Logan Hughes

OF Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 22 L/L A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1561ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	AHOU	97	.333/.443/.605	4	8	126	—	.259/.351/.459
2027PROJMLE	22	MLBHOU	207	.227/.300/.377	5	4	90	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBHOU	40	.232/.304/.385	1	1	92	0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBHOU	88	.234/.306/.389	2	1	94	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

wRC+99

wOBA98

ISO95

Z-Con%94

Whiff%93

Speed86

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 6.3, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 69%

CompsTaylor Green (age 22) · Brooks Lee (age 22) · Nick Weglarz (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj PA

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .297 / .373

PA63

HR2

K%28

BB%8

ISO150

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	97	81	27	8	1	4	13	20	3	8	2	333	443	605	1.048	272	404	21	13	455	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	97	85	22	6	1	3	9	27	3	8	2	259	351	459	809	200	356	28	9	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	97	85	22	6	1	3	9	27	3	8	2	259	351	459	809	200	345	28	9	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	97	81	27	8	1	4	13	20	3	8	2	333	443	605	1.048	272	404	21	13	455	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	97	85	22	6	1	3	9	27	3	8	2	259	351	459	809	200	356	28	9	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	97	85	22	6	1	3	9	27	3	8	2	259	351	459	809	200	356	28	9	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	207	186	42	9	2	5	16	57	3	4	1	227	300	377	676	150	294	28	8	302	90	-2	+0	-1	-1	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	117	105	24	5	1	3	9	32	2	2	0	229	302	381	683	153	295	27	8	305	92	-1	+0	-0	-1	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	HOU	46%	190	170	39	8	1	5	15	51	3	3	0	231	304	385	689	154	296	27	8	307	94	-1	+1	-1	-1	+4	0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	254	228	53	11	2	7	21	68	3	3	1	232	305	387	692	156	296	27	8	308	95	-2	+0	-1	-2	+6	0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	306	274	63	13	2	8	25	81	4	4	1	232	306	389	694	156	295	26	8	309	95	-2	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	332	298	69	14	2	9	27	88	4	4	1	232	305	387	692	155	294	27	8	308	95	-2	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	344	309	71	15	2	9	28	92	4	3	1	230	303	382	685	152	293	27	8	306	93	-3	+0	-2	-2	+7	0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	342	307	70	14	2	9	28	92	4	3	1	228	300	376	676	148	292	27	8	302	90	-4	+0	-2	-2	+7	-0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	336	302	68	14	2	8	27	91	4	3	1	225	297	368	665	143	290	27	8	297	87	-5	+0	-3	-2	+7	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	40	36	8	2	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	232	304	385	689	153	300	28	8	307	92	-0	+0	-0	-0	+1	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	HOU	46%	88	80	18	4	1	2	7	24	1	1	0	234	306	389	695	155	301	27	8	309	94	-1	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	131	117	27	6	1	3	11	35	2	2	0	235	307	391	698	156	301	27	8	311	95	-1	+0	-0	-1	+3	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	166	150	35	8	1	4	13	44	2	2	0	235	308	392	700	157	300	27	8	311	95	-1	+0	-0	-1	+4	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	180	161	38	8	1	5	15	48	2	2	0	235	308	390	698	155	299	27	8	311	95	-1	+0	-1	-1	+4	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	187	168	39	8	1	5	15	50	2	2	0	233	306	385	691	153	298	27	8	308	93	-2	+0	-1	-1	+4	0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	182	163	38	8	1	5	15	49	2	2	0	230	303	379	682	149	297	27	8	304	90	-2	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	176	158	36	8	1	4	14	48	2	1	0	227	299	371	671	144	295	27	8	300	87	-3	+0	-2	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1150	1033	239	52	7	29	93	309	14	13	0	231	304	379	683	148	300	27	8	307	94	-10	+3	-6	-7	+25	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	134	29	4	16	53	175	8	7	0	229	302	375	677	146	298	27	8	307	94	-6	+1	-3	-4	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2381	2135	492	103	15	63	194	639	32	34	8	230	304	381	685	151	297	27	8	307	94	-20	+3	-11	-14	+49	0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	134	28	4	17	53	174	9	9	2	230	304	379	683	149	295	27	8	307	94	-6	+1	-3	-4	+14	0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 97 PAwOBA .443 → .355 (−88)K% 20.6% → 28.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.62%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	28.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.40%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.015	9.39%
HBP% /PA	3.09%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	2.45%
Singles /BIP	22.95%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.993	×1.015	21.27%
Doubles /BIP	13.11%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.993	×1.015	10.97%
Triples /BIP	1.64%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.993	×1.015	1.50%
Home runs /BIP	6.56%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.015	5.32%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .443 → .355; ISO .272 → .216; BABIP .404 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ricky Ledee'98-'07 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,307 PA	3.5	2,307	63	29	233*	311*	398*	-19	-6	2.4	3.1
/162	664	18	8	-5.5	-1.8	0.7	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	1.8	1,212	32	14	231	300	383	-7	-13	1.8	1.7
/162	664	18	7	-4.0	-7.1	1.0	pk7: 2
#3Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Eric Anthony'89-'97 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,243 PA	3.4	2,243	78	24	225*	300*	410*	-22	-22	0.1	0.6
/162	664	23	7	-6.7	-6.6	0.0	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Logan Hughes (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	225/297/373	149	294	2	1	28%	8%	90	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Taylor Green 2009 · A	22	51→56	46→50	40→30	50	253/316/384	131	292	14	3	18%	8%	99	+1.2	247/305/380	133	282	13	2	17%	7%	93	+0.8	251/309/394	143	284	14	0	17%	7%	97	+0.8
✕Brooks Lee 2023 · A	22	50→51	45→50	41→45	51	245/311/369	125	289	13	6	20%	8%	93	+0.8	244/296/379	135	284	13	6	19%	7%	90	+0.6	243/290/392	149	264	19	6	16%	6%	91	+0.6
✕Nick Weglarz 2010 · AA	22	45→48	49→50	43→45	53	225/318/378	152	281	17	5	25%	11%	99	+1.2	223/313/373	150	295	15	5	28%	10%	96	+1.0	210/302/356	146	295	15	3	32%	10%	86	+0.2
✕Beau Mills 2009 · A	22	47→49	50	41→30	41	237/292/394	157	301	17	3	27%	6%	93	+0.8	237/280/371	134	284	14	2	21%	5%	82	+0.0	239/280/370	131	277	14	1	19%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Matt Vierling 2019 · A	22	47→55	46→50	43→50	38	235/279/367	132	301	13	9	26%	4%	81	-0.1	208/263/306	98	279	9	14	27%	6%	61	-1.5	254/314/393	139	307	13	10	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Owen Caissie 2024 · AA	22	52→56	49→55	41→45	44	237/314/387	150	370	16	8	37%	9%	99	+1.3	237/311/396	159	356	17	9	35%	9%	100	+1.3	231/308/398	166	340	19	8	35%	9%	97	+0.8
●Ryan McMahon 2016 · A	21	47→57	50→55	39→45	38	230/286/394	164	336	16	5	35%	6%	90	+0.6	246/298/393	147	349	14	8	31%	6%	94	+0.9	232/313/397	165	299	19	6	28%	10%	103	+1.6
✕Blake DeWitt 2008 · AA	22	49→53	46→50	40	43	243/281/377	134	281	14	4	20%	5%	84	+0.1	245/302/374	129	281	11	4	16%	7%	91	+0.6	245/312/369	123	280	10	3	16%	8%	93	+0.7
✕Phillip Cuadrado 2007 · A	23	49→50	48→50	37→40	43	245/301/385	139	297	16	4	23%	5%	94	+0.9	224/282/349	125	290	13	5	26%	6%	78	-0.3	181/247/294	114	235	12	0	28%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Seth Beer 2019 · A	22	50→46	46→55	44→30	43	247/304/375	128	303	15	5	24%	6%	93	+0.8	239/315/404	165	292	21	3	25%	6%	105	+1.7	220/311/376	155	264	19	0	23%	6%	96	+0.8
✕Danny Putnam 2006 · A	23	52→53	46→50	40→45	49	254/316/390	136	306	13	3	21%	8%	100	+1.3	232/296/364	132	287	13	4	23%	8%	86	+0.3	219/289/355	136	274	14	4	25%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Colson Montgomery 2024 · AA	22	49→48	45→55	41→45	50	235/328/366	131	311	12	3	26%	10%	100	+1.3	202/284/363	161	279	20	5	33%	8%	83	+0.1	189/270/365	176	256	24	4	35%	8%	78	-0.3
✕Jeff Clement 2006 · A	22	48→49	49→55	44→30	43	241/294/384	143	310	17	7	28%	7%	91	+0.6	234/302/379	145	286	15	2	23%	7%	93	+0.8	238/312/421	183	283	20	1	23%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Jordan Patterson 2014 · A	22	44→50	47→55	45→50	42	221/290/353	132	265	15	10	23%	5%	83	+0.1	224/285/351	127	307	12	13	30%	5%	80	-0.1	227/288/386	159	316	15	9	31%	5%	86	+0.3
✕Yusniel Díaz 2019 · AA	22	50→54	44→45	42→50	48	245/306/365	120	311	11	10	24%	8%	91	+0.6	216/276/340	124	293	12	6	29%	7%	74	-0.6	203/270/314	111	271	13	9	29%	8%	64	-0.7
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	45→55	48→50	52	224/302/352	128	270	12	12	21%	9%	86	+0.3	233/300/393	160	281	18	11	23%	8%	95	+1.0	226/297/390	163	268	19	11	23%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Xavier Paul 2007 · A	22	50→60	44→50	44→55	39	237/286/357	120	338	12	12	32%	6%	81	-0.1	262/312/382	120	356	10	16	27%	6%	96	+1.0	277/328/399	122	368	10	18	26%	6%	104	+1.0
●Ian Stewart 2007 · AA	22	48→55	48→60	40→45	45	237/300/396	159	307	13	4	26%	7%	95	+1.0	246/313/424	178	318	19	8	27%	8%	107	+1.8	243/318/440	197	310	24	9	28%	8%	112	+2.0
✕John Drennen 2008 · A	21	46→56	43→45	42→45	43	225/285/336	112	290	11	6	26%	6%	76	-0.4	229/278/331	102	283	7	4	21%	5%	72	-0.7	250/301/374	124	298	8	1	18%	6%	88	+0.3
●Travis Ishikawa 2006 · A	22	45→50	54→55	41→45	45	228/305/411	183	317	21	3	33%	9%	101	+1.4	221/283/379	158	306	18	3	32%	7%	86	+0.3	257/316/421	164	308	19	6	22%	7%	108	+1.2

Logan Hughes

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps