Connor Sadzeck
P
Indianapolis Indians
+0.2
WAR
Age 34
RHP
6'7" / 235 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.55
FIP4.55
xFIP6.73
SIERA6.56
K%21.6%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%10.1%
IP50
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL2525
CMD4545
K†6060
FB Velo
p7796.4
Whiff%
p5125.4%
K%
p6625.2%
xwOBA vs
p460.316
FB-2.1
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 18 | 14 | 60 | 280 | 64 | 41 | 5 | 17.8% | 16.5% | 2.2% | 5.82 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 25 | 23 | 141 | 589 | 133 | 52 | 18 | 18.3% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 4.16 | 4.71 | +0.9 |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 38 | 13 | 94 | 418 | 111 | 39 | 13 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 6.25 | 4.40 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 48 | 4 | 52 | 226 | 60 | 27 | 2 | 23.2% | 10.3% | 1.4% | 3.14 | 3.21 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 20 | 0 | 24 | 107 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 25.2% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 2.66 | 4.23 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 40 | 0 | 45 | 207 | 49 | 28 | 5 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.84 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 43 | 0 | 52 | 214 | 58 | 20 | 10 | 24.5% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 2.60 | 4.54 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 25 | 2 | 35 | 171 | 42 | 26 | 6 | 21.6% | 16.0% | 3.8% | 5.40 | 5.39 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 49 | 0 | 64 | 309 | 67 | 40 | 3 | 19.1% | 13.6% | 1.2% | 4.66 | 3.87 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 51 | 27 | 6 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.64 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | PIT | 47 | — | 47 | 199 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 23.3% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.70 | 4.75 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | PIT | 44 | — | 44 | 186 | 42 | 24 | 6 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.80 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 306 | 56 | 565 | 2521 | 519 | 304 | 72 | 20.6% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 4.57 | 4.45 | +5.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 108 | 20 | 200 | 892 | 184 | 108 | 25 | 20.6% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 4.57 | 4.45 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Connor Sadzeck (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.81 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 91 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 80 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 76 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.81 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.64 | 3.81 | 208 | 74 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 74 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.10 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 277 | 73 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 73 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 71 |
| Jared Hughes R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.76 | 18.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% | .224 | 4.37 | 19.3% | 8.3% | 22 | -0.39 | 2.96 | 358 | 71 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.96 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.52 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.56 | 2.57 | 251 | 71 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.18 | 23.7% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .253 | 5.14 | 25.0% | 13.8% | 32 | +0.96 | 3.38 | 212 | 70 |
| Rafael Dolis R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 19.9% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 162 | 69 |
| Scott McGough R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.59 | 18.8% | 13.0% | 2.6% | .289 | 3.93 | 20.6% | 12.7% | 57 | -0.66 | 3.56 | 429 | 69 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.94 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 147 | 68 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.75 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.7% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.31 | 187 | 68 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2028 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 68 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.51 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.0% | .304 | 3.66 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -0.85 | 2.89 | 326 | 68 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.42 | 25.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% | .258 | 4.20 | 24.9% | 15.4% | 87 | -0.22 | 2.41 | 339 | 67 |
| Radhames Liz R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.49 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 110 | 67 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 67 |
| Bud Norris R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.63 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 316 | 66 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.