Joe Naranjo — OGILVIE

Joe Naranjo1B Harrisburg Senators

Age 25 L/L 5'10" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .269 / .251

PA24

HR0

K%30

BB%10

ISO66

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	AZL Indians Red	—	200	177	47	5	2	1	22	44	0	1	0	266	347	333	680	68	346	22	11	312	97	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2021	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	426	374	88	13	1	6	44	115	6	7	1	235	325	324	649	88	322	27	10	299	89	-6	+1	—	—	+9	0.5
2022	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	514	425	100	16	3	18	82	131	5	6	0	235	365	414	779	179	295	25	16	352	124	+15	+1	—	—	+11	2.8
2023	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	343	288	58	13	0	3	45	84	7	0	0	201	324	278	601	76	270	24	13	284	78	-9	+0	—	—	+7	-0.1
2024	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	128	109	23	3	0	1	16	34	0	2	0	211	312	266	578	55	286	27	12	268	67	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	221	194	40	13	0	2	26	64	1	1	0	206	303	304	607	98	297	29	12	282	77	-6	+0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2025	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	418	348	79	14	1	3	61	98	3	2	0	227	347	299	646	72	303	23	15	301	90	-5	+0	—	—	+9	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians Red	—	200	185	33	3	1	1	14	63	0	1	0	178	236	222	458	43	264	32	7	209	28	-17	+0	—	—	+4	-1.3
2021	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	426	388	73	11	1	4	30	151	6	7	1	188	257	253	510	64	287	35	7	228	40	-30	+1	—	—	+9	-2.0
2022	21	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	514	449	80	12	2	12	58	174	5	6	0	178	279	294	573	116	257	34	11	264	65	-22	+1	—	—	+11	-0.9
2023	22	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	343	301	55	12	0	3	32	105	7	0	0	183	276	252	529	70	260	31	9	240	49	-21	+0	—	—	+7	-1.4
2024	23	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	128	114	21	3	0	1	11	42	0	2	0	184	256	237	493	53	260	33	9	222	36	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2024	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	221	203	32	10	0	1	17	88	1	1	0	158	226	222	448	64	269	40	8	207	26	-19	+0	—	—	+5	-1.5
2025	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	418	366	78	15	1	2	43	120	3	2	0	213	301	276	577	63	298	29	10	264	65	-18	+0	—	—	+9	-0.8
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians Red	—	200	185	33	3	1	1	14	63	0	1	0	178	236	222	458	43	262	32	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Indians Red	—	200	177	47	5	2	1	22	44	0	1	0	266	347	333	680	68	346	22	11	312	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	426	388	73	11	1	4	30	151	6	7	1	188	257	253	510	64	294	35	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	426	374	88	13	1	6	44	115	6	7	1	235	325	324	649	88	322	27	10	299	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	514	449	80	12	2	12	58	174	5	6	0	178	279	294	573	116	257	34	11	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	514	425	100	16	3	18	82	131	5	6	0	235	365	414	779	179	295	25	16	352	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	343	301	55	12	0	3	32	105	7	0	0	183	276	252	529	70	265	31	9	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	—	343	288	58	13	0	3	45	84	7	0	0	201	324	278	601	76	270	24	13	284	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	349	317	53	13	0	2	28	130	1	3	0	167	237	227	464	60	271	37	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	349	