Jonathan Hogart — OGILVIE

Jonathan HogartOF Clearwater Threshers

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 205 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION240 act + 160 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.161 / .277 / .292

PA160

HR4

K%36

BB%11

BABIP237

ISO131

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	107	85	19	2	1	2	13	35	7	1	1	224	371	341	713	118	340	33	12	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	107	81	23	2	1	3	17	28	7	1	1	284	448	444	892	160	385	26	16	400	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A	PHI	—	240	200	31	7	1	8	29	102	8	5	1	155	287	320	607	165	247	42	12	270	65	-10	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.4
YTD	24	A	PHI	—	240	191	39	8	2	10	38	72	8	5	1	204	359	424	783	220	259	30	16	350	126	+7	+1	+0	-1	+7	1.3
ROS	24	A	PHI	0%	160	137	22	4	1	4	18	58	4	3	1	161	277	292	569	131	233	36	11	263	60	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
ROS	24	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		234	—	—	247	47	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	24	A	PHI	—	240	201	31	7	1	8	29	102	8	5	1	154	287	318	605	164	245	42	12	270	65	-10	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.4
TOT	24	A	PHI	—	400	337	53	11	2	12	47	160	12	8	2	157	283	309	591	151	243	40	12	267	63	-17	+1	+0	-2	+11	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	PHI	30%	284	245	42	8	1	8	31	98	6	4	1	171	280	310	590	139	240	35	11	269	64	-12	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.5
2028	26	MLB	PHI	44%	349	301	53	10	2	9	37	118	8	5	1	176	283	312	596	136	245	34	11	273	67	-13	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.5
2027	25	MLB	PHI	30%	85	74	11	2	0	2	9	29	2	1	0	149	259	257	516	108	242	34	11	254	53	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2028	26	MLB	PHI	44%	154	134	23	4	1	4	16	52	3	2	1	172	275	306	580	134	247	34	10	259	57	-8	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	239	209	34	6	1	6	25	81	5	3	1	163	269	287	556	124	228	34	10	257	55	-12	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	92	16	3	16	68	220	14	8	3	162	269	285	554	123	227	34	10	257	55	-33	+0	+0	-4	+18	-1.8
Career	—			—	900	768	136	24	5	23	99	309	25	13	4	177	291	311	603	134	256	34	11	276	70	-31	+1	+0	-5	+26	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	555	99	17	4	17	72	223	18	9	3	178	293	315	608	137	257	34	11	276	70	-22	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	107	81	23	2	1	3	17	28	7	1	1	284	448	444	892	160	385	26	16	400	164	+8	-0	—	—	+3	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	404	10	6	171	274	301	-2	+0	-0.9	-0.4
	/162	664	17	10	171	274	301	-4.0	+0.0	-1.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonathan Hogart (OGILVIE)	24	20	47	46	63	157/283/309	151	243	12	8	40%	12%	63	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Cory Vaughn 2013 · A	24	37→41	45	49→50	43	189/270/308	118	271	12	12	33%	8%	61	-1.0	193/264/305	112	280	12	14	33%	7%	57	-1.2	182/251/287	106	263	12	14	34%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Franklin Labour 2022 · A	24	39	46→45	48→50	50	189/293/320	131	292	13	11	36%	12%	74	-0.1	184/263/311	127	342	13	10	46%	9%	58	-1.2	126/194/249	123	266	15	8	55%	7%	11	-1.8
✕Jeyson Sanchez 2018 · A	24	38	47→50	45→50	44	198/267/331	134	253	15	5	28%	7%	66	-0.6	194/268/308	114	270	12	5	31%	7%	59	-1.1	129/222/212	83	179	10	0	33%	7%	14	-1.1
✕Dustin Garneau 2012 · A	24	35→37	44→50	44→45	46	182/254/305	123	230	12	6	26%	8%	53	-1.5	198/265/326	128	230	13	5	20%	7%	63	-0.9	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	37	42→45	46→50	46	187/264/290	103	261	10	6	31%	9%	53	-1.5	192/262/318	126	281	14	11	35%	8%	59	-1.1	170/251/290	121	252	14	17	37%	9%	45	-0.9
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕Colin Davis 2023 · A	24	40	43→50	49→50	42	200/260/311	111	272	11	11	30%	7%	56	-1.3	186/247/306	120	255	14	11	32%	6%	50	-1.8	144/217/244	100	209	14	11	37%	6%	19	-1.1
✕Skyler Ewing 2017 · A	24	40→39	44→50	45→30	42	200/264/318	118	264	12	3	28%	6%	60	-1.0	202/276/366	164	274	20	4	33%	7%	79	+0.3	198/283/401	203	243	26	1	30%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Ryan Mathews 2014 · A	24	38→35	44→45	47→45	41	194/248/318	124	260	11	7	30%	6%	53	-1.5	205/249/320	115	296	11	7	33%	5%	53	-1.5	196/232/305	109	286	11	5	35%	4%	39	-1.5
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Joseph Odom 2016 · A	24	36	43→45	42→30	41	186/243/296	110	256	11	4	31%	7%	45	-2.1	217/257/323	106	294	10	3	28%	5%	57	-1.2	199/254/318	119	330	12	2	41%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Jhalan Jackson 2017 · A	24	38→33	47→50	42→45	38	196/250/333	137	278	14	6	34%	6%	58	-1.2	187/253/328	141	308	16	6	42%	7%	59	-1.1	167/242/306	140	284	18	6	45%	8%	46	-1.2
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Daniel Arribas 2017 · A	24	41→39	42→40	48→45	43	204/271/302	98	273	10	7	28%	7%	59	-1.1	198/273/287	89	286	7	10	31%	8%	56	-1.3	127/235/159	33	213	0	15	36%	11%	7	-1.0