Jonathan Hogart — OGILVIE

Jonathan HogartOF Clearwater Threshers

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 205 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION379 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP255

ISO135

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	107	81	23	2	1	3	17	28	7	1	1	284	448	444	892	160	385	26	16	400	157	+7	-0	—	—	+2	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	107	85	19	2	1	2	13	37	7	1	1	224	371	341	713	118	326	35	12	322	104	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	107	85	19	2	1	2	13	37	7	1	1	224	371	341	713	118	354	35	12	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	107	81	23	2	1	3	17	28	7	1	1	284	448	444	892	160	385	26	16	400	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	107	86	19	2	1	2	13	37	7	1	1	221	371	337	709	116	326	35	12	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	107	86	19	2	1	2	13	37	7	1	1	221	371	337	709	116	326	35	12	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A MLE	PHI	—	379	316	57	10	1	13	45	152	13	8	1	180	307	342	649	161	284	40	12	293	84	-7	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A RAW	PHI	—	379	301	71	12	2	17	60	107	13	8	1	236	385	458	843	223	298	28	16	374	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	A MLE	PHI	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		252	33	11	285	79	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	A MLE	PHI	—	388	324	58	10	1	13	46	155	13	8	1	179	305	336	642	157	281	40	12	293	84	-7	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PHI	30%	288	245	45	8	1	9	33	98	8	4	1	184	301	335	635	151	258	34	11	290	83	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	PHI	44%	353	302	56	10	1	11	39	117	9	5	1	185	297	334	632	149	261	33	11	293	85	-6	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	PHI	49%	377	323	61	11	1	12	42	123	9	5	1	189	299	341	640	152	262	33	11	295	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	PHI	51%	392	335	65	12	2	12	44	127	10	5	1	194	306	349	655	155	263	32	11	295	86	-7	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	PHI	51%	392	335	63	11	1	12	44	128	10	5	1	188	301	334	635	146	262	33	11	293	84	-7	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	PHI	51%	392	336	63	11	1	12	44	129	9	4	1	188	298	333	632	146	260	33	11	290	83	-8	+0	-2	-2	+8	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	PHI	30%	87	75	13	2	0	3	10	30	2	1	0	173	287	320	607	147	261	34	11	276	83	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	PHI	44%	156	134	26	5	1	5	17	52	4	2	0	194	303	358	661	164	264	33	11	280	85	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	PHI	49%	185	157	31	6	1	6	21	60	5	3	1	197	311	363	675	166	265	32	11	283	86	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	PHI	51%	202	172	34	6	1	7	23	66	5	3	1	198	310	366	676	169	266	33	11	283	86	-3	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	PHI	51%	202	172	34	6	1	7	23	66	5	2	1	198	310	366	676	169	265	33	11	281	84	-4	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	PHI	51%	202	172	33	6	1	6	23	67	5	2	0	192	305	343	648	151	263	33	11	278	83	-4	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1034	882	171	31	5	34	117	341	26	13	3	194	306	356	662	162	268	33	11	280	85	-19	+1	-2	-6	+22	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	554	106	19	3	21	74	214	16	8	2	191	304	350	655	159	264	33	11	280	85	-12	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2310	1969	373	65	8	70	260	762	62	29	7	189	303	337	641	148	263	33	11	294	85	-41	+3	-4	-13	+48	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	554	105	18	2	20	73	214	17	8	2	190	303	338	640	148	262	33	11	294	85	-12	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.8	1,200	36	16	188	297	338	-7	+0	0.3	0.4
/162	664	20	9	-4.0	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonathan Hogart (OGILVIE)	24	20	49	46	63	174/294/319	145	252	5	3	35%	12%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jared Keel 2009 · A	24	39→38	52→50	48→45	47	207/289/373	166	249	20	10	26%	8%	88	+0.4	205/291/350	145	262	16	7	27%	9%	82	+0.0	182/282/323	141	228	16	1	27%	11%	72	-0.4
✕Jabari Henry 2016 · AA	25	37→41	51→55	46→45	47	195/277/358	163	261	19	7	32%	10%	80	-0.2	194/261/329	135	273	16	6	33%	7%	66	-1.1	171/237/295	123	231	17	2	34%	6%	47	-1.7
✕Zack Short 2019 · AA	24	39	47→50	47→45	50	199/289/337	139	266	14	9	29%	10%	79	-0.2	195/287/330	135	276	14	7	32%	10%	77	-0.3	177/277/301	125	240	14	9	31%	11%	65	-0.9
✕Brandon Meredith 2014 · A	24	44→40	49→50	46→45	47	219/301/375	156	289	16	8	29%	9%	92	+0.7	212/285/350	138	279	16	7	28%	8%	80	-0.1	196/270/331	135	249	17	5	28%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Chris Williams 2021 · A	24	36→32	50→55	49→40	48	188/277/339	151	269	18	5	35%	10%	75	-0.5	188/268/335	147	296	18	4	39%	9%	71	-0.8	176/260/345	169	249	23	4	38%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Joe DeCarlo 2018 · A	24	37→38	48→50	43→30	43	192/276/329	137	274	16	3	35%	8%	73	-0.6	198/269/315	117	285	12	3	33%	7%	66	-1.1	175/243/264	89	253	10	0	33%	7%	42	-1.0
✕Wes Clarke 2023 · AA	23	36→38	48→50	41→40	50	188/288/330	142	266	16	3	34%	11%	78	-0.3	197/295/354	157	295	19	5	37%	11%	85	+0.2	188/293/345	157	273	20	4	36%	12%	81	-0.1
✕Carlos Narváez 2023 · A	24	36→45	46→45	46→45	44	182/271/305	123	284	14	6	38%	10%	65	-1.2	206/290/331	125	292	13	7	32%	9%	78	-0.3	212/295/344	132	286	15	6	29%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	37→40	46→55	48→45	41	194/258/325	131	264	14	9	32%	7%	64	-1.3	204/278/363	159	283	19	5	33%	8%	81	-0.1	216/279/422	206	274	28	2	32%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Devin Mann 2021 · A	24	44	49→50	44→45	46	222/291/369	146	287	17	7	28%	8%	86	+0.3	215/294/365	150	282	16	5	28%	8%	87	+0.4	210/294/364	154	277	16	4	29%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Mason Katz 2015 · A	24	37→33	50	48→45	43	199/262/347	148	249	18	5	28%	7%	71	-0.8	207/277/322	115	295	11	8	31%	8%	70	-0.8	188/271/269	82	294	6	6	35%	9%	54	-1.1
✕Dustin Garneau 2012 · A	24	38→39	47→50	44→45	47	195/268/338	143	238	14	6	24%	8%	71	-0.8	201/268/329	128	232	13	5	19%	7%	69	-0.9	171/262/344	173	215	21	1	31%	8%	70	-0.3
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	41→39	42→45	46→55	56	196/304/308	112	272	9	11	28%	13%	78	-0.3	197/295/308	111	251	10	20	24%	12%	75	-0.5	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41→40	44→55	46→50	44	203/280/318	115	282	11	13	30%	8%	71	-0.8	217/276/370	153	271	17	14	26%	6%	81	-0.1	214/273/383	169	262	19	17	26%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Tyreque Reed 2021 · A	24	41→37	48→50	42→40	41	210/275/353	143	294	16	5	33%	7%	77	-0.3	212/281/360	148	321	18	5	37%	8%	81	-0.1	197/271/349	151	297	20	3	39%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Stefan Trosclair 2018 · A	24	43→42	47→50	50	44	216/290/351	135	288	15	9	29%	7%	82	+0.0	215/279/343	128	302	13	7	32%	6%	76	-0.4	203/266/330	127	288	14	4	33%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Cory Vaughn 2013 · A	24	39→42	46→45	49→50	44	198/279/327	130	273	14	12	32%	8%	74	-0.6	194/266/307	113	275	12	14	32%	7%	63	-1.3	180/251/283	102	258	11	14	33%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Jeyson Sanchez 2018 · A	24	38	47→50	45→50	43	197/263/332	135	252	15	5	28%	7%	68	-1.0	195/268/308	113	270	12	5	31%	7%	64	-1.3	133/227/214	81	185	9	0	32%	7%	27	-1.0
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA	24	42→44	45→55	49→50	46	211/275/328	117	264	14	12	25%	8%	70	-0.8	213/275/347	134	274	15	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps