Joe Naranjo1B
Harrisburg Senators
Age 25
L/L
5'10" / 205 lbs
AA
HR -9%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†48
AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .268 / .261
PA320
HR3
K%33
BB%9
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
30→30
SPD
45→45
EYE
54↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
-1.3peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-18M | $-48M | -$30M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$30M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$30M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians Red | 200 | 185 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 63 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .178 | .236 | .222 | .458 | .043 | .262 | 32 | 7 | .209 | 18 | -18 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +6 | -1.7 |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 426 | 388 | 73 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 152 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .188 | .257 | .253 | .510 | .064 | .295 | 36 | 7 | .230 | 34 | -32 | +1 | +0 | -8 | +12 | -2.7 |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 514 | 449 | 84 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 58 | 164 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .187 | .287 | .314 | .601 | .127 | .259 | 32 | 11 | .270 | 65 | -20 | +1 | +0 | -9 | +15 | -1.4 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 343 | 301 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 110 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .183 | .276 | .252 | .529 | .070 | .272 | 32 | 9 | .242 | 43 | -22 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +10 | -1.9 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | 2 teams | 349 | 318 | 52 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 133 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .164 | .231 | .223 | .454 | .060 | .269 | 38 | 8 | .209 | 18 | -32 | +1 | +0 | -6 | +10 | -2.9 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 418 | 365 | 78 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 44 | 126 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .214 | .303 | .282 | .586 | .068 | .312 | 30 | 11 | .266 | 62 | -18 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +12 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 320 | 285 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 104 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .186 | .268 | .263 | .531 | .077 | .278 | 32 | 9 | .248 | 48 | -19 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +9 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 11% | WSH | 359 | 319 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 113 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .197 | .281 | .292 | .572 | .094 | .281 | 31 | 9 | .260 | 57 | -17 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +10 | -1.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 26% | WSH | 384 | 341 | 68 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 119 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .199 | .283 | .299 | .583 | .100 | .282 | 31 | 10 | .265 | 61 | -17 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +11 | -1.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 38% | WSH | 398 | 354 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 123 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .198 | .281 | .294 | .575 | .096 | .282 | 31 | 10 | .267 | 63 | -17 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +11 | -1.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | WSH | 399 | 355 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 123 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .197 | .280 | .293 | .573 | .096 | .282 | 31 | 10 | .266 | 62 | -17 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +11 | -1.4 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 56% | WSH | 397 | 353 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 124 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .198 | .282 | .295 | .576 | .096 | .280 | 31 | 10 | .263 | 60 | -18 | +0 | -2 | -7 | +11 | -1.6 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 73% | WSH | 386 | 343 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 122 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .192 | .277 | .280 | .557 | .087 | .279 | 32 | 10 | .260 | 57 | -19 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +11 | -1.8 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 91% | WSH | 369 | 328 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 119 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .189 | .273 | .277 | .551 | .088 | .277 | 32 | 9 | .255 | 53 | -19 | +0 | -4 | -7 | +10 | -1.9 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 341 | 302 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 112 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .189 | .275 | .272 | .547 | .083 | .275 | 33 | 10 | .250 | 49 | -20 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +10 | -2.1 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 298 | 266 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 100 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .180 | .264 | .256 | .519 | .075 | .274 | 34 | 9 | .244 | 45 | -19 | +0 | -5 | -5 | +8 | -2.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5901 | 5252 | 1002 | 190 | 16 | 75 | 553 | 1907 | 50 | 28 | 1 | .191 | .274 | .276 | .550 | .085 | .281 | 32 | 9 | .252 | 51 | -324 | +5 | -20 | -105 | +167 | -28.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 579 | 110 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 61 | 210 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .190 | .274 | .275 | .549 | .085 | .279 | 32 | 9 | .252 | 51 | -36 | +1 | -2 | -12 | +18 | -3.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians Red | 200 | 177 | 47 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 44 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .266 | .347 | .333 | .680 | .068 | .346 | 22 | 11 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 426 | 374 | 88 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 44 | 115 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .235 | .325 | .324 | .649 | .088 | .322 | 27 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +1 | — | — | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 514 | 425 | 100 | 16 | 3 | 18 | 82 | 131 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .235 | .365 | .414 | .779 | .179 | .295 | 25 | 16 | .352 | 127 | +16 | +1 | — | — | +15 | 3.2 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 343 | 288 | 58 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 84 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .201 | .324 | .278 | .601 | .076 | .270 | 24 | 13 | .284 | 76 | -9 | +0 | — | — | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 128 | 109 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .211 | .312 | .266 | .578 | .055 | .286 | 27 | 12 | .268 | 63 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 221 | 194 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 64 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .206 | .303 | .304 | .607 | .098 | .297 | 29 | 12 | .282 | 74 | -6 | +0 | — | — | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 418 | 348 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 61 | 98 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .227 | .347 | .299 | .646 | .072 | .303 | 23 | 15 | .301 | 88 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +12 | 0.7 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Joe Naranjo (OGILVIE) | 25 | 40 | 30 | 45 | 60 | .185/.268/.261 | .076 | .278 | 3 | 2 | 33% | 9% | 48 | -1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Matt Winaker 2022 · AA |
26 | 42→38 | 38→45 | 45 | 46 | .199/.289/.280 | .081 | .281 | 5 | 6 | 29% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .195/.288/.287 | .092 | .268 | 8 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .139/.248/.216 | .077 | .189 | 7 | 4 | 28% | 9% | 28 | -1.4 |
|
✕Jeremy Vasquez 2021 · AA |
25 | 45→47 | 40→45 | 41→30 | 48 | .217/.283/.310 | .093 | .279 | 7 | 3 | 24% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.278/.315 | .100 | .279 | 8 | 3 | 24% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .210/.273/.308 | .098 | .268 | 9 | 1 | 24% | 8% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Carlos Franco 2017 · AA |
25 | 45→48 | 41→45 | 42→45 | 43 | .217/.272/.310 | .093 | .301 | 8 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .216/.267/.341 | .125 | .321 | 15 | 3 | 35% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .209/.258/.347 | .138 | .307 | 19 | 1 | 37% | 6% | 62 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jake Thomas 2017 · A |
24 | 43 | 37→30 | 48→50 | 46 | .203/.273/.276 | .073 | .280 | 4 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .213/.304/.285 | .072 | .317 | 3 | 9 | 30% | 11% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.328/.269 | .058 | .327 | 1 | 10 | 30% | 14% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Ryan Rieger 2015 · AA |
24 | 42→44 | 39→40 | 47→40 | 45 | .203/.268/.291 | .087 | .274 | 6 | 5 | 27% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .210/.264/.310 | .100 | .288 | 4 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .203/.254/.318 | .114 | .279 | 2 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 53 | -0.8 |
|
✕Carlos Penuelas 2013 · AAA |
25 | 46 | 41→30 | 45→50 | 41 | .224/.264/.318 | .094 | .285 | 8 | 9 | 24% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .246/.294/.326 | .080 | .306 | 6 | 10 | 20% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .269/.316/.325 | .056 | .331 | 3 | 12 | 19% | 5% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Scott Hurst 2021 · AA |
25 | 43→31 | 39→40 | 44→50 | 42 | .206/.263/.293 | .087 | .295 | 7 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .205/.272/.300 | .095 | .297 | 9 | 14 | 32% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .208/.282/.304 | .097 | .289 | 10 | 17 | 30% | 8% | 60 | -0.6 |
|
✕Cornelius Randolph 2021 · AA |
24 | 44→47 | 41→40 | 45 | 43 | .214/.273/.310 | .095 | .296 | 9 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .207/.267/.322 | .115 | .334 | 12 | 12 | 38% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .194/.259/.309 | .115 | .296 | 14 | 15 | 37% | 8% | 53 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA |
25 | 40→36 | 41→45 | 42→45 | 41 | .194/.264/.293 | .099 | .285 | 9 | 6 | 33% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .196/.261/.298 | .102 | .295 | 10 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .200/.262/.311 | .111 | .288 | 11 | 4 | 33% | 7% | 55 | -1.0 |
|
✕Logan Wyatt 2023 · A |
25 | 44→38 | 36→50 | 43→40 | 53 | .203/.291/.263 | .061 | .279 | 3 | 5 | 26% | 11% | 58 | -1.2 | .206/.274/.329 | .123 | .279 | 15 | 4 | 30% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .201/.272/.340 | .139 | .259 | 19 | 1 | 30% | 8% | 67 | -0.4 |
|
✕Garrison Schwartz 2021 · AA |
25 | 40→39 | 38→40 | 43→45 | 39 | .187/.251/.262 | .075 | .298 | 5 | 7 | 37% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .178/.264/.258 | .080 | .387 | 6 | 11 | 50% | 9% | 46 | -2.0 | .048/.185/.080 | .032 | .161 | 3 | 14 | 63% | 11% | -29 | -1.4 |
|
✕Casey Grayson 2017 · A |
25 | 48→49 | 37→40 | 46→40 | 55 | .223/.313/.296 | .073 | .294 | 4 | 4 | 24% | 11% | 75 | -0.0 | .218/.298/.290 | .072 | .320 | 5 | 4 | 30% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .208/.282/.272 | .064 | .317 | 5 | 2 | 33% | 9% | 52 | -0.9 |
|
✕Chase Calabuig 2022 · AA |
26 | 42→52 | 39→40 | 44→45 | 49 | .206/.278/.287 | .081 | .268 | 8 | 6 | 25% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .246/.307/.366 | .120 | .290 | 11 | 5 | 18% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | .277/.336/.411 | .134 | .318 | 11 | 3 | 16% | 8% | 109 | +1.2 |
|
✕Austen Wade 2021 · A |
25 | 46 | 39→40 | 44→45 | 46 | .213/.285/.300 | .086 | .311 | 6 | 8 | 31% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .205/.283/.300 | .095 | .281 | 8 | 8 | 28% | 10% | 63 | -0.8 | .139/.244/.199 | .060 | .182 | 8 | 3 | 26% | 12% | 21 | -0.7 |
|
✕Preston Beck 2016 · AA |
25 | 42→43 | 42→45 | 48→45 | 48 | .206/.274/.311 | .105 | .258 | 9 | 8 | 23% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .214/.268/.320 | .106 | .269 | 9 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .212/.262/.314 | .102 | .269 | 9 | 3 | 24% | 5% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Diosbel Arias 2021 · A |
25 | 45→50 | 37→40 | 43→40 | 40 | .210/.264/.286 | .076 | .308 | 4 | 5 | 32% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .225/.278/.315 | .090 | .305 | 7 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .223/.279/.319 | .095 | .309 | 9 | 3 | 29% | 6% | 62 | -0.6 |
|
✕Adalberto Ibarra 2012 · A |
25 | 49 | 37→30 | 50 | 48 | .224/.303/.295 | .071 | .314 | 4 | 8 | 28% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .229/.301/.295 | .066 | .293 | 2 | 10 | 21% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .236/.311/.287 | .051 | .297 | 0 | 11 | 18% | 8% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Daniel Spingola 2018 · AA |
25 | 47→45 | 40→45 | 51→45 | 40 | .222/.278/.322 | .100 | .319 | 6 | 7 | 31% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .207/.265/.307 | .100 | .307 | 8 | 8 | 33% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .162/.223/.241 | .079 | .240 | 6 | 5 | 34% | 5% | 20 | -1.1 |
|
✕Brendon Sanger 2019 · AA |
25 | 42→41 | 43→45 | 41→45 | 46 | .208/.276/.317 | .109 | .276 | 11 | 4 | 28% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .189/.261/.306 | .117 | .282 | 13 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .143/.222/.248 | .105 | .219 | 14 | 4 | 40% | 7% | 24 | -2.4 |
|
✕Ryan Aguilar 2019 · A |
24 | 37→41 | 38→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .180/.245/.263 | .082 | .274 | 6 | 6 | 34% | 8% | 37 | -2.6 | .186/.263/.281 | .095 | .309 | 10 | 9 | 39% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .182/.277/.297 | .114 | .301 | 14 | 12 | 40% | 10% | 58 | -0.8 |