Ivan Luciano
C Visalia Rawhide| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | ROKARI | 166 | .275/.410/.382 | 2 | 1 | 66 | — | .200/.304/.286 |
| 2026 | 19 | A+/AARI | 428 | .266/.381/.444 | 12 | 5 | 90 | — | .226/.314/.368 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBARI | 538 | .232/.312/.368 | 12 | 7 | 93 | 0.7 | |
| 2028PROJ43% MLB | 21 | MLBARI | 161 | .243/.322/.390 | 4 | 2 | 97 | 0.5 | |
| 2029PROJ61% MLB | 22 | MLBARI | 255 | .246/.325/.398 | 6 | 3 | 100 | 1.0 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs | — | 166 | 131 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 275 | 410 | 382 | 792 | 107 | 330 | 19 | 17 | 355 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 51 | 43 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 380 | 465 | 845 | 186 | 407 | 29 | 12 | 370 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Visalia Rawhide | — | 377 | 311 | 82 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 54 | 75 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 264 | 381 | 441 | 822 | 177 | 307 | 20 | 14 | 363 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 166 | 140 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 47 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 304 | 286 | 590 | 86 | 257 | 28 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 51 | 45 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 378 | 678 | 156 | 369 | 39 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 377 | 327 | 74 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 102 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 226 | 316 | 367 | 683 | 141 | 286 | 27 | 10 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 166 | 140 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 47 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 304 | 286 | 590 | 86 | 271 | 28 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL D-backs | — | 166 | 131 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 275 | 410 | 382 | 792 | 107 | 330 | 19 | 17 | 355 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 428 | 371 | 85 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 122 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 229 | 319 | 372 | 691 | 143 | 306 | 29 | 10 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 428 | 354 | 94 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 60 | 90 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 266 | 381 | 444 | 824 | 178 | 318 | 21 | 14 | 364 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 166 | 144 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 47 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 304 | 278 | 582 | 83 | 257 | 28 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 428 | 376 | 85 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 122 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 226 | 319 | 367 | 686 | 141 | 296 | 29 | 10 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 166 | 144 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 47 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 304 | 278 | 582 | 83 | 257 | 28 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 428 | 376 | 85 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 122 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 226 | 319 | 367 | 686 | 141 | 296 | 29 | 10 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | ARI | 0% | 538 | 478 | 111 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 49 | 123 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 232 | 312 | 368 | 679 | 135 | 285 | 23 | 9 | 305 | 93 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +10 | +12 | 0.7 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | ARI | 43% | 374 | 333 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 84 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 236 | 316 | 379 | 695 | 143 | 286 | 22 | 9 | 312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +8 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | ARI | 61% | 419 | 372 | 89 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 93 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 239 | 320 | 387 | 707 | 148 | 287 | 22 | 9 | 316 | 100 | +0 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +9 | 1.6 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | ARI | 68% | 445 | 396 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 97 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 241 | 322 | 393 | 715 | 152 | 288 | 22 | 9 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 1.9 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | ARI | 70% | 445 | 396 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 97 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 243 | 323 | 398 | 721 | 154 | 289 | 22 | 9 | 322 | 104 | +2 | +1 | -0 | +8 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | ARI | 70% | 445 | 396 | 96 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 97 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 244 | 324 | 399 | 723 | 156 | 289 | 22 | 9 | 322 | 104 | +2 | +1 | -0 | +8 | +10 | 2.1 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | ARI | 71% | 445 | 395 | 96 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 97 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 243 | 323 | 399 | 723 | 156 | 289 | 22 | 9 | 322 | 104 | +2 | +1 | -0 | +8 | +10 | 2.1 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | ARI | 69% | 445 | 395 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 97 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 242 | 322 | 396 | 719 | 154 | 288 | 22 | 9 | 321 | 103 | +2 | +1 | -0 | +8 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | ARI | 69% | 445 | 395 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 98 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 240 | 320 | 391 | 712 | 151 | 287 | 22 | 9 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | ARI | 67% | 445 | 396 | 94 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 100 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 238 | 317 | 385 | 702 | 147 | 286 | 22 | 9 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | ARI | 66% | 445 | 396 | 93 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 101 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 235 | 314 | 377 | 691 | 142 | 284 | 23 | 9 | 310 | 96 | -2 | -0 | -2 | +8 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | ARI | 65% | 426 | 380 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 98 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 230 | 309 | 367 | 676 | 137 | 281 | 23 | 9 | 303 | 92 | -4 | -2 | -3 | +8 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB MLE | ARI | 65% | 407 | 363 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 96 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 