Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 17% | 1.4 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 3.3% | 3.12 | 2.11 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 17% | 1.4 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 3.3% | 3.12 | 2.29 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 5 | 51 | 240 | 49 | 15 | 7 | 24% | 2.4 | 15.1% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 7.59 | 4.69 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 5 | 51 | 240 | 49 | 15 | 7 | 24% | 2.4 | 20.4% | 6.2% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 7.59 | 3.85 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 0 | 50 | 205 | 52 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 2.90 | 3.96 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 0 | 50 | 205 | 52 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.4% | 5.9% | 19.5% | 2.4% | 2.90 | 3.04 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 41 | 1 | 50 | 208 | 45 | 16 | 3 | 2% | 1.2 | 17.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 1.6% | 3.99 | 3.57 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 41 | 1 | 50 | 208 | 45 | 16 | 3 | 2% | 1.2 | 21.6% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 1.4% | 3.99 | 3.04 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 29 | 0 | 31 | 144 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 3.82 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | OAK | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 42 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 4.64 | 4.64 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | OAK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 4.64 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 90 | 395 | 76 | 34 | 11 | — | — | 19.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 4.36 | 4.62 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 16.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 4.64 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 43 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.63 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 42 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 52 | 0 | 54 | 229 | 41 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.74 | 4.82 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.63 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.74 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 91 | 0 | 95 | 403 | 71 | 36 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 4.68 | 4.35 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 149 | 76 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 4.68 | 4.35 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 137 | 7 | 190 | 827 | 149 | 60 | 24 | 5% | 1.4 | 18.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.60 | 4.11 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 144 | 7 | 200 | 872 | 157 | 63 | 26 | 5% | 1.4 | 18.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.60 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Micah Dallas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 16.7% | 8.5% | 2.7% | — | 4.72 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 170 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.47 | 3.92 | 256 | 92 |
| Carlos Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 18.2% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .266 | 4.15 | 14.3% | 2.3% | 36 | +0.27 | 3.73 | 154 | 91 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.06 | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.62 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 44 | +0.56 | 4.06 | 101 | 90 |
| Cole Johnson R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.56 | 17.4% | 8.4% | 1.6% | .311 | 3.48 | 14.0% | 9.2% | 49 | -0.08 | 3.48 | 101 | 90 |
| Stephen Kohlscheen R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.95 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.02 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 90 | +0.07 | 2.39 | 167 | 90 |
| Ryan Cook R 2028 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 88 |
| David Martinez R 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.84 | 14.2% | 8.3% | 1.6% | .284 | 4.80 | 15.0% | 7.9% | 230 | +0.96 | 3.84 | 297 | 88 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.28 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.58 | 17.1% | 4.9% | 50 | -0.70 | 3.50 | 219 | 88 |
| JC Ramírez R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.73 | 16.6% | 8.6% | 1.7% | .285 | 4.52 | 17.1% | 10.0% | 226 | +0.79 | 3.73 | 369 | 88 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.76 | 15.8% | 9.1% | 1.5% | .320 | 4.36 | 15.9% | 6.2% | 259 | +0.60 | 3.76 | 399 | 87 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .289 | 4.20 | 24.7% | 12.1% | 62 | +0.52 | 3.68 | 181 | 87 |
| Raul Fernandez R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.42 | 13.6% | 9.3% | 2.3% | .270 | 5.61 | 20.4% | 6.2% | 38 | +1.19 | 3.95 | 165 | 87 |
| Justin De Fratus R 2027 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .325 | 4.53 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 279 | +0.65 | 3.88 | 500 | 87 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.96 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.08 | 3.05 | 290 | 86 |
| Troy Neiman R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 199 | 86 |
| Cody Hall R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.53 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 1.2% | .306 | 4.31 | 23.1% | 11.7% | 66 | +0.78 | 3.53 | 134 | 86 |
| Rob Scahill R 2028 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 86 |
| Sean Donatello R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.45 | 17.8% | 7.4% | 1.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 141 | 86 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.58 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | .246 | 3.53 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.05 | 2.96 | 160 | 86 |
| Anthony Bass R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.57 | 16.5% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .300 | 3.39 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 123 | -0.18 | 2.93 | 432 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 57 | 17.4% | 8.7% | 1.11 | 4.67 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |