Will BushC Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 22 L/R 6'1" / 235 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 ROS PROJECTION242 act + 161 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†76
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .299 / .321
PA161
HR4
K%38
BB%11
BABIP314
ISO121
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: -1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: -0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +7.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+7POSREP: +11.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +1.20+1.2WAR
0.01.12.30.01.11.51.81.81.81.71.6+$71M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 51
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT36
scouting grade only
POWER51
scouting grade only
EYE70
scouting grade only
SPEED30
scouting grade only
DEFENSE40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.5$10M+$10M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.8$11M+$11M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.8$11M+$10M
2031Arb-1$4M+1.8$10M+$8M
2032Arb-2$6M+1.7$9M+$6M
2033Arb-3$7M+1.6$8M+$4M
Totals $19M $58M +$48M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202319 ROKFCL Astros — 3226 5200 4102 00 192344269613 77312 3112 316 100 — — — — — —
202319 ROKFCL Astros — 3223 7201 782 00 3045005221.022 217429 2522 457 208 — — — — — —
202420 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 325290 44715 241228 50 152236234471 83235 387 218 25 — — — — — —
202420 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 325272 601218 41898 50 221339360699 140292 2713 318 102 — — — — — —
202521 A+3 teams — 441386 631309 4315911 111 163266267533 104247 3610 242 44 — — — — — —
202521 A+3 teams — 441358 8318016 7112011 111 232375416791 184300 2716 359 133 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 AAHOU — 242210 47608 281014 96 224326367693 143386 4212 308 94 -2 -1 +0 +4 +7 0.9
YTD22 AAHOU — 242198 537010 40784 96 268401455855 187391 3217 385 153 +14 -1 +0 +4 +7 2.6
ROS22 AAHOU 2% 161140 28504 17613 42 200299321620 121310 3811 284 76 -4 +0 -0 +3 +5 0.3
ROS22 MLBHOU 2% 33 0000 010 00 313 330 274 68 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL22 AAHOU — 245213 47608 281024 96 221322362684 141379 4211 308 94 -2 -1 -0 +4 +7 0.9
TOT22 AAHOU — 403350 7511012 451627 138 214316348664 134355 4011 299 87 -6 -1 -0 +7 +11 1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBHOU 26% 461402 8313113 481698 84 206303341644 134311 3710 291 81 -10 +0 -1 +8 +13 1.1
202824 MLBHOU 37% 503438 9315115 521778 73 212307354661 142310 3510 299 87 -7 +0 -1 +9 +14 1.5
202925 MLBHOU 43% 520453 9716116 541798 73 214309360669 146309 3410 303 90 -6 +0 -1 +9 +15 1.8
203026 MLBHOU 47% 520453 9816117 541778 63 216311369679 152308 3410 305 92 -5 +0 -1 +9 +15 1.8
203127 MLBHOU 48% 520452 9716116 551788 53 215311361671 146308 3411 305 92 -5 -0 -1 +9 +15 1.8
203228 MLBHOU 48% 520452 9716116 551788 52 215311361671 146308 3411 304 91 -5 +0 -2 +9 +15 1.7
203329 MLBHOU 48% 520452 9716116 551798 42 215311361671 146306 3411 302 89 -6 +0 -2 +9 +15 1.6
203430 MLBHOU 47% 518450 9515116 551808 42 211308356664 144305 3511 299 87 -8 +0 -3 +9 +15 1.4
203531 MLBHOU 47% 490427 8814114 521728 32 206304342646 136302 3511 295 84 -9 -0 -4 +9 +14 1.0
203632 MLBHOU 47% 458399 8113013 491627 31 203301333634 130299 3511 290 80 -10 +0 -4 +8 +13 0.7
202723 MLBHOU 26% 120105 22403 12442 21 210303333636 124314 3710 282 74 -3 +0 -0 +2 +3 0.2
202824 MLBHOU 37% 185161 35606 19653 31 217311366678 149313 3510 290 80 -4 +0 -0 +3 +5 0.4
202925 MLBHOU 43% 224195 42707 23774 31 215311359670 144312 3410 295 84 -4 +0 -0 +4 +6 0.6
203026 MLBHOU 47% 243212 46808 25834 31 217311368679 151312 3410 297 85 -4 +0 -0 +4 +7 0.7
203127 MLBHOU 48% 248216 47808 26854 31 218313366679 148311 3410 297 85 -4 +0 -0 +4 +7 0.7
203228 MLBHOU 48% 251218 47808 27864 21 216313362676 147311 3411 296 84 -4 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.6
203329 MLBHOU 48% 247215 46808 26854 21 214310363673 149310 3411 294 83 -5 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.6
203430 MLBHOU 47% 244212 45708 26854 21 212310358668 146308 3511 291 81 -5 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.5
203531 MLBHOU 47% 229199 42707 24804 21 211308352660 141305 3510 287 78 -6 +0 -2 +4 +6 0.3
203632 MLBHOU 47% 213185 38606 23763 11 205303335638 130302 3611 282 74 -6 -0 -2 +4 +6 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 22071921 41069069 23176736 2310 213309357667 144311 3510 292 81 -46 +1 -9 +39 +63 4.8
/ 162G— — 650566 12020020 6822611 73 212309353662 141310 3510 292 81 -14 +0 -3 +12 +18 1.4
Career— — 59895220 106617710170 6172103103 7228 204301340640 135301 3510 291 81 -132 +3 -21 +107 +170 13.0
/ 162G— — 650567 11519118 6722811 83 203299335634 132299 3510 291 81 -14 +0 -2 +12 +18 1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202319 ROKFCL Astros — 3223 7201 782 00 3045005221.022 217429 2522 457 208 +4 +0 — — +1 0.5
202420 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 325272 601218 41898 50 221339360699 140292 2713 318 102 +1 +1 — — +9 1.1
202521 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 9980 14403 14215 30 175333338671 163196 2114 315 99 -0 +1 — — +3 0.3
202521 A+Asheville Tourists — 297247 6112012 44845 71 247372441813 194322 2815 364 137 +12 +1 — — +8 2.2
202521 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 4531 8201 13151 10 258489419908 161467 3329 422 181 +4 +0 — — +1 0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA
93,1271105235308414+56-1014.114.8
/162664231+11.9-2.13.0pk7: 16
#3Welington Castillolast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA
82,667975254313425+48-1413.313.2
/162664241+11.9-3.43.3pk7: 13
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA
72,8359025245302422+30+1413.013.0
/162664216+7.1+3.23.0pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
42,2116722212305356+39-167.06.3
/162664207+11.9-4.82.1pk7: 6
#5Tim Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,743 PA
51,7436313248301431+19-136.16.1
/162664245+7.1-4.82.3pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Will Bush (OGILVIE) 22 30→36 50→51 35→30 70 214/316/348 134355 1213 40% 11% 87 +1.2 ————————— —————————
✕Daniel Vellojin
2023 · AA 		23 39 46→45 42→45 52 198/293/324 126277 146 32% 12% 75 -0.0 179/260/273 94259 96 32% 9% 47 -1.9 150/237/225752158432%9%24-1.2
✕Zack Collins
2018 · AA 		23 35→43 46→50 41→40 45 175/265/301 125286 142 41% 11% 57 -1.2 193/291/339 146301 163 37% 12% 78 +0.2 188/297/33815028116236%13%78+0.2
✕John Whittleman
2009 · AA 		22 42→43 43→50 39→45 50 207/286/324 116284 103 29% 10% 71 -0.3 192/271/317 125262 133 30% 10% 63 -0.8 171/259/32415323418134%11%58-0.8
✕Randy Florentino
2021 · A 		21 43 40→50 42→45 47 204/282/302 97297 76 32% 10% 63 -0.8 179/241/260 81267 85 34% 7% 35 -2.8 183/233/258752428427%6%29-0.9
✕Michael Pérez
2015 · A 		22 36 44→50 41→40 40 179/247/294 116287 113 40% 8% 46 -2.0 191/249/286 95267 84 30% 7% 45 -2.1 221/281/34011928413026%7%70-0.2
✕Drew Ellis
2019 · A 		23 40→37 47→55 37→40 46 206/268/342 136253 154 25% 7% 68 -0.5 206/284/361 155265 183 28% 9% 80 +0.4 187/284/37018323721430%10%81+0.3
●Parker Meadows
2022 · A 		22 36→46 43→60 43→55 40 186/246/294 108264 119 33% 6% 46 -2.0 220/283/392 172278 2017 28% 8% 87 +0.8 226/293/417190275232126%8%95+1.4
✕Anthony Seigler
2022 · A 		23 41→39 42→50 44→55 44 196/272/305 109295 96 34% 9% 60 -1.0 191/297/306 115253 1015 26% 13% 72 -0.2 226/317/363137277122821%11%91+0.6
✕Omar Martinez
2023 · A 		22 41→38 43→45 42→40 46 200/285/309 109287 115 32% 9% 67 -0.5 192/271/311 119296 145 37% 9% 62 -0.9 177/257/29111427614339%9%48-1.3
✕Isan Díaz
2018 · A 		22 39→42 46→55 45 43 196/268/326 129288 148 35% 8% 64 -0.8 209/275/354 145294 168 32% 8% 74 -0.1 208/287/37316427521531%9%79+0.2
✕Niko Vasquez
2012 · AA 		23 39→41 44→50 40→45 45 195/268/311 116267 123 30% 8% 60 -1.0 203/267/306 103269 85 26% 8% 58 -1.2 224/278/37214829019629%6%77+0.1
✕Deivy Grullón
2018 · AA 		22 44→42 44→55 38→30 37 220/255/336 116297 122 30% 4% 59 -1.1 233/277/398 165310 223 31% 6% 86 +0.8 216/265/39217728627134%6%77+0.1
●Tom Murphy
2014 · AA 		23 39→34 46→60 42→45 38 197/261/329 133293 145 36% 6% 62 -0.9 199/253/355 156287 185 36% 6% 66 -0.6 250/322/47022031831230%9%122+1.4
✕Jakson Reetz
2019 · A 		23 41→31 40→60 39→45 43 199/274/285 87282 85 31% 7% 56 -1.3 198/277/317 119290 135 34% 7% 66 -0.6 196/276/39219624225430%7%82+0.3
✕Jose Lobatón
2007 · A 		22 44 42→50 42→30 47 210/289/319 109299 104 31% 9% 71 -0.3 219/282/346 127299 133 29% 8% 75 -0.0 237/323/37313529813023%11%96+0.7
✕Mitch Walding
2015 · A 		22 43→45 40→50 38→40 40 204/263/296 91313 74 35% 7% 53 -1.5 197/267/302 105324 104 39% 8% 57 -1.2 182/287/34216032421345%12%75-0.0
✕Kevin Padlo
2018 · A 		22 36→40 46→55 44→50 48 183/269/314 131257 138 32% 10% 62 -0.9 197/280/350 153289 179 35% 9% 76 +0.0 195/265/371176262221234%8%73-0.1
✕Payton Henry
2019 · A 		22 40→30 42→50 40→30 36 184/256/286 102326 103 43% 7% 49 -1.8 190/253/288 98323 113 42% 5% 48 -1.9 255/300/39914433320129%4%91+0.4
✕Drew Ward
2017 · AA 		22 44→45 43→55 40→30 38 209/266/316 107320 112 37% 6% 59 -1.1 211/275/339 128322 142 36% 8% 70 -0.3 200/266/36016031420141%7%69-0.3
✕Brett Cumberland
2017 · A 		22 38→39 39→50 37→30 36 184/254/271 87287 74 36% 5% 44 -2.1 195/291/334 139302 162 38% 7% 77 +0.1 184/289/32914428317038%8%75-0.0