Marcus Phillips

P Greenville Drive

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 246 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2030

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #307

Scout OFP48ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	22	A+BOS	19	18	62	6.71	4.90	25.1%	17.5%	—	K 19.3% · BB 20.2% · FIP 5.91
2027PROJ	23	MLBBOS	11	11	62	5.95	5.95	20.7%	19.9%	-0.7
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBBOS	5	5	27	5.60	5.47	21.8%	17.0%	-0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBBOS	7	7	42	5.31	5.18	22.3%	15.2%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff52Control46Command40FB velo59

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 87%

CompsJ.P. Massey (age 23) · Jackson Fristoe (age 23) · Dane Acker (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.95

FIP5.95

K%20.7%

BB%19.9%

K-BB%0.8%

Proj IP62

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5055

CTRL4045

CMD3040

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	19	18	62	291	73	51	8	95%	3.2	19.3%	20.2%	-0.8%	3.4%	6.71	5.91	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	19	18	62	291	73	51	8	95%	3.2	19.3%	20.2%	-0.8%	3.4%	6.71	5.91	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	19	18	62	291	73	51	8	95%	3.2	25.1%	17.5%	7.6%	2.7%	6.71	4.90	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	BOS	11	11	62	262	54	52	8	100%	5.6	20.7%	19.9%	0.8%	3.1%	5.95	5.95	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	BOS	11	11	63	266	58	45	8	100%	5.7	21.8%	17.0%	4.7%	3.0%	5.60	5.47	-0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	BOS	11	11	64	270	60	41	8	100%	5.8	22.3%	15.2%	7.2%	3.0%	5.31	5.18	-0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	BOS	11	11	64	270	61	40	8	100%	5.8	22.6%	14.8%	7.8%	3.0%	5.17	5.11	-0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	BOS	10	10	63	266	60	39	8	100%	6.3	22.6%	14.7%	7.9%	3.1%	5.14	5.13	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	BOS	5	5	27	114	25	19	3	100%	5.4	21.8%	17.0%	4.7%	3.0%	5.60	5.47	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	BOS	7	7	42	177	40	27	5	100%	6.0	22.3%	15.2%	7.2%	3.0%	5.31	5.18	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	BOS	8	8	51	215	49	32	7	100%	6.4	22.6%	14.8%	7.8%	3.0%	5.17	5.11	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	BOS	9	9	54	228	52	34	7	100%	6.0	22.6%	14.7%	7.9%	3.1%	5.14	5.13	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		29	29	174	734	164	112	22	100%	6.0	22.4%	15.2%	7.2%	3.0%	5.26	4.81	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	189	129	25	100%	5.9	22.4%	15.2%	7.2%	3.0%	5.26	4.81	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		19	18	62	291	56	59	10	95%	3.2	19.3%	20.2%	-0.8%	3.4%	6.71	5.91	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	58	200	944	182	190	32	95%	3.2	19.3%	20.2%	-0.8%	3.4%	6.71	5.91	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Marcus Phillips (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.95	20.7%	19.9%	3.1%	—	5.25	22.2%	6.6%	191	-0.70	—	—	—
J.P. Massey R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP	4.95	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.12	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.17	4.72	195	84
Jackson Fristoe R 2024 · 4.81 FIP	23	SP	4.81	18.8%	19.6%	1.5%	.266	6.79	13.5%	-4.0%	74	+1.98	4.81	139	81
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.39	20.2%	8.6%	215	-1.21	4.29	257	81
Holt Jones R 2022 · 6.63 FIP	23	SP	6.63	17.9%	19.5%	4.7%	.296	4.64	18.4%	0.8%	147	-1.99	4.21	254	80
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	80
Max Bain R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	23	SP	5.21	20.5%	15.2%	3.5%	.291	6.70	16.7%	-3.9%	81	+1.49	5.21	174	79
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	79
Michael YaSenka R 2021 · 5.98 FIP	23	SP	5.98	18.1%	15.0%	4.6%	.288	5.95	18.8%	6.1%	58	-0.03	5.95	154	77
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	77
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	76
Reid Schaller R 2019 · 5.18 FIP	22	SP	5.18	16.3%	13.8%	3.1%	.241	4.40	19.9%	7.9%	87	-0.78	3.61	186	76
Fernando Baez R 2015 · 6.56 FIP	23	SP-	6.56	18.6%	18.8%	4.8%	.322	4.51	26.9%	7.8%	94	-2.05	3.45	129	76
TJ Shook R 2021 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP	4.90	21.7%	13.8%	3.4%	.311	4.98	20.7%	10.3%	296	+0.08	3.35	452	76
Connor Sadzeck R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	17.8%	16.5%	2.2%	.288	4.40	20.1%	10.1%	272	-0.50	3.20	549	75
Will Bednar R 2022 · 5.71 FIP	22	SP	5.71	20.5%	14.1%	4.7%	.173	4.78	26.6%	6.3%	95	-0.93	3.38	202	75
Luis Quiñones R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	24	SP	4.82	26.6%	21.5%	2.2%	.290	4.79	22.7%	9.3%	231	-0.03	3.69	326	75
R.J. Freure R 2019 · 5.13 FIP	22	SP-	5.13	21.7%	18.5%	2.8%	.286	6.05	21.4%	4.2%	107	+0.92	5.13	196	75
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	74
Alex McFarlane R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP	4.91	21.9%	19.2%	2.2%	.344	3.91	21.3%	8.0%	128	-1.00	3.47	179	74
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	63	22.0%	16.3%	1.18	5.43
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*