Lisbel Diaz — OGILVIE

Lisbel DiazOF Eugene Emeralds

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 204 lbs A+ HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION275 act + 183 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .248 / .346

PA183

HR5

K%24

BB%3

BABIP255

ISO133

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE39

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.6M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	88	80	23	2	0	3	4	15	3	1	3	287	345	425	770	138	317	17	5	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	88	77	24	2	0	3	7	10	3	1	3	312	391	455	845	143	323	11	8	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	345	316	77	12	2	8	15	92	10	9	4	244	299	370	669	127	314	27	4	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	345	309	90	16	3	10	22	63	10	9	4	291	358	460	817	168	333	18	6	360	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	San Jose Giants	—	561	528	105	19	4	5	21	153	7	26	6	199	239	278	518	80	267	27	4	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	San Jose Giants	—	561	516	139	32	4	10	33	105	7	26	6	269	322	405	727	136	319	19	6	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	SF	—	275	262	54	7	1	14	8	65	2	7	4	206	235	401	636	195	215	24	3	267	62	-12	-0	+0	-2	+8	-0.6
YTD	21	A+	SF	—	275	256	67	10	1	17	13	47	2	7	4	262	301	508	809	246	256	17	5	348	124	+8	-0	+0	-2	+8	1.4
ROS	21	A+	SF	0%	183	173	37	6	1	5	6	44	2	4	2	213	248	346	594	133	250	24	3	263	60	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
ROS	21	MLB	SF	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						245	0	0	250	50	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	SF	—	276	263	54	7	1	14	8	65	2	7	4	205	234	399	634	194	214	24	3	267	62	-12	-0	+0	-2	+8	-0.6
TOT	21	A+	SF	—	458	435	91	13	2	19	14	109	4	11	6	209	240	379	619	170	231	24	3	266	61	-20	-0	+0	-3	+13	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	SF	25%	581	546	120	20	3	18	24	134	6	11	5	220	260	366	627	147	256	23	4	276	70	-20	+0	+1	-3	+16	-0.5
2028	23	MLB	SF	38%	609	570	128	21	3	20	28	137	6	12	5	225	268	377	645	153	259	22	5	285	76	-16	+0	+2	-4	+17	-0.1
2029	24	MLB	SF	44%	627	584	133	22	3	21	31	139	7	13	5	228	275	384	658	156	261	22	5	291	81	-13	+1	+2	-4	+18	0.3
2030	25	MLB	SF	47%	638	593	136	23	3	22	33	141	7	13	5	229	278	390	668	160	262	22	5	294	83	-12	+1	+2	-4	+18	0.5
2031	26	MLB	SF	49%	635	590	136	23	3	22	33	140	7	13	5	231	279	392	671	161	262	22	5	296	84	-11	+1	+2	-4	+18	0.5
2032	27	MLB	SF	49%	634	588	135	23	3	22	34	140	7	13	5	230	280	391	671	162	262	22	5	296	84	-11	+1	+2	-4	+18	0.5
2033	28	MLB	SF	49%	629	583	133	22	3	22	34	140	7	13	5	228	279	389	668	161	261	22	5	295	84	-12	+1	+1	-4	+18	0.4
2027	22	MLB	SF	25%	146	138	30	5	1	4	6	34	1	3	1	217	255	355	610	138	251	23	4	263	60	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	SF	38%	234	219	48	8	1	7	11	53	2	5	2	219	263	361	624	142	254	23	5	272	66	-9	+0	+1	-1	+7	-0.3
2029	24	MLB	SF	44%	276	257	58	10	1	9	14	61	3	6	2	226	274	377	651	152	256	22	5	278	71	-9	+0	+1	-2	+8	-0.2
2030	25	MLB	SF	47%	301	280	62	10	1	10	15	66	3	6	3	221	268	371	640	150	257	22	5	281	73	-9	+0	+1	-2	+9	-0.2
2031	26	MLB	SF	49%	312	290	66	11	2	11	16	69	3	7	3	228	275	393	668	166	257	22	5	282	74	-9	+0	+1	-2	+9	-0.1
2032	27	MLB	SF	49%	312	289	65	11	1	11	17	69	3	7	3	225	275	384	659	159	257	22	5	282	74	-9	+0	+1	-2	+9	-0.1
2033	28	MLB	SF	49%	309	286	64	11	1	10	17	69	3	6	3	224	275	374	649	150	256	22	6	281	73	-9	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1891	1760	393	66	8	62	96	421	18	40	17	223	271	376	646	152	257	22	5	278	71	-62	+1	+4	-11	+54	-1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	135	23	3	21	33	145	6	14	6	223	270	375	645	152	257	22	5	278	71	-21	+0	+2	-4	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	5530	5151	1163	193	28	168	263	1275	69	128	50	226	273	372	645	146	266	23	5	283	75	-156	+6	+11	-33	+157	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	137	23	3	20	31	150	8	15	6	226	273	374	647	147	267	23	5	283	75	-18	+1	+1	-4	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	88	77	24	2	0	3	7	10	3	1	3	312	391	455	845	143	323	11	8	376	146	+5	-1	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	19	A	San Jose Giants	—	255	233	65	12	3	6	14	48	6	8	3	279	336	433	769	155	326	19	5	340	118	+5	+0	—	—	+7	1.3
