Jefferson Moran
P
FCL Cardinals
Age 22
RHP
6'1" / 155 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION2 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.41
FIP4.41
K%22.9%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 9 | 6 | 27 | 113 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 67% | 3.0 | 16.8% | 13.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.93 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 9 | 6 | 27 | 113 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 67% | 3.0 | 24.8% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 1.8% | 4.33 | 3.32 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 9 | 7 | 34 | 148 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 78% | 3.7 | 14.7% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 4.54 | 4.32 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 9 | 7 | 34 | 148 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 78% | 3.7 | 21.6% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 2.0% | 4.54 | 3.60 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | 6 | 4 | 15 | 68 | 23 | 13 | 0 | 67% | 2.4 | 23.0% | 23.9% | -0.9% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 4.18 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | 6 | 4 | 15 | 68 | 23 | 13 | 0 | 67% | 2.4 | 33.8% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 2.62 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | STL | 12 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.41 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | STL | — | — | 15 | 61 | 16 | 5 | 2 | — | — | 26.8% | 8.9% | 17.9% | 2.6% | 3.91 | 3.91 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | STL | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.7% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | STL | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.7% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.25 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.7% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 3.87 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.7% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 25 | 17 | 77 | 336 | 60 | 49 | 6 | 68% | 3.1 | 18.0% | 14.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 3.97 | 4.37 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 44 | 200 | 873 | 157 | 127 | 15 | 68% | 3.1 | 18.0% | 14.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 3.97 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jefferson Moran (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.25 | 23.7% | 14.3% | 20 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 84 |
| Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 84 |
| Casey Legumina R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 83 |
| Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 83 |
| Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 82 |
| Colin Fields R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 81 |
| Ray Gaither R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 80 |
| Clarke Schmidt R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.53 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .324 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 108 | -0.30 | 2.76 | 537 | 79 |
| Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 79 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 79 |
| Mason McGwire R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.50 | 23.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 128 | 79 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2028 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 78 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 77 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2028 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.29 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .316 | 4.60 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +1.31 | 3.29 | 142 | 77 |
| Jorge Juan R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.32 | 28.0% | 10.1% | 2.4% | .310 | 4.96 | 23.0% | 4.7% | 103 | +1.64 | 3.32 | 238 | 77 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2029 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 77 |
| Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 77 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 76 |
| Chris Campos R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.86 | 21.0% | 11.8% | 3.7% | .364 | 4.57 | 18.7% | 11.7% | 237 | -0.29 | 4.43 | 306 | 76 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 76 |