Josh AdamczewskiSS Wisconsin Timber Rattlers
Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 190 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 ROS PROJECTION301 act + 200 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†109
AVG/OBP/SLG.252 / .342 / .401
PA200
HR5
SB6
K%23
BB%11
BABIP315
ISO149
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +10.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+11BATRUN: +3.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: -2.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-3FLDPOS: +5.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+5POSREP: +14.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: +3.20+3.2WAR
0.01.53.00.02.22.62.82.92.92.92.8+$120M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 51
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT52
scouting grade only
POWER51
scouting grade only
EYE59
scouting grade only
SPEED49
scouting grade only
DEFENSE38
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.6$18M+$17M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.8$18M+$17M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.9$17M+$17M
2031Arb-1$6M+2.9$16M+$12M
2032Arb-2$10M+2.9$15M+$9M
2033Arb-3$14M+2.8$13M+$7M
Totals $33M $97M +$79M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202419 ROK2 teams 183159 371102 20514 83 233333340673 107330 2811 304 91
202419 ROK2 teams 183146 471503 33364 83 322459486945 164411 2018 425 183
202520 A4 teams 390341 931844 36936 112 273352384737 111355 249 327 108
202520 A4 teams 390318 992359 58706 112 311426500926 189366 1815 403 167
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 A+MIL 301260 6914110 36733 131 265361442804 177330 2412 350 126 +9 +2 +0 +3 +9 2.3
YTD21 A+MIL 301245 7917112 51553 131 322445547992 224372 1817 434 190 +31 +2 +0 +3 +9 4.5
ROS21 A+MIL 0% 200174 44915 22472 61 252342401743 149310 2311 328 109 +2 +1 -3 +2 +6 0.8
ROS21 MLBMIL 0% 11 0000 000 00 307 00 316 100 +0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL21 A+MIL 302261 6914110 36733 131 264360441801 176328 2412 350 126 +9 +2 -0 +3 +9 2.3
TOT21 A+MIL 501434 11323215 581205 192 260354426779 166324 2412 341 119 +11 +3 -3 +5 +14 3.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBMIL 43% 520452 11423313 571206 111 252344403746 150310 2311 330 111 +6 +2 -7 +6 +15 2.2
202823 MLBMIL 61% 534465 11924315 581216 111 256346417763 161309 2311 336 116 +9 +2 -7 +6 +15 2.6
202924 MLBMIL 66% 539470 12124316 581216 111 257346423770 166309 2211 340 119 +11 +2 -7 +6 +15 2.8
203025 MLBMIL 69% 538469 12124316 581206 111 258347424771 166309 2211 343 120 +12 +2 -7 +6 +15 2.9
203126 MLBMIL 70% 538468 12124316 591206 101 259349425774 167309 2211 344 121 +13 +2 -7 +6 +15 2.9
203227 MLBMIL 69% 537467 12024316 591206 101 257348424772 167309 2211 344 121 +13 +2 -7 +6 +15 2.9
203328 MLBMIL 68% 532462 11824216 591196 101 255347420767 165309 2211 343 121 +12 +2 -7 +6 +15 2.8
203429 MLBMIL 67% 522453 11623216 581186 91 256348422770 166308 2311 341 119 +11 +1 -8 +6 +15 2.6
203530 MLBMIL 66% 511443 11222215 571176 81 253346413759 160307 2311 339 117 +10 +1 -9 +5 +14 2.3
203631 MLBMIL 65% 497433 10721214 561155 81 247340402742 155305 2311 335 114 +8 +1 -9 +5 +14 2.0
203732 MLBMIL 65% 482420 10220213 541145 71 243336393729 150302 2411 329 110 +6 +1 -10 +5 +14 1.6
203833 MLBMIL 65% 449391 9418212 501085 61 240334389723 148298 2411 322 105 +2 +1 -10 +5 +13 1.1
203934 MLBMIL 60% 403352 8215210 441004 51 233325372697 139292 2511 314 98 -1 +1 -10 +4 +11 0.6
204035 MLBMIL 56% 348304 681218 38893 40 224316349665 125286 2611 304 90 -4 +1 -10 +4 +10 0.1
202722 MLBMIL 43% 225195 481015 25523 51 246341385725 138307 2311 319 103 +1 +1 -3 +2 +6 0.7
202823 MLBMIL 61% 325283 721429 35744 71 254345413758 159307 2311 325 107 +3 +1 -4 +3 +9 1.2
202924 MLBMIL 66% 357311 7916210 39804 71 254345415759 161307 2211 329 110 +4 +1 -5 +4 +10 1.5
203025 MLBMIL 69% 370323 8216211 40824 71 254343418761 164306 2211 331 112 +5 +1 -5 +4 +10 1.6
203126 MLBMIL 70% 376328 8417211 41844 71 256346421767 165306 2211 332 113 +5 +1 -5 +4 +11 1.7
203227 MLBMIL 69% 370322 8216211 41834 71 255346419765 165306 2211 332 113 +5 +1 -5 +4 +10 1.6
203328 MLBMIL 68% 364317 8116211 40824 71 256346423769 167306 2311 332 112 +5 +1 -5 +4 +10 1.5
203429 MLBMIL 67% 348302 7615210 39794 61 252345414759 162305 2311 330 111 +4 +1 -5 +4 +10 1.4
203530 MLBMIL 66% 336291 7314110 38774 61 251345409754 158305 2311 328 109 +3 +1 -6 +4 +10 1.2
203631 MLBMIL 65% 324281 691419 36754 51 246340399738 153303 2311 324 106 +2 +1 -6 +3 +9 1.0
203732 MLBMIL 65% 312271 651318 35743 51 240333384717 144300 2411 319 102 +1 +1 -6 +3 +9 0.7
203833 MLBMIL 65% 290253 591117 32703 40 233326368694 134296 2411 312 97 -1 +1 -6 +3 +8 0.5
203934 MLBMIL 60% 242211 49916 27602 30 232325370695 137290 2511 304 91 -3 +1 -6 +3 +7 0.1
204035 MLBMIL 56% 193168 38714 21492 20 226319351671 125283 2511 294 83 -4 +0 -6 +2 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 44333857 95718821122 489102149 7811 248340403743 155305 2311 324 106 +31 +11 -72 +47 +126 14.6
/ 162G 650566 14128318 721507 112 249342405746 155306 2311 324 106 +5 +1 -11 +7 +18 2.1
Career 77236723 168933638207 843179388 14619 251342405747 154311 2311 333 113 +114 +22 -116 +83 +219 32.8
/ 162G 650566 14128317 711517 122 249340399739 150308 2311 333 113 +10 +2 -10 +7 +18 2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202419 ACarolina Mudcats 4133 9501 7101 00 273415515930 242364 2417 411 172 +3 +0 +1 0.5
202419 ROKACL Brewers 142113 381002 26263 83 336472478950 142424 1818 429 186 +14 +0 +4 1.9
202520 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers 6556 11300 8110 30 196297250547 54239 1712 257 55 -3 +1 +2 -0.1
202520 ACarolina Mudcats 206167 601245 29375 40 3594655691.034 210426 1814 444 198 +23 +1 +6 3.0
202520 ROKACL Brewers 3730 10310 650 01 333444500944 167385 1416 408 170 +3 -0 +1 0.4
202520 INTLSurprise Saguaros 8265 18504 15171 41 277420538958 262311 2118 416 176 +7 +0 +2 1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21
career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA
157,40119591266329423+58+1138.232.2
/162664178+5.2+1.03.4pk7: 26
#2Jason Variteklast yr '11
career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA
125,04716622255343431+61+1533.130.8
/162664223+8.0+1.94.4pk7: 28
#3Dan Ugglalast yr '15
career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA
105,50923526241336447+20-1728.728.7
/162664283+2.4-2.13.5pk7: 29
#4Ian Desmondlast yr '19
career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA
115,944181181263315427+30-425.824.9
/1626642020+3.3-0.42.9pk7: 24
#5Jason Kipnislast yr '20
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA
104,984126136260333416+18-1122.621.9
/1626641718+2.4-1.43.0pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
94,43512577251339410+44-4225.420.9
/1626641912+6.6-6.33.8pk7: 16
#6Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA
104,23813437256308421+45-1017.017.2
/162664216+7.1-1.52.7pk7: 18

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Josh Adamczewski (OGILVIE) 21 44→52 46→51 50→49 59 260/354/426 166324 1519 24% 12% 119 +3.2
J.P. Crawford
2016 · AA
21 53→58 41→45 48→50 54 253/321/356 103294 813 16% 9% 92 +1.2 215/289/317 102264 99 21% 9% 70 -0.3 264/356/39112630811217%11%114+2.9
LaMonte Wade Jr.
2016 · A
22 46→56 45→55 55→45 54 229/308/356 127264 1310 19% 9% 88 +0.9 237/317/348 111278 118 18% 9% 90 +1.0 247/347/44019227924420%12%124+2.4
Kolten Wong
2012 · A
21 50→60 45→55 48→55 47 245/294/372 127273 1112 15% 6% 85 +0.7 253/296/364 111293 919 16% 5% 84 +0.6 274/349/416141313132016%8%116+2.0
Vaughn Grissom
2022 · A
21 53→63 42→50 54→55 49 251/323/361 110311 912 21% 8% 95 +1.4 276/339/408 132330 1317 19% 7% 114 +2.7 278/342/406128330121819%7%111+2.1
Justin Yurchak
2018 · A
21 51→61 44→45 49→40 53 251/319/370 119297 124 19% 9% 95 +1.4 229/292/323 94289 73 22% 8% 72 -0.2 283/345/39311035111221%8%110+1.4
Colin Moran
2014 · A
21 50→57 42→55 50→30 46 239/292/343 104298 96 22% 7% 77 +0.1 246/290/349 103323 83 25% 6% 78 +0.2 272/326/42615432218021%7%109+1.7
Richi Sanchez
2015 · A
21 49 38→45 49→50 53 229/311/311 82291 58 22% 10% 78 +0.2 212/272/290 78279 37 23% 7% 55 -1.4 202/252/280792550620%6%40-0.6
TJ Friedl
2017 · A
21 48→54 42→50 51→55 42 229/286/340 110309 811 27% 6% 74 -0.1 225/293/323 98295 615 24% 7% 73 -0.1 248/339/390142278161816%10%108+2.0
Graham Pauley
2023 · A
22 45→52 46→55 48→50 52 224/303/356 132269 1312 22% 9% 86 +0.8 237/303/415 178282 2211 24% 8% 102 +1.8 230/299/411181267231123%8%96+1.1
Carlos Vidal
2017 · A
21 48 43→45 49→50 48 234/302/348 114288 1012 22% 7% 83 +0.6 232/278/326 94303 67 24% 5% 66 -0.6 237/281/332953085624%5%65-0.3
Brian Goodwin
2013 · AA
22 47→53 46→60 48→50 49 229/305/362 133299 1313 27% 9% 89 +0.9 214/286/331 117295 1013 29% 9% 72 -0.2 245/312/443198315231128%8%108+1.4
Alejandro Kirk
2020 · A
21 51→57 45→50 50→40 55 247/323/379 133279 114 16% 10% 100 +1.7 254/330/396 142281 153 15% 10% 108 +2.3 262/347/39313127616011%11%111+1.7
Aaron Hicks
2011 · A
21 47→57 42→55 48→55 51 224/303/333 109306 812 28% 10% 79 +0.3 220/292/355 135307 1116 30% 9% 81 +0.4 242/354/440197274251121%14%127+2.4
Juan Brito
2023 · A
21 48→49 47→50 48→45 53 234/319/377 143286 1311 22% 10% 98 +1.6 227/305/369 142277 149 22% 9% 91 +1.1 218/298/35914126415922%9%83+0.4
Brandon Marsh
2019 · A
21 48→58 42→55 52→50 42 224/284/335 111330 910 33% 7% 72 -0.2 222/282/327 105333 814 33% 7% 69 -0.4 260/342/424164362171630%11%117+2.2
Drake Baldwin
2023 · A
22 49→53 38→55 50→30 48 226/306/304 78321 58 29% 9% 74 -0.1 243/314/386 143304 162 24% 9% 98 +1.6 261/335/42716629723120%9%116+2.1
CJ Abrams
2021 · A
20 50→53 42→60 54→60 45 242/287/364 122283 814 18% 5% 80 +0.4 248/295/367 119308 1025 22% 5% 85 +0.7 255/324/446192293222821%7%115+2.5
Jackson Merrill
2023 · A
20 51→58 43→60 51→50 41 243/289/357 114324 1012 27% 6% 79 +0.3 266/308/443 177302 2111 19% 6% 111 +2.5 274/317/469196304231018%6%119+2.7
Colt Keith
2023 · A
21 49→54 49→55 53→45 44 238/301/393 155334 168 32% 8% 95 +1.4 255/311/423 168318 205 25% 7% 106 +2.2 260/320/42516531620423%8%108+2.0
Thairo Estrada
2017 · A
21 51→59 42→55 47→55 44 250/294/354 104298 1012 20% 6% 81 +0.4 249/289/348 99294 99 18% 4% 77 +0.1 280/334/443164322192119%6%118+2.4