Justin Barry

OF Salem RidgeYaks

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 159 lbs A HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKBOS	91	.220/.289/.402	3	7	13	—	.129/.178/.235
2026	19	ABOS	80	.206/.375/.317	1	11	52	—	.162/.288/.250
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBBOS	190	.205/.273/.308	3	4	65	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBBOS	67	.216/.284/.332	1	1	70	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

BB%95

Chase%72

wOBA50

wRC+46

Speed46

ISO39

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsZack Larson (age 20) · Ismael Alcantara (age 20) · Garrett Whitley (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 89 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .271 / .306

PA89

HR1

K%30

BB%7

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	161	135	28	7	2	3	18	37	4	8	0	207	318	356	674	148	253	23	11	301	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	91	82	18	6	0	3	7	31	1	7	0	220	289	402	691	183	306	34	8	305	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Salem RidgeYaks	—	80	63	13	4	0	1	16	25	1	11	3	206	375	317	692	111	324	31	20	329	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	161	141	18	4	1	2	12	47	4	8	0	128	217	213	429	85	152	29	7	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	91	85	11	3	0	2	4	46	1	7	0	129	178	235	413	106	226	51	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	80	68	11	3	0	1	11	34	1	11	3	162	287	250	537	88	296	42	14	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	161	141	18	4	1	2	12	47	4	8	0	128	217	213	429	85	167	29	7	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	161	135	28	7	2	3	18	37	4	8	0	207	318	356	674	148	253	23	11	301	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	91	85	11	3	0	2	4	46	1	7	0	129	178	235	413	106	237	51	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	91	82	18	6	0	3	7	31	1	7	0	220	289	402	691	183	306	34	8	305	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	80	68	11	3	0	1	11	34	1	11	3	162	287	250	537	88	303	42	14	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	Salem RidgeYaks	—	80	63	13	4	0	1	16	25	1	11	3	206	375	317	692	111	324	31	20	329	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	161	144	18	4	1	2	12	47	4	8	0	125	217	208	425	83	152	29	7	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	91	86	11	3	0	2	4	46	1	7	0	128	178	233	410	105	226	51	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	80	68	11	3	0	1	11	34	1	11	3	162	287	250	537	88	296	42	14	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	161	144	18	4	1	2	12	47	4	8	0	125	217	208	425	83	152	29	7	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	91	86	11	3	0	2	4	46	1	7	0	128	178	233	410	105	226	51	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	80	68	11	3	0	1	11	34	1	11	3	162	287	250	537	88	296	42	14	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	190	172	35	7	1	3	14	57	2	4	1	205	273	308	581	104	285	30	7	264	65	-8	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	196	177	36	7	1	3	15	58	2	4	1	210	279	324	603	114	287	30	8	272	70	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	67	61	13	3	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	216	284	332	616	116	296	30	7	278	70	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	67	61	13	3	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	213	284	311	595	98	300	30	7	278	43	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	126	29	0	10	49	194	10	10	0	213	285	312	597	100	299	30	8	278	43	-23	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	617	552	92	20	3	9	49	212	9	32	4	167	246	263	509	96	246	34	8	232	43	-11	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	96	21	3	9	52	223	9	34	4	165	244	258	502	93	244	34	8	232	43	-24	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Barry (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	203/271/306	103	285	1	2	30%	7%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Larson 2014 · A	20	46→36	41→45	53→50	41	221/279/318	97	292	8	13	26%	6%	70	-0.9	201/256/267	66	276	3	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	183/239/233	50	254	1	10	26%	5%	34	-1.9
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Garrett Whitley 2017 · A	20	41→38	42→50	47→55	44	198/268/304	106	282	9	9	31%	8%	63	-1.4	194/275/315	121	338	12	13	42%	9%	68	-1.0	169/262/306	137	296	13	18	43%	10%	60	-1.0
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→39	40	52→50	42	194/257/287	92	271	7	14	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/277/282	78	309	4	8	32%	9%	61	-1.5	194/278/266	72	301	3	7	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Danny De Andrade 2024 · A	20	41	42→45	51→50	45	201/277/305	104	269	9	11	28%	8%	67	-1.1	201/270/315	114	278	10	11	30%	7%	66	-1.1	190/254/309	120	266	11	10	31%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Sammy Hernandez 2024 · A	20	37	43→40	51→50	40	188/254/301	113	262	11	5	31%	6%	57	-1.8	203/291/298	95	270	8	9	26%	9%	71	-0.8	201/300/298	97	262	9	13	24%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Michael Bernal 2012 · A	20	37	42→45	48→50	45	185/270/290	106	268	10	13	33%	9%	61	-1.5	192/261/303	111	339	11	10	43%	7%	60	-1.6	136/185/255	118	292	17	10	57%	4%	17	-0.8
✕Wilfredo Lara 2024 · A	20	39→43	42→45	50	44	193/267/300	108	271	10	12	31%	8%	62	-1.4	197/271/298	101	275	9	15	29%	8%	63	-1.4	186/266/282	96	258	8	18	29%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	45→55	52→50	40	204/250/330	126	265	12	14	28%	5%	61	-1.5	189/238/351	162	266	20	4	37%	5%	63	-1.4	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Junior Perez 2021 · A	20	37→40	44→50	50→55	43	187/261/304	117	279	12	11	36%	8%	61	-1.5	182/257/291	109	330	10	20	44%	9%	56	-1.9	172/245/318	146	265	16	25	39%	8%	56	-1.4
✕Cutter Coffey 2024 · A	20	38→45	39→45	49→50	44	185/262/271	86	271	7	13	32%	8%	53	-2.1	201/271/317	116	296	12	10	34%	8%	67	-1.1	199/268/315	116	299	12	9	35%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Chris Suero 2024 · A	20	41→38	41→45	50→55	50	196/295/291	95	281	8	8	31%	10%	71	-0.8	193/290/309	116	280	12	20	33%	10%	74	-0.6	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→32	41→40	49→50	45	190/258/293	104	259	8	12	29%	8%	57	-1.8	179/258/267	88	262	6	9	31%	9%	51	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	41	176/252/260	84	283	6	10	37%	8%	47	-2.5	192/274/286	94	292	6	14	33%	9%	61	-1.5	139/214/211	72	250	5	19	43%	8%	20	-1.4
✕Vicente Lupo 2014 · A	20	38	42→45	46→45	43	185/276/293	108	290	10	10	37%	9%	65	-1.2	182/259/298	116	343	11	7	46%	8%	59	-1.7	161/240/275	113	318	11	6	49%	8%	44	-1.2
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A	20	40	43→45	47→50	42	192/272/308	116	291	10	9	35%	8%	65	-1.2	188/265/289	101	308	9	8	38%	8%	59	-1.7	157/243/251	94	257	8	8	39%	8%	41	-0.7