Owen Hall

P FCL Tigers

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.8 · 2032

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #472MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP48ETA2028FG ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ADET	4	4	9	7.00	5.54	23.1%	23.1%	—	K 23.1% · BB 23.1% · FIP 5.48
2026	20	MIX2 levels	19	9	56	6.07	4.34	25.2%	12.4%	—	K 17.7% · BB 15.2% · FIP 5.90
2027PROJ	21	MLBDET	8	8	42	5.32	5.32	20.8%	15.2%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBDET	5	5	26	4.97	4.85	22.2%	13.2%	-0.0
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBDET	7	7	40	4.73	4.60	23.1%	11.9%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$1M2033Arb-2$2M2034Ext$7M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff52Control43Command45FB velo57

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsKobe Robinson (age 21) · Juan Mendez (age 22) · Jake Lyons (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.32

FIP5.32

K%20.8%

BB%15.2%

K-BB%5.7%

Proj IP42

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF4055

CTRL4045

CMD3045

K†5060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2032	Arb-1	$1M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	4	4	9	39	9	9	1	100%	2.2	23.1%	23.1%	0.0%	2.6%	7.00	5.48	—
2025	19	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	4	4	9	39	9	9	1	100%	2.2	23.1%	23.1%	0.0%	2.6%	7.00	5.48	—
2025	19	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	4	4	9	39	9	9	1	100%	2.2	23.1%	23.1%	0.0%	2.6%	7.00	5.54	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	9	56	258	65	32	8	47%	3.0	17.7%	15.2%	2.5%	4.3%	6.07	5.90	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	9	56	258	65	32	8	47%	3.0	17.7%	15.2%	2.5%	4.3%	6.07	5.90	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	9	56	258	65	32	8	47%	3.0	25.2%	12.4%	12.8%	3.1%	6.07	4.34	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	DET	8	8	42	177	37	27	5	100%	5.2	20.8%	15.2%	5.7%	3.1%	5.32	5.32	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	DET	10	10	53	225	50	30	7	100%	5.3	22.2%	13.2%	9.0%	3.0%	5.04	4.92	-0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	DET	10	10	55	233	54	28	7	100%	5.5	23.1%	11.9%	11.1%	3.0%	4.80	4.67	+0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	DET	10	10	57	239	56	27	7	100%	5.7	23.6%	11.1%	12.5%	2.9%	4.61	4.50	+0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	DET	10	10	57	242	58	26	7	100%	5.7	24.0%	10.6%	13.4%	2.9%	4.48	4.40	+0.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	DET	10	10	57	242	59	26	7	100%	5.7	24.2%	10.6%	13.6%	2.9%	4.42	4.37	+0.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	DET	9	9	56	238	58	25	7	100%	6.3	24.2%	10.7%	13.5%	3.0%	4.42	4.41	+0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	DET	5	5	26	110	24	15	3	100%	5.2	22.2%	13.2%	9.0%	2.9%	4.97	4.85	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	DET	7	7	40	169	39	20	5	100%	5.7	23.1%	11.9%	11.1%	2.8%	4.73	4.60	+0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	DET	8	8	47	198	47	22	6	100%	5.9	23.6%	11.1%	12.5%	2.8%	4.54	4.43	+0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	DET	9	9	51	215	52	23	6	100%	5.7	24.0%	10.6%	13.4%	2.8%	4.41	4.33	+0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	DET	9	9	52	220	53	23	6	100%	5.8	24.2%	10.6%	13.6%	2.8%	4.35	4.30	+0.3
2033	27	MLB CTX	DET	9	9	52	220	53	23	6	100%	5.8	24.2%	10.7%	13.5%	2.8%	4.35	4.34	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		47	47	268	1134	269	127	32	100%	5.7	23.7%	11.2%	12.5%	2.8%	4.51	4.06	+2.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	200	95	24	100%	5.8	23.7%	11.2%	12.5%	2.8%	4.51	4.06	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		23	13	65	297	55	48	12	57%	2.8	18.4%	16.2%	2.1%	4.1%	6.20	5.84	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	40	200	909	167	148	37	57%	2.8	18.4%	16.2%	2.1%	4.1%	6.20	5.84	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Owen Hall (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.32	20.8%	15.2%	3.1%	—	4.69	23.0%	10.9%	165	-0.63	—	—	—
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	87
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	85
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	85
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	85
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	84
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	84
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	83
Jeisson Cabrera R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	20	SP-	4.42	21.3%	15.5%	2.1%	.227	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	244	83
Hunter Parks R 2022 · 5.17 FIP	21	SP-	5.17	18.7%	16.8%	2.8%	.312	5.23	17.7%	-0.3%	163	+0.06	4.42	301	83
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	83
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	82
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	82
Luis Garcia R 2018 · 4.30 FIP	21	SP-	4.30	17.9%	13.4%	1.8%	.295	3.65	27.4%	17.5%	264	-0.65	3.40	535	82
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	82
James McArthur R 2019 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	18.8%	15.5%	2.9%	.304	4.41	20.0%	10.7%	131	-0.63	3.48	352	81
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	81
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	81
Rodolfo Sanchez R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	23.0%	13.6%	3.3%	.264	4.83	19.9%	6.3%	104	+0.12	3.59	255	80
Nick Garcia R 2021 · 4.59 FIP	22	SP-	4.59	18.3%	12.3%	2.7%	.274	5.03	17.3%	6.2%	265	+0.44	3.20	411	80
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	54	23.3%	11.8%	1.14	4.70
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Jorge Julio ('09)	2.3	58	21.7%	11.3%	1.25	4.43
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*