Kyle DeBarge — OGILVIE

Kyle DeBargeSS Wichita Wind Surge

Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 175 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION336 act + 224 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .261 / .294

PA224

HR4

SB14

K%33

BB%8

BABIP266

ISO109

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	115	105	18	2	2	1	9	40	1	15	3	171	243	257	501	86	266	35	8	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	115	102	24	2	3	1	12	28	1	15	3	235	322	343	665	108	315	24	10	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	543	479	88	15	4	7	51	171	9	66	8	184	275	276	550	92	266	31	9	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	543	459	109	23	5	8	70	121	9	66	8	237	349	362	710	124	302	22	13	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	MIN	—	336	304	52	13	0	9	26	117	3	20	9	171	243	303	546	132	240	35	8	236	39	-23	+0	+0	+4	+10	-1.0
YTD	23	AA	MIN	—	336	293	61	16	0	10	37	91	3	20	9	208	303	365	668	157	264	27	11	301	88	-4	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.9
ROS	23	AA	MIN	2%	224	201	37	8	1	4	19	74	2	14	4	184	261	294	555	109	261	33	8	255	53	-12	+1	+1	+2	+6	-0.1
ROS	23	MLB	MIN	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						261	25	0	247	47	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	MIN	—	340	308	52	13	0	9	26	118	3	20	9	169	240	299	539	130	236	35	8	236	39	-23	+0	+0	+4	+10	-1.0
TOT	23	AA	MIN	—	560	505	89	21	1	13	45	191	5	34	13	176	250	299	549	123	251	34	8	243	44	-35	+2	+1	+6	+16	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIN	23%	571	512	97	20	2	12	48	181	6	31	9	189	267	307	573	117	264	32	8	264	60	-26	+3	+2	+6	+16	0.1
2028	25	MLB	MIN	35%	587	526	104	21	3	14	50	181	6	32	9	198	275	329	604	131	267	31	9	271	65	-23	+3	+2	+6	+17	0.5
2029	26	MLB	MIN	42%	592	530	106	22	3	14	51	180	6	32	9	200	278	332	610	132	268	30	9	275	68	-21	+3	+2	+6	+17	0.7
2030	27	MLB	MIN	45%	591	528	106	22	3	14	52	179	6	32	9	201	280	333	613	133	269	30	9	276	69	-20	+3	+2	+6	+17	0.7
2031	28	MLB	MIN	47%	586	523	103	21	2	14	52	178	6	30	8	197	277	325	602	128	268	30	9	275	69	-21	+3	+1	+6	+17	0.6
2027	24	MLB	MIN	23%	131	118	23	5	1	3	11	41	1	7	2	195	269	331	600	136	264	31	8	257	55	-7	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	MIN	35%	206	184	36	7	1	5	18	63	2	11	3	196	275	326	601	130	267	31	9	264	60	-9	+1	+1	+2	+6	0.0
2029	26	MLB	MIN	42%	249	223	44	9	1	6	21	76	3	13	4	197	275	327	603	130	268	31	8	267	63	-10	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.1
2030	27	MLB	MIN	45%	265	237	47	10	1	6	23	80	3	14	4	198	278	325	602	127	269	30	9	269	64	-11	+1	+1	+3	+8	0.2
2031	28	MLB	MIN	47%	273	244	49	10	1	7	24	83	3	14	4	201	280	336	617	135	269	30	9	268	63	-11	+1	+1	+3	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1128	1010	199	41	5	27	97	344	12	59	17	197	275	328	603	131	267	30	9	266	62	-49	+5	+3	+12	+32	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	116	24	3	16	56	198	7	34	10	199	278	333	611	134	270	30	9	266	62	-28	+3	+2	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	3809	3404	659	131	20	80	332	1184	42	252	59	194	273	314	588	121	268	31	9	266	62	-164	+27	+9	+41	+108	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	112	22	3	14	57	202	7	43	10	193	273	313	586	120	266	31	9	266	62	-28	+5	+2	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	115	102	24	2	3	1	12	28	1	15	3	235	322	343	665	108	315	24	10	303	90	-1	+2	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	543	459	109	23	5	8	70	121	9	66	8	237	349	362	710	124	302	22	13	324	106	+4	+10	—	—	+15	3.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
#3Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,130	27	60	199	274	329	+12	+4	0.7	0.7
	/162	664	16	35	199	274	329	+7.1	+2.3	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle DeBarge (OGILVIE)	23	42	40	62	57	176/250/299	123	251	13	34	34%	8%	44	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39	44→45	59→60	43	191/272/302	111	287	11	31	35%	8%	60	-1.0	201/274/322	121	279	12	35	31%	8%	66	-0.6	195/268/315	120	262	12	40	29%	8%	59	-0.7
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	42→41	42→50	65→70	46	207/269/319	112	274	8	36	27%	8%	62	-0.9	208/276/333	125	274	13	50	28%	8%	69	-0.4	220/282/351	131	271	15	58	24%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Jorge Mateo 2018 · AA	23	39→46	44→50	63→65	36	197/241/326	129	286	10	34	34%	5%	51	-1.7	198/238/314	116	291	8	24	34%	4%	46	-2.0	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Jayce Easley 2023 · A	23	44→45	38→30	62→65	54	205/302/281	75	283	5	39	27%	11%	67	-0.5	182/274/240	58	281	3	27	33%	10%	45	-2.1	150/252/183	33	244	1	30	34%	11%	20	-1.7
✕Wes Rogers 2017 · A	23	46→48	39→40	61→65	44	220/280/308	88	290	6	31	25%	7%	63	-0.8	207/260/286	79	295	5	32	30%	6%	49	-1.8	194/246/265	71	285	4	34	32%	6%	35	-1.8
✕Mikey Perez 2023 · A	23	43→37	45	58→60	43	208/292/338	130	293	11	31	31%	7%	78	+0.2	200/284/319	119	303	12	26	35%	8%	70	-0.3	152/256/252	100	238	14	36	39%	9%	40	-0.9
✕Darren Ford 2009 · A	23	45→53	37→45	61→65	44	213/276/287	74	308	5	38	31%	8%	56	-1.3	220/278/320	100	310	8	33	29%	7%	66	-0.6	223/278/332	109	308	9	36	29%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Tyler Tolbert 2022 · A	24	38→46	39→45	66→65	43	177/264/263	86	294	5	37	38%	9%	46	-2.0	200/257/301	101	289	7	38	31%	6%	52	-1.6	217/276/298	80	302	7	58	29%	6%	56	-0.6
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	40	40→45	55→65	40	189/270/275	87	300	7	31	37%	8%	53	-1.5	224/290/323	99	311	6	26	28%	7%	72	-0.2	245/309/346	101	327	3	32	24%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	36→33	39→40	63→60	52	173/278/262	89	263	7	32	33%	12%	53	-1.5	178/261/269	91	271	9	28	34%	10%	46	-2.0	178/251/269	91	257	10	29	33%	9%	39	-1.5
✕Adam Engel 2016 · A	24	42→48	39→50	61→60	38	203/255/284	81	299	6	33	33%	6%	46	-2.0	204/262/314	110	293	8	25	31%	6%	57	-1.2	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Steward Berroa 2022 · A	23	46→47	43→45	64→65	52	222/306/340	118	304	10	40	28%	11%	83	+0.6	209/279/328	119	311	11	46	33%	8%	69	-0.4	223/304/322	99	313	9	48	29%	10%	75	+0.0
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	42→45	63→65	42	210/257/316	106	264	9	35	24%	5%	56	-1.3	242/284/347	105	305	8	37	22%	5%	74	-0.1	253/294/353	100	318	7	41	22%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→42	45	62→60	44	206/273/330	124	274	12	36	29%	8%	67	-0.5	214/277/336	122	294	13	34	30%	7%	70	-0.3	214/278/335	120	296	13	35	31%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Daniel Carroll 2012 · A	23	44	45	58→60	41	212/287/330	118	324	13	31	36%	8%	73	-0.1	207/281/307	100	312	9	28	34%	7%	64	-0.8	179/256/244	65	282	4	28	35%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Tito Polo 2018 · AA	23	47→50	42→45	57→60	39	226/279/334	108	306	9	29	28%	5%	69	-0.4	219/269/323	104	291	8	25	27%	5%	63	-0.9	205/253/302	97	261	8	34	24%	5%	47	-0.5
✕Cam Eden 2022 · A	24	49→48	43→40	62→65	46	228/314/338	110	329	10	35	31%	9%	87	+0.8	203/275/304	101	309	10	42	35%	7%	62	-0.9	191/263/268	77	283	6	49	32%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2019 · A	24	44→52	42→45	58→65	40	218/269/322	105	278	10	35	25%	5%	63	-0.9	215/268/316	101	286	10	38	27%	5%	60	-1.0	198/256/298	99	269	11	46	29%	5%	48	-1.0
✕Kenny Wilson 2013 · A	23	41→51	37→40	58→60	42	192/266/262	70	277	4	29	30%	7%	46	-2.0	217/274/303	86	308	5	27	29%	6%	59	-1.1	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2022 · A	23	42	41→40	58→60	40	198/267/289	91	321	9	25	38%	8%	53	-1.5	189/272/270	81	309	6	19	37%	9%	52	-1.6	97/227/121	24	177	0	28	39%	12%	-4	-1.2