Jose M. Rodriguez
P
Tampa Tarpons
Age 22
RHP
5'11" / 160 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 155146vR 137
ERA6.09
FIP6.09
K%15.9%
BB%18.3%
K-BB%-2.5%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 86 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 6 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 27.0% | -5.4% | 2.7% | 9.00 | 6.18 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 6 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 27.0% | -5.4% | 2.7% | 9.00 | 7.60 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 13 | 72 | 310 | 73 | 46 | 3 | 76% | 4.2 | 16.6% | 18.1% | -1.6% | 1.8% | 3.38 | 5.01 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 13 | 72 | 310 | 73 | 46 | 3 | 76% | 4.2 | 23.5% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 1.0% | 3.38 | 3.53 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 20 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 46 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 23.6% | 18.0% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 2.94 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYY | 50 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 35 | 41 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.9% | 18.3% | -2.5% | 3.0% | 6.09 | 6.09 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.9% | 18.3% | -2.5% | 3.0% | 6.09 | 6.09 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 86 | 366 | 81 | 63 | 9 | — | — | 22.2% | 17.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 4.86 | 5.42 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 40 | 37 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 16.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.74 | 5.63 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 44 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 14.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.46 | 5.35 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 16.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.74 | 5.63 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 31 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 14.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.46 | 5.35 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 63 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 51 | 42 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.57 | 5.08 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 155 | 128 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.57 | 5.08 | +0.7 | ||
| Career | — | 43 | 13 | 112 | 491 | 93 | 92 | 9 | 30% | 2.6 | 19.0% | 18.8% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 3.55 | 4.91 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 77 | 23 | 200 | 879 | 167 | 165 | 17 | 30% | 2.6 | 19.0% | 18.8% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 3.55 | 4.91 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose M. Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.09 | 15.9% | 18.3% | 3.0% | — | 5.49 | 18.1% | 2.8% | 110 | -0.60 | — | — | — |
| Blake Quinn R 2027 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 85 |
| Justin Ferrell R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.48 | 14.9% | 14.0% | 3.4% | .261 | 4.31 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 173 | -1.17 | 3.80 | 300 | 83 |
| Ryan Cardona R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.30 | 20.9% | 17.7% | 3.1% | .274 | 4.20 | 18.5% | 4.3% | 292 | -1.10 | 3.46 | 367 | 82 |
| Ted Stuka R 2028 · 5.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.78 | 12.4% | 23.4% | 1.4% | .262 | 6.34 | 15.9% | -13.1% | 41 | +0.56 | 5.51 | 105 | 80 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.10 | 16.5% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .243 | 4.62 | 16.6% | 3.7% | 218 | -0.48 | 3.59 | 327 | 80 |
| Kyle Wilcox R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.93 | 16.2% | 22.0% | 0.8% | .330 | 4.51 | 27.1% | 10.4% | 140 | -0.42 | 2.77 | 310 | 80 |
| Jordan Brink R 2027 · 5.96 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.96 | 18.3% | 19.2% | 3.6% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 132 | 80 |
| Garrett Nuss R 2026 · 5.91 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.91 | 14.1% | 14.9% | 3.8% | .352 | 4.67 | 15.0% | 5.3% | 92 | -1.24 | 4.56 | 174 | 80 |
| Johsson Arias R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.43 | 8.5% | 17.1% | 1.6% | .244 | 3.64 | 15.9% | 4.4% | 77 | -1.79 | 3.46 | 117 | 79 |
| Josh White R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.45 | 17.7% | 13.9% | 3.8% | .244 | 3.02 | 28.9% | 17.7% | 167 | -2.43 | 1.95 | 232 | 79 |
| Austin Amaral R 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.80 | 12.1% | 14.4% | 3.4% | .254 | 3.65 | 17.6% | 5.7% | 99 | -2.15 | 3.55 | 122 | 79 |
| Drew Conover R 2027 · 6.30 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.30 | 15.6% | 29.8% | 1.4% | .272 | 5.34 | 11.7% | -3.6% | 96 | -0.96 | 4.52 | 135 | 78 |
| Eury Rosado R 2026 · 6.29 FIP | 22 | SW | 6.29 | 17.8% | 18.2% | 4.4% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 109 | 78 |
| Cole Aker R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.51 | 19.5% | 20.6% | 2.6% | .239 | 6.10 | 12.0% | -9.9% | 28 | +0.59 | 3.60 | 147 | 78 |
| Luis De La Cruz R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.15 | 13.0% | 19.2% | 1.3% | .331 | 5.65 | 20.6% | -2.5% | 45 | +0.50 | 3.55 | 139 | 78 |
| Jake Eddington R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.98 | 18.8% | 24.1% | 0.7% | .316 | 5.09 | 15.8% | -4.0% | 85 | +0.11 | 4.88 | 114 | 78 |
| Alberto Tirado R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.62 | 14.7% | 18.5% | 2.6% | .294 | 3.82 | 16.5% | -0.2% | 33 | -1.80 | 3.82 | 247 | 77 |
| Kendy Richard R 2025 · 5.98 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.98 | 12.0% | 16.0% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 141 | 77 |
| Kyle Crick R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.05 | 19.6% | 23.7% | 1.1% | .278 | 3.85 | 19.7% | 7.7% | 231 | -1.20 | 2.59 | 383 | 77 |
| Keegan Collett R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.05 | 21.9% | 24.6% | 1.2% | .321 | 4.97 | 29.1% | 9.0% | 84 | -0.08 | 3.99 | 184 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 17.4% | 16.3% | 1.13 | 5.76 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |