Kyle DeBarge — OGILVIE

Kyle DeBargeSS Wichita Wind Surge

Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 175 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION528 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP264

ISO100

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	115	102	24	2	3	1	12	28	1	15	3	235	322	343	665	108	315	24	10	303	91	-1	+2	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	543	459	109	23	5	8	70	121	9	66	8	237	349	362	710	124	302	22	13	324	105	+3	+10	—	—	+12	2.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	115	105	19	2	2	1	9	40	1	15	3	181	252	267	519	86	279	35	8	231	42	-8	+2	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	543	480	89	16	4	7	50	167	9	66	8	185	275	279	554	94	261	31	9	249	55	-29	+10	—	—	+12	-0.8
2024	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	115	105	19	2	2	1	9	40	1	15	3	181	252	267	519	86	281	35	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	115	102	24	2	3	1	12	28	1	15	3	235	322	343	665	108	315	24	10	303	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	543	480	89	16	4	7	50	167	9	66	8	185	275	279	554	94	265	31	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	543	459	109	23	5	8	70	121	9	66	8	237	349	362	710	124	302	22	13	324	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	115	104	19	2	2	1	9	40	1	15	3	183	252	269	521	87	279	35	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	543	479	89	16	4	7	50	167	9	66	8	186	275	280	554	94	261	31	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	115	104	19	2	2	1	9	40	1	15	3	183	252	269	521	87	279	35	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	543	479	89	16	4	7	50	167	9	66	8	186	275	280	554	94	261	31	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	MIN	—	528	473	85	18	1	9	45	168	5	37	13	180	258	279	537	99	255	32	9	241	49	-32	+2	+0	+6	+11	-1.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA RAW	MIN	—	528	453	99	22	1	12	65	138	5	37	13	219	323	351	674	132	285	26	12	306	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	MIN	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		264	30	10	254	58	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	MIN	—	538	482	86	18	1	9	46	171	5	38	13	178	257	276	533	98	253	32	9	241	49	-32	+2	+0	+6	+12	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIN	28%	494	443	87	18	2	9	43	147	5	28	8	196	275	307	582	111	268	30	9	266	66	-20	+2	+2	+5	+11	0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIN	44%	522	466	95	19	2	11	46	151	5	29	8	204	282	324	606	120	270	29	9	273	71	-18	+3	+2	+6	+11	0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	537	479	99	20	2	12	48	154	5	30	9	207	286	332	618	125	271	29	9	277	74	-17	+2	+2	+6	+12	0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	543	484	100	20	2	12	49	155	5	30	9	207	286	331	617	124	272	29	9	278	74	-17	+2	+2	+6	+12	0.5
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIN	58%	541	482	99	20	2	12	49	155	5	29	8	205	285	330	615	124	271	29	9	277	74	-17	+3	+1	+6	+12	0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIN	58%	533	474	96	19	2	11	49	154	5	26	7	203	284	321	605	118	271	29	9	276	73	-17	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	MIN	58%	524	466	95	19	2	11	48	153	5	23	7	204	285	324	609	120	270	29	9	273	71	-18	+2	-0	+6	+11	0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIN	28%	140	126	26	5	1	3	12	42	1	8	2	206	281	333	614	127	268	30	9	260	66	-6	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIN	44%	228	204	41	8	1	5	20	66	2	13	4	201	279	324	602	123	270	29	9	266	71	-8	+1	+1	+2	+5	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	282	252	51	10	1	6	25	81	3	16	4	202	282	321	604	119	272	29	9	270	74	-9	+2	+1	+3	+6	0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	303	270	56	11	1	7	27	86	3	17	5	207	287	333	620	126	272	28	9	271	74	-9	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIN	58%	314	279	57	11	1	7	29	90	3	17	5	204	286	326	612	122	272	29	9	271	74	-10	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIN	58%	308	274	56	11	1	7	28	89	3	15	4	204	285	328	614	124	271	29	9	269	73	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	MIN	58%	302	268	54	11	1	6	28	88	3	13	4	201	284	317	601	116	270	29	9	266	71	-10	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1877	1673	341	67	7	41	169	542	18	99	28	204	284	326	610	122	272	29	9	268	69	-62	+9	+4	+20	+41	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	117	23	2	14	59	188	6	34	10	202	283	321	604	119	270	29	9	268	69	-21	+3	+1	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4362	3888	780	153	20	86	392	1279	45	277	67	201	281	317	598	116	272	29	9	270	69	-124	+17	+8	+40	+80	2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	117	23	3	13	58	191	7	41	10	202	283	320	602	117	274	29	9	270	69	-22	+3	+1	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11