225 | 302 | 354 | 656 | 129 | 277 | 24 | 9 | 296 | 86 | -7 | -3 | -4 | +7 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB MLE | ARI | 70% | 387 | 347 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 93 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 218 | 295 | 338 | 633 | 120 | 271 | 24 | 9 | 286 | 80 | -9 | -3 | -4 | +7 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | ARI | 43% | 161 | 143 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 36 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 243 | 322 | 390 | 712 | 147 | 297 | 22 | 9 | 318 | 97 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | ARI | 61% | 255 | 226 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 56 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 246 | 325 | 398 | 723 | 152 | 298 | 22 | 9 | 323 | 100 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | ARI | 68% | 303 | 268 | 67 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 66 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 248 | 328 | 404 | 731 | 156 | 299 | 22 | 9 | 326 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +7 | 1.3 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | ARI | 70% | 310 | 274 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 67 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 250 | 329 | 408 | 737 | 158 | 300 | 22 | 9 | 328 | 104 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +6 | +7 | 1.4 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | ARI | 70% | 313 | 277 | 69 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 68 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 250 | 329 | 410 | 739 | 159 | 300 | 22 | 9 | 329 | 104 | +2 | +0 | -0 | +6 | +7 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | ARI | 71% | 314 | 278 | 69 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 68 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 329 | 409 | 738 | 159 | 300 | 22 | 9 | 329 | 104 | +2 | +0 | -0 | +6 | +7 | 1.4 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | ARI | 69% | 309 | 273 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 68 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 249 | 328 | 406 | 735 | 158 | 299 | 22 | 9 | 327 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +6 | +7 | 1.4 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | ARI | 69% | 306 | 271 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 68 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 247 | 326 | 401 | 728 | 155 | 298 | 22 | 9 | 324 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | ARI | 67% | 297 | 264 | 64 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 67 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 323 | 395 | 718 | 151 | 296 | 23 | 9 | 320 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 1.0 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | ARI | 66% | 293 | 261 | 63 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 67 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 319 | 387 | 706 | 146 | 294 | 23 | 9 | 316 | 96 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.9 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | ARI | 65% | 278 | 248 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 64 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 236 | 314 | 376 | 690 | 140 | 291 | 23 | 9 | 309 | 92 | -3 | -1 | -2 | +5 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB CTX | ARI | 65% | 264 | 236 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 62 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 230 | 308 | 363 | 671 | 132 | 286 | 23 | 9 | 301 | 86 | -4 | -2 | -2 | +5 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB CTX | ARI | 70% | 272 | 244 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 66 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 223 | 300 | 347 | 647 | 124 | 281 | 24 | 9 | 292 | 80 | -7 | -2 | -3 | +5 | +6 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3675 | 3263 | 792 | 174 | 22 | 89 | 340 | 823 | 41 | 35 | 25 | 243 | 322 | 391 | 713 | 149 | 297 | 22 | 9 | 319 | 96 | -9 | -3 | -13 | +66 | +80 | 12.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 577 | 141 | 31 | 4 | 16 | 60 | 146 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 244 | 322 | 395 | 718 | 151 | 299 | 22 | 9 | 319 | 96 | -2 | -1 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6377 | 5658 | 1325 | 265 | 28 | 161 | 595 | 1465 | 70 | 62 | 37 | 234 | 315 | 376 | 691 | 142 | 286 | 23 | 9 | 311 | 96 | -16 | -3 | -21 | +103 | +125 | 19.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 135 | 27 | 3 | 16 | 61 | 149 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 234 | 315 | 374 | 690 | 140 | 286 | 23 | 9 | 311 | 96 | -2 | -0 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AVisalia Rawhide · 377 PAwOBA .359 → .302 (−58)K% 19.9% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.89% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 10.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×1.030 | 20.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×1.030 | 6.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.016 | ×1.030 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 3.84% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .359 → .302; ISO .177 → .148; BABIP .307 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Hillsboro Hops · 51 PAwOBA .360 → .288 (−72)K% 29.4% → 39.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.41% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 39.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 8.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.96% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.042 | 20.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 15.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 3.09% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .360 → .288; ISO .186 → .146; BABIP .407 → .369. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL D-backs · 166 PAwOBA .358 → .266 (−92)K% 18.7% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.67% | ÷0.952 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.87% | ÷0.942 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 11.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.820 | ×0.981 | ×1.008 | 21.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.00% | ÷0.945 | ×0.720 | ×0.981 | ×1.008 | 4.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷0.939 | ×0.720 | ×0.981 | ×1.008 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.862 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.82% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 106, 2B 89, 3B 88, K 90, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .358 → .266; ISO .107 → .087; BABIP .330 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).