Christian Herberholz
P
Norfolk Tides
Age 25
RHP
5'11" / 195 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 21 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.31
FIP4.31
K%22.2%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 82 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 0 | 48 | 199 | 47 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 1.7% | 3.21 | 3.55 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 0 | 48 | 199 | 47 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.6% | 7.5% | 16.1% | 1.5% | 3.21 | 2.89 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 19 | 14 | 61 | 273 | 55 | 27 | 10 | 74% | 3.2 | 17.3% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.04 | 5.23 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BAL | 4 | 4 | 21 | 90 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.3 | 22.2% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BAL | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 22.2% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 82 | 363 | 75 | 35 | 13 | — | — | 20.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 3.5% | 4.85 | 4.99 | +0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 22.2% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 3.93 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.5% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 3.91 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 166 | 8 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 80 | 32 | 5% | 1.2 | 22.5% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 14 | 108 | 472 | 84 | 45 | 15 | 28% | 2.2 | 17.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 4.24 | 4.52 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 92 | 26 | 200 | 871 | 154 | 84 | 27 | 28% | 2.2 | 17.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 4.24 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Christian Herberholz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.31 | 22.2% | 9.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.29 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 21 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 82 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 79 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 76 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 76 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 76 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 76 |
| Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.55 | 21.5% | 9.1% | 3.8% | .316 | 2.73 | 28.3% | 20.8% | 219 | -1.82 | 1.96 | 948 | 75 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 75 |
| Dylan King R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 75 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 75 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2029 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 74 |
| Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 73 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 73 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 73 |
| Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.05 | 19.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | .283 | 3.86 | 19.3% | 11.7% | 124 | -0.19 | 3.47 | 171 | 73 |
| Miguel Sánchez R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .305 | 4.77 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 83 | +1.09 | 2.54 | 309 | 73 |
| Jake Curtis R 2025 · 3.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.34 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 1.9% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 105 | 73 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2029 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 73 |
| Jake Lyons R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 73 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 4.1% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 318 | 73 |