#3Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.8	1,884	40	99	204	281	324	+20	+8	1.8	1.8
/162	664	14	35	+7.1	+2.8	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle DeBarge (OGILVIE)	23	42	40	62	57	186/265/285	98	264	5	21	31%	9%	58	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Mateo 2018 · AA	23	42→48	43→50	63→65	37	204/248/326	122	291	9	34	32%	5%	59	-1.6	200/239/316	116	294	8	24	33%	4%	53	-2.1	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Jayce Easley 2023 · A	23	44→46	38→30	62→65	54	208/306/284	77	287	5	39	27%	12%	73	-0.6	185/278/244	59	284	3	27	32%	10%	53	-2.1	156/258/188	33	250	1	30	34%	11%	33	-1.6
✕Mikey Perez 2023 · A	23	42→35	44→45	58→60	43	204/289/330	125	286	11	31	31%	8%	78	-0.3	198/284/316	118	296	12	26	35%	8%	72	-0.7	150/256/252	101	230	14	36	38%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	38→43	43→45	59→60	43	188/270/295	107	285	11	31	36%	8%	62	-1.4	205/277/320	115	284	11	35	30%	8%	70	-0.9	202/274/318	116	272	11	40	28%	8%	66	-0.7
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	41	40	55→65	40	192/273/283	91	301	8	31	36%	8%	61	-1.5	219/285/318	99	305	7	26	28%	7%	72	-0.7	228/293/324	96	308	4	32	25%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Wes Rogers 2017 · A	23	46→51	39→40	61→65	45	219/280/306	86	287	5	31	25%	7%	67	-1.1	215/268/302	87	297	6	32	28%	6%	61	-1.5	206/258/288	83	291	6	34	30%	6%	53	-1.4
✕Tyler Tolbert 2022 · A	24	39→49	39→45	67→65	43	181/268/271	90	295	6	37	37%	9%	56	-1.9	205/264/301	96	296	6	38	31%	6%	60	-1.6	227/289/306	79	310	6	60	27%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Cam Eden 2022 · A	24	48→49	42→40	62→65	45	223/308/329	105	321	9	35	31%	8%	84	+0.1	204/274/301	97	308	9	42	34%	7%	65	-1.2	194/265/267	73	285	5	49	31%	7%	51	-1.2
✕Darren Ford 2009 · A	23	45→53	37→45	61→65	44	213/276/287	74	308	5	38	31%	8%	61	-1.5	222/280/319	97	311	7	33	29%	7%	70	-0.9	227/283/330	104	311	8	36	28%	6%	70	-0.6
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	43→42	42→50	65→70	46	209/270/321	112	273	8	36	26%	8%	67	-1.1	209/277/330	121	275	12	50	27%	8%	72	-0.7	226/287/352	126	279	13	56	23%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Steward Berroa 2022 · A	23	45→49	43→45	64→65	50	216/296/333	117	300	10	40	30%	10%	80	-0.2	208/280/322	114	308	10	46	33%	9%	71	-0.8	221/299/315	94	323	7	52	31%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	41→45	63→65	42	213/260/314	102	267	8	35	24%	5%	61	-1.5	243/285/345	102	306	7	37	22%	5%	78	-0.3	254/296/351	97	318	7	41	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Adam Engel 2016 · A	24	43→48	39→50	61→60	39	206/259/291	85	296	6	33	31%	6%	55	-1.9	204/263/313	109	290	8	25	31%	6%	62	-1.4	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Kenny Wilson 2013 · A	23	42→51	37→40	58→60	43	199/273/270	71	283	4	29	29%	7%	57	-1.8	222/279/307	85	307	5	27	27%	6%	67	-1.1	200/268/290	91	305	7	22	34%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	37→34	39→40	63→60	52	176/280/265	89	267	6	32	33%	12%	60	-1.6	181/266/271	90	273	8	28	33%	10%	55	-2.0	178/257/269	91	255	10	28	32%	9%	48	-1.6
✕Braiden Ward 2023 · A	24	48→47	39→40	64→70	41	218/312/303	85	321	6	41	31%	6%	80	-0.1	220/307/306	86	308	5	49	28%	6%	79	-0.2	224/314/320	95	301	5	64	25%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Delino DeShields 2015 · AA	22	48→55	42→45	62→65	46	229/300/335	106	305	9	41	26%	8%	82	-0.0	234/309/333	99	313	7	32	25%	9%	84	+0.2	239/318/333	94	320	6	34	25%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Daniel Carroll 2012 · A	23	47→48	45	58→60	41	220/297/342	122	337	13	31	36%	8%	82	+0.0	213/286/314	101	318	9	28	34%	7%	72	-0.7	182/258/250	68	283	4	28	34%	5%	47	-1.0
✕Tito Polo 2018 · AA	23	48→54	42→45	57→60	39	233/286/342	109	313	9	29	28%	5%	78	-0.3	225/275/329	104	295	8	25	25%	5%	70	-0.8	215/263/312	97	271	7	34	23%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2022 · A	23	43	41→40	58→60	40	200/268/296	96	321	9	25	38%	8%	61	-1.5	190/273/273	83	305	6	19	36%	9%	58	-1.7	99/228/124	25	174	0	28	37%	12%	10	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps