Yerlin ConfidanOF
Dayton Dragons
Age 23
L/L
6'4" / 170 lbs
A+
HR +9%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.4 · 2030
wRC+†40
AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .259 / .294
PA320
HR5
SB7
K%35
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20↗30
PWR
50↗60
SPD
50↘40
FLD
30↗50
EYE
50↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | -$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $-4M | -$8M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Reds | 192 | 183 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 72 | 1 | 7 | 3 | .224 | .257 | .383 | .639 | .158 | .324 | 38 | 4 | .276 | 69 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 19 | A | 2 teams | 103 | 92 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .185 | .272 | .315 | .587 | .130 | .319 | 42 | 11 | .247 | 47 | -6 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 264 | 245 | 36 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 99 | 2 | 1 | 3 | .147 | .208 | .249 | .457 | .102 | .236 | 38 | 6 | .205 | 15 | -25 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -2.1 |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 400 | 358 | 74 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 139 | 2 | 16 | 7 | .207 | .285 | .344 | .628 | .137 | .312 | 35 | 9 | .276 | 69 | -14 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 474 | 431 | 82 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 169 | 5 | 12 | 6 | .190 | .261 | .269 | .530 | .079 | .304 | 36 | 8 | .236 | 39 | -33 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +13 | -2.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 67 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .175 | .224 | .222 | .446 | .048 | .282 | 36 | 6 | .198 | 10 | -7 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CIN | 253 | 229 | 43 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 89 | 2 | 5 | 3 | .188 | .259 | .288 | .547 | .100 | .284 | 35 | 8 | .248 | 48 | -15 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +7 | -1.0 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | CIN | 320 | 292 | 54 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 113 | 2 | 7 | 5 | .185 | .252 | .274 | .526 | .089 | .288 | 35 | 8 | .238 | 40 | -22 | -1 | -1 | -2 | +9 | -1.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | CIN | 507 | 456 | 95 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 147 | 3 | 9 | 5 | .208 | .281 | .344 | .625 | .136 | .276 | 29 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -17 | -0 | -1 | -3 | +14 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | CIN | 536 | 481 | 104 | 22 | 4 | 14 | 46 | 153 | 4 | 9 | 5 | .216 | .290 | .366 | .656 | .150 | .280 | 29 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -12 | -0 | -2 | -3 | +15 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 43% | CIN | 552 | 494 | 109 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 49 | 156 | 4 | 9 | 5 | .221 | .296 | .381 | .677 | .160 | .283 | 28 | 9 | .301 | 89 | -7 | -0 | -2 | -3 | +16 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | CIN | 557 | 498 | 111 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 50 | 157 | 4 | 9 | 5 | .223 | .299 | .388 | .686 | .165 | .283 | 28 | 9 | .302 | 89 | -7 | -0 | -2 | -3 | +16 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | CIN | 556 | 497 | 109 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 50 | 158 | 4 | 8 | 5 | .219 | .296 | .378 | .674 | .159 | .282 | 28 | 9 | .301 | 88 | -7 | -0 | -2 | -3 | +16 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | CIN | 548 | 489 | 106 | 22 | 3 | 16 | 50 | 157 | 4 | 7 | 4 | .217 | .295 | .372 | .667 | .155 | .281 | 29 | 9 | .298 | 87 | -8 | -0 | -3 | -3 | +16 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | CIN | 539 | 481 | 103 | 22 | 3 | 15 | 49 | 156 | 4 | 6 | 4 | .214 | .292 | .366 | .658 | .152 | .280 | 29 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -10 | -0 | -4 | -3 | +15 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | CIN | 526 | 469 | 100 | 21 | 3 | 15 | 48 | 154 | 4 | 4 | 3 | .213 | .292 | .367 | .658 | .154 | .278 | 29 | 9 | .292 | 81 | -11 | -0 | -4 | -3 | +15 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 508 | 454 | 96 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 46 | 152 | 3 | 2 | 4 | .211 | .288 | .361 | .650 | .150 | .277 | 30 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -13 | -1 | -5 | -3 | +14 | -0.8 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 479 | 430 | 88 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 146 | 3 | 1 | 5 | .205 | .282 | .344 | .626 | .140 | .275 | 30 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -14 | -2 | -6 | -3 | +14 | -1.1 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 432 | 387 | 77 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 136 | 3 | 1 | 7 | .199 | .277 | .328 | .606 | .129 | .273 | 31 | 9 | .275 | 68 | -15 | -3 | -6 | -3 | +12 | -1.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7426 | 6674 | 1391 | 305 | 50 | 180 | 641 | 2283 | 52 | 107 | 78 | .208 | .283 | .350 | .633 | .142 | .285 | 31 | 9 | .282 | 74 | -221 | -10 | -37 | -45 | +210 | -10.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 584 | 122 | 27 | 4 | 16 | 56 | 200 | 5 | 9 | 7 | .209 | .284 | .351 | .635 | .142 | .286 | 31 | 9 | .282 | 74 | -19 | -1 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -0.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Reds | 192 | 178 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 1 | 7 | 3 | .315 | .361 | .573 | .934 | .258 | .375 | 25 | 6 | .404 | 167 | +15 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 2.1 |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 76 | 65 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .246 | .355 | .369 | .724 | .123 | .357 | 29 | 14 | .331 | 112 | +1 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Reds | 27 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .227 | .370 | .455 | .825 | .227 | .333 | 33 | 19 | .368 | 140 | +1 | -1 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 264 | 239 | 47 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 70 | 2 | 1 | 3 | .197 | .273 | .339 | .612 | .142 | .265 | 27 | 9 | .276 | 69 | -9 | -1 | — | — | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 400 | 346 | 86 | 28 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 97 | 2 | 16 | 7 | .249 | .345 | .419 | .764 | .171 | .317 | 24 | 12 | .340 | 119 | +8 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 2.1 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 474 | 416 | 93 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 51 | 133 | 5 | 12 | 6 | .224 | .316 | .320 | .635 | .096 | .318 | 28 | 11 | .292 | 82 | -10 | +0 | — | — | +13 | 0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Yerlin Confidan (OGILVIE) | 23 | 20→30 | 50→60 | 50→40 | 60 | .185/.259/.294 | .109 | .283 | 5 | 5 | 35% | 8% | 52 | -0.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A |
23 | 36 | 41→50 | 47→45 | 40 | .183/.244/.273 | .090 | .273 | 9 | 7 | 35% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .196/.244/.284 | .088 | .259 | 9 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .184/.224/.260 | .076 | .231 | 7 | 4 | 23% | 4% | 25 | -1.0 |
|
✕Michael Pérez 2016 · A |
23 | 35 | 41→50 | 42→40 | 42 | .179/.244/.278 | .099 | .260 | 9 | 4 | 33% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .208/.262/.308 | .100 | .277 | 8 | 3 | 27% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .224/.284/.351 | .127 | .286 | 14 | 0 | 26% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A |
23 | 41→39 | 41→45 | 44→55 | 45 | .195/.271/.299 | .104 | .290 | 8 | 6 | 34% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .192/.292/.304 | .112 | .255 | 10 | 14 | 26% | 12% | 69 | -0.4 | .200/.299/.321 | .122 | .247 | 12 | 27 | 23% | 12% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
●Jack Suwinski 2021 · A |
23 | 38→41 | 44→60 | 48→50 | 41 | .191/.252/.307 | .116 | .277 | 12 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .211/.294/.396 | .185 | .299 | 24 | 9 | 35% | 10% | 94 | +1.3 | .210/.307/.421 | .211 | .281 | 28 | 10 | 34% | 11% | 102 | +1.6 |
|
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A |
23 | 38→34 | 47→55 | 42→40 | 39 | .198/.249/.339 | .141 | .275 | 14 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.266/.351 | .149 | .261 | 17 | 4 | 29% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.246/.354 | .168 | .235 | 23 | 3 | 32% | 6% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Drew Robinson 2015 · AAA |
23 | 38→41 | 44→55 | 48→50 | 42 | .188/.261/.307 | .119 | .286 | 11 | 9 | 36% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .195/.271/.352 | .157 | .280 | 18 | 12 | 35% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .207/.288/.362 | .155 | .320 | 17 | 12 | 37% | 10% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jakson Reetz 2019 · A |
23 | 40→34 | 40→60 | 39→45 | 42 | .196/.270/.285 | .090 | .278 | 8 | 5 | 31% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .198/.276/.316 | .118 | .286 | 13 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .197/.277/.397 | .201 | .245 | 26 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Imanol Vargas 2021 · A |
23 | 43→44 | 44→55 | 46→45 | 47 | .209/.291/.330 | .121 | .305 | 12 | 8 | 33% | 10% | 75 | -0.0 | .210/.290/.374 | .164 | .332 | 20 | 4 | 39% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .200/.288/.364 | .164 | .316 | 21 | 2 | 40% | 10% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Nick Maton 2021 · AA |
24 | 42→41 | 41→50 | 45 | 43 | .206/.265/.304 | .098 | .278 | 8 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .212/.292/.338 | .126 | .286 | 12 | 7 | 28% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .214/.305/.368 | .154 | .264 | 18 | 4 | 25% | 10% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A |
23 | 36→40 | 44→55 | 45→50 | 45 | .183/.265/.303 | .120 | .269 | 11 | 7 | 35% | 9% | 57 | -1.2 | .201/.280/.365 | .164 | .291 | 19 | 9 | 35% | 9% | 80 | +0.4 | .191/.263/.361 | .170 | .260 | 21 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Parker Meadows 2022 · A |
22 | 37→47 | 41→55 | 44→55 | 41 | .185/.244/.280 | .095 | .257 | 9 | 9 | 31% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .218/.280/.374 | .156 | .279 | 17 | 16 | 27% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .225/.292/.400 | .175 | .278 | 20 | 21 | 26% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 |
|
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A |
23 | 40 | 45→55 | 47→45 | 45 | .204/.281/.326 | .122 | .262 | 13 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.278/.391 | .172 | .284 | 22 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .215/.266/.411 | .196 | .270 | 28 | 0 | 32% | 5% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Tyler Dearden 2021 · A |
23 | 39→34 | 40→50 | 49→30 | 31 | .183/.230/.274 | .091 | .324 | 8 | 5 | 44% | 5% | 33 | -2.9 | .216/.289/.373 | .157 | .318 | 20 | 3 | 36% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .219/.296/.367 | .149 | .315 | 20 | 0 | 35% | 9% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Carson Blair 2013 · A |
23 | 35 | 43→50 | 43→30 | 38 | .178/.239/.287 | .110 | .282 | 10 | 6 | 39% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.269/.330 | .133 | .320 | 12 | 4 | 39% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.271/.336 | .144 | .315 | 14 | 1 | 40% | 9% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Sean Coughlin 2008 · A |
23 | 41→38 | 41→50 | 44→30 | 41 | .197/.264/.296 | .099 | .292 | 9 | 4 | 34% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .212/.283/.344 | .132 | .258 | 15 | 2 | 23% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .210/.282/.344 | .134 | .245 | 16 | 1 | 21% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
●Ryan Schimpf 2011 · A |
23 | 39 | 43→60 | 52→45 | 39 | .192/.257/.314 | .121 | .284 | 9 | 10 | 34% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .198/.273/.355 | .157 | .273 | 17 | 7 | 32% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .201/.284/.419 | .218 | .235 | 28 | 2 | 28% | 9% | 91 | +0.9 |
|
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2021 · A |
22 | 39→46 | 42→60 | 46→45 | 40 | .197/.250/.302 | .104 | .268 | 10 | 9 | 30% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .217/.274/.390 | .173 | .270 | 22 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .224/.290/.404 | .180 | .268 | 24 | 8 | 26% | 8% | 90 | +0.8 |
|
✕Roman Pena 2010 · A |
23 | 40→50 | 41→50 | 42→45 | 40 | .198/.254/.298 | .100 | .282 | 9 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .210/.272/.329 | .119 | .289 | 11 | 9 | 29% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .233/.303/.392 | .159 | .312 | 16 | 7 | 29% | 9% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Skye Bolt 2018 · A |
24 | 40→39 | 42→50 | 46→50 | 40 | .196/.254/.307 | .111 | .282 | 9 | 8 | 33% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .204/.266/.339 | .135 | .293 | 14 | 12 | 33% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .234/.302/.369 | .135 | .310 | 15 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 86 | +0.3 |
|
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A |
21 | 37 | 44→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .188/.259/.305 | .117 | .281 | 12 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .194/.278/.291 | .097 | .346 | 7 | 8 | 42% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .146/.273/.221 | .075 | .359 | 3 | 4 | 52% | 12% | 39 | -0.5 |