Ivan LucianoC Visalia Rawhide
Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 185 lbs A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 3.1 · 2033
wRC+†45
AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .281 / .335
PA156
HR3
K%29
BB%7
MLB%0%
BAT: -9.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +4.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
3050
PWR
2542
SPD
4035
FLD
4050
EYE
5340
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.1peak
2032

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Arb-3$0.9M+2.9$27M+$26M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+3.0$29M+$28M
2033Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+3.1$31M+$30M
2034Ext / FA-deal$6M+3.1$31M+$25M
2035Ext / FA-deal$10M+3.0$31M+$21M
2036Ext / FA-deal$14M+2.8$30M+$16M
Totals $33M $179M +$146M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202518 ROKACL D-backs 166140 28512 19492 10 .200.304.293.597 .093.277 3011 .265 61 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202619 AVisalia Rawhide 6057 10300 1162 00 .175.217.228.445 .053.244 272 .203 14 -6 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.3
ROS19 MLBARI 9689 20412 6271 10 .225.281.360.641 .135.284 286 .270 65 -4 +0 -0 +2 +3 0.1
TOT19 MLBARI 156146 30712 7433 10 .205.256.308.565 .103.277 284 .245 45 -10 +0 -0 +3 +4 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202720 MLB 11%ARI 251225 521016 20594 31 .231.305.364.670 .133.283 248 .297 86 -4 +0 -0 +4 +7 0.8
202821 MLB 28%ARI 372333 781529 31865 51 .234.309.372.681 .138.284 238 .307 93 -3 +1 -0 +7 +11 1.5
202922 MLB 48%ARI 458408 9718312 401037 61 .238.316.385.701 .147.285 229 .314 99 -1 +1 -0 +8 +13 2.1
203023 MLB 65%ARI 513453 11021315 471138 71 .243.325.402.727 .159.286 229 .320 103 +2 +1 -1 +9 +15 2.7
203124 MLB 82%ARI 520458 11121315 491128 61 .242.326.400.726 .157.286 229 .324 106 +4 +1 -1 +9 +15 2.9
203225 MLBARI 520457 11221316 501128 61 .245.330.409.739 .164.287 2210 .327 109 +5 +1 -1 +9 +15 3.0
203326 MLBARI 520456 11221316 511128 61 .246.332.410.742 .164.287 2210 .329 110 +6 +1 -1 +9 +15 3.1
203427 MLBARI 520456 11221316 511128 61 .246.332.410.742 .164.287 2210 .329 110 +6 +1 -1 +9 +15 3.1
203528 MLBARI 520455 11221316 521138 50 .246.334.411.745 .165.287 2210 .328 109 +5 +1 -1 +9 +15 3.0
203629 MLBARI 520455 11020316 521158 50 .242.330.404.734 .163.286 2210 .326 108 +5 +1 -2 +9 +15 2.8
203730 MLBARI 520455 10920315 521168 50 .240.328.396.724 .156.284 2210 .323 105 +3 +1 -3 +9 +15 2.6
203831 MLBARI 504442 10419314 501157 40 .235.323.387.710 .152.283 2310 .319 102 +1 +1 -3 +9 +14 2.3
203932 MLBARI 489430 9918214 491147 30 .230.319.379.698 .149.281 2310 .314 99 -1 +1 -4 +9 +14 1.9
204033 MLBARI 454400 9117212 451096 30 .228.315.370.685 .142.280 2410 .309 95 -3 +1 -5 +8 +13 1.4
204134 MLBARI 399352 7814210 39995 30 .222.308.358.666 .136.278 2510 .302 89 -5 +1 -5 +7 +11 0.9
204235 MLBARI 337297 641128 33874 30 .215.302.347.649 .131.276 2610 .294 84 -6 +1 -6 +6 +10 0.4
204336 MLBARI 276243 51916 27744 20 .210.299.329.628 .119.273 2710 .285 77 -7 +0 -7 +5 +8 -0.1
204437 MLBARI 216191 39714 20603 20 .204.290.314.604 .110.269 289 .276 69 -8 +0 -7 +4 +6 -0.4
204538 MLBARI 155138 28513 14442 10 .203.286.319.605 .116.264 289 .265 61 -7 +0 -8 +3 +4 -0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 83267333 171731846227 7971931121 838 .234.319.383.702 .149.285 2310 .314 98 -18 +13 -54 +149 +236 33.3
/ 162G 650572 13525418 621519 61 .236.320.388.708 .152.287 2310 .314 98 -1 +1 -4 +12 +18 2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202518 ROKACL D-backs 166131 36612 28312 10 .275.410.382.792 .107.330 1917 .355 130 +6 +0 +5 1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Ivan Luciano (OGILVIE) 19 30→50 25→42 40→35 40 .215/.281/.335 .120.290 32 29% 7% 72 -0.1
Moisés Ballesteros
2023 · A
19 43→53 46→50 46→40 47 .216/.283/.346 .130.273 145 26% 8% 75 -0.0 .241/.299/.377 .136.292 164 22% 7% 90 +1.0 .259/.317/.396.137.30516320%7%100+1.5
Luis Campusano
2018 · A
19 43→53 41→50 42→30 44 .214/.269/.309 .096.275 104 26% 6% 59 -1.1 .248/.300/.359 .111.296 112 19% 6% 85 +0.7 .261/.327/.424.162.29521119%8%110+1.4
Randy Florentino
2019 · A
19 46 44→50 45 51 .220/.307/.353 .132.309 108 30% 11% 87 +0.8 .194/.270/.290 .096.293 85 33% 9% 56 -1.3 .183/.230/.260.077.2388426%5%28-1.0
Carlos Rodriguez
2022 · A
19 40 40→45 46→45 47 .186/.285/.282 .096.298 86 36% 11% 61 -1.0 .184/.262/.261 .077.294 66 36% 9% 44 -2.1 .182/.268/.267.085.2746333%10%48-0.6
Ryan McMahon
2014 · A
19 46→56 48→55 42→45 40 .227/.283/.373 .146.325 156 34% 7% 82 +0.5 .215/.270/.360 .145.319 146 35% 6% 73 -0.1 .230/.314/.391.161.29819628%10%98+1.6
Elias Díaz
2010 · A
19 42→52 40→50 43→45 44 .205/.267/.300 .095.269 85 26% 7% 56 -1.3 .185/.233/.263 .078.242 54 25% 5% 31 -3.0 .253/.312/.392.139.28017016%7%96+0.8
Mark Vientos
2019 · A
19 42→50 45→60 43→30 45 .215/.274/.337 .122.275 143 27% 7% 69 -0.4 .206/.251/.346 .140.279 172 32% 5% 62 -0.9 .246/.306/.451.204.32128031%7%109+2.0
Daniel Robertson
2014 · A
20 46→54 43→45 38→40 46 .227/.287/.337 .110.280 104 22% 7% 74 -0.1 .243/.310/.355 .112.303 93 22% 7% 89 +0.9 .234/.338/.350.116.30512425%11%96+0.8
Nelson Quiroz
2021 · A
19 44 37→40 47→40 45 .209/.268/.279 .070.271 56 24% 7% 50 -1.7 .224/.289/.327 .103.275 75 20% 8% 72 -0.2 .253/.306/.321.068.2882012%6%73-0.0
Victor Heredia
2019 · A
19 47 44→50 42→30 40 .230/.273/.349 .119.292 114 25% 4% 71 -0.3 .214/.267/.303 .089.290 74 27% 6% 56 -1.3 .176/.240/.214.038.2493228%6%21-1.0
Randel Alcantara
2016 · A
19 44 41→45 45 43 .210/.282/.319 .109.281 76 27% 6% 68 -0.5 .197/.255/.304 .107.262 96 27% 5% 53 -1.5 .132/.175/.242.109.15714327%3%1-1.4
Adael Amador
2022 · A
19 45→54 41→50 45→55 47 .219/.281/.317 .098.274 811 23% 8% 66 -0.6 .241/.317/.373 .132.280 1517 19% 9% 97 +1.5 .233/.312/.369.136.267172319%9%90+0.8
Carter Jensen
2023 · A
20 38→47 43→50 46→50 46 .188/.269/.299 .110.273 107 33% 10% 58 -1.2 .198/.288/.331 .133.275 139 30% 11% 74 -0.1 .206/.294/.357.151.275171030%11%81+0.4
Josh Thole
2007 · A
20 43→53 37→45 45 45 .206/.270/.275 .069.268 55 24% 7% 51 -1.7 .245/.306/.314 .069.294 34 16% 7% 76 +0.0 .283/.345/.382.099.3195412%8%108+1.7
Luis Alvarez
2009 · A
19 47 43→45 44→45 48 .230/.303/.339 .110.271 105 19% 7% 82 +0.5 .225/.291/.326 .101.280 95 22% 6% 73 -0.1 .212/.264/.322.111.25213121%4%57-0.3
Shed Long Jr.
2016 · A
20 43→48 42→50 44→50 43 .213/.265/.313 .100.276 106 26% 6% 58 -1.2 .231/.289/.361 .130.314 1311 29% 7% 82 +0.5 .230/.292/.378.148.312161130%7%83+0.4
Leopoldo Correa
2012 · A
20 44 41→45 40→30 48 .215/.280/.316 .100.258 83 20% 7% 66 -0.6 .209/.264/.290 .081.271 53 24% 6% 52 -1.6 .185/.234/.237.052.2512126%5%21-0.8
Hendry Mendez
2023 · A
19 47→54 38→40 42→45 50 .222/.294/.299 .078.277 66 21% 8% 67 -0.5 .230/.294/.318 .088.284 75 20% 8% 72 -0.2 .244/.311/.341.098.2928519%8%82+0.3
Reid Brignac
2006 · A
20 42→51 44→55 42→50 39 .213/.257/.327 .114.285 125 30% 5% 59 -1.1 .233/.277/.381 .148.293 179 26% 5% 82 +0.5 .232/.277/.387.155.284171025%5%81+0.3
Tyler Stephenson
2016 · A
19 44→54 37→50 42→30 42 .208/.264/.281 .073.290 34 28% 6% 50 -1.8 .207/.268/.296 .089.292 73 29% 7% 55 -1.4 .253/.327/.399.146.32316125%9%102+1.3