Weston EberlyC Winston-Salem Dash
Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 142 proj PA
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .276 / .306
PA142
HR2
K%30
BB%8
ISO103
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +4.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.30.50.5+$10M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202322 ROKACL White Sox 2624 1000 1101 00 4211542157 71 384 105 -61
202322 ROKACL White Sox 2623 2000 271 00 8719287279 125 278 152 -26
202423 A+2 teams 124109 14202 8544 00 128215202417 73218 446 192 5
202423 A+2 teams 124104 17302 13374 00 163281250531 87224 3010 249 49
202524 A+Winston-Salem Dash 6655 8201 7192 20 145266236502 91194 2911 222 28
202524 A+Winston-Salem Dash 6652 8201 10132 20 154312250562 96179 2015 267 63
▸ 2026 Season
202625 MLBCWS 142128 26512 11432 21 203277305581 102286 308 267 63 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726 MLBCWS 30% 240216 44814 19713 41 204277306583 102287 308 275 68 -9 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.3
202827 MLBCWS 42% 298268 571116 24864 51 213287328616 116287 298 278 71 -10 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.5
202928 MLBCWS 48% 337302 651227 27975 51 215290338628 123287 298 280 72 -11 +1 -1 +6 +10 0.5
202726 MLBCWS 30% 7366 14301 6211 10 212288303591 91287 298 266 61 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202827 MLBCWS 42% 124111 23412 10362 21 207285315600 108288 298 270 64 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
202928 MLBCWS 48% 161145 31613 13462 21 214287331619 117288 298 271 66 -6 +0 -0 +3 +5 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 358322 681326 291035 52 211287320606 109288 298 269 64 -14 +0 -0 +6 +10 0.2
/ 162G 650585 12424411 531879 94 212288323611 111289 298 269 64 -26 +0 -1 +12 +18 0.4
Career 12331102 21540522 9738021 184 195273300573 105273 318 261 58 -58 +2 -1 +22 +35 0.0
/ 162G 650581 11421312 5120011 92 196274305578 108273 318 261 58 -31 +1 -0 +12 +18 -0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202322 ROKACL White Sox 2623 2000 271 00 8719287279 125 278 152 -26 -4 +0 +1 -0.3
202423 AABirmingham Barons 2823 3000 580 00 130286130416 200 2918 222 28 -2 +0 +1 -0.2
202423 A+Winston-Salem Dash 9681 14302 8294 00 173280284564 111231 308 257 55 -5 +0 +3 -0.2
202524 A+Winston-Salem Dash 6652 8201 10132 20 154312250562 96179 2015 267 63 -3 +0 +2 -0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
135875213284329+6+40.50.5
/1626641310+11.9+7.41.0pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Weston Eberly (OGILVIE) 25 204/276/306 103286 22 30% 8% 63 -0.2
Maverick Handley
2023 · AA
25 38 44→40 50 44 193/277/309 116270 1212 32% 8% 65 -0.7 203/293/294 91284 811 29% 9% 67 -0.5 196/291/2717527751028%10%57-0.6
Ryan Ortiz
2013 · AA
25 40 43→45 47→40 49 200/288/306 105271 115 29% 10% 68 -0.5 201/291/297 96282 84 29% 10% 67 -0.5 190/289/275852696029%11%57-0.6
Drake Osborn
2023 · A
25 39 44→45 49→40 42 198/262/310 112269 116 30% 7% 57 -1.2 190/247/298 108260 124 31% 6% 47 -1.9 181/237/28510424412230%6%37-1.2
Quincy McAfee
2023 · AA
25 38 43→45 42→45 46 189/279/295 106260 116 30% 9% 62 -0.9 198/275/331 133251 1510 27% 7% 69 -0.4 185/264/327142224171225%7%61-0.5
Sean Jamieson
2014 · A
25 42→43 43→45 50 42 207/270/323 116273 1012 27% 6% 63 -0.8 226/283/329 103310 89 28% 6% 70 -0.3 228/286/321933177729%6%66-0.3
Gerardo Bustamante
2011 · AAA
25 41 40→45 50 44 201/272/294 93265 89 26% 7% 57 -1.2 222/267/338 116273 1413 24% 5% 66 -0.6 226/262/32599269141222%4%56-0.4
JJ Schwarz
2021 · A
25 38 40→50 48→30 43 190/254/280 90264 96 30% 7% 46 -2.0 212/278/349 137295 173 32% 8% 74 -0.1 203/274/34213927918132%9%67-0.3
Blake Hunt
2023 · AA
24 38 43→50 50→40 39 192/251/299 107277 115 34% 6% 50 -1.8 211/268/341 130275 145 28% 6% 67 -0.5 207/268/34113426314226%6%65-0.3
Bryan Holaday
2012 · AA
24 41 41→45 48→40 40 201/257/296 95274 97 29% 6% 51 -1.7 214/263/302 88270 75 23% 5% 55 -1.4 223/289/35313025614219%7%76+0.0
Andres Sosa
2023 · A
25 38 42→40 52→45 46 187/288/295 108267 99 31% 9% 66 -0.6 194/280/284 90288 77 32% 8% 59 -1.1 177/267/253762715433%7%42-0.8
Julio E. Rodriguez
2022 · AA
25 41 43→50 48→30 40 207/256/310 103267 126 27% 5% 54 -1.4 205/274/339 134286 184 33% 8% 69 -0.4 185/255/31713225419134%8%54-0.5
Chase Strumpf
2022 · AA
24 42→36 43→50 48→45 44 203/282/318 115297 117 33% 8% 68 -0.5 193/294/347 154320 185 41% 11% 82 +0.5 177/286/33615829620343%11%72-0.1
Dusty Brown
2007 · AA
25 41 43→45 44→30 43 205/258/311 106264 115 26% 6% 55 -1.4 224/282/344 120300 123 28% 7% 74 -0.1 228/291/34111330712028%7%74-0.1
Ryan Dorow
2021 · AA
25 43→45 41→45 50→45 39 202/269/299 97311 99 36% 7% 57 -1.2 217/279/350 133296 136 29% 7% 74 -0.1 213/276/35113828513329%7%70-0.3
Chase Pinder
2022 · AA
26 39 43→45 44→45 46 197/280/304 107271 125 30% 8% 64 -0.8 229/320/373 144297 1510 26% 11% 98 +1.6 224/323/376152290161126%12%98+0.8
Jake Lemmerman
2014 · AA
25 43→50 41→45 52→45 47 208/287/310 101285 910 28% 8% 68 -0.5 196/265/303 107280 109 32% 8% 56 -1.3 146/216/2449820910434%8%19-1.6
Wilmer Perez
2023 · AAA
25 45 42→45 50→45 41 222/266/326 104283 98 25% 5% 62 -0.9 212/266/302 90281 79 26% 5% 56 -1.3 185/240/241572512626%3%27-1.0
Edgar Cabral
2021 · A
25 42 43→40 47→30 41 209/266/319 110288 116 31% 7% 61 -1.0 198/262/288 90315 78 36% 8% 51 -1.7 188/264/255663260038%8%41-0.4
Bobby Stevens
2012 · AA
25 43 41→40 47→50 42 209/281/304 95283 911 28% 6% 64 -0.8 206/259/318 112293 1210 33% 5% 57 -1.2 188/228/30011227215936%3%37-1.6
Jason Lopez
2022 · AA
24 39 42→55 54→45 40 191/252/295 104290 1012 36% 7% 49 -1.8 204/267/315 111307 119 35% 7% 59 -1.1 156/215/246902269034%7%18-0.7