Jack Ralston
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Age 28
RHP
6'6" / 231 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION51 act + 39 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.79
FIP4.79
K%23.5%
BB%13.7%
K-BB%9.8%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 28 | 11 | 67 | 278 | 101 | 36 | 4 | 39% | 2.4 | 28.0% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 1.6% | 3.49 | 3.50 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 28 | 11 | 67 | 278 | 101 | 36 | 4 | 39% | 2.4 | 36.3% | 12.9% | 23.4% | 1.4% | 3.49 | 2.47 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 1 | 27 | 118 | 38 | 24 | 2 | 5% | 1.2 | 24.9% | 24.4% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 4.00 | 5.45 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 1 | 27 | 118 | 38 | 24 | 2 | 5% | 1.2 | 32.2% | 20.3% | 11.9% | 1.7% | 4.00 | 3.91 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 36 | 159 | 48 | 30 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.7% | 21.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 4.95 | 4.13 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 36 | 159 | 48 | 30 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.2% | 18.9% | 11.3% | 0.6% | 4.95 | 3.29 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 40 | 0 | 63 | 257 | 80 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.2% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 2.4% | 2.73 | 3.85 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 40 | 0 | 63 | 257 | 80 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.6 | 31.1% | 11.3% | 19.8% | 3.5% | 2.73 | 3.80 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 57 | 257 | 72 | 43 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.3% | 18.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.61 | 4.91 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 57 | 257 | 72 | 43 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.0% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 2.3% | 3.61 | 4.20 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 31 | 0 | 51 | 196 | 63 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 28.3% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 2.8% | 1.07 | 3.54 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIA | 38 | 0 | 39 | 166 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIA | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 90 | 362 | 102 | 42 | 10 | — | — | 28.2% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 2.7% | 2.69 | 4.09 | +1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 4 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | — | — | 23.5% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.79 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 36 | 0 | 38 | 159 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 34 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.92 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 31 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 5.06 | 5.18 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.92 | 5.01 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 5.06 | 5.18 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 57 | 0 | 59 | 251 | 58 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 4.94 | 4.65 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 195 | 114 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 4.94 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 189 | 12 | 301 | 1265 | 325 | 202 | 27 | 6% | 1.6 | 25.7% | 16.0% | 9.7% | 2.1% | 3.17 | 4.12 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 126 | 8 | 200 | 841 | 216 | 134 | 18 | 6% | 1.6 | 25.7% | 16.0% | 9.7% | 2.1% | 3.17 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jack Ralston (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 2.8% | — | 5.01 | 23.0% | 9.4% | 106 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 87 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 85 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 83 |
| Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 82 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 82 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 82 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 82 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 81 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 81 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.63 | 23.3% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 315 | 81 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.60 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.6% | .310 | 3.16 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.44 | 2.16 | 186 | 80 |
| Peyton Gray R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 79 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 79 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 78 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.45 | 25.6% | 16.8% | 2.5% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 272 | 78 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 78 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 78 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.87 | 232 | 78 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 78 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 234 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 36 | 23.1% | 13.6% | 1.20 | 4.89 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |