Yerlin Confidan

CF Dayton Dragons
Age 24 L/L 6'4" / 170 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421ACIN400.249/.345/.41991666—.205/.277/.327
202522A+CIN474.224/.316/.32041245—.190/.261/.269
202623AA/A+/INTL2 orgs574.264/.340/.42716979—.216/.277/.327
2027PROJMLE24MLBCIN1.189/.254/.2920052-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBCIN79.196/.262/.3172161-0.2
2029PROJ44% MLB26MLBCIN135.203/.269/.3394268-0.2
Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$3M2032Ext$5M2033Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
ISO67
Chase%55
wOBA51
K%50
wRC+47
Whiff%27
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsGabe Snyder (age 24) · Greyson Jenista (age 24) · Cody Morissette (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .254 / .292
PA1
HR0
K%30
BB%7
BABIP257
ISO94
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -11.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
0.00.51.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKACL Reds — 192178 569211 12481 73 315361573934 258375 256 404 73 — — — — — —
202219 ADaytona Tortugas — 7665 16311 11220 11 246355369724 123357 2914 331 59 — — — — — —
202219 ROKACL Reds — 2722 5201 590 03 227370455825 227333 3319 368 40 — — — — — —
202320 ADaytona Tortugas — 264239 471743 23702 13 197273339612 142265 279 276 23 — — — — — —
202421 ADaytona Tortugas — 400346 862829 49972 167 249345419764 171317 2412 340 66 — — — — — —
202522 A+Dayton Dragons — 474416 932044 511335 126 224316320635 96318 2811 292 45 — — — — — —
202623 AAChattanooga Lookouts — 211192 50818 17521 32 260324438761 177316 258 336 77 — — — — — —
202623 A+Dayton Dragons — 316275 691317 35693 63 251342382724 131307 2211 326 63 — — — — — —
202623 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 4744 16431 3120 00 3644046591.063 295484 266 455 194 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEACL Reds — 192183 40617 7701 73 219251377628 158308 364 276 73 — — — — — —
202219 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 7668 13211 8290 11 191276294570 103325 3811 255 59 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEACL Reds — 2724 3101 3130 03 125222292514 167244 4811 227 40 — — — — — —
202320 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 264246 361232 16952 13 146205244448 98231 366 202 23 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 400361 742226 341332 167 205277327604 122295 338 266 66 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEDayton Dragons — 474431 821743 361695 126 190261269530 79298 368 234 45 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 211197 45716 12641 32 228276365642 137304 306 282 77 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEDayton Dragons — 316285 591015 25883 63 207278302580 95274 288 262 63 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEACL Reds — 192183 40617 7701 73 219251377628 158308 364 276 73 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWACL Reds — 192178 569211 12481 73 315361573934 258375 256 404 73 — — — — — —
202219 A MLE2 teams — 10392 17312 11420 14 185272304576 120312 4111 248 54 — — — — — —
202219 A RAW2 teams — 10387 21512 16310 14 241359391750 149352 3016 341 54 — — — — — —
202320 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 264246 361232 16952 13 146205244448 98228 366 202 23 — — — — — —
202320 A RAWDaytona Tortugas — 264239 471743 23702 13 197273339612 142265 279 276 23 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 400361 742226 341332 167 205277327604 122302 338 266 66 — — — — — —
202421 A RAWDaytona Tortugas — 400346 862829 49972 167 249345419764 171317 2412 340 66 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEDayton Dragons — 474431 821743 361695 126 190261269530 79304 368 234 45 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAWDayton Dragons — 474416 932044 511335 126 224316320635 96318 2811 292 45 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE3 teams — 574527 11519213 391654 95 218277336613 118289 297 270 69 — — — — — —
202623 A+ RAW3 teams — 574511 13525516 551334 95 264340427767 162325 2310 340 69 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEACL Reds — 192182 40617 7701 73 220251379630 159308 364 276 73 — — — — — —
202219 A MLE2 teams — 10391 17312 11420 14 187272308580 121304 4111 248 54 — — — — — —
202320 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 264244 361232 16952 13 148205246450 98231 366 202 23 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 400361 742226 341332 167 205277327604 122295 338 266 66 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEDayton Dragons — 474430 821743 361695 126 191261270530 79298 368 234 45 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE3 teams — 574526 11519213 391654 95 219277337614 118286 297 270 69 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 400361 742226 341332 167 205277327604 122295 338 266 66 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEDayton Dragons — 474430 821743 361695 126 191261270530 79298 368 234 45 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE3 teams — 574526 11519213 391654 95 219277337614 118286 297 270 69 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLECIN 0% 380346 651226 281133 63 188253287539 99256 307 245 52 -22 +0 +0 +1 +8 -0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXCIN 0% 11 0000 000 00 189254292546 103257 00 248 52 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLECIN 30% 260237 47916 19772 42 195260310571 116259 307 258 61 -12 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.5
202926 MLB MLECIN 44% 305277 551018 23892 42 200266331597 130261 298 268 68 -12 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.4
202825 MLB CTXCIN 30% 7972 14302 6231 11 196262317579 121259 298 261 61 -4 -0 +0 +0 +2 -0.2