2024	19	ROK	ACL Giants	—	90	76	25	4	0	4	8	15	4	1	1	329	420	539	960	211	356	17	9	415	176	+8	-0	—	—	+3	1.0
2025	20	A	San Jose Giants	—	561	516	139	32	4	10	33	105	7	26	6	269	322	405	727	136	319	19	6	322	105	+3	+3	—	—	+16	2.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,892	65	39	229	273	388	-11	+6	0.4	0.5
	/162	664	23	14	229	273	388	-4.0	+2.1	0.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lisbel Diaz (OGILVIE)	21	45	45	55	39	209/240/379	170	231	19	11	24%	3%	61	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Luis Matos 2023 · A	21	42→52	44→50	49→50	41	211/250/322	111	246	12	12	20%	4%	54	-1.4	234/285/374	140	252	16	12	15%	6%	83	+0.6	241/293/396	155	250	19	13	13%	6%	90	+0.8
✕Christian Villanueva 2012 · A	21	43→47	42→55	53→50	40	213/260/324	111	270	9	16	24%	4%	59	-1.1	216/266/343	127	281	13	9	27%	4%	67	-0.5	226/284/408	182	256	25	3	23%	6%	91	+0.9
●Felix Reyes 2022 · A	21	41→51	43→55	49→45	38	202/267/312	111	283	10	12	31%	5%	60	-1.0	204/245/317	113	258	13	7	26%	4%	51	-1.7	244/271/414	171	282	21	9	22%	3%	86	+0.5
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Eguy Rosario 2021 · A	21	44→52	43→50	49→55	39	217/262/332	115	296	10	12	30%	5%	62	-0.9	225/284/367	142	306	14	20	30%	7%	81	+0.4	219/282/363	144	293	15	21	29%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Brandon Short 2010 · A	21	49→52	41→45	52→50	40	232/279/332	100	310	7	12	27%	5%	69	-0.4	242/285/364	122	328	12	10	29%	4%	80	+0.4	236/282/359	123	312	11	10	27%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A	20	41→48	42→55	52→55	41	203/255/306	103	257	10	13	25%	5%	53	-1.5	230/269/385	155	293	16	19	27%	4%	79	+0.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
●Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	43→53	41→50	53→50	47	208/281/306	98	256	9	11	22%	7%	64	-0.8	203/257/317	114	247	12	9	23%	6%	56	-1.3	233/276/386	153	263	18	9	19%	5%	80	+0.3
✕Yohendrick Pinango 2023 · A	21	44→52	43→50	52→50	41	221/259/327	106	273	11	9	23%	5%	59	-1.1	206/261/312	106	261	11	10	24%	7%	56	-1.3	215/285/358	143	270	16	7	26%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Eduardo Diaz 2018 · A	21	46→44	41→50	53→50	40	225/271/329	104	291	8	14	25%	5%	65	-0.7	212/254/318	106	293	9	11	30%	4%	55	-1.4	194/237/323	130	266	15	12	33%	4%	47	-1.1
✕Oswald Peraza 2021 · A	21	44→52	38→50	52→60	42	214/270/290	76	279	6	17	25%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/375	140	299	17	28	26%	5%	84	+0.6	228/285/371	143	284	18	30	26%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Chris Nelson 2007 · A	21	43→52	42→50	49→50	38	210/252/315	105	283	8	9	29%	4%	53	-1.5	226/278/362	136	285	12	13	24%	6%	77	+0.1	228/285/376	147	281	14	14	23%	6%	82	+0.3
✕José Caballero 2018 · A	21	47→45	39→45	54→70	39	224/275/317	93	301	6	7	27%	5%	63	-0.8	223/291/334	111	281	10	19	23%	7%	76	+0.0	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
●Scott Kingery 2016 · A	22	45→51	40→55	54→55	41	217/265/309	91	268	8	12	22%	5%	57	-1.2	231/274/346	115	292	9	18	23%	5%	70	-0.3	234/282/393	159	296	17	18	26%	5%	84	+0.6
✕David Kandilas 2012 · A	21	45→44	42→45	54→55	42	219/266/335	116	281	8	12	24%	5%	63	-0.8	212/270/306	94	282	7	17	26%	7%	59	-1.1	203/266/292	89	268	7	20	26%	7%	51	-1.0
✕Christopher Bostick 2014 · A	21	43→53	43→45	52→55	40	209/264/322	113	296	10	14	32%	6%	60	-1.0	209/257/326	117	286	10	16	29%	5%	58	-1.2	242/294/361	119	311	10	7	24%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Alfredo Silverio 2008 · A	21	47→49	44→55	48→50	40	230/269/346	115	287	11	7	24%	4%	68	-0.5	225/249/351	126	289	13	6	26%	3%	61	-1.0	237/261/401	164	285	16	8	23%	3%	78	+0.2
✕Ryan Vega 2017 · A	20	44	40	54→45	41	212/260/305	93	270	8	9	24%	5%	54	-1.4	213/273/302	89	289	8	7	27%	6%	59	-1.1	191/259/271	81	269	8	6	30%	7%	44	-1.2
✕José Rodríguez 2021 · A	20	42→52	43→50	52→55	37	212/244/323	111	275	11	11	28%	4%	51	-1.7	239/271/370	131	290	14	24	22%	4%	76	+0.0	235/266/368	133	286	15	29	23%	4%	69	-0.3
●Andrew Toles 2013 · A	21	43→53	45	51→60	38	218/253/346	128	271	12	13	25%	4%	61	-1.0	240/270/336	96	327	4	28	27%	3%	65	-0.7	279/317/428	149	345	13	14	22%	4%	104	+1.0