Owen Caissie

RF Miami Marlins
Age 25 L/R 6'4" / 190 lbs MLB HR -10%H -3% Svc 1.198 · Ctrl thru 2031
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422AAACHC549.278/.377/.472191191—.234/.313/.377
202523AAACHC433.286/.387/.551225103—.241/.320/.420
202523MLBCHC27.192/.222/.3461057-0.5
202624MLBMIA330.220/.295/.4121451020.5
2027PROJ25MLBMIA272.213/.290/.386105970.3
2028PROJ82% MLB26MLBMIA258.215/.292/.394104990.4
2029PROJ82% MLB27MLBMIA265.213/.291/.391104980.4
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.0  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2031Service1.198First FA2032
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$2M2030Arb-2$2M2031Arb-3$2M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026
Barrel%90
Bat Spd85
Avg EV75
Speed71
xwOBA40
CompsJack Suwinski (age 25) · MJ Melendez (age 25) · Andrew Lambo (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†97
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .290 / .386
PA272
HR10
SB5
K%32
BB%9
BABIP282
ISO173
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: +1.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -2.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +5.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.50.40.40.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$5M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2025-2026
CONTACT
xAVG
100.209
POWER
Barrel%
9014.1
Avg EV
7590.8
Bat Spd
8575.0
SPEED
Sprint
7128.3
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   1.198 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.5$2M+$1M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.4$1M+$0.8M
2029Arb-1$2M+0.4$1M+$0.2M
2030Arb-2$2M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-3$2M———
Totals $3M $5M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202119 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 9073 17401 16280 00 233371329700 96356 3118 325 56 — — — — — —
202119 ROKACL Cubs — 136109 38716 26391 12 3494785961.074 248500 2919 468 96 — — — — — —
202220 A+South Bend Cubs — 433378 9621111 501245 116 254349402751 148350 2912 340 70 — — — — — —
202220 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 6359 13501 4240 30 220270356626 136353 386 280 76 — — — — — —
202321 AATennessee Smokies — 528439 12731222 761647 79 289402519922 230407 3114 402 112 — — — — — —
202422 AAAIowa Cubs — 549472 13129319 711564 112 278377472849 195375 2813 376 91 — — — — — —
202523 MLBChicago Cubs — 2726 5101 1110 00 192222346568 154286 414 251 57 -1 +0 +1 -5 +1 -0.5
202523 AAAIowa Cubs — 433370 10628222 571214 54 286387551939 265367 2813 408 103 — — — — — —
202624 MLBMiami Marlins — 330291 6414014 271234 51 220295412707 192309 378 307 102 +1 +1 -0 -4 +7 0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 357317 6915015 281344 51 218289407696 189307 388 303 91 -4 +1 +1 -8 +8 -0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202119 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 9077 14301 12400 00 182292260552 78337 4413 251 56 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 136120 28514 15571 12 233324392715 158393 4211 310 96 — — — — — —
202220 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 433390 821619 381575 116 210289326614 115325 369 272 70 — — — — — —
202321 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 528464 11929217 511997 79 256339438777 181390 3810 334 112 — — — — — —
202422 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 549491 11525313 521884 112 234313377689 143346 349 303 91 — — — — — —
202523 MLB MLEChicago Cubs — 2726 5101 1110 00 192222346568 154286 414 252 57 -1 +0 +1 -5 +1 -0.5
202523 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 433386 9323214 411474 54 241320420740 179343 349 320 103 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 330291 6715015 271234 51 230304436741 206309 378 319 102 +1 +1 -0 -4 +7 0.5
202119 ROK MLE2 teams — 226197 42815 27961 12 213311340651 127381 4212 287 80 — — — — — —
202119 ROK RAW2 teams — 226182 551117 42671 12 302436489925 187440 3019 411 80 — — — — — —
202220 A+ MLE2 teams — 496448 9419110 431805 146 210286324610 114326 369 272 70 — — — — — —
202220 A+ RAW2 teams — 496437 10926112 541485 146 249339396735 146350 3011 332 70 — — — — — —
202321 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 528464 11929217 511997 79 256339438777 181403 3810 334 112 — — — — — —
202321 AA RAWTennessee Smokies — 528439 12731222 761647 79 289402519922 230407 3114 402 112 — — — — — —
202422 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 549491 11525313 521884 112 234313377689 143349 349 303 91 — — — — — —
202422 AAA RAWIowa Cubs — 549472 13129319 711564 112 278377472849 195375 2813 376 91 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLE2 teams — 460412 9824215 421584 54 238314415729 177344 349 316 100 — — — — — —
202523 AAA RAW2 teams — 460396 11129223 581324 54 280378538916 258362 2913 399 100 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 330291 6715015 271234 51 230304436741 206323 378 319 102 +1 +1 -0 -4 +7 0.5
202624 MLB RAWMiami Marlins — 330291 6414014 271234 51 220295412707 192309 378 307 102 +1 +1 -0 -4 +7 0.5
202119 ROK MLE2 teams — 226196 42815 27961 12 214311342653 128371 4212 287 80 — — — — — —
202220 A+ MLE2 teams — 496445 9419110 431805 146 211286326612 115325 369 272 70 — — — — — —
202321 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 528465 11929217 511997 79 256339437776 181390 3810 334 112 — — — — — —
202422 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 549488 11525313 521884 112 236313379692 143346 349 303 91 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLE2 teams — 460411 9824215 421584 54 238314416730 178340 349 316 100 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 330296 6715015 271234 51 226304429733 203309 378 319 102 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 549488 11525313 521884 112 236313379692 143346 349 303 91 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLE2 teams — 460411 9824215 421584 54 238314416730 178340 349 316 100 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 330296 6715015 271234 51 226304429733 203309 378 319 102 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEMIA 100% 380340 7515115 331234 61 221298404702 183293 329 311 97 -2 +1 +1 -4 +8 0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXMIA 100% 272243 5210110 24883 51 213290386676 173282 329 301 97 -1 +1 +1 -3 +6 0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEMIA 82% 315282 6313113 271023 51 223299414713 191293 329 315 99 -0 +1 +1 -3 +7 0.5
202927 MLB MLEMIA 82% 323289 6413113 281053 51 222298411709 189292 339 313 98 -1 +1 +1 -3 +7 0.4
203028 MLB MLEMIA 82% 324290 6413113 281063 41 219296405701 186291 339 310 96 -1 +0 +0 -3 +7 0.3
203129 MLB MLEMIA 82% 314281 6212113 271043 31 217293398691 182289 339 306 93 -2 +0 -1 -3 +7 0.1
203230 MLB MLEMIA 82% 305273 5912112 261023 21 213289390678 177286 339 301 90 -4 +0 -1 -3 +7 -0.2
202826 MLB CTXMIA 82% 258231 499110 22833 41 215292394686 180282 329 305 99 -0 +0 +1 -3 +6 0.4
202927 MLB CTXMIA 82% 265237 5110110 23863 41 213291391682 178282 329 303 98 -1 +0 +1 -3 +6 0.4
203028 MLB CTXMIA 82% 266238 5110110 23873 31 211289386675 175280 339 300 96 -1 +0 +0 -3 +6 0.2
203129 MLB CTXMIA 82% 257230 489010 22853 21 209286380665 171278 339 296 93 -2 +0 -0 -3 +6 0.0
203230 MLB CTXMIA 82% 250225 46909 21832 10 205282372653 166275 338 291 90 -3 +0 -1 -3 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 16531478 31462364 13955818 195 212288388676 176288 348 300 94 -11 +2 +1 -22 +36 0.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650581 12324125 552197 72 212288386673 174287 348 300 94 -4 +1 +0 -9 +14 0.2
Career— MLE — 44423961 90119415150 402155143 6730 227305398703 170328 359 308 94 -13 +3 +2 -28 +48 1.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 13128222 592276 104 226304395699 169325 359 308 94 -4 +1 +1 -8 +14 0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAAIowa Cubs · 433 PAwOBA .399 → .320 (−78)K% 27.9% → 33.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.94%÷0.989×1.200——33.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.16%÷1.005×0.690—×1.0509.49%
HBP% /PA0.92%—×0.940—×1.0500.91%
Singles /BIP21.69%÷0.949×0.930×0.998×1.05022.26%
Doubles /BIP11.24%÷1.033×0.830×0.998×1.0509.47%
Triples /BIP0.80%÷0.939×0.970×0.998×1.0500.87%
Home runs /BIP8.84%÷1.125×0.700—×1.0505.77%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 90, 2B 107, 3B 88, K 98, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .399 → .320; ISO .265 → .186; BABIP .367 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAIowa Cubs · 549 PAwOBA .366 → .303 (−63)K% 28.4% → 34.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.42%÷0.998×1.200——34.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.39%÷0.949×0.690—×1.0509.46%
HBP% /PA0.73%—×0.940—×1.0500.72%
Singles /BIP25.32%÷0.994×0.930×0.979×1.05024.36%
Doubles /BIP9.18%÷0.962×0.830×0.979×1.0508.14%
Triples /BIP0.95%÷1.000×0.970×0.979×1.0500.95%
Home runs /BIP6.01%÷1.079×0.700—×1.0504.09%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 99, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .366 → .303; ISO .195 → .144; BABIP .375 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AATennessee Smokies · 528 PAwOBA .395 → .334 (−61)K% 31.1% → 37.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.06%÷1.008×1.220——37.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.39%÷1.059×0.680—×1.0509.70%
HBP% /PA1.33%—×0.840—×1.0501.17%
Singles /BIP26.18%÷0.975×0.920×1.005×1.05026.05%
Doubles /BIP11.27%÷1.023×0.910×1.005×1.05010.58%
Triples /BIP0.73%÷0.966×0.880×1.005×1.0500.70%
Home runs /BIP8.00%÷1.082×0.800—×1.0506.21%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 95, 2B 105, 3B 93, K 102, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .395 → .334; ISO .230 → .190; BABIP .407 → .390. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+South Bend Cubs · 433 PAwOBA .331 → .272 (−59)K% 28.6% → 36.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.64%÷1.003×1.270——36.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.55%÷0.986×0.710—×1.0428.67%
HBP% /PA1.15%—×0.790—×1.0420.95%
Singles /BIP24.80%÷1.010×0.920×1.018×1.04223.96%
Doubles /BIP8.27%÷1.020×0.810×1.018×1.0426.97%
Triples /BIP0.39%÷1.097×0.850×1.018×1.0420.32%
Home runs /BIP4.33%÷0.938×0.800—×1.0423.85%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 119, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .331 → .272; ISO .148 → .119; BABIP .350 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Cubs · 136 PAwOBA .457 → .310 (−146)K% 28.7% → 41.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.68%÷0.992×1.440——41.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.12%÷1.071×0.620—×1.00811.15%
HBP% /PA0.74%—×0.720—×1.0080.53%
Singles /BIP34.29%÷1.002×0.820×0.990×1.00828.01%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷0.947×0.720×0.990×1.0087.59%
Triples /BIP1.43%÷0.947×0.720×0.990×1.0081.08%
Home runs /BIP8.57%÷1.014×0.780—×1.0086.64%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 100, 2B 89, 3B 89, K 98, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .457 → .310; ISO .248 → .173; BABIP .500 → .393. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 90 PAwOBA .321 → .251 (−70)K% 31.1% → 44.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.11%÷0.961×1.360——44.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.78%÷0.963×0.690—×1.04513.32%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0450.00%
Singles /BIP26.67%÷1.002×0.920—×1.04525.59%
Doubles /BIP8.89%÷0.923×0.830—×1.0458.35%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.977×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP2.22%÷0.977×0.800—×1.0451.90%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 95, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .321 → .251; ISO .096 → .074; BABIP .356 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .