Lisbel Diaz

OF Eugene Emeralds
Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 204 lbs A+ HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2425ETA2030MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419A/ROKSF345.291/.358/.46010986—.253/.308/.390
202520ASF561.269/.322/.405102652—.216/.255/.307
202621AA/A+/ASF482.265/.298/.488261775—.228/.256/.409
2027PROJMLE22MLBSF1.219/.250/.3650074-0.0
2028PROJ25% MLB23MLBSF117.222/.256/.3734378-0.1
2029PROJ36% MLB24MLBSF185.225/.261/.3796482-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.2M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed45
K%38
Z-Con%37
Whiff%35
ISO17
wOBA4
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 9.2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 67%
CompsA.J. Vukovich (age 22) · Yu Chang (age 22) · Eliseo Aldazaba (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .250 / .365
PA1
HR0
K%27
BB%3
BABIP267
ISO156
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Arb-1$0.2M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202318 ROKDSL Giants Orange — 8877 24203 7103 13 312391455845 143323 118 376 59 — — — — — —
202419 ASan Jose Giants — 255233 651236 14486 83 279336433769 155326 195 340 82 — — — — — —
202419 ROKACL Giants — 9076 25404 8154 11 329420539960 211356 179 415 99 — — — — — —
202520 ASan Jose Giants — 561516 13932410 331057 266 269322405727 136319 196 322 52 — — — — — —
202621 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 9488 17202 2251 81 193220284504 91234 272 219 19 — — — — — —
202621 A+Eugene Emeralds — 360341 9717221 13602 97 284314531845 246289 174 364 87 — — — — — —
202621 ASan Jose Giants — 2824 6003 450 00 250357625982 375188 1814 420 105 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202318 ROK MLEDSL Giants Orange — 8879 17102 5123 13 215287304591 89231 146 256 59 — — — — — —
202419 A MLESan Jose Giants — 255237 591035 10686 83 249296380676 131319 274 289 82 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Giants — 9079 21303 5224 11 266341418759 152298 246 314 99 — — — — — —
202520 A MLESan Jose Giants — 561528 1142246 211497 266 216255307562 91281 274 245 52 — — — — — —
202621 AA MLERichmond Flying Squirrels — 9488 16202 2301 81 182209273482 91227 322 197 19 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 360346 8414217 9812 97 243266442708 199259 222 297 87 — — — — — —
202621 A MLESan Jose Giants — 2825 5002 370 00 200286440726 240169 2511 323 105 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Giants Orange — 8879 17102 5123 13 215287304591 89227 146 256 59 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWDSL Giants Orange — 8877 24203 7103 13 312391455845 143323 118 376 59 — — — — — —
202419 A MLE2 teams — 345316 801338 159010 94 253308389697 136324 264 296 86 — — — — — —
202419 A RAW2 teams — 345309 9016310 226310 94 291358460817 168333 186 360 86 — — — — — —
202520 A MLESan Jose Giants — 561528 1142246 211497 266 216255307562 91286 274 245 52 — — — — — —
202520 A RAWSan Jose Giants — 561516 13932410 331057 266 269322405727 136319 196 322 52 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE3 teams — 482460 10415221 131183 178 226252404656 178254 243 279 75 — — — — — —
202621 A+ RAW3 teams — 482453 12019226 19903 178 265298488786 223274 194 339 75 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Giants Orange — 8880 17102 5123 13 212287300587 87231 146 256 59 — — — — — —
202419 A MLE2 teams — 345317 801338 159010 94 252308388696 136314 264 296 86 — — — — — —
202520 A MLESan Jose Giants — 561528 1142246 211497 266 216255307562 91281 274 245 52 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE3 teams — 482463 10415221 131183 178 225252402654 177248 243 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 A MLE2 teams — 345317 801338 159010 94 252308388696 136314 264 296 86 — — — — — —
202520 A MLESan Jose Giants — 561528 1142246 211497 266 216255307562 91281 274 245 52 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE3 teams — 482463 10415221 131183 178 225252402654 177248 243 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLESF 0% 592563 12621320 191575 145 223254377631 154271 273 277 74 -19 +1 +1 -4 +13 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202722 MLB CTXSF 0% 11 0000 000 00 219250365614 146267 00 270 74 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLESF 25% 467444 10017216 161214 114 227261386647 159272 263 284 78 -12 +1 +1 -3 +10 -0.3
202924 MLB MLESF 36% 510481 11019218 201304 124 230266393659 163274 254 289 82 -11 +1 +1 -3 +11 -0.1
203025 MLB MLESF 43% 537506 11720319 221364 124 231270395665 164275 254 292 84 -10 +1 +1 -3 +12 0.0
203126 MLB MLESF 47% 551517 12121320 241395 125 232272396668 164275 254 294 85 -10 +0 +1 -3 +12 0.0
203227 MLB MLESF 48% 555519 12221320 261395 125 231274394668 162276 255 294 85 -10 +0 +1 -3 +12 0.1
203328 MLB MLESF 48% 550515 11820219 261394 104 230272389661 160275 255 291 83 -11 +0 +1 -3 +12 -0.1
203429 MLB MLESF 48% 539505 11520218 251384 84 227269383652 156273 265 287 81 -13 +0 -0 -3 +12 -0.4
202823 MLB CTXSF 25% 117111 25414 4301 31 222256373629 151268 263 277 78 -3 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.1
202924 MLB CTXSF 36% 185175 40716 7471 42 225261379641 154270 254 282 82 -4 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.1
203025 MLB CTXSF 43% 230216 50918 10582 52 226265382647 156271 254 285 84 -4 +0 +1 -1 +5 -0.0
203126 MLB CTXSF 47% 257242 551019 11652 62 227268382650 156271 254 286 85 -5 +0 +1 -2 +6 0.0
