Josh Adamczewski

LF Biloxi Shuckers
Age 22 L/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP40OGV rank#159ETA2028MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419A/ROK2 orgs183.322/.459/.4863897—.247/.350/.374
202520A+/A/ROK/INTL3 orgs390.311/.426/.500911124—.272/.358/.389
202621AA/A+MIL494.300/.420/.5091818118—.264/.357/.442
2027PROJMLE22MLBMIL4.243/.335/.397001090.0
2028PROJ49% MLB23MLBMIL220.247/.338/.409751130.5
2029PROJ65% MLB24MLBMIL319.249/.339/.4151071150.8
Next 3 projected WAR 1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$4M2032Arb-2$6M2033Arb-3$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
wRC+80
wOBA79
Z-Con%79
K%77
BB%75
ISO70
Career WAR0.4 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 18, comp-based) · star 7% · didn't stick 56%
CompsBrian Goodwin (age 22) · Alejandro Kirk (age 22) · Colt Keith (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†109
AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .335 / .397
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%11
BABIP292
ISO158
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +2.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+2BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -1.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: -2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.90+0.9WAR
0.00.81.60.00.50.81.01.11.00.827282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$23M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.5$2M+$1M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.8$3M+$2M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.0$6M+$6M
2031Arb-1$4M+1.1$6M+$4M
2032Arb-2$6M+1.0$5M+$2M
2033Arb-3$7M+0.8$2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $12M $25M +$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202419 ACarolina Mudcats — 4133 9501 7101 00 273415515930 242364 2417 411 102 — — — — — —
202419 ROKACL Brewers — 142113 381002 26263 83 336472478950 142424 1818 429 96 — — — — — —
202520 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 6556 11300 8110 30 196297250547 54239 1712 257 31 — — — — — —
202520 ACarolina Mudcats — 206167 601245 29375 40 3594655691.034 210426 1814 444 144 — — — — — —
202520 ROKACL Brewers — 3730 10310 650 01 333444500944 167385 1416 408 84 — — — — — —
202520 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 8265 18504 15171 41 277420538958 262311 2118 416 167 — — — — — —
202621 AABiloxi Shuckers — 283241 671619 37554 81 278383465848 187326 1913 377 101 — — — — — —
202621 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 211166 551119 41402 101 3314695721.041 241387 1919 452 141 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202419 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 4135 8401 5131 00 229341429770 200324 3212 319 102 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 142123 31702 16373 83 252352358710 106342 2611 310 96 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 6558 9200 6150 30 155234190424 34216 239 214 31 — — — — — —
202520 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 206176 551033 21495 40 312401455856 142399 2410 381 144 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 3732 8210 470 01 250333375708 125285 1911 293 84 — — — — — —
202621 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 283252 621518 26674 81 246326409735 163301 249 317 101 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 211177 51918 30512 101 288397486883 198348 2414 376 141 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLE2 teams — 183158 381102 21514 83 241344348692 108343 2811 312 97 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAW2 teams — 183146 471503 33364 83 322459486945 164411 2018 425 97 — — — — — —
202520 A MLE4 teams — 390338 931954 39906 112 275360396757 121355 2310 335 113 — — — — — —
202520 A RAW4 teams — 390318 992359 58706 112 311426500926 189366 1815 403 113 — — — — — —
202621 AA MLE2 teams — 494429 11224215 561186 182 261354431786 170324 2411 342 118 — — — — — —
202621 AA RAW2 teams — 494407 12227218 78956 182 300420509928 209350 1916 409 118 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLE2 teams — 183156 381102 21514 83 244344353697 109338 2811 312 97 — — — — — —
202520 A MLE4 teams — 390342 931954 39906 112 272360392752 120347 2310 335 113 — — — — — —
202621 AA MLE2 teams — 494429 11224215 561186 182 261354431786 170321 2411 342 118 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLE2 teams — 183156 381102 21514 83 244344353697 109338 2811 312 97 — — — — — —
202520 A MLE4 teams — 390342 931954 39906 112 272360392752 120347 2310 335 113 — — — — — —
202621 AA MLE2 teams — 494429 11224215 561186 182 261354431786 170321 2411 342 118 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEMIL 2% 572498 12326315 631276 122 246337399736 153297 2211 330 109 +6 +2 -4 -6 +12 0.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202722 MLB CTXMIL 2% 44 1000 010 00 243335397732 154292 250 328 109 +0 +0 -0 -0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEMIL 49% 447390 9720213 49975 91 249340410750 161298 2211 335 113 +7 +1 -3 -5 +10 1.0
202924 MLB MLEMIL 65% 489428 10722215 531055 101 251342416758 165298 2111 338 115 +9 +2 -3 -5 +11 1.3
203025 MLB MLEMIL 73% 515449 11323216 561115 101 252342418760 167298 2211 338 115 +9 +2 -3 -6 +11 1.4
203126 MLB MLEMIL 76% 528460 11624216 571146 101 251341418758 166297 2211 338 115 +9 +2 -3 -6 +11 1.4
203227 MLB MLEMIL 76% 531464 11624216 571155 101 250339415753 165297 2211 336 113 +8 +2 -3 -6 +12 1.3
203328 MLB MLEMIL 76% 527461 11423216 561165 81 248337410747 162296 2211 333 112 +7 +1 -4 -6 +11 1.1
203429 MLB MLEMIL 74% 516451 11123215 551155 71 246334404738 158295 2211 330 109 +6 +1 -4 -6 +11 0.8
203530 MLB MLEMIL 73% 504441 10722214 531145 61 243331396727 153293 2311 325 106 +4 +1 -5 -5 +11 0.5
203631 MLB MLEMIL 73% 487429 10321213 511124 41 239326387713 148291 2310 320 102 +1 +0 -6 -5 +11 0.2
203732 MLB MLEMIL 72% 466411 9619212 481094 32 233320374694 140287 2310 312 97 -1 -0 -6 -5 +10 -0.3
203833 MLB MLEMIL 72% 431381 8617110 441033 33 227312358671 132282 2410 303 91 -5 -1 -7 -5 +9 -0.7
203934 MLB MLEMIL 68% 374331 721418 37923 29 219303340643 121275 2510 291 83 -7 -3 -7 -4 +8 -1.4
202823 MLB CTXMIL 49% 220192 47917 24482 51 247338409747 162292 2211 333 113 +3 +1 -1 -2 +5 0.5
202924 MLB CTXMIL 65% 319278 6914110 35693 71 249339415755 167293 2211 336 115 +6 +1 -2 -3 +7 0.8
203025 MLB CTXMIL 73% 374326 8216212 41804 71 249339417757 168293 2111 337 115 +7 +1 -2 -4 +8 1.0
203126 MLB CTXMIL 76% 402352 8817213 43874 81 249338417755 168292 2211 336 115 +7 +1 -2 -4 +9 1.1
203227 MLB CTXMIL 76% 404354 8817213 43884 71 247336414750 166292 2211 334 113 +6 +1 -2 -4 +9 1.0
203328 MLB CTXMIL 76% 401351 8617212 43884 61 246335409744 163291 2211 332 112 +6 +1 -3 -4 +9 0.8
203429 MLB CTXMIL 74% 383335 8316212 41854 51 243332403735 160290 2211 328 109 +4 +1 -3 -4 +8 0.6
203530 MLB CTXMIL 73% 369324 7815111 39833 41 240328395724 155288 2211 324 106 +3 +0 -4 -4 +8 0.4
203631 MLB CTXMIL 73% 354311 7314110 37813 31 236324385709 149286 2310 318 102 +1 +0 -4 -4 +8 0.1
203732 MLB CTXMIL 72% 337296 681319 35793 22 231318372690 141282 2310 310 97 -1 -0 -4 -4 +7 -0.2
203833 MLB CTXMIL 72% 311274 621118 32752 32 225310357667 132277 2410 301 91 -3 -0 -5 -3 +7 -0.5
203934 MLB CTXMIL 68% 253224 49916 25622 16 216301338639 122271 2510 290 83 -5 -2 -5 -3 +5 -0.9
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 41273617 87316817123 43892538 5819 241330399729 158289 2211 324 108 +33 +4 -37 -44 +89 4.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650570 13726319 691466 93 240329396725 156289 2211 324 108 +5 +1 -6 -7 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 70926204 152631530191 755160973 12431 246335399734 153300 2311 327 108 +49 +8 -54 -65 +131 7.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650569 14129318 691477 113 248337404741 156301 2311 327 108 +5 +1 -6 -7 +14 0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AABiloxi Shuckers · 283 PAwOBA .369 → .317 (−51)K% 19.4% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.43%÷1.000×1.220——23.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.07%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0509.33%
HBP% /PA1.41%—×0.840—×1.0501.25%
Singles /BIP22.04%÷1.000×0.920×0.969×1.05020.63%
Doubles /BIP8.60%÷1.000×0.910×0.969×1.0507.96%
Triples /BIP0.54%÷1.000×0.880×0.969×1.0500.48%
Home runs /BIP4.84%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0504.06%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .369 → .317; ISO .187 → .163; BABIP .326 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 211 PAwOBA .445 → .376 (−68)K% 19.0% → 24.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.96%÷1.000×1.270——24.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.43%÷1.000×0.710—×1.02714.17%
HBP% /PA0.95%—×0.790—×1.0270.77%
Singles /BIP26.98%÷1.000×0.920×0.996×1.02725.39%
Doubles /BIP8.73%÷1.000×0.810×0.996×1.0277.23%
Triples /BIP0.79%÷1.000×0.850×0.996×1.0270.69%
Home runs /BIP7.14%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0275.87%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .445 → .376; ISO .241 → .203; BABIP .387 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ACarolina Mudcats · 206 PAwOBA .441 → .381 (−60)K% 18.0% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.96%÷1.033×1.360——23.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.08%÷0.981×0.690—×1.03010.20%
HBP% /PA2.43%—×0.780—×1.0301.95%
Singles /BIP30.00%÷0.948×0.920×0.993×1.03029.75%
Doubles /BIP9.23%÷1.002×0.830×0.993×1.0307.81%
Triples /BIP3.08%÷1.150×0.910×0.993×1.0302.49%
Home runs /BIP3.85%÷1.214×0.800—×1.0302.61%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .441 → .381; ISO .210 → .163; BABIP .426 → .399. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 65 PAwOBA .255 → .214 (−41)K% 16.9% → 22.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.92%÷0.943×1.270——22.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.31%÷0.965×0.710—×1.0429.44%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP17.78%÷1.023×0.920×0.992×1.04216.53%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷1.013×0.810×0.992×1.0425.51%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.850×0.992×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.246×0.800—×1.0420.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 89, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .255 → .214; ISO .054 → .043; BABIP .239 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Brewers · 37 PAwOBA .409 → .293 (−116)K% 13.5% → 20.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.51%÷0.973×1.440——20.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.22%÷1.011×0.620—×0.9959.89%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP24.00%÷1.031×0.820—×0.99519.00%
Doubles /BIP12.00%÷1.109×0.720—×0.9957.76%
Triples /BIP4.00%÷1.001×0.720—×0.9952.86%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.971×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 106, 2B 122, 3B 100, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .409 → .293; ISO .167 → .117; BABIP .385 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Brewers · 142 PAwOBA .419 → .310 (−109)K% 18.3% → 26.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.31%÷1.002×1.440——26.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.31%÷1.014×0.620—×1.00811.28%
HBP% /PA2.11%—×0.720—×1.0081.53%
Singles /BIP29.89%÷1.015×0.820×1.050×1.00825.55%
Doubles /BIP11.49%÷1.088×0.720×1.050×1.0088.05%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720×1.050×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP2.30%÷0.947×0.780—×1.0081.91%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .419 → .310; ISO .142 → .105; BABIP .424 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ACarolina Mudcats · 41 PAwOBA .401 → .319 (−82)K% 24.4% → 32.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.39%÷1.013×1.360——32.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.07%÷0.980×0.690—×1.04512.56%
HBP% /PA2.44%—×0.780—×1.0451.99%
Singles /BIP13.04%÷1.066×0.920—×1.04511.77%
Doubles /BIP21.74%÷0.962×0.830—×1.04519.59%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.007×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP4.35%÷1.101×0.800—×1.0453.30%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 113, 2B 92, 3B 101, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .401 → .319; ISO .242 → .193; BABIP .364 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .