Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Astros Orange | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 50% | 0.5 | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 6.48 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Astros Orange | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 50% | 0.5 | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 7.10 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 11 | 6 | 15 | 65 | 15 | 12 | 0 | 55% | 1.3 | 15.7% | 23.1% | -7.4% | 0.0% | 5.52 | 4.70 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 11 | 6 | 15 | 65 | 15 | 12 | 0 | 55% | 1.3 | 23.1% | 18.5% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 5.52 | 3.51 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | HOU | 2 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.3 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 4.24 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.3 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 3.86 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 70 | 23 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 13 | 7 | 16 | 70 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 54% | 1.2 | 16.0% | 24.3% | -8.3% | 0.0% | 5.17 | 4.83 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 166 | 89 | 200 | 894 | 143 | 217 | 0 | 54% | 1.2 | 16.0% | 24.3% | -8.3% | 0.0% | 5.17 | 4.83 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jean Peralta (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.24 | 23.8% | 14.7% | 20 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2029 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 71 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2027 · 5.41 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.41 | 17.2% | 11.3% | 4.2% | .370 | 3.48 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 142 | -1.93 | 2.88 | 157 | 69 |
| Jared Kollar R 2027 · 5.32 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | .359 | 4.59 | 14.4% | 6.4% | 332 | -0.73 | 3.90 | 345 | 69 |
| Jared Ruxer R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.3% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .333 | 4.68 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 240 | +0.52 | 3.38 | 270 | 69 |
| Clayton McGinness R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.85 | 19.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | .291 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 84 | +0.67 | 3.79 | 106 | 68 |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 67 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 67 |
| Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 67 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 66 |
| Todd Peterson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.37 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.87 | 15.0% | 4.3% | 124 | -0.50 | 4.46 | 175 | 65 |
| Joey Matulovich R 2025 · 5.48 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.48 | 19.8% | 14.6% | 4.0% | .378 | 5.06 | 20.5% | 8.9% | 133 | -0.42 | 3.22 | 201 | 65 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 65 |
| Trent Fennell R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 64 |
| Nick Lockhart R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.67 | 16.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 140 | 64 |
| Adam Leverett R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.08 | 20.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | .338 | 4.11 | 13.8% | 4.8% | 154 | -0.97 | 3.26 | 376 | 64 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 64 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 64 |
| Colin Fields R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 64 |
| Jack Ralston R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.50 | 28.0% | 14.9% | 1.6% | .270 | 4.25 | 24.7% | 7.3% | 124 | +0.75 | 3.50 | 299 | 64 |
| Boomer Biegalski R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.43 | 22.5% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .317 | 2.31 | 31.9% | 25.3% | 22 | -2.12 | 2.31 | 275 | 63 |