Lucas Ramirez

RF Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 21 L/R 6'3" / 205 lbs A K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	A+/ROKLAA	226	.266/.362/.417	3	6	52	—	.197/.262/.309
2026	20	ALAA	430	.242/.322/.417	9	10	47	—	.177/.242/.296
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBLAA	540	.191/.252/.294	8	9	54	-0.7
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBLAA	129	.195/.258/.308	2	2	60	-0.5

Next 2 projected WAR -1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed73

ISO70

wOBA39

wRC+36

Chase%28

BB%24

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsT.J. Schofield-Sam (age 21) · Yerlin Confidan (age 21) · Nathan Mikolas (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .250 / .291

PA210

HR3

K%35

BB%6

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	35	29	5	1	0	0	3	14	1	0	1	172	273	207	480	34	294	40	9	221	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Angels	—	191	163	46	7	6	3	23	39	2	6	0	282	378	454	832	172	350	20	12	364	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	430	384	93	24	8	9	39	141	6	10	3	242	322	417	738	174	357	33	9	328	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	35	30	4	1	0	0	2	19	1	0	1	133	212	167	379	33	269	54	6	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	191	173	36	5	4	3	13	58	2	6	0	208	271	335	607	127	275	30	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	430	395	70	17	6	6	28	192	6	10	3	177	242	296	539	119	318	45	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	226	203	40	6	4	3	15	77	3	6	1	197	262	310	573	113	291	34	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	226	192	51	8	6	3	26	53	3	6	1	266	362	417	779	151	343	23	12	342	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	430	395	70	17	6	6	28	192	6	10	3	177	242	296	539	119	323	45	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	430	384	93	24	8	9	39	141	6	10	3	242	322	417	738	174	357	33	9	328	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	226	206	40	6	4	3	15	77	3	6	1	194	262	306	568	112	274	34	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	430	393	70	17	6	6	28	192	6	10	3	178	242	298	540	120	318	45	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	226	206	40	6	4	3	15	77	3	6	1	194	262	306	568	112	274	34	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	430	393	70	17	6	6	28	192	6	10	3	178	242	298	540	120	318	45	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	LAA	0%	540	494	95	20	4	8	35	190	6	9	3	191	252	294	546	103	287	35	6	247	54	-30	+1	+0	-6	+12	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	LAA	34%	376	344	68	14	3	7	25	128	4	6	2	197	259	310	569	113	288	34	7	257	60	-18	+0	+0	-4	+8	-1.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	LAA	34%	129	118	23	5	1	2	9	44	1	2	1	195	258	308	566	113	285	34	7	256	60	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	129	118	23	5	1	2	9	44	1	2	1	195	258	305	563	110	288	34	7	256	53	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	116	25	5	10	45	222	5	10	5	195	257	304	562	109	288	34	7	256	53	-31	+0	+0	-7	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1242	1135	214	45	14	19	81	471	15	25	7	189	252	303	555	115	299	38	7	246	53	-30	+1	+0	-6	+13	-2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	112	24	7	10	42	246	8	13	4	189	252	303	555	114	298	38	6	246	53	-33	+1	+0	-7	+14	-2.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 430 PAwOBA .320 → .237 (−83)K% 32.8% → 44.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.79%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	44.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.07%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.030	6.45%
HBP% /PA	1.40%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	1.12%
Singles /BIP	21.40%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.974	×1.030	19.74%
Doubles /BIP	9.88%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.974	×1.030	8.22%
Triples /BIP	3.29%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.974	×1.030	3.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.030	3.05%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .320 → .237; ISO .174 → .125; BABIP .357 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Angels · 191 PAwOBA .357 → .255 (−102)K% 20.4% → 30.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.42%	÷0.969	×1.440	—	—	30.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.52%	÷1.082	×0.620	—	×1.008	6.65%
HBP% /PA	1.05%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.76%
Singles /BIP	24.19%	÷1.015	×0.820	×1.015	×1.008	19.99%
Doubles /BIP	5.65%	÷0.992	×0.720	×1.015	×1.008	4.19%
Triples /BIP	4.84%	÷1.134	×0.720	×1.015	×1.008	3.14%
Home runs /BIP	2.42%	÷0.873	×0.780	—	×1.008	2.18%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 127, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .357 → .255; ISO .172 → .124; BABIP .350 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 35 PAwOBA .229 → .185 (−44)K% 40.0% → 53.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	40.00%	÷1.019	×1.350	—	—	52.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.57%	÷0.975	×0.710	—	×1.050	6.56%
HBP% /PA	2.86%	—	×0.810	—	×1.050	2.43%
Singles /BIP	26.67%	÷1.019	×0.910	—	×1.050	25.01%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷0.975	×0.830	—	×1.050	5.96%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.820	—	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.050	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .229 → .185; ISO .034 → .027; BABIP .294 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
#4Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	339	5	6	194	253	301	-3	+0	-1.0	-0.5
/162	664	10	11	-5.9	+0.0	-2.0	pk7: 0
#5Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0
#6Seth Brownlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,799 PA	2.7	1,799	74	24	227	293	421	-23	-34	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	27	9	-8.6	-12.4	-0.3	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lucas Ramirez (OGILVIE)	21	45	35	45	45	189/250/291	102	287	3	3	35%	6%	54	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕T.J. Schofield-Sam 2022 · A	21	43→48	41→40	47→40	39	209/268/314	104	299	8	6	31%	6%	65	-1.2	218/268/313	95	291	7	5	26%	4%	64	-1.3	218/267/306	88	286	6	4	25%	3%	61	-1.2
✕Yerlin Confidan 2024 · A	21	38→44	42→45	42→50	38	186/242/296	111	285	9	5	36%	7%	51	-2.3	201/264/304	103	303	8	9	34%	8%	61	-1.5	202/268/305	103	295	9	10	32%	8%	60	-1.2
✕Nathan Mikolas 2015 · A	21	40	40	48→45	40	192/263/283	91	288	8	7	34%	7%	57	-1.8	207/266/297	90	302	8	6	32%	6%	60	-1.6	195/255/278	83	281	9	4	32%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Joe Naranjo 2022 · A	21	43→48	38→40	50→45	41	200/265/272	71	308	5	7	35%	7%	54	-2.0	197/280/291	94	294	9	5	33%	10%	65	-1.2	183/272/272	89	271	9	3	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Connor Scott 2021 · A	21	42→46	38→45	49→50	40	200/251/285	85	289	5	13	31%	6%	51	-2.2	213/259/326	113	290	8	12	28%	6%	63	-1.3	204/251/318	113	275	8	13	28%	5%	56	-1.2
✕Jordan Viars 2024 · A	21	39	40	48→45	39	189/262/280	91	285	8	7	35%	6%	56	-1.9	179/246/285	106	305	11	5	42%	6%	51	-2.3	145/215/250	105	253	13	2	46%	7%	30	-1.5
✕Eddie Prasch 2007 · A	21	44→50	39→40	44→45	37	209/258/290	81	308	6	6	33%	5%	55	-2.0	208/270/298	90	310	6	6	33%	6%	61	-1.5	198/264/272	73	280	3	4	28%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Josh Stephen 2019 · A	21	44→46	39→45	47→45	38	211/251/299	88	292	6	6	29%	5%	54	-2.0	212/266/333	121	304	9	7	31%	6%	68	-1.0	197/261/321	125	279	10	7	31%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Jake Skole 2013 · A	21	42→47	39→40	45→50	40	195/264/276	81	311	6	9	37%	8%	55	-2.0	189/258/269	80	281	6	9	32%	8%	51	-2.3	181/241/263	82	271	7	13	34%	7%	40	-1.7
✕Dimas Ojeda 2017 · A	21	44→46	40→45	51→30	37	207/266/309	102	322	7	7	36%	6%	63	-1.4	217/254/302	85	315	6	3	31%	4%	55	-1.9	218/253/300	82	313	7	1	31%	4%	52	-1.5
✕Michael Swinson 2011 · A	21	41	41→40	52→50	43	201/265/299	98	278	8	12	29%	7%	60	-1.6	201/265/274	73	267	4	10	24%	8%	54	-2.0	196/267/258	62	261	2	10	23%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Travis Swaggerty 2019 · A	21	39→46	41→45	50→55	40	192/251/290	98	279	8	7	33%	7%	53	-2.1	211/277/311	100	301	9	15	31%	8%	68	-1.0	209/278/308	99	307	7	19	32%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Shawon Dunston Jr. 2014 · A	21	45	39→40	50→55	43	217/270/304	87	294	5	7	27%	6%	62	-1.4	217/255/305	88	291	3	18	25%	4%	56	-1.9	214/252/303	89	281	4	23	24%	4%	54	-0.9
✕Telmito Agustin 2018 · A	21	45→42	42→45	48→50	34	222/251/329	107	313	10	12	32%	4%	61	-1.5	214/252/324	110	306	11	10	32%	4%	60	-1.6	205/246/311	106	292	11	9	32%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Jacob Pearson 2019 · A	21	39	39→40	45→50	40	192/245/278	86	270	7	8	31%	6%	47	-2.5	194/249/286	92	266	7	11	28%	7%	51	-2.3	165/232/259	94	229	8	19	30%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Alexis Rivera 2015 · A	21	42	37→45	49→50	40	202/256/274	73	289	5	11	31%	6%	51	-2.3	219/266/330	111	298	11	9	29%	5%	67	-1.1	229/272/355	125	296	13	7	27%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Jose Cordoba 2024 · A	21	43	40	47→55	41	208/265/304	96	287	7	9	29%	6%	61	-1.5	202/256/294	92	268	6	14	26%	5%	55	-1.9	190/244/281	91	247	7	18	25%	5%	45	-1.2
✕Connor Oliver 2015 · A	21	44→45	37→40	48→50	40	207/260/285	78	290	4	10	29%	6%	55	-2.0	189/244/266	77	280	4	11	32%	6%	44	-2.8	147/205/208	61	220	2	11	32%	7%	13	-2.4
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	39→33	43→45	51→50	42	193/261/303	109	286	10	12	34%	8%	60	-1.6	207/272/319	112	304	11	12	33%	7%	68	-1.0	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Luis Mendez 2024 · A	21	38	38→40	47→50	43	182/254/259	77	275	6	10	34%	8%	47	-2.5	193/255/274	81	270	5	12	28%	7%	50	-2.3	187/247/263	77	253	5	13	27%	7%	43	-1.2

Lucas Ramirez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps