Derek Bender — OGILVIE

Derek BenderC Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 235 lbs A BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.1 · 2030

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .268 / .319

PA67

HR1

K%31

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.1peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.1	$10M	+$9M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.8	$4M	+$3M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.8M	+0.5	$3M	+$2M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.2	$1M	+$0.6M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$21M	+$17M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	67	62	10	2	0	2	4	29	1	1	1	.161	.224	.290	.514	.129	.258	43	6	.198	10	-7	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	MIN	67	61	12	2	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	.197	.269	.279	.547	.082	.290	31	7	.267	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 10%	MIN	142	130	28	5	1	3	10	43	1	2	1	.215	.277	.338	.615	.123	.292	30	7	.280	73	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2028	25	MLB 25%	MIN	248	225	50	9	2	6	19	72	2	4	1	.222	.289	.360	.649	.138	.293	29	8	.289	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2029	26	MLB 42%	MIN	323	292	65	11	2	9	25	93	3	6	1	.223	.291	.366	.657	.144	.294	29	8	.294	83	-6	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.0
2030	27	MLB 58%	MIN	364	328	74	13	2	10	29	105	4	6	1	.226	.296	.369	.665	.143	.294	29	8	.295	84	-7	+1	+0	+7	+10	1.1
2031	28	MLB 68%	MIN	389	351	78	14	2	10	31	113	4	6	1	.222	.293	.359	.652	.137	.294	29	8	.294	83	-8	+1	-1	+7	+11	1.1
2032	29	MLB 77%	MIN	396	357	78	14	2	10	32	116	4	5	1	.218	.290	.353	.643	.134	.293	29	8	.291	81	-8	+1	-1	+7	+11	0.9
2033	30	MLB 84%	MIN	399	360	78	14	2	10	32	118	4	4	0	.217	.288	.350	.638	.133	.291	30	8	.288	79	-10	+1	-2	+7	+11	0.8
2034	31	MLB 91%	MIN	380	342	74	13	2	9	31	114	4	2	0	.216	.289	.345	.634	.129	.290	30	8	.284	76	-10	+0	-3	+7	+11	0.5
2035	32	MLB	MIN	354	320	68	12	2	8	28	108	3	1	0	.212	.282	.338	.620	.125	.288	31	8	.280	72	-11	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.2
2036	33	MLB	MIN	318	287	60	10	2	7	25	99	3	0	0	.209	.279	.331	.610	.122	.287	31	8	.274	68	-11	+0	-4	+6	+9	-0.1
2037	34	MLB	MIN	271	246	50	8	2	6	21	87	2	0	0	.203	.271	.325	.597	.122	.285	32	8	.268	63	-11	+0	-5	+5	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3718	3361	725	127	21	91	292	1118	36	38	7	.216	.285	.347	.633	.132	.292	30	8	.284	76	-102	+5	-20	+66	+105	5.6
/ 162G	—			650	588	127	22	4	16	51	195	6	7	1	.216	.285	.349	.634	.133	.292	30	8	.284	76	-18	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	67	60	12	2	0	2	5	20	1	1	1	.200	.269	.333	.602	.133	.263	30	7	.272	66	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Derek Bender (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	.207/.268/.319	.112	.290	1	1	31%	7%	62	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→55	47→45	42	.205/.269/.327	.122	.280	11	10	30%	7%	65	-0.7	.196/.267/.342	.146	.271	17	7	33%	8%	69	-0.4	.206/.283/.412	.206	.265	29	1	33%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	39→46	46→45	49→50	44	.197/.277/.329	.131	.260	14	9	29%	7%	69	-0.4	.215/.289/.346	.131	.275	13	9	25%	7%	78	+0.2	.223/.298/.355	.132	.277	12	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕John Hester 2007 · A	23	42	43→55	50	41	.206/.271/.327	.122	.299	10	7	33%	7%	65	-0.7	.224/.267/.365	.141	.298	14	7	29%	5%	72	-0.2	.249/.292/.416	.167	.322	15	10	27%	5%	94	+0.7
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	41→37	49→50	53→50	39	.211/.272/.359	.148	.288	17	9	32%	6%	75	-0.0	.211/.274/.346	.135	.297	14	11	32%	6%	72	-0.2	.206/.277/.356	.150	.287	18	9	33%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	42	44→50	49→40	49	.210/.296/.330	.120	.268	12	7	25%	9%	78	+0.2	.225/.309/.364	.139	.303	15	5	29%	8%	92	+1.2	.233/.304/.378	.146	.278	16	1	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A	23	42→39	43→50	46→30	45	.207/.280/.320	.113	.292	11	4	31%	8%	67	-0.5	.217/.291/.360	.143	.291	16	3	29%	9%	82	+0.5	.217/.295/.373	.156	.282	19	1	29%	9%	85	+0.3
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→43	45→50	49→40	44	.228/.280/.350	.122	.284	12	8	24%	6%	74	-0.1	.216/.283/.365	.149	.274	20	4	28%	8%	81	+0.4	.212/.282/.359	.148	.263	20	2	27%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Nick Hutchins 2019 · A	23	43	45→50	48→40	38	.213/.269/.344	.131	.299	12	3	32%	6%	69	-0.4	.204/.245/.307	.103	.286	9	5	31%	4%	49	-1.8	.187/.215/.275	.087	.261	8	4	31%	2%	23	-1.8
✕Pedro Pagés 2022 · A	23	44→43	43→50	43→40	42	.213/.279/.319	.107	.302	11	5	32%	7%	66	-0.6	.210/.275/.334	.124	.293	14	4	31%	8%	69	-0.4	.224/.283/.362	.138	.282	18	2	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Bryan Holaday 2011 · A	23	43	42→45	47→40	42	.204/.284/.305	.101	.299	9	6	33%	8%	66	-0.6	.210/.264/.299	.089	.275	7	6	25%	6%	54	-1.4	.217/.286/.341	.124	.252	13	2	19%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→50	51→50	43	.218/.284/.328	.110	.300	9	11	29%	7%	71	-0.3	.204/.275/.332	.128	.317	14	12	38%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Carlos Narváez 2023 · A	24	36→45	47→50	47→45	43	.185/.270/.313	.127	.285	15	6	38%	9%	63	-0.9	.206/.289/.337	.131	.291	15	7	32%	9%	76	+0.1	.215/.298/.353	.138	.288	16	6	29%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2018 · A	23	39	47→50	43→40	43	.204/.266/.339	.135	.261	15	5	28%	7%	66	-0.6	.214/.269/.320	.106	.298	11	5	30%	6%	62	-0.9	.199/.250/.262	.063	.298	6	0	34%	6%	34	-0.9
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	43	40→50	50→40	43	.207/.281/.298	.092	.283	7	6	28%	7%	63	-0.9	.204/.276/.336	.132	.276	16	3	31%	7%	70	-0.3	.179/.260/.330	.151	.234	22	0	33%	7%	67	-0.2
✕Cooper Johnson 2021 · A	23	43	43→45	51→40	45	.209/.287/.322	.113	.302	11	9	32%	8%	71	-0.3	.175/.261/.262	.087	.300	7	5	40%	9%	46	-2.0	.157/.246/.286	.129	.241	16	3	39%	9%	42	-0.7
✕Ramon Santana 2009 · A	23	43→53	44→45	49→45	39	.208/.278/.329	.120	.301	12	9	33%	6%	69	-0.4	.217/.280/.327	.110	.323	9	7	33%	6%	69	-0.4	.212/.276/.321	.109	.318	8	4	33%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Taylor Featherston 2013 · A	23	45	45→50	51→50	43	.223/.284/.349	.126	.295	12	11	28%	7%	76	+0.1	.222/.268/.364	.142	.290	15	12	28%	5%	73	-0.1	.212/.256/.355	.143	.273	15	12	28%	4%	63	-0.6
✕Tyler Saladino 2012 · A	23	44→46	46→45	45→55	42	.217/.280/.356	.139	.292	13	7	29%	7%	76	+0.1	.216/.285/.317	.101	.284	8	20	25%	8%	68	-0.5	.253/.299/.369	.116	.300	11	25	19%	5%	84	+0.4
✕Patrick Bailey 2022 · A	23	44→49	45	50→45	43	.213/.278/.336	.122	.306	12	8	33%	8%	70	-0.3	.213/.279/.336	.123	.289	13	5	29%	8%	71	-0.3	.229/.288/.338	.110	.303	11	4	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	48	.209/.289/.317	.108	.281	9	6	28%	9%	70	-0.3	.221/.304/.311	.090	.312	8	6	29%	9%	75	-0.0	.236/.329/.308	.072	.330	7	6	28%	11%	83	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)