Jared Sprague-LottSS Lansing Lugnuts
Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION315 act + 210 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†78
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .312 / .308
PA210
HR3
SB6
K%22
BB%11
BABIP269
ISO93
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -14.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-15BATRUN: +3.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +5.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +14.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+15REPTotal WAR: +0.90+0.9WAR
0.01.12.10.01.31.51.61.51.31.10.80.50.0+$63M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.5$9M+$8M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.3$7M+$7M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$5M
2033Arb-1$2M+0.8$2M+$1M
2034Arb-2$2M+0.5$1M+$0.4M
2035Arb-3$7M
Totals $6M $25M +$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202523 AStockton Ports 331276 511005 44756 102 185310275585 91231 2313 265 61
202523 AStockton Ports 331255 551106 65576 102 216387329716 114251 1720 335 114
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 A+OAK 315273 60616 31674 142 220308315623 95263 2110 281 73 -10 +2 +0 +3 +9 0.5
YTD24 A+OAK 315261 69817 43504 142 264377383760 119297 1614 341 119 +7 +2 +0 +3 +9 2.1
ROS24 A+OAK 0% 210182 39613 23463 61 214312308620 93266 2211 287 78 -5 +1 +0 +2 +6 0.4
ROS24 MLBOAK 0% 11 0000 000 00 264 00 276 70 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL24 A+OAK 316274 60616 31674 142 219307314621 95262 2110 281 73 -10 +2 +0 +3 +9 0.5
TOT24 A+OAK 525455 991229 541137 203 218310312622 95265 2210 284 75 -15 +3 +0 +6 +15 0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBOAK 38% 563492 11018211 601236 112 224315335651 112271 2211 295 84 -10 +1 +0 +6 +16 1.3
202826 MLBOAK 55% 578506 11419212 611266 112 225316342658 117273 2211 298 86 -9 +1 +0 +6 +16 1.5
202927 MLBOAK 61% 583509 11419212 621287 102 224317340656 116274 2211 299 87 -8 +1 +0 +6 +17 1.6
203028 MLBOAK 65% 582509 11419212 621286 102 224315340655 116274 2211 299 87 -9 +1 -1 +6 +16 1.5
203129 MLBOAK 70% 577505 11319212 611296 92 224315341655 117274 2211 297 86 -9 +1 -1 +6 +16 1.3
203230 MLBOAK 74% 570498 11018211 611286 82 221313331645 110273 2211 295 84 -10 +1 -2 +6 +16 1.1
203331 MLBOAK 76% 561490 10718210 601286 81 218311324636 106271 2311 291 81 -12 +1 -3 +6 +16 0.8
203432 MLBOAK 78% 552482 10417210 591286 71 216309322631 106268 2311 286 77 -14 +1 -4 +6 +16 0.5
203533 MLBOAK 79% 477419 871418 501135 61 208300303603 95264 2410 279 72 -15 +1 -4 +5 +14 0.0
203634 MLBOAK 75% 404355 711116 42994 51 200292287579 87259 2510 272 66 -16 +1 -5 +4 +11 -0.4
202725 MLBOAK 38% 214187 42714 23472 41 225316337653 112269 2211 284 76 -6 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.3
202826 MLBOAK 55% 321280 621016 34704 61 221314329643 107271 2211 287 78 -8 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.5
202927 MLBOAK 61% 358313 701217 38784 61 224315335651 112272 2211 289 79 -8 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.6
203028 MLBOAK 65% 376329 731218 40834 61 222314337651 116272 2211 289 79 -9 +1 -0 +4 +11 0.6
203129 MLBOAK 70% 404354 781318 43904 61 220312331642 110271 2211 287 78 -10 +1 -1 +4 +11 0.6
203230 MLBOAK 74% 421368 801318 45955 61 217311323634 106270 2311 284 76 -11 +1 -2 +5 +12 0.4
203331 MLBOAK 76% 429375 811318 46985 61 216310320630 104268 2311 281 73 -13 +1 -2 +5 +12 0.2
203432 MLBOAK 78% 431378 791317 461004 61 209301304606 95266 2311 276 69 -15 +1 -3 +5 +12 -0.0
203533 MLBOAK 79% 379332 691116 40904 51 208301301602 93262 2411 270 65 -15 +1 -3 +4 +11 -0.3
203634 MLBOAK 75% 302264 54815 32743 31 205298299597 95257 2511 262 59 -14 +0 -4 +3 +9 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career 36363181 6881121067 38782539 5410 216309321630 105269 2311 281 73 -110 +7 -15 +39 +103 2.5
/ 162G 650569 12320212 691477 102 216309322630 105269 2311 281 73 -20 +1 -3 +7 +18 0.4
Career 59885223 113418819112 645135167 10119 217311325636 108270 2311 290 80 -133 +13 -20 +64 +170 9.5
/ 162G 650567 12220212 701477 112 215309321630 106268 2311 290 80 -14 +1 -2 +7 +18 1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202523 AStockton Ports 331255 551106 65576 102 216387329716 114251 1720 335 114 +5 +1 +9 1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,6356855219308328+37+216.05.8
/1626641210+6.7+3.81.1pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jared Sprague-Lott (OGILVIE) 24 35 30 45 60 218/310/312 95265 920 22% 10% 75 +0.9
Taylor Krick
2011 · A
23 43 38→30 48→40 51 205/292/282 77270 67 25% 10% 63 -0.8 226/312/290 64313 35 26% 8% 73 -0.1 233/324/284513282226%8%74-0.0
Alsander Womack
2023 · A
24 48→43 43→40 44→45 47 238/297/340 103293 127 23% 7% 79 +0.3 217/281/301 84281 99 24% 7% 63 -0.9 205/273/275712648824%7%50-0.9
Anthony Seigler
2023 · A
24 40→39 42→50 46→55 56 195/303/310 115269 911 28% 13% 76 +0.0 199/299/319 120254 1120 24% 12% 76 +0.0 226/317/363137277122821%11%91+0.6
Kobe Kato
2023 · A
24 47 41→30 46→55 54 223/310/322 99281 910 22% 11% 80 +0.4 215/294/301 86303 622 28% 9% 68 -0.5 198/284/2818328662930%10%55-0.5
Alexander Campos
2022 · A
22 43 41→40 46→45 48 206/290/308 102278 86 27% 9% 69 -0.4 221/302/309 88318 76 30% 9% 74 -0.1 242/332/316743358627%10%86+0.3
Jackson Brennan
2007 · A
24 46→42 42→45 46→50 47 219/308/327 108299 910 28% 9% 82 +0.5 209/301/306 97289 810 28% 9% 74 -0.1 195/297/2828727271028%9%64-0.4
Luis Santana
2023 · A
24 43 44→45 48→50 43 215/283/333 118286 1211 28% 7% 72 -0.2 206/263/326 120268 137 28% 5% 62 -0.9 190/242/30711724015527%4%45-1.1
Renae Martinez
2018 · A
24 45→31 44→45 40 44 225/279/335 110276 125 23% 6% 70 -0.3 213/274/317 104285 103 27% 7% 63 -0.8 189/257/29210326311231%7%48-1.0
Dallas Carroll
2018 · A
24 48→30 44→45 46→45 45 236/292/351 115285 129 22% 6% 80 +0.4 181/244/259 78253 77 30% 7% 36 -2.7 155/218/216612136629%7%12-4.3
James Guerrero
2008 · A
24 45→46 39→40 40→45 53 212/297/295 83256 67 19% 9% 68 -0.5 206/290/295 89269 79 24% 10% 66 -0.6 140/254/2106918841025%12%28-0.8
Ronnie Richardson
2014 · A
24 43 41→40 47→50 45 211/275/316 105277 88 26% 7% 63 -0.8 210/302/302 92286 510 26% 9% 72 -0.2 196/303/2838727041026%10%67-0.3
Quincy McAfee
2022 · AA
24 42 43→45 48→45 50 204/300/321 117266 1010 26% 10% 77 +0.1 193/276/316 123255 138 28% 8% 66 -0.6 179/261/30212322915828%7%53-0.9
Chris Denove
2006 · A
23 44 40 46→40 46 211/286/303 92280 75 26% 8% 66 -0.6 199/259/270 71270 44 26% 6% 44 -2.1 244/302/337932987319%6%78+0.1
Daniel Lyons
2009 · A
24 48 41→45 50 49 226/308/329 103289 713 23% 8% 82 +0.5 199/287/281 82268 514 25% 9% 61 -1.0 166/266/2255922931526%10%37-1.2
Joe Sclafani
2014 · A
24 46→45 40 52→50 51 218/297/316 98272 614 21% 9% 73 -0.1 252/313/328 76307 411 18% 8% 82 +0.5 279/336/3406133321016%7%89+0.5
Kevin Nolan
2012 · A
24 48 40→45 41→50 49 228/293/327 99281 67 20% 8% 74 -0.1 236/288/344 108283 88 19% 6% 76 +0.0 236/283/3401042778817%6%69-0.3
Jamie Ritchie
2017 · A
24 50→52 39→40 44→45 51 230/316/312 82318 66 27% 10% 80 +0.4 234/311/322 88312 66 25% 9% 81 +0.4 245/324/340953157323%9%87+0.4
Jose Herrera
2021 · A
24 43 41→40 47→40 50 209/287/310 100280 85 27% 10% 68 -0.5 214/287/309 95287 95 27% 9% 66 -0.6 207/283/288812738326%9%57-0.6
Sherman Lacrus
2016 · A
22 46 40→30 45→50 49 222/293/313 91261 77 18% 7% 71 -0.3 207/262/291 84277 58 26% 6% 51 -1.7 188/240/263742484925%5%33-0.9
Will Piwnica-Worms
2014 · A
24 43 38→40 50 50 205/285/287 82263 69 23% 9% 61 -1.0 207/276/302 95284 88 28% 8% 60 -1.0 181/247/265842529530%7%39-0.9