Maylerson Casanova

OF FCL Phillies
Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Phillies …166.173/.307/.2522153—.103/.217/.138
202518ROKDSL Phillies …145.267/.333/.38211220—.172/.229/.239
202619ROKPHI39.270/.308/.29700-1—.184/.205/.211
2027PROJMLE20MLBPHI149.196/.258/.2741551-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBPHI29.203/.266/.2950158-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Speed93
ISO60
Z-Con%53
wRC+45
wOBA44
Whiff%39
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsIsmael Alcantara (age 20) · George Feliz (age 20) · Miguel Bleis (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 30 proj PA
wRC+†51
AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .256 / .271
PA30
HR0
K%32
BB%6
ISO77
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +0.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Phillies Red — 166139 24312 20597 152 173307252559 79282 3612 271 3 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Phillies White — 145131 35631 9414 122 267333382715 115378 286 321 20 — — — — — —
202619 ROKFCL Phillies — 3937 10100 2140 00 270308297605 27435 365 278 -1 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 166145 15201 14737 152 103217138355 34192 448 172 3 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 145134 23411 6534 122 172229239468 67259 374 198 20 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 3938 7100 1200 00 184205211416 26350 513 166 -1 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 166145 15201 14737 152 103217138355 34197 448 172 3 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Phillies Red — 166139 24312 20597 152 173307252559 79282 3612 271 3 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 145134 23411 6534 122 172229239468 67272 374 198 20 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Phillies White — 145131 35631 9414 122 267333382715 115378 286 321 20 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 3938 7100 1200 00 184205211416 26389 513 166 -1 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWFCL Phillies — 3937 10100 2140 00 270308297605 27435 365 278 -1 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 166144 15201 14737 152 104217139356 35192 448 172 3 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 145134 23411 6534 122 172229239468 67259 374 198 20 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 3938 7100 1200 00 184205211416 26350 513 166 -1 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 166144 15201 14737 152 104217139356 35192 448 172 3 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 145134 23411 6534 122 172229239468 67259 374 198 20 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 3938 7100 1200 00 184205211416 26350 513 166 -1 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEPHI 0% 149137 26411 9472 51 196258274532 77285 326 243 51 -9 +1 +0 -1 +3 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEPHI 34% 8578 15211 6261 31 202265292557 90287 317 254 58 -4 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.3
202821 MLB CTXPHI 34% 2927 5100 290 10 203266295562 93288 317 255 58 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2927 5100 290 10 185241222464 37278 317 255 21 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650605 1122200 452020 220 185242221463 36278 317 255 21 -33 +4 +0 -4 +14 -1.8
Career— MLE — 465423 651023 2918212 315 154228208436 54259 396 199 21 -6 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650591 911434 4125417 437 154230208438 54260 396 199 21 -34 +2 +0 -4 +14 -2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Phillies · 39 PAwOBA .270 → .166 (−104)K% 35.9% → 51.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.90%÷1.000×1.440——51.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.13%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9953.16%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP39.13%÷1.000×0.820—×0.99531.93%
Doubles /BIP4.35%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9953.11%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .270 → .166; ISO .027 → .015; BABIP .435 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Phillies White · 145 PAwOBA .314 → .198 (−116)K% 28.3% → 36.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.28%÷0.946×1.220——36.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.21%÷1.043×0.700—×0.9954.15%
HBP% /PA2.76%—×0.700—×0.9951.92%
Singles /BIP27.78%÷0.960×0.680×1.022×0.99520.00%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷0.958×0.600×1.022×0.9954.24%
Triples /BIP3.33%÷1.150×0.600×1.022×0.9951.77%
Home runs /BIP1.11%÷0.844×0.470—×0.9950.62%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 92, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 89, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .314 → .198; ISO .115 → .061; BABIP .378 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Phillies Red · 166 PAwOBA .265 → .172 (−93)K% 35.5% → 43.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.54%÷0.989×1.220——43.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.05%÷0.983×0.700—×1.0088.64%
HBP% /PA4.22%—×0.700—×1.0082.97%
Singles /BIP22.50%÷0.919×0.680×0.959×1.00816.09%
Doubles /BIP3.75%÷1.013×0.600×0.959×1.0082.15%
Triples /BIP1.25%÷1.071×0.600×0.959×1.0080.68%
Home runs /BIP2.50%÷0.913×0.470—×1.0081.30%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 84, 2B 103, 3B 114, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .265 → .172; ISO .079 → .039; BABIP .282 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).