/.450
2027PROJ0% MLB22MLBSD185.211/.289/.29023660.1
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBSD61.212/.291/.30111720.1
2029PROJ46% MLB24MLBSD134.216/.294/.31422760.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
BB%98
Chase%95
wOBA52
wRC+50
K%42
Whiff%26
Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%
CompsAnthony Seigler (age 22) · Jacob Gonzalez (age 22) · Carlos Rodriguez (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 86 proj PA
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .287 / .287
PA86
HR1
K%26
BB%9
ISO79
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.30.40.40.30.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2035Arb-1$0.8M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-2$0.4M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $2M +$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202318 ROKDSL Padres Brown — 6348 15000 1580 41 312476312789 375 1324 382 72 — — — — — —
202419 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 153115 29410 32195 82 252434304739 52299 1221 356 45 — — — — — —
202520 ROKACL Padres — 5042 8000 7100 12 190306190497 242 2014 242 5 — — — — — —
202621 ALake Elsinore Storm — 5138 10100 11130 00 263429289718 26370 2522 335 79 — — — — — —
202621 ROKACL Padres — 2418 5020 530 10 278435500935 222312 1221 393 91 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202318 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 6352 11000 11100 41 212349212561 265 1617 275 72 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 153125 19210 22245 82 152303184487 32184 1614 235 45 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Padres — 5045 6000 4140 12 133204133337 196 288 176 5 — — — — — —
202621 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 5141 10100 8180 00 244367268636 24343 3516 285 79 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLEACL Padres — 2420 5020 340 10 250348450798 200242 1712 302 91 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 6352 11000 11100 41 212349212561 262 1617 275 72 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWDSL Padres Brown — 6348 15000 1580 41 312476312789 375 1324 382 72 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 153125 19210 22245 82 152303184487 32186 1614 235 45 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAWDSL Padres Gold — 153115 29410 32195 82 252434304739 52299 1221 356 45 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Padres — 5045 6000 4140 12 133204133337 188 288 176 5 — — — — — —
202520 ROK RAWACL Padres — 5042 8000 7100 12 190306190497 242 2014 242 5 — — — — — —
202621 A MLE2 teams — 7561 14120 11220 10 230347311659 82333 2915 290 83 — — — — — —
202621 A RAW2 teams — 7556 15120 16160 10 268431357788 89349 2121 354 83 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 6352 11000 11100 41 212349212561 265 1617 275 72 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 153125 19210 22245 82 152303184487 32184 1614 235 45 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Padres — 5046 6000 4140 12 130204130335 196 288 176 5 — — — — — —
202621 A MLE2 teams — 7564 14120 11220 10 219347297644 78311 2915 290 83 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 153125 19210 22245 82 152303184487 32184 1614 235 45 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Padres — 5046 6000 4140 12 130204130335 196 288 176 5 — — — — — —
202621 A MLE2 teams — 7564 14120 11220 10 219347297644 78311 2915 290 83 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLESD 0% 185165 36522 16492 31 211289290579 79286 269 266 66 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLESD 34% 177157 33512 16462 31 215294305599 90288 269 274 72 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
202924 MLB MLESD 46% 290259 56824 26753 41 219297318615 99289 269 280 76 -8 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.4
203025 MLB MLESD 52% 360321 721136 32934 51 222299328628 107289 269 285 79 -9 +1 +0 +6 +8 0.6
203126 MLB MLESD 54% 405362 801237 361034 62 224301336638 113289 259 289 82 -9 +0 +0 +7 +9 0.8
203227 MLB MLESD 54% 426381 851338 381094 62 224301337638 114289 269 289 82 -9 +0 +0 +8 +9 0.8
203328 MLB MLESD 54% 436390 861338 391124 41 222299333632 111288 269 286 80 -10 +0 -1 +8 +9 0.7
203429 MLB MLESD 58% 435390 851337 381134 31 219296326622 107286 269 282 77 -12 +0 -1 +8 +9 0.4
203530 MLB MLESD 60% 430385 841337 381134 11 216292318611 102284 269 278 74 -13 -0 -2 +8 +9 0.1
203631 MLB MLESD 62% 407366 781236 351093 11 212287308596 96281 279 272 70 -15 -0 -3 +7 +9 -0.1
202823 MLB CTXSD 34% 6155 12201 5161 10 212291301591 88283 268 271 72 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.1
202924 MLB CTXSD 46% 134120 26412 12351 21 216294314608 98284 269 277 76 -4 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
203025 MLB CTXSD 52% 186165 36513 17482 31 219297324621 105285 269 282 79 -5 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.3
203126 MLB CTXSD 54% 220196 43624 20562 31 221298332631 112285 259 286 82 -5 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.4
203227 MLB CTXSD 54% 231206 46724 21592 31 221298333631 112284 269 286 82 -5 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.4
203328 MLB CTXSD 54% 237212 47724 21612 21 219296328625 110283 269 283 80 -6 +0 -0 +4 +5 0.3
203429 MLB CTXSD 58% 251225 48724 22652 21 216293322615 106282 269 280 77 -7 +0 -1 +4 +5 0.2
203530 MLB CTXSD 60% 258231 49724 23682 11 213290314604 101280 269 275 74 -8 -0 -1 +5 +6 0.1
203631 MLB CTXSD 62% 251225 48724 22672 10 209285304589 95277 279 269 70 -9 +0 -2 +4 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 18291635 355521430 16347516 187 217294321615 104286 269 279 75 -50 +1 -4 +33 +40 2.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650581 12618511 581696 62 217295322616 105285 269 279 75 -18 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 37933371 7251052856 35496638 4816 215297313610 98282 259 279 75 -95 +2 -7 +62 +75 3.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650578 12518510 611667 83 216300317616 100283 269 279 75 -18 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.7