Joe Naranjo — OGILVIE

Joe Naranjo1B Harrisburg Senators

Age 25 L/L 5'10" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .267 / .252

PA320

HR2

K%32

BB%10

ISO70

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	AZL Indians Red	—	200	185	33	3	1	1	14	63	0	1	0	178	236	222	458	43	262	32	7	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	AZL Indians Red	—	200	177	47	5	2	1	22	44	0	1	0	266	347	333	680	68	346	22	11	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	426	389	71	12	1	3	29	147	6	7	1	183	250	242	492	59	282	35	7	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	426	374	88	13	1	6	44	115	6	7	1	235	325	324	649	88	322	27	10	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	514	447	80	12	2	11	60	172	5	6	0	179	283	289	572	110	259	33	12	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	514	425	100	16	3	18	82	131	5	6	0	235	365	414	779	179	295	25	16	352	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	343	301	54	13	0	3	32	114	7	0	0	179	274	252	526	73	273	33	9	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	343	288	58	13	0	3	45	84	7	0	0	201	324	278	601	76	270	24	13	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	349	317	52	13	0	2	28	136	1	3	0	164	234	224	458	60	275	39	8	212	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	349	303	63	16	0	3	42	98	1	3	0	208	306	290	597	83	293	28	12	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	418	364	77	16	1	3	45	127	3	2	0	212	303	286	589	74	311	30	11	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	418	348	79	14	1	3	61	98	3	2	0	227	347	299	646	72	303	23	15	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	WSH	—	320	284	53	12	1	2	31	103	2	2	0	187	271	257	528	70	274	32	10	244	45	-20	+0	+0	-6	+9	-1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	WSH	31%	359	318	61	13	1	4	35	112	3	2	0	192	278	277	555	85	276	31	10	257	55	-18	+0	+0	-6	+10	-1.4
2028	27	MLB	WSH	42%	384	341	66	14	1	5	37	117	3	3	0	194	278	284	563	91	277	30	10	262	59	-18	+1	+0	-7	+11	-1.4
2029	28	MLB	WSH	48%	398	353	70	15	1	6	39	120	3	2	0	198	284	297	581	99	278	30	10	264	60	-18	+0	-1	-7	+11	-1.4
2027	26	MLB	WSH	31%	111	98	18	4	0	1	11	35	1	1	0	184	273	255	528	71	276	32	10	252	51	-6	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.5
2028	27	MLB	WSH	42%	162	144	28	6	0	2	16	49	1	1	0	194	280	278	557	83	277	30	10	256	54	-8	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.7
2029	28	MLB	WSH	48%	191	169	33	7	0	3	19	58	1	1	0	195	280	290	570	95	278	30	10	258	56	-10	+0	-0	-3	+5	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	464	411	79	17	0	6	46	142	3	3	0	192	278	277	556	85	274	31	10	256	54	-24	+1	-0	-8	+13	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	110	24	0	8	64	199	4	4	0	191	276	274	550	83	273	31	10	256	54	-34	+1	-0	-12	+18	-2.7
Career	—			—	3711	3299	617	123	9	40	350	1211	33	28	1	187	272	266	538	79	279	33	9	247	48	-220	+5	-1	-66	+105	-18.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	109	22	2	7	61	212	6	5	0	189	273	270	543	81	281	33	9	247	48	-39	+1	-0	-12	+18	-3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	AZL Indians Red	—	200	177	47	5	2	1	22	44	0	1	0	266	347	333	680	68	346	22	11	312	97	-1	+0	—	—	+6	0.5
2021	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	426	374	88	13	1	6	44	115	6	7	1	235	325	324	649	88	322	27	10	299	87	-6	+1	—	—	+12	0.7
2022	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	514	425	100	16	3	18	82	131	5	6	0	235	365	414	779	179	295	25	16	352	127	+16	+1	—	—	+15	3.2
2023	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	343	288	58	13	0	3	45	84	7	0	0	201	324	278	601	76	270	24	13	284	76	-9	+0	—	—	+10	0.0
2024	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	128	109	23	3	0	1	16	34	0	2	0	211	312	266	578	55	286	27	12	268	63	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2024	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	221	194	40	13	0	2	26	64	1	1	0	206	303	304	607	98	297	29	12	282	74	-6	+0	—	—	+6	-0.0
2025	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	418	348	79	14	1	3	61	98	3	2	0	227	347	299	646	72	303	23	15	301	88	-5	+0	—	—	+12	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#1Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#4Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	470	6	3	196	278	288	-8	-2	-1.8	-0.9
	/162	664	9	4	196	278	288	-11.9	-2.1	-2.5	pk7: 0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	19	9	250	303	400	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joe Naranjo (OGILVIE)	25	40	30	45	60	182/267/252	70	274	2	2	32%	10%	45	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeremy Vasquez 2021 · AA	25	44→47	39→45	41→30	48	210/280/298	88	278	6	4	25%	8%	61	-1.0	217/278/322	105	280	9	3	24%	8%	66	-0.6	214/275/318	104	271	9	1	24%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Jake Thomas 2017 · A	24	42	37→30	49→50	44	197/266/269	72	280	4	7	29%	8%	48	-1.9	212/297/284	72	324	3	9	31%	10%	65	-0.7	209/316/264	56	329	1	10	32%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Ryan Rieger 2015 · AA	24	42→43	39→40	47→40	46	204/270/292	89	277	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.4	212/265/313	101	293	5	6	27%	6%	58	-1.2	206/256/324	118	286	2	3	27%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Matt Winaker 2022 · AA	26	43→38	38→45	45	47	202/293/283	81	284	5	6	28%	8%	65	-0.7	197/285/295	98	268	9	7	28%	8%	64	-0.8	142/246/227	85	189	9	4	28%	8%	30	-1.3
✕Casey Grayson 2017 · A	25	47	36→40	45→40	56	217/312/287	70	295	4	3	25%	12%	72	-0.2	218/295/292	74	323	5	5	31%	10%	66	-0.6	212/284/275	63	324	5	2	33%	9%	53	-0.9
✕Richard Nunez 2019 · A	24	40	36→30	47→55	46	190/265/263	73	271	3	9	29%	8%	46	-2.0	209/276/302	93	290	7	6	28%	8%	60	-1.0	196/275/293	97	250	9	3	24%	9%	56	-0.2
✕Carlos Franco 2017 · AA	25	46→49	40→45	42→45	43	218/275/306	88	305	8	5	30%	7%	60	-1.0	214/265/340	126	324	16	3	37%	6%	66	-0.6	204/255/343	139	307	19	1	39%	6%	61	-0.8
✕Travis Ozga 2012 · AA	25	45	37→40	46→45	41	214/261/281	67	293	5	6	28%	6%	47	-1.9	205/259/305	100	273	10	7	27%	7%	54	-1.4	153/211/264	111	178	16	3	25%	7%	20	-1.0
✕Cole Daily 2022 · AA	25	41	35→30	43→55	45	193/258/249	56	273	3	8	29%	8%	39	-2.5	201/272/270	69	315	4	16	34%	9%	50	-1.7	184/263/228	44	298	1	24	35%	9%	33	-1.4
✕Carlos Penuelas 2013 · AAA	25	45	40→30	45→50	40	218/257/310	92	285	8	8	26%	5%	53	-1.5	243/292/323	80	305	6	11	21%	6%	72	-0.2	266/314/322	56	329	3	12	19%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Garrison Schwartz 2021 · AA	25	40	38→40	44→45	38	188/250/263	75	302	6	7	38%	7%	40	-2.4	179/266/261	82	400	6	11	51%	9%	47	-1.9	44/182/74	30	163	3	14	65%	11%	-32	-1.4
✕Greg Creek 2008 · AA	25	46→48	38→40	39→40	42	221/269/304	83	288	5	6	25%	6%	57	-1.2	218/272/318	100	283	8	4	24%	6%	63	-0.9	215/270/318	103	275	8	1	24%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Scott Hurst 2021 · AA	25	41→31	40	44→50	41	200/257/288	88	290	8	6	32%	7%	48	-1.9	201/267/295	94	294	9	15	32%	8%	55	-1.4	197/269/290	93	279	10	17	31%	8%	51	-0.9
✕Adalberto Ibarra 2012 · A	25	49	36→30	50	47	224/303/294	70	319	4	8	28%	9%	70	-0.3	225/295/290	65	288	2	10	21%	7%	66	-0.6	227/302/274	47	285	0	11	18%	7%	62	-0.4
✕Devyn Bolasky 2018 · AAA	25	45	37→30	47→45	44	215/262/297	82	266	4	7	20%	5%	53	-1.5	245/293/320	75	292	4	6	17%	6%	71	-0.3	295/340/341	47	334	0	2	11%	5%	92	+0.5
✕Logan Wyatt 2023 · A	25	43→37	35→50	42→40	54	201/294/259	58	274	3	4	25%	11%	58	-1.2	206/274/334	128	277	15	4	30%	8%	69	-0.4	199/271/343	144	253	20	1	29%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Dylan Harris 2022 · A	25	43	39→45	45	48	200/289/283	82	299	7	10	32%	10%	62	-0.9	198/274/306	108	305	10	10	35%	9%	61	-1.0	157/236/276	120	240	13	9	38%	9%	36	-1.0
✕Bryant Flete 2018 · AA	25	43→44	38→40	43→50	40	208/252/288	80	274	5	6	26%	5%	46	-2.0	213/282/291	78	299	6	6	29%	7%	60	-1.0	203/291/266	63	295	5	4	30%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	38→36	41→45	41→45	42	188/262/288	99	281	9	6	34%	8%	52	-1.6	194/259/295	101	293	9	6	34%	7%	52	-1.6	194/254/298	105	283	10	4	33%	7%	48	-1.4
✕Chantz Mack 2016 · AA	25	43→45	42→45	45	44	209/271/314	105	285	9	6	29%	7%	61	-1.0	215/288/326	111	295	11	5	29%	9%	72	-0.2	212/292/321	109	285	12	3	28%	10%	70	-0.2