Simon Colmenares

P DSL Giants Black

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL Giants Or…	4	2	3	6.00	1.77	31.2%	12.5%	—	K 31.2% · BB 12.5% · FIP 2.04
2026	20	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	11	11	35	7.64	4.12	19.6%	12.5%	—	K 13.4% · BB 15.6% · FIP 5.32
2027PROJ	21	MLBSF	4	4	21	5.28	5.28	19.4%	14.2%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBSF	3	3	16	5.00	4.89	20.9%	12.4%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsDane Acker (age 23) · Ryan Harvey (age 22) · Juan Nuñez (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.28

FIP5.28

K%19.4%

BB%14.2%

K-BB%5.1%

Proj IP21

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	4	2	3	16	5	2	0	50%	0.8	31.2%	12.5%	18.8%	0.0%	6.00	2.04	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	4	2	3	16	5	2	0	50%	0.8	31.2%	12.5%	18.8%	0.0%	6.00	2.04	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	4	2	3	16	5	2	0	50%	0.8	31.2%	12.5%	18.8%	0.0%	6.00	1.77	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	11	11	35	168	33	21	3	100%	3.2	13.4%	15.6%	-2.3%	2.5%	7.64	5.32	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	11	11	35	168	33	21	3	100%	3.2	13.4%	15.6%	-2.3%	2.5%	7.64	5.32	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	11	11	35	168	33	21	3	100%	3.2	19.6%	12.5%	7.1%	1.8%	7.64	4.12	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	SF	4	4	21	89	17	13	3	100%	5.2	19.4%	14.2%	5.1%	3.0%	5.28	5.28	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SF	6	6	33	141	29	17	4	100%	5.6	20.9%	12.4%	8.5%	2.9%	5.00	4.89	+0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	SF	3	3	16	68	14	8	2	100%	5.3	20.9%	12.4%	8.5%	2.9%	5.00	4.89	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	16	69	14	9	2	100%	5.5	20.9%	12.4%	8.5%	2.9%	5.00	4.51	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	171	110	24	100%	5.1	20.9%	12.4%	8.5%	2.9%	5.00	4.51	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		15	13	38	184	27	28	4	87%	2.6	14.9%	15.4%	-0.4%	2.3%	7.51	5.04	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		78	68	200	960	143	147	22	87%	2.6	14.9%	15.4%	-0.4%	2.3%	7.51	5.04	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Simon Colmenares (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.28	19.4%	14.2%	3.0%	—	4.89	20.9%	8.5%	33	-0.39	—	—	—
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.39	20.2%	8.6%	215	-1.21	4.29	257	86
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	85
Juan Nuñez R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SP	4.49	19.6%	13.2%	2.5%	.300	4.42	22.8%	8.3%	148	-0.07	2.88	245	84
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	84
Elvis Luciano R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	17.5%	12.6%	3.1%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	204	83
Victor Mederos R 2022 · 4.69 FIP	21	SP	4.69	15.6%	14.0%	2.1%	.286	5.19	16.4%	5.7%	301	+0.50	3.73	394	83
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	83
Kohl Franklin R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	17.8%	14.6%	3.3%	.320	5.66	19.9%	7.9%	105	+0.42	4.38	205	82
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	81
Levi Wells R 2024 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	20.0%	12.1%	2.6%	.360	3.82	19.0%	10.2%	132	-0.53	3.70	192	81
Carson Fulmer R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	21	SP	4.15	21.4%	11.5%	2.5%	.259	4.96	17.1%	4.0%	364	+0.81	3.88	910	81
Luke Albright R 2021 · 5.77 FIP	21	SP	5.77	16.8%	13.4%	4.4%	.295	5.10	19.4%	5.5%	269	-0.67	4.02	329	81
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	80
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	79
Blake Whitney R 2018 · 4.11 FIP	22	SP	4.11	19.1%	16.1%	1.1%	.338	6.22	25.6%	13.5%	33	+2.11	3.46	268	79
Adam Bates R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP-	5.12	16.2%	14.1%	2.9%	.358	6.39	13.0%	-7.2%	146	+1.27	5.12	183	79
Randry De Leon R 2024 · 4.49 FIP	19	SP	4.49	18.0%	11.5%	2.6%	.284	5.01	18.6%	1.6%	80	+0.52	4.37	153	79
Jackson Kowar R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SP	4.76	15.2%	13.2%	2.3%	.239	3.98	21.8%	12.5%	259	-0.78	3.98	489	78
Angel Perez R 2024 · 4.17 FIP	20	SP	4.17	16.9%	15.5%	1.0%	.356	5.03	21.1%	3.0%	94	+0.86	2.78	127	78
Shawn Hill R 2004 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP	4.26	19.6%	13.7%	2.0%	.450	3.70	14.5%	8.6%	134	-0.56	2.96	239	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	20.3%	13.1%	1.14	5.11
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76