Jake Casey — OGILVIE

Jake CaseyOF Vancouver Canadians

Age 23 L/R 6'2" / 190 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION77 act + 51 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .292 / .309

PA51

HR1

K%31

BB%8

BABIP282

ISO110

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	82	67	13	2	2	1	7	29	8	4	1	194	341	328	670	134	324	35	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	82	64	18	3	2	3	10	19	8	4	1	281	439	531	970	250	357	23	12	430	187	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	TOR	—	77	65	11	2	1	2	5	30	7	0	2	169	299	323	622	154	273	39	6	255	53	-4	-1	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
YTD	23	A+	TOR	—	77	62	14	3	1	2	8	21	7	0	2	226	377	403	780	177	308	27	10	358	132	+3	-1	+0	-0	+2	0.4
ROS	23	A+	TOR	4%	51	45	9	2	0	1	4	16	2	1	0	199	292	309	601	110	284	31	8	285	76	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
ROS	23	MLB	TOR	4%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						286	50	0	258	55	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	TOR	—	79	67	11	2	1	2	5	31	7	0	2	164	291	313	605	149	265	39	6	255	53	-4	-1	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
TOT	23	A+	TOR	—	128	110	20	4	1	3	9	46	9	1	2	181	296	317	613	136	277	36	7	267	62	-5	-1	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TOR	32%	177	156	32	6	1	4	13	54	6	2	1	205	291	333	625	128	284	31	7	287	78	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2027	24	MLB	TOR	32%	57	51	10	2	0	1	4	17	2	1	0	196	281	294	575	98	285	30	7	264	60	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	59	53	10	2	0	1	4	18	2	1	0	189	271	283	554	94	265	31	7	264	60	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	110	22	0	11	44	198	22	11	0	188	271	283	553	94	264	30	7	264	60	-29	+2	+2	-4	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	310	268	54	10	3	6	24	99	16	7	2	201	305	328	633	127	292	32	8	294	83	-6	+1	+1	-2	+9	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	562	113	21	6	13	50	207	34	15	4	201	305	329	634	128	291	32	8	294	83	-13	+1	+1	-4	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	82	64	18	3	2	3	10	19	8	4	1	281	439	531	970	250	357	23	12	430	187	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Casey (OGILVIE)	23	45	50	60	—	181/296/317	136	277	3	1	36%	7%	62	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A	23	41→43	50→55	55→50	42	210/278/365	154	290	17	11	32%	7%	78	+0.2	216/261/364	148	282	14	11	28%	5%	70	-0.3	214/254/362	148	274	14	10	27%	4%	63	-0.6
✕Matthew Spencer 2009 · A	23	46→48	45→50	51→45	40	230/278/354	124	298	13	9	27%	5%	74	-0.1	228/271/375	147	284	18	7	26%	5%	77	+0.1	219/262/372	152	269	19	7	26%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Sam Hilliard 2016 · A	22	46	44→55	54→55	45	221/283/350	129	308	10	11	30%	8%	76	+0.0	200/252/294	94	334	8	18	40%	6%	47	-1.9	190/268/352	162	268	18	18	34%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→44	44→55	51→45	42	209/269/330	121	281	12	9	29%	7%	65	-0.7	226/282/380	154	300	19	5	30%	6%	84	+0.6	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A	22	39→48	43→50	53→50	44	194/277/307	113	282	11	9	33%	9%	63	-0.8	224/271/333	109	314	11	8	31%	6%	66	-0.6	231/283/327	97	303	10	3	26%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Carlo Testa 2010 · A	23	45→49	45→50	52→50	41	218/277/346	128	325	12	14	35%	7%	72	-0.2	222/281/358	136	332	11	15	34%	7%	76	+0.1	217/278/359	141	325	12	16	35%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A	21	40→45	45→55	55→50	40	201/267/329	128	288	12	8	33%	6%	64	-0.8	209/259/340	131	294	14	8	32%	5%	63	-0.8	208/281/368	159	278	20	6	31%	8%	77	+0.1
✕John Rave 2022 · A	24	40→44	47→55	54→55	40	202/271/332	130	303	15	14	37%	8%	67	-0.5	217/284/358	141	307	17	15	33%	8%	79	+0.3	220/292/381	161	277	17	23	26%	9%	84	+0.5
✕Grant Richardson 2022 · A	23	45	44→50	57→50	41	211/277/336	125	320	9	15	35%	7%	69	-0.4	188/252/326	138	311	16	16	42%	6%	57	-1.2	189/244/325	136	299	16	17	41%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Juan Kelly 2017 · A	23	43→48	44→50	55→45	42	210/271/335	125	294	10	7	31%	7%	67	-0.5	220/278/349	129	306	12	4	30%	7%	73	-0.1	218/277/347	129	299	13	1	30%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Eudy Pina 2014 · A	23	39→48	47→45	53→55	41	198/266/340	143	281	13	12	33%	7%	67	-0.5	225/271/336	111	318	9	9	30%	5%	66	-0.6	233/271/326	93	327	6	8	30%	4%	61	-0.7
✕Tom Belza 2012 · A	23	46→56	43→45	54→45	40	225/267/343	118	304	10	8	29%	5%	66	-0.6	230/276/329	99	298	8	8	24%	6%	66	-0.6	237/285/328	91	306	7	8	24%	6%	67	-0.5
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Micah Pries 2022 · A	24	47→42	46→55	56→50	37	225/282/356	131	331	13	15	34%	5%	77	+0.1	214/274/363	149	290	15	12	30%	6%	76	+0.1	203/266/352	149	270	15	10	30%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Tyler Callihan 2023 · A	23	42→41	43→45	53→55	42	211/261/321	110	274	10	14	26%	6%	59	-1.1	215/272/329	114	309	11	21	32%	7%	66	-0.6	220/287/349	129	316	15	25	33%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Mike Antico 2022 · A	24	43→42	50→45	55→60	41	221/273/379	158	278	17	13	27%	6%	79	+0.3	209/273/333	124	284	13	36	29%	7%	67	-0.5	214/278/335	120	296	13	35	31%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Brandon Sizemore 2010 · A	23	42	46→50	54→50	39	212/273/349	137	293	13	12	31%	6%	72	-0.2	205/254/321	116	278	12	7	29%	5%	56	-1.3	177/216/288	111	225	14	3	28%	4%	29	-1.1
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	41→45	51→55	44	215/279/319	105	286	7	13	26%	7%	66	-0.6	207/259/301	94	296	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	165/200/219	54	252	0	15	33%	4%	4	-0.8
✕Peter Clifford 2008 · A	24	43→47	47→45	51→45	46	215/280/351	136	280	14	8	28%	8%	75	-0.0	216/282/328	112	291	9	8	27%	8%	69	-0.4	216/282/328	112	287	9	8	27%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A	23	39→37	43→60	54→50	47	196/261/312	115	255	9	8	26%	8%	56	-1.3	187/269/294	107	266	9	14	31%	9%	56	-1.3	207/269/398	192	270	24	15	32%	7%	82	+0.3