Brooks Lee
SS Minnesota Twins| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AAA/A/ROKMIN | 156 | .331/.391/.570 | 8 | 2 | 112 | — | .274/.321/.452 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLBMIN | 185 | .221/.268/.320 | 3 | 3 | 59 | -0.2 | |
| 2025 | 24 | MLBMIN | 527 | .236/.287/.370 | 16 | 3 | 83 | 0.6 | |
| 2026 | 25 | MLBMIN | 631 | .253/.301/.428 | 24 | 8 | 102 | 2.0 | |
| 2027PROJ | 26 | MLBMIN | 585 | .237/.288/.389 | 19 | 7 | 88 | 0.6 | |
| 2028PROJ92% MLB | 27 | MLBMIN | 530 | .236/.287/.386 | 17 | 5 | 87 | 0.4 | |
| 2029PROJ92% MLB | 28 | MLBMIN | 519 | .234/.285/.381 | 16 | 4 | 86 | 0.2 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 114 | 97 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 289 | 395 | 454 | 848 | 165 | 320 | 16 | 14 | 381 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Twins | — | 17 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 353 | 353 | 471 | 824 | 118 | 353 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 168 | 152 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 237 | 305 | 428 | 733 | 191 | 258 | 17 | 9 | 322 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 399 | 349 | 102 | 31 | 0 | 11 | 41 | 63 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 292 | 368 | 476 | 844 | 183 | 325 | 16 | 10 | 369 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 185 | 172 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 221 | 268 | 320 | 588 | 99 | 243 | 15 | 6 | 263 | 59 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 114 | 104 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 308 | 368 | 606 | 974 | 298 | 300 | 14 | 9 | 421 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 21 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 333 | 429 | 389 | 817 | 56 | 400 | 14 | 14 | 376 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK | FCL Twins | — | 21 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 450 | 476 | 550 | 1.026 | 100 | 500 | 10 | 5 | 457 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 527 | 487 | 115 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 31 | 92 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 287 | 370 | 657 | 133 | 258 | 17 | 6 | 292 | 83 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 631 | 586 | 148 | 25 | 3 | 24 | 37 | 102 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 253 | 301 | 428 | 730 | 176 | 268 | 16 | 6 | 321 | 102 | +2 | -0 | -2 | +7 | +14 | 2.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1343 | 1245 | 301 | 46 | 5 | 43 | 79 | 221 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 242 | 291 | 390 | 682 | 149 | 260 | 16 | 6 | 302 | 90 | -16 | +0 | -4 | +16 | +29 | 2.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 114 | 101 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 257 | 342 | 386 | 728 | 129 | 308 | 20 | 11 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 17 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 294 | 412 | 706 | 118 | 281 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 168 | 157 | 33 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 257 | 357 | 614 | 146 | 242 | 20 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 399 | 362 | 97 | 30 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 75 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 268 | 327 | 417 | 745 | 149 | 311 | 19 | 8 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 185 | 174 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 218 | 257 | 316 | 573 | 98 | 243 | 15 | 5 | 255 | 59 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 114 | 107 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 271 | 316 | 495 | 811 | 224 | 287 | 17 | 6 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 21 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 333 | 316 | 649 | 53 | 331 | 19 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 21 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 333 | 350 | 683 | 50 | 376 | 14 | 5 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 527 | 487 | 115 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 31 | 92 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 287 | 370 | 657 | 133 | 258 | 17 | 6 | 292 | 83 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 631 | 587 | 148 | 25 | 3 | 24 | 36 | 102 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 252 | 300 | 428 | 727 | 175 | 268 | 16 | 6 | 319 | 102 | +2 | -0 | -2 | +7 | +14 | 2.0 |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 131 | 118 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 263 | 336 | 381 | 717 | 119 | 304 | 18 | 9 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 131 | 114 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 298 | 389 | 456 | 845 | 158 | 326 | 14 | 12 | 379 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 567 | 518 | 130 | 36 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 110 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 251 | 308 | 396 | 704 | 145 | 295 | 19 | 7 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 567 | 501 | 138 | 39 | 3 | 16 | 56 | 91 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 275 | 349 | 461 | 810 | 186 | 305 | 16 | 10 | 355 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | 4 teams | — | 341 | 320 | 79 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 53 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 247 | 289 | 384 | 673 | 138 | 269 | 16 | 6 | 291 | 83 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB RAW | 4 teams | — | 341 | 314 | 85 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 48 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 271 | 324 | 433 | 758 | 162 | 288 | 14 | 7 | 335 | 83 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 527 | 487 | 115 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 31 | 92 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 287 | 370 | 657 | 133 | 258 | 17 | 6 | 292 | 83 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB RAW | Minnesota Twins | — | 527 | 487 | 115 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 31 | 92 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 287 | 370 | 657 | 133 | 258 | 17 | 6 | 292 | 83 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 631 | 587 | 148 | 25 | 3 | 24 | 36 | 102 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 252 | 300 | 428 | 727 | 175 | 267 | 16 | 6 | 319 | 102 | +2 | -0 | -2 | +7 | +14 | 2.0 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB RAW | Minnesota Twins | — | 631 | 586 | 148 | 25 | 3 | 24 | 37 | 102 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 253 | 301 | 428 | 730 | 176 | 268 | 16 | 6 | 321 | 102 | +2 | -0 | -2 | +7 | +14 | 2.0 |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 131 | 117 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 265 | 336 | 385 | 720 | 120 | 304 | 18 | 9 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 567 | 519 | 130 | 36 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 110 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 250 | 308 | 395 | 703 | 145 | 291 | 19 | 7 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | 4 teams | — | 341 | 319 | 79 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 53 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 248 | 289 | 386 | 675 | 138 | 271 | 16 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 527 | 487 | 115 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 31 | 92 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 287 | 370 | 657 | 133 | 258 | 17 | 6 | 292 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 631 | 586 | 148 | 25 | 3 | 24 | 36 | 102 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 253 | 300 | 428 | 728 | 176 | 268 | 16 | 6 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | 4 teams | — | 341 | 319 | 79 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 53 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 248 | 289 | 386 | 675 | 138 | 271 | 16 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 527 | 487 | 115 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 31 | 92 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 287 | 370 | 657 | 133 | 258 | 17 | 6 | 292 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 631 | 586 | 148 | 25 | 3 | 24 | 36 | 102 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 253 | 300 | 428 | 728 | 176 | 268 | 16 | 6 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIN | 100% | 554 | 512 | 121 | 20 | 2 | 18 | 33 | 93 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 237 | 288 | 388 | 676 | 151 | 255 | 17 | 6 | 299 | 88 | -8 | +0 | -6 | +6 | +12 | 1.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIN | 100% | 585 | 541 | 129 | 21 | 3 | 19 | 35 | 98 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 237 | 288 | 389 | 677 | 152 | 256 | 17 | 6 | 299 | 88 | -8 | +1 | -6 | +6 | +13 | 0.6 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIN | 92% | 576 | 533 | 125 | 21 | 2 | 18 | 34 | 97 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 236 | 287 | 385 | 672 | 150 | 255 | 17 | 6 | 297 | 87 | -9 | +0 | -6 | +6 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIN | 92% | 564 | 521 | 121 | 20 | 2 | 17 | 34 | 97 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 234 | 285 | 380 | 665 | 147 | 254 | 17 | 6 | 295 | 86 | -10 | +0 | -7 | +6 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIN | 92% | 548 | 508 | 117 | 19 | 2 | 16 | 32 | 95 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 282 | 374 | 656 | 143 | 252 | 17 | 6 | 291 | 83 | -11 | +0 | -7 | +6 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIN | 92% | 533 | 494 | 112 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 31 | 95 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 228 | 278 | 366 | 643 | 138 | 250 | 18 | 6 | 286 | 79 | -13 | -0 | -8 | +6 | +12 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIN | 92% | 530 | 490 | 116 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 32 | 90 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 236 | 287 | 386 | 673 | 150 | 255 | 17 | 6 | 298 | 87 | -8 | +0 | -6 | +6 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIN | 92% | 519 | 480 | 113 | 19 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 89 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 234 | 285 | 381 | 666 | 147 | 254 | 17 | 6 | 295 | 86 | -9 | +0 | -6 | +6 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIN | 92% | 504 | 466 | 108 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 30 | 88 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 282 | 375 | 657 | 143 | 252 | 17 | 6 | 291 | 83 | -10 | +0 | -7 | +5 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIN | 92% | 490 | 455 | 104 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 29 | 87 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 228 | 278 | 366 | 644 | 138 | 250 | 18 | 6 | 286 | 79 | -12 | -0 | -7 | +5 | +11 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3386 | 3136 | 742 | 119 | 13 | 105 | 201 | 575 | 20 | 26 | 12 | 237 | 287 | 383 | 670 | 147 | 257 | 17 | 6 | 296 | 88 | -55 | +0 | -29 | +38 | +73 | 2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 602 | 142 | 23 | 2 | 20 | 39 | 110 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 236 | 287 | 380 | 668 | 145 | 256 | 17 | 6 | 296 | 88 | -11 | +0 | -6 | +7 | +14 | 0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5003 | 4627 | 1106 | 195 | 19 | 147 | 305 | 862 | 29 | 43 | 20 | 239 | 290 | 385 | 675 | 146 | 263 | 17 | 6 | 299 | 88 | -66 | +1 | -37 | +46 | +90 | 3.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 143 | 25 | 2 | 19 | 40 | 112 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 238 | 290 | 381 | 671 | 143 | 262 | 17 | 6 | 299 | 88 | -10 | +0 | -6 | +7 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAASt. Paul Saints · 114 PAwOBA .409 → .345 (−64)K% 14.0% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.04% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.77% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.32% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×1.046 | ×1.050 | 19.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.95% | ÷0.996 | ×0.830 | ×1.046 | ×1.050 | 7.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.043 | ×0.970 | ×1.046 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.039 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.43% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 109, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .409 → .345; ISO .298 → .223; BABIP .300 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 21 PAwOBA .367 → .288 (−79)K% 14.3% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.994 | ×1.360 | — | — | 19.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.976 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 10.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.096 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 27.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.019 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 5.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.962 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.962 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .367 → .288; ISO .056 → .044; BABIP .400 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Twins · 21 PAwOBA .445 → .318 (−126)K% 9.5% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.52% | ÷0.974 | ×1.440 | — | — | 14.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷1.046 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 2.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.89% | ÷1.036 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 29.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.971 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 7.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.890 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 107, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 95, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .445 → .318; ISO .100 → .069; BABIP .500 → .376. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAWichita Wind Surge · 399 PAwOBA .363 → .325 (−38)K% 15.8% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.03% | ÷0.962 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 7.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.98% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | ×1.042 | 20.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.84% | ÷0.931 | ×0.840 | ×1.026 | ×1.042 | 10.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.026 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.231 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 2.60% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 102, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .363 → .325; ISO .183 → .153; BABIP .325 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASt. Paul Saints · 168 PAwOBA .315 → .264 (−51)K% 16.7% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.973 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.93% | ÷1.067 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.13% | ÷0.964 | ×0.930 | ×1.026 | ×1.050 | 16.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.341 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | ×1.050 | 4.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.42% | ÷0.977 | ×0.970 | ×1.026 | ×1.050 | 2.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.03% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.94% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 93, 2B 168, 3B 95, K 95, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .315 → .264; ISO .191 → .148; BABIP .258 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 114 PAwOBA .372 → .328 (−44)K% 15.8% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.993 | ×1.270 | — | — | 20.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.04% | ÷0.983 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 10.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.32% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 24.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.06% | ÷0.912 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 4.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.06% | ÷0.948 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 4.39% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 104, 2B 82, 3B 102, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .372 → .328; ISO .165 → .145; BABIP .320 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Twins · 17 PAwOBA .354 → .280 (−73)K% 0.0% → 0.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×1.440 | — | — | 0.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.997 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 19.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.925 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 9.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.972 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.282 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 99, 2B 85, 3B 94, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .354 → .280; ISO .118 → .090; BABIP .353 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).