303	63	16	0	3	42	98	1	3	0	208	306	290	597	83	293	28	12	277	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	418	366	78	15	1	2	43	120	3	2	0	213	301	276	577	63	306	29	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	—	418	348	79	14	1	3	61	98	3	2	0	227	347	299	646	72	303	23	15	301	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians Red	—	200	184	33	3	1	1	14	63	0	1	0	179	236	223	459	43	264	32	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	426	387	73	11	1	4	30	151	6	7	1	189	257	253	510	65	287	35	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	514	446	80	12	2	12	58	174	5	6	0	179	279	296	575	117	257	34	11	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	343	301	55	12	0	3	32	105	7	0	0	183	276	252	529	70	260	31	9	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	349	317	53	13	0	2	28	130	1	3	0	167	237	227	464	60	266	37	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	418	369	78	15	1	2	43	120	3	2	0	211	301	274	575	62	298	29	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	343	301	55	12	0	3	32	105	7	0	0	183	276	252	529	70	260	31	9	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	349	317	53	13	0	2	28	130	1	3	0	167	237	227	464	60	266	37	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	418	369	78	15	1	2	43	120	3	2	0	211	301	274	575	62	298	29	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	WSH	2%	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	182	250	227	477	45	273	29	8	245	52	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	WSH	31%	359	319	63	13	1	4	34	106	3	3	0	197	281	282	563	85	275	30	9	258	61	-17	+1	+0	-6	+8	-1.5
2028	27	MLB MLE	WSH	42%	384	341	68	14	1	5	37	111	3	4	1	199	283	290	574	91	276	29	10	263	64	-16	+0	+0	-7	+8	-1.5
2029	28	MLB MLE	WSH	48%	398	354	70	14	1	5	38	114	3	4	1	198	281	285	566	88	276	29	10	265	65	-16	+0	-1	-7	+9	-1.6
2027	26	MLB CTX	WSH	31%	111	98	19	4	0	1	11	33	1	1	0	194	282	265	547	71	274	30	10	252	61	-5	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	WSH	42%	162	145	28	6	0	2	15	47	1	2	0	193	273	276	549	83	275	29	9	257	64	-7	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.6
2029	28	MLB CTX	WSH	48%	191	170	34	7	0	3	18	55	1	2	0	200	280	294	575	94	275	29	9	258	65	-8	+0	-0	-3	+4	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	464	413	81	17	0	6	44	135	3	5	0	196	278	281	559	85	273	29	9	256	54	-20	+1	-0	-8	+10	-1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	113	24	0	8	62	189	4	7	0	195	278	278	556	83	272	29	10	256	54	-28	+1	-0	-12	+14	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3415	3042	577	108	8	38	316	1081	31	30	3	190	273	268	541	78	277	32	9	248	54	-51	+1	-1	-21	+25	-4.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	111	21	2	7	60	206	6	6	1	192	274	271	546	79	281	32	9	248	54	-29	+1	-0	-12	+14	-2.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#2Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#3Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	470	6	4	199	280	288	-8	-2	-1.5	-0.8
/162	664	8	6	-11.9	-2.1	-2.1	pk7: 0
#4Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	2.6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	19	9	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	2.6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	21	9	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joe Naranjo (OGILVIE)	25	40	30	45	60	186/269/251	65	273	2	3	30%	10%	52	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake Thomas 2017 · A	24	43	37→30	48→50	45	201/269/273	72	281	4	7	28%	8%	55	-1.9	213/302/287	74	322	3	9	31%	11%	72	-0.7	209/322/267	58	327	1	10	31%	14%	73	-0.4
✕Matt Winaker 2022 · AA	26	44→40	38→45	45	47	207/298/289	82	286	5	6	27%	8%	72	-0.7	196/286/289	93	265	7	7	27%	8%	68	-1.0	139/246/214	76	186	7	4	27%	9%	36	-1.4
✕Ryan Rieger 2015 · AA	24	43	39→40	47→40	46	207/271/295	88	277	6	5	27%	8%	61	-1.5	213/267/312	99	287	4	6	26%	6%	63	-1.4	208/259/322	113	280	2	3	24%	6%	61	-0.8
✕Richard Nunez 2019 · A	24	40	36→30	47→55	46	190/265/263	73	271	3	9	29%	8%	52	-2.2	209/276/302	93	290	7	6	28%	8%	65	-1.2	196/275/293	97	250	9	3	24%	9%	61	-0.3
✕Logan Wyatt 2023 · A	25	43→37	35→50	42→40	52	201/289/260	59	276	3	4	26%	11%	61	-1.5	205/271/325	120	277	14	4	29%	8%	69	-0.9	198/268/329	132	254	18	1	29%	8%	68	-0.8
✕Travis Ozga 2012 · AA	25	45	37→40	46→45	42	215/264/282	66	291	4	6	27%	6%	55	-2.0	205/260/299	94	270	9	7	26%	7%	58	-1.7	153/210/248	95	180	13	3	24%	7%	25	-1.1
✕Jeremy Vasquez 2021 · AA	25	46	39→45	41→30	48	218/286/308	90	281	6	4	24%	8%	70	-0.8	214/277/313	99	275	8	3	24%	8%	68	-1.0	208/272/304	95	264	8	1	23%	8%	62	-0.9
✕Sean McCraw 2011 · AA	25	43	36→30	43→30	47	201/272/269	69	279	3	4	28%	8%	56	-1.9	203/267/298	95	280	8	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	158/227/250	92	212	9	0	29%	8%	32	-1.0
✕Carlos Penuelas 2013 · AAA	25	46	40→30	45→50	42	224/268/316	91	289	8	8	25%	6%	64	-1.3	249/299/329	80	310	5	11	20%	6%	79	-0.2	270/317/327	57	333	3	12	19%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Devyn Bolasky 2018 · AAA	25	46	37→30	47→45	45	219/266/301	82	268	4	7	20%	6%	60	-1.6	244/292/320	76	289	4	6	16%	6%	74	-0.6	289/335/337	48	327	0	2	11%	5%	89	+0.2
✕Cole Daily 2022 · AA	25	42	35→30	43→55	46	196/262/254	57	272	3	8	28%	8%	48	-2.5	201/270/271	70	312	4	16	34%	8%	55	-1.9	183/259/229	46	295	1	24	35%	9%	39	-1.5
✕Scott Hurst 2021 · AA	25	42→32	39→40	44→50	41	202/258/288	86	292	7	6	32%	7%	55	-2.0	205/273/295	90	297	8	15	31%	8%	63	-1.4	204/278/292	87	288	9	17	30%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Garrison Schwartz 2021 · AA	25	40→39	38→40	44→45	39	188/252/263	75	300	5	7	37%	7%	47	-2.5	180/267/262	82	385	6	11	50%	9%	54	-2.0	49/186/79	30	161	3	14	62%	11%	-14	-1.3
✕Greg Creek 2008 · AA	25	47→49	38→40	39→40	43	222/271/305	83	287	5	6	24%	6%	63	-1.4	219/274/316	97	281	7	4	23%	6%	67	-1.1	217/272/315	99	274	7	1	22%	6%	64	-0.8
✕Alex Perez 2018 · AA	25	48	33→30	41→40	48	220/294/265	45	307	1	4	27%	9%	63	-1.3	215/277/272	57	299	2	5	26%	7%	58	-1.7	205/264/244	39	284	0	2	26%	7%	44	-1.8
✕Norberto Obeso 2019 · A	24	44→42	37→30	47→45	50	209/274/276	67	253	4	8	19%	8%	58	-1.7	209/270/286	77	278	4	8	24%	7%	58	-1.7	201/264/269	68	275	1	5	25%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	40→37	41→45	42→45	42	194/266/293	98	285	8	6	33%	8%	60	-1.6	200/265/302	102	296	9	6	33%	7%	61	-1.5	201/263/307	106	288	10	4	32%	7%	60	-1.2
✕Casey Grayson 2017 · A	25	48→49	36→40	45→40	56	223/316/292	69	299	4	3	24%	12%	78	-0.3	221/298/294	73	321	5	5	29%	10%	72	-0.7	216/288/279	63	322	5	2	32%	9%	61	-0.9
✕Carlos Franco 2017 · AA	25	47→50	40→45	42→45	43	222/279/311	89	311	7	5	30%	7%	68	-1.0	214/265/329	115	321	13	3	35%	6%	67	-1.1	204/254/326	122	304	16	1	37%	6%	60	-1.3
✕Danny Oh 2015 · A	25	50	35→30	48→50	47	231/306/292	62	313	2	8	25%	8%	74	-0.5	236/286/304	68	301	2	13	21%	6%	68	-1.0	243/286/304	61	305	1	16	19%	5%	65	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps