Ivran Romero — OGILVIE

Ivran Romero P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 24 RHP 5'10" / 200 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION77 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%19.3%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%9.0%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 83 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	55	240	59	23	3	0%	1.5	19.1%	9.7%	9.3%	1.5%	3.46	3.54	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	55	240	59	23	3	0%	1.5	19.1%	9.7%	9.3%	1.5%	3.46	3.54	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	55	240	59	23	3	0%	1.5	24.6%	9.6%	15.0%	1.2%	3.46	2.92	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	28	12	77	368	87	35	15	43%	2.8	18.2%	10.9%	7.3%	5.1%	7.91	5.74	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	28	12	77	368	87	35	15	43%	2.8	18.2%	10.9%	7.3%	5.1%	7.91	5.74	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	MIN	28	12	77	368	87	35	15	43%	2.8	23.6%	9.5%	14.1%	4.1%	7.91	4.55	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	MIN	5	0	5	22	4	2	1	0%	1.0	19.3%	10.4%	9.0%	2.8%	4.72	4.72	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	83	390	91	37	16	—	—	23.4%	9.6%	13.8%	4.0%	7.71	5.68	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIN	73	0	77	323	65	32	9	0%	1.0	20.1%	9.9%	10.2%	2.9%	4.64	4.60	-0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIN	73	0	77	323	66	32	9	0%	1.0	20.6%	9.8%	10.7%	2.9%	4.59	4.56	-0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIN	72	0	76	319	66	31	9	0%	1.0	20.7%	9.9%	10.8%	2.9%	4.58	4.59	-0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIN	70	0	73	309	64	31	9	0%	1.0	20.6%	10.0%	10.6%	3.0%	4.63	4.66	-0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIN	67	0	70	295	60	30	9	0%	1.0	20.4%	10.2%	10.2%	3.2%	4.73	4.79	-0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	MIN	63	0	66	277	56	29	9	0%	1.0	20.0%	10.5%	9.5%	3.4%	4.87	4.97	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIN	31	0	33	139	28	14	4	0%	1.1	20.1%	9.9%	10.2%	2.9%	4.64	4.60	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIN	49	0	51	215	44	21	6	0%	1.0	20.6%	9.8%	10.7%	2.9%	4.59	4.56	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55	0	58	245	51	24	7	0%	1.1	20.7%	9.9%	10.8%	2.9%	4.58	4.59	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIN	59	0	62	262	54	26	8	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.0%	10.6%	3.0%	4.63	4.66	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIN	58	0	61	258	53	26	8	0%	1.1	20.4%	10.2%	10.2%	3.2%	4.73	4.79	-0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	MIN	56	0	59	249	50	26	8	0%	1.1	20.0%	10.5%	9.5%	3.4%	4.87	4.97	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		309	0	324	1368	279	138	42	0%	1.0	20.4%	10.1%	10.3%	3.1%	4.68	4.33	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	85	26	0%	1.1	20.4%	10.1%	10.3%	3.1%	4.68	4.33	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		64	12	132	608	113	64	22	19%	2.1	18.5%	10.5%	8.1%	3.7%	6.07	4.88	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	18	200	921	171	96	34	19%	2.1	18.5%	10.5%	8.1%	3.7%	6.07	4.88	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ivran Romero (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	19.3%	10.4%	2.8%	—	4.58	20.5%	10.6%	229	-0.14	—	—	—
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	94
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	90
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	86
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	86
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	85
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	85
T.J. Weir R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	24	SW	3.97	20.0%	9.1%	2.5%	.319	3.43	19.0%	9.6%	190	-0.54	3.15	349	84
Andrew Bellatti R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.3%	8.8%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	278	84
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	84
Tai Tiedemann R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	23	SU	3.87	17.5%	9.8%	1.8%	.305	5.78	9.8%	-0.2%	118	+1.91	3.87	190	84
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	84
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	84
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2023 · 5.11 FIP	24	SW	5.11	18.2%	9.9%	4.2%	.304	3.67	18.0%	9.9%	189	-1.44	3.51	330	84
Carlo Reyes R 2022 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.4%	8.6%	2.9%	.318	3.92	24.1%	12.9%	61	-0.14	2.60	229	84
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	83
J.C. Flowers R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	24	SU	4.02	17.6%	8.9%	2.3%	.263	5.44	15.6%	-0.3%	133	+1.42	3.59	281	83
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	83
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.22	28.3%	14.7%	112	-0.80	3.17	173	82
Dylan Cumming R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	24	SW	4.11	16.0%	10.7%	1.8%	.311	4.31	18.4%	9.4%	314	+0.20	3.75	406	82
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	71	20.3%	10.1%	1.16	4.67
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93