203227 MLB CTXSF 48% 264248 561019 12662 62 226269380650 154272 255 286 85 -5 +0 +1 -2 +6 0.0
203328 MLB CTXSF 48% 265249 561019 12672 52 225267376643 151271 255 284 83 -5 +0 +0 -2 +6 -0.1
203429 MLB CTXSF 48% 256240 53918 12662 42 222264370635 148269 265 280 81 -6 +0 -0 -2 +6 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 15741481 33559753 6839912 3313 226266383649 157272 254 283 78 -32 +1 +3 -9 +34 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650612 13824322 281655 145 225265382647 157271 254 283 78 -13 +1 +1 -4 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 53955069 116319727174 220136755 13553 229269382651 152277 254 284 78 -84 +4 +8 -24 +85 -1.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650611 14024321 271657 166 229270381652 152277 254 284 78 -14 +1 +1 -4 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Eugene Emeralds · 360 PAwOBA .355 → .297 (−58)K% 16.7% → 22.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷1.000×1.350——22.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.33%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0272.43%
HBP% /PA0.56%—×0.810—×1.0270.46%
Singles /BIP20.28%÷1.000×0.910×0.993×1.02718.82%
Doubles /BIP6.05%÷1.000×0.830×0.993×1.0275.12%
Triples /BIP0.71%÷1.000×0.820×0.993×1.0270.60%
Home runs /BIP7.47%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0276.37%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .355 → .297; ISO .246 → .200; BABIP .289 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 94 PAwOBA .220 → .197 (−23)K% 26.6% → 32.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.60%÷1.000×1.220——32.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.13%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0501.56%
HBP% /PA1.06%—×0.850—×1.0500.95%
Singles /BIP20.63%÷1.000×0.970×0.970×1.05020.39%
Doubles /BIP3.17%÷1.000×0.860×0.970×1.0502.78%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.950×0.970×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP3.17%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0502.60%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .220 → .197; ISO .091 → .074; BABIP .234 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ASan Jose Giants · 28 PAwOBA .408 → .323 (−84)K% 17.9% → 24.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.86%÷1.000×1.360——24.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷1.000×0.690—×1.01510.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP15.79%÷1.000×0.920—×1.01514.74%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0150.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP15.79%÷1.000×0.800—×1.01512.82%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .408 → .323; ISO .375 → .295; BABIP .188 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ASan Jose Giants · 561 PAwOBA .315 → .245 (−70)K% 18.7% → 26.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.72%÷0.962×1.360——26.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.70%÷1.055×0.690—×1.0303.84%
HBP% /PA1.25%—×0.780—×1.0301.00%
Singles /BIP22.63%÷1.007×0.920×0.995×1.03021.18%
Doubles /BIP7.79%÷1.138×0.830×0.995×1.0305.82%
Triples /BIP0.97%÷0.902×0.910×0.995×1.0301.01%
Home runs /BIP2.43%÷1.358×0.800—×1.0301.48%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 101, 2B 128, 3B 80, K 92, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .315 → .245; ISO .136 → .092; BABIP .319 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ASan Jose Giants · 255 PAwOBA .334 → .289 (−45)K% 18.8% → 26.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.82%÷0.957×1.360——26.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.49%÷0.966×0.690—×1.0454.10%
HBP% /PA2.35%—×0.780—×1.0451.92%
Singles /BIP23.78%÷0.961×0.920×1.014×1.04524.12%
Doubles /BIP6.49%÷1.012×0.830×1.014×1.0455.64%
Triples /BIP1.62%÷1.000×0.910×1.014×1.0451.56%
Home runs /BIP3.24%÷0.959×0.800—×1.0452.83%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 102, 3B 100, K 91, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .334 → .289; ISO .155 → .127; BABIP .326 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Giants · 90 PAwOBA .413 → .314 (−100)K% 16.7% → 24.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷0.997×1.440——24.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.89%÷1.062×0.620—×1.0085.23%
HBP% /PA4.44%—×0.720—×1.0083.22%
Singles /BIP27.87%÷1.003×0.820×1.048×1.00824.06%
Doubles /BIP6.56%÷0.927×0.720×1.048×1.0085.38%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720×1.048×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP6.56%÷1.178×0.780—×1.0084.38%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 101, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .413 → .314; ISO .211 → .148; BABIP .356 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Giants Orange · 88 PAwOBA .370 → .256 (−114)K% 11.4% → 13.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.36%÷0.997×1.220——13.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.95%÷1.027×0.700—×1.0085.46%
HBP% /PA3.41%—×0.700—×1.0082.40%
Singles /BIP28.36%÷0.952×0.680×1.030×1.00821.03%
Doubles /BIP2.99%÷0.993×0.600×1.030×1.0081.87%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.600×1.030×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP4.48%÷0.949×0.470—×1.0082.23%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 90, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .370 → .256; ISO .143 → .077; BABIP .323 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).