202926 MLB CTXCIN 44% 135123 25414 10391 21 203269339608 137262 297 272 68 -5 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 214195 39716 16622 32 200268338606 138258 297 268 58 -9 -0 +0 +1 +5 -0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650592 11821318 491886 96 199267336604 137257 298 268 58 -27 -1 +1 +2 +14 -1.1
Career— MLE — 27822546 5021051650 20090319 5733 197261310571 113281 327 253 58 -36 +0 +1 +3 +17 -1.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650595 11825412 472114 138 198262314576 116283 327 253 58 -30 +0 +1 +2 +14 -1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Dayton Dragons · 316 PAwOBA .321 → .262 (−59)K% 21.8% → 27.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.84%÷1.000×1.270——27.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.08%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9887.77%
HBP% /PA0.95%—×0.790—×0.9880.74%
Singles /BIP23.30%÷1.000×0.920×1.018×0.98821.55%
Doubles /BIP6.31%÷1.000×0.810×1.018×0.9885.14%
Triples /BIP0.49%÷1.000×0.850×1.018×0.9880.41%
Home runs /BIP3.40%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9882.69%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .321 → .262; ISO .131 → .103; BABIP .307 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 211 PAwOBA .329 → .282 (−47)K% 24.6% → 30.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.64%÷1.000×1.220——30.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.06%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0125.54%
HBP% /PA0.47%—×0.840—×1.0120.40%
Singles /BIP23.57%÷1.000×0.920×1.050×1.01223.04%
Doubles /BIP5.71%÷1.000×0.910×1.050×1.0125.53%
Triples /BIP0.71%÷1.000×0.880×1.050×1.0120.67%
Home runs /BIP5.71%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0124.63%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .329 → .282; ISO .177 → .146; BABIP .316 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Dayton Dragons · 474 PAwOBA .286 → .234 (−52)K% 28.1% → 35.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.06%÷0.999×1.270——35.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.76%÷1.006×0.710—×0.9987.58%
HBP% /PA1.05%—×0.790—×0.9980.83%
Singles /BIP22.97%÷0.987×0.920×1.026×0.99821.93%
Doubles /BIP7.07%÷0.928×0.810×1.026×0.9986.32%
Triples /BIP1.41%÷0.900×0.850×1.026×0.9981.37%
Home runs /BIP1.41%÷1.124×0.800—×0.9981.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 97, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .286 → .234; ISO .096 → .077; BABIP .318 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADaytona Tortugas · 400 PAwOBA .334 → .266 (−68)K% 24.2% → 33.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.25%÷0.990×1.360——33.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.25%÷0.991×0.690——8.53%
HBP% /PA0.50%—×0.780——0.39%
Singles /BIP18.88%÷0.960×0.920×1.043—18.86%
Doubles /BIP11.24%÷1.032×0.830×1.043—9.43%
Triples /BIP0.80%÷0.918×0.910×1.043—0.83%
Home runs /BIP3.61%÷1.078×0.800——2.68%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 92, 2B 106, 3B 84, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .334 → .266; ISO .171 → .128; BABIP .317 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ADaytona Tortugas · 264 PAwOBA .269 → .202 (−67)K% 26.5% → 35.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.52%÷1.006×1.360——35.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.71%÷1.006×0.690—×1.0156.07%
HBP% /PA0.76%—×0.780—×1.0150.60%
Singles /BIP13.61%÷1.032×0.920×1.036×1.01512.75%
Doubles /BIP10.06%÷1.100×0.830×1.036×1.0157.98%
Triples /BIP2.37%÷1.083×0.910×1.036×1.0152.09%
Home runs /BIP1.78%÷1.060×0.800—×1.0151.36%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 106, 2B 120, 3B 117, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .269 → .202; ISO .142 → .103; BABIP .265 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ADaytona Tortugas · 76 PAwOBA .323 → .255 (−68)K% 28.9% → 38.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.95%÷1.021×1.360——38.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.47%÷0.986×0.690—×1.03010.43%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0300.00%
Singles /BIP25.58%÷1.016×0.920—×1.03023.86%
Doubles /BIP6.98%÷1.028×0.830—×1.0305.80%
Triples /BIP2.33%÷1.016×0.910—×1.0302.15%
Home runs /BIP2.33%÷0.883×0.800—×1.0302.17%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 103, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .323 → .255; ISO .123 → .099; BABIP .357 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Reds · 27 PAwOBA .359 → .227 (−132)K% 33.3% → 47.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷1.005×1.440——47.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.52%÷1.011×0.620—×0.99511.30%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP15.38%÷1.022×0.820—×0.99512.28%
Doubles /BIP15.38%÷1.035×0.720—×0.99510.65%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.983×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP7.69%÷0.970×0.780—×0.9956.16%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 97, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .359 → .227; ISO .227 → .146; BABIP .333 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Reds · 192 PAwOBA .394 → .276 (−118)K% 25.0% → 36.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷0.987×1.440——36.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.25%÷0.995×0.620—×1.0083.92%
HBP% /PA0.52%—×0.720—×1.0080.38%
Singles /BIP26.15%÷0.972×0.820×1.023×1.00822.72%
Doubles /BIP6.92%÷0.981×0.720×1.023×1.0085.23%
Triples /BIP1.54%÷0.990×0.720×1.023×1.0081.15%
Home runs /BIP8.46%÷1.026×0.780—×1.0086.48%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 94, 2B 96, 3B 98, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .394 → .276; ISO .258 → .172; BABIP .375 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .