Jose M. Rodriguez

Jose M. Rodriguez P Tampa Tarpons

Age 22 RHP 5'11" / 160 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153145vR 137

ERA6.32

FIP6.32

K%15.9%

BB%20.4%

K-BB%-4.5%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	6	0	6	37	8	10	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	27.0%	-5.4%	2.7%	9.00	6.18	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	6	0	6	37	8	10	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	27.0%	-5.4%	2.7%	9.00	6.18	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	6	0	6	37	8	10	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	27.0%	-5.4%	2.7%	9.00	7.60	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	13	72	310	73	46	3	76%	4.2	16.6%	18.1%	-1.6%	1.5%	3.38	4.82	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	13	72	310	73	46	3	76%	4.2	16.6%	18.1%	-1.6%	1.5%	3.38	4.82	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	13	72	310	73	46	3	76%	4.2	23.5%	14.8%	8.7%	1.0%	3.38	3.53	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	33	0	60	261	73	37	4	0%	1.8	20.8%	16.6%	4.2%	2.0%	4.07	4.53	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	33	0	60	261	73	37	4	0%	1.8	20.8%	16.6%	4.2%	2.0%	4.07	4.53	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	NYY	25	0	44	184	61	25	3	0%	1.7	33.2%	13.6%	19.6%	1.6%	2.47	2.92	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	NYY	8	0	16	77	12	12	1	0%	2.0	15.6%	15.6%	0.0%	1.3%	8.44	4.47	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	NYY	64	0	67	284	50	50	8	0%	1.1	17.6%	17.5%	0.0%	2.9%	5.92	5.79	-0.9
2028	24	MLB MLE	NYY	66	0	69	291	54	46	8	0%	1.0	18.6%	15.7%	2.8%	2.8%	5.60	5.47	-0.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	NYY	66	0	70	295	57	43	8	0%	1.1	19.2%	14.6%	4.6%	2.8%	5.37	5.26	-0.6
2030	26	MLB MLE	NYY	66	0	70	295	57	42	8	0%	1.1	19.5%	14.4%	5.1%	2.8%	5.27	5.22	-0.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	NYY	66	0	69	290	57	42	8	0%	1.0	19.5%	14.5%	5.0%	2.9%	5.26	5.26	-0.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	NYY	64	0	67	282	55	41	8	0%	1.0	19.4%	14.6%	4.8%	3.0%	5.31	5.34	-0.6
2033	29	MLB MLE	NYY	61	0	64	269	51	40	8	0%	1.0	19.1%	14.8%	4.3%	3.1%	5.41	5.47	-0.6
2027	23	MLB CTX	NYY	31	0	33	139	25	24	4	0%	1.1	17.6%	17.5%	0.0%	2.9%	5.92	5.79	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	NYY	46	0	48	203	38	32	6	0%	1.0	18.6%	15.7%	2.8%	2.8%	5.60	5.47	-0.5
2029	25	MLB CTX	NYY	54	0	57	241	46	35	7	0%	1.1	19.2%	14.6%	4.6%	2.8%	5.37	5.26	-0.5
2030	26	MLB CTX	NYY	58	0	61	258	50	37	7	0%	1.1	19.5%	14.4%	5.1%	2.8%	5.27	5.22	-0.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	NYY	59	0	62	262	51	38	8	0%	1.1	19.5%	14.5%	5.0%	2.9%	5.26	5.26	-0.5
2032	28	MLB CTX	NYY	58	0	61	258	50	38	8	0%	1.1	19.4%	14.6%	4.8%	3.0%	5.31	5.34	-0.5
2033	29	MLB CTX	NYY	56	0	59	249	48	37	8	0%	1.1	19.1%	14.8%	4.3%	3.1%	5.41	5.47	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		363	0	382	1611	308	241	47	0%	1.1	19.1%	15.0%	4.1%	2.9%	5.41	4.99	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	161	126	25	0%	1.1	19.1%	15.0%	4.1%	2.9%	5.41	4.99	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		56	13	138	608	114	109	11	23%	2.5	18.7%	18.0%	0.7%	1.8%	3.92	4.78	-4.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	19	200	883	165	159	16	23%	2.5	18.7%	18.0%	0.7%	1.8%	3.92	4.78	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose M. Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.32	15.9%	20.4%	2.9%	—	5.50	18.5%	2.5%	206	-0.82	—	—	—
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	89
Jose Pena Jr. R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	20	SU	6.67	13.6%	25.8%	2.6%	.292	3.81	22.3%	9.1%	116	-2.86	3.48	176	84
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	84
Ronny Lopez R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	20	SW	5.33	15.1%	20.6%	1.6%	.232	5.01	13.7%	-5.7%	85	-0.32	4.23	121	82
Alexis Liebano R 2023 · 6.15 FIP	20	SU	6.15	11.8%	24.2%	1.8%	.312	6.00	17.7%	3.8%	112	-0.15	4.80	142	81
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	80
Johsson Arias R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	22	SW	5.43	8.5%	17.1%	1.6%	.244	3.64	15.9%	4.4%	77	-1.79	3.46	117	80
Jaydenn Estanista R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	21	SU	6.67	16.7%	25.7%	3.1%	.348	4.95	21.5%	5.6%	143	-1.72	4.59	230	80
Justin Ferrell R 2016 · 5.30 FIP	22	SW	5.30	14.9%	14.0%	3.1%	.261	4.34	20.4%	9.1%	173	-0.96	3.83	300	80
Dominic Hambley R 2023 · 5.81 FIP	20	SW	5.81	16.4%	20.4%	2.8%	.318	4.66	17.9%	-4.3%	73	-1.15	4.44	131	79
Darlin Pinales R 2023 · 6.68 FIP	20	SW	6.68	17.0%	27.6%	2.8%	.350	4.44	21.7%	1.1%	117	-2.24	3.61	214	79
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	79
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	79
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	79
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	79
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	79
Biembenido Brito R 2023 · 5.98 FIP	20	SU	5.98	15.0%	24.8%	1.8%	.325	5.12	20.2%	2.1%	65	-0.86	3.58	130	79
Cole Aker R 2019 · 5.60 FIP	22	SW	5.60	19.5%	20.6%	2.8%	.239	6.17	12.0%	-9.9%	28	+0.57	3.60	147	78
Yeiber Cartaya R 2023 · 5.38 FIP	20	SW	5.38	16.4%	21.2%	1.8%	.307	4.38	20.4%	3.8%	235	-1.00	4.12	283	78
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	66	18.7%	15.7%	1.13	5.53
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77