Owen Caissie — OGILVIE

Owen CaissieRF Miami Marlins

Age 24 L/R 6'4" / 190 lbs MLB HR -4%BB +3% Svc 0.198 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 1.3 · 2028

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .298 / .398

PA250

HR9

K%35

BB%9

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

31↗39

PWR

60↗64

SPD

45↘43

FLD

44↗47

EYE

52↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.2peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.198 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$11M	+$10M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$11M	+$9M
2030	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$10M	+$6M
2031	Arb-3	$6M	+0.9	$4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$13M		$41M	+$27M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	2 teams	226	200	43	9	1	5	24	97	1	1	2	.215	.302	.345	.647	.130	.384	43	11	.282	74	-7	-1	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
2022	20	A+	2 teams	496	450	91	18	1	10	41	180	5	14	6	.202	.276	.313	.590	.111	.312	36	8	.263	59	-23	+0	+0	-5	+14	-1.4
2023	21	AA	Tennessee Smokies	528	466	111	26	2	18	49	211	7	7	9	.238	.320	.418	.738	.180	.384	40	9	.320	103	+2	-2	+0	-6	+15	0.9
2024	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	549	494	112	24	3	14	49	188	4	11	2	.227	.302	.372	.674	.146	.333	34	9	.299	87	-8	+1	+0	-6	+16	0.3
2025	23	AAA	2 teams	460	414	97	23	2	17	40	158	4	5	4	.234	.308	.423	.731	.188	.332	34	9	.315	99	-0	-1	+1	-5	+13	0.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	78	71	16	5	0	2	4	34	1	1	0	.225	.276	.380	.657	.155	.378	44	5	.282	74	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.1
ROS	24	MLB	MIA	172	154	35	8	1	6	14	63	2	2	0	.227	.300	.409	.709	.182	.329	37	8	.307	93	-1	+0	-0	-2	+5	0.2
TOT	24	MLB	MIA	250	225	51	13	1	8	18	97	3	3	0	.227	.293	.400	.693	.173	.350	39	7	.299	87	-4	+1	-0	-3	+7	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB	MIA	420	377	87	19	2	16	36	121	4	6	1	.231	.305	.419	.724	.188	.292	29	9	.319	102	+1	+1	-0	-4	+12	0.9
2028	26	MLB	MIA	441	396	93	20	2	18	38	125	4	6	1	.235	.308	.432	.740	.197	.293	28	9	.326	107	+4	+1	-0	-5	+12	1.2
2029	27	MLB	MIA	442	396	94	20	2	18	39	124	4	6	1	.237	.312	.434	.746	.197	.294	28	9	.326	107	+4	+1	-0	-5	+13	1.2
2030	28	MLB	MIA	439	393	92	20	2	17	39	124	4	5	1	.234	.310	.425	.735	.191	.293	28	9	.324	106	+3	+1	-1	-5	+12	1.1
2031	29	MLB	MIA	429	384	90	19	2	17	38	122	4	4	0	.234	.310	.427	.737	.193	.292	28	9	.322	105	+2	+1	-2	-5	+12	0.9
2032	30	MLB	MIA	420	375	85	18	1	16	38	121	4	3	0	.227	.305	.408	.713	.181	.291	29	9	.319	102	+1	+1	-2	-4	+12	0.7
2033	31	MLB	MIA	405	362	81	17	1	15	36	118	4	1	0	.224	.301	.401	.702	.177	.289	29	9	.315	100	-0	+0	-3	-4	+11	0.4
2034	32	MLB	MIA	386	345	77	16	1	14	34	115	4	0	0	.223	.300	.397	.697	.174	.288	30	9	.311	96	-2	+0	-4	-4	+11	0.1
2035	33	MLB	MIA	356	318	70	15	1	12	32	108	3	0	0	.220	.297	.387	.684	.167	.286	30	9	.305	91	-3	+0	-5	-4	+10	-0.2
2036	34	MLB	MIA	312	278	59	12	1	10	28	97	3	0	0	.212	.291	.371	.662	.158	.284	31	9	.298	86	-5	+0	-5	-3	+9	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6481	5802	1317	284	25	223	575	2072	61	71	27	.227	.303	.400	.703	.173	.309	32	9	.310	96	-33	+3	-22	-69	+184	6.4
/ 162G	—			650	582	132	28	3	22	58	208	6	7	3	.227	.303	.399	.702	.172	.310	32	9	.310	96	-3	+0	-2	-7	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	90	73	17	4	0	1	16	28	0	0	0	.233	.371	.329	.700	.096	.356	31	18	.325	107	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2021	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	136	109	38	7	1	6	26	39	1	1	2	.349	.478	.596	1.074	.248	.500	29	19	.468	216	+18	-1	—	—	+4	2.2
2022	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	433	378	96	21	1	11	50	124	5	11	6	.254	.349	.402	.751	.148	.350	29	12	.340	118	+9	-0	—	—	+12	2.1
2022	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	63	59	13	5	0	1	4	24	0	3	0	.220	.270	.356	.626	.136	.353	38	6	.280	72	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.0
2023	21	AA	Tennessee Smokies	528	439	127	31	2	22	76	164	7	7	9	.289	.402	.519	.922	.230	.407	31	14	.402	166	+39	-2	—	—	+15	5.3
2024	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	549	472	131	29	3	19	71	156	4	11	2	.278	.377	.472	.849	.195	.375	28	13	.376	146	+29	+1	—	—	+16	4.6
2025	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	27	26	5	1	0	1	1	11	0	0	0	.192	.222	.346	.568	.154	.286	41	4	.251	50	-2	+0	+1	-5	+1	-0.5
2025	23	AAA	Iowa Cubs	433	370	106	28	2	22	57	121	4	5	4	.286	.387	.551	.939	.265	.367	28	13	.408	170	+34	-1	—	—	+12	4.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			27	26	5	1	0	1	1	11	0	0	0	.192	.222	.346	.568	.154	.286	41	4	.251	50	-2	+0	+1	-5	+1	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Owen Caissie (OGILVIE)	24	31→39	60→64	45→43	55	.221/.293/.394	.172	.289	9	3	30%	8%	93	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jack Suwinski 2023 · MLB	25	40→41	57→60	45→50	45	.214/.295/.410	.196	.290	26	9	35%	10%	98	+1.6	.210/.300/.403	.193	.281	26	13	33%	11%	98	+1.6	.198/.296/.384	.186	.261	25	15	33%	11%	87	+0.7
✕Jarred Kelenic 2023 · MLB	24	40→50	54→60	48→50	45	.216/.280/.401	.185	.264	22	13	28%	8%	89	+0.9	.227/.289/.388	.161	.307	18	13	30%	8%	89	+0.9	.220/.280/.357	.137	.308	15	13	32%	8%	72	-0.1
●JJ Bleday 2023 · MLB	25	34→44	50→55	46→45	50	.186/.278/.340	.154	.241	18	6	30%	11%	73	-0.1	.220/.308/.399	.179	.265	20	6	24%	11%	100	+1.7	.233/.319/.423	.190	.271	22	4	22%	11%	107	+1.9
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2023 · AAA	24	42→46	56→60	47→45	43	.226/.282/.413	.187	.275	24	7	28%	7%	93	+1.3	.223/.288/.397	.174	.270	22	9	26%	8%	91	+1.1	.210/.282/.374	.165	.246	21	8	24%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Greg Bird 2017 · MLB	24	45→46	52→55	45→30	47	.233/.303/.403	.170	.290	19	3	26%	8%	98	+1.6	.220/.303/.401	.181	.262	21	3	24%	10%	98	+1.6	.194/.282/.377	.183	.230	23	0	27%	10%	80	+0.2
✕MJ Melendez 2023 · MLB	24	40→47	59→60	41→50	53	.221/.306/.429	.207	.257	27	5	26%	11%	107	+2.2	.215/.291/.391	.176	.272	20	8	28%	9%	91	+1.1	.206/.275/.376	.170	.266	19	10	29%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Christin Stewart 2019 · MLB	25	41→45	54→55	48→45	47	.217/.293/.392	.175	.274	22	3	29%	9%	92	+1.2	.223/.293/.389	.166	.281	20	3	27%	8%	91	+1.1	.207/.287/.379	.172	.273	22	5	32%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Jerry Sands 2013 · MLB	25	43→46	54→60	47→45	46	.227/.292/.406	.179	.277	23	6	27%	8%	95	+1.4	.214/.281/.357	.143	.281	17	3	29%	8%	77	+0.1	.236/.302/.383	.147	.286	16	2	23%	8%	90	+0.6
●Christopher Morel 2023 · MLB	24	41→46	54→60	49→50	41	.216/.279/.394	.178	.298	22	15	34%	7%	86	+0.8	.225/.298/.429	.204	.290	27	11	31%	9%	104	+2.0	.219/.298/.421	.202	.276	27	10	30%	9%	99	+1.4
●Pedro Álvarez 2012 · MLB	25	45→47	52→65	43→45	45	.230/.297/.402	.171	.309	20	3	31%	8%	95	+1.4	.237/.307/.445	.208	.301	28	4	30%	9%	111	+2.5	.238/.311/.466	.228	.287	33	4	29%	9%	112	+2.3
●Jo Adell 2023 · MLB	24	40→44	54→65	47→50	35	.212/.262/.389	.176	.300	22	9	36%	5%	78	+0.2	.217/.279/.423	.206	.277	28	12	32%	7%	95	+1.4	.218/.285/.446	.228	.252	34	12	29%	7%	101	+1.4
✕Taylor Trammell 2023 · MLB	25	42→46	53→55	49→55	46	.219/.294/.391	.172	.289	20	15	31%	9%	92	+1.2	.213/.302/.390	.177	.289	22	19	32%	10%	95	+1.4	.200/.298/.378	.178	.267	22	20	32%	11%	90	+0.6
✕Andrew Lambo 2014 · MLB	25	43→50	55→60	46→45	40	.229/.280/.414	.185	.294	24	6	31%	6%	92	+1.2	.238/.284/.417	.179	.297	21	6	27%	6%	95	+1.4	.240/.285/.394	.154	.289	16	4	22%	5%	86	+0.3
✕Jesús Sánchez 2022 · MLB	24	47→53	56→60	45→50	43	.245/.302/.435	.190	.306	25	5	28%	7%	106	+2.2	.246/.311/.434	.188	.309	23	7	27%	8%	110	+2.4	.243/.311/.415	.172	.306	20	10	26%	8%	100	+1.4
●Spencer Torkelson 2023 · MLB	23	41→44	52→60	42→40	50	.214/.298/.382	.168	.263	20	4	27%	10%	92	+1.2	.223/.304/.410	.187	.275	23	3	27%	10%	102	+1.8	.224/.310/.421	.197	.273	25	2	27%	10%	103	+2.1
✕Nick Pratto 2023 · MLB	24	37→43	59→55	50	46	.204/.297/.414	.211	.281	27	9	36%	10%	99	+1.7	.197/.272/.341	.144	.297	17	9	37%	8%	70	-0.3	.183/.252/.298	.116	.279	13	9	37%	8%	48	-1.4
●Triston Casas 2023 · MLB	23	45→50	54→60	48→40	53	.235/.318/.415	.180	.281	22	6	25%	10%	108	+2.3	.245/.337/.451	.206	.302	27	3	27%	12%	125	+3.5	.244/.344/.461	.217	.298	29	0	27%	13%	121	+1.6
✕AJ Reed 2017 · MLB	24	46→54	55→60	47→30	46	.239/.307/.423	.183	.306	23	2	29%	9%	105	+2.1	.211/.280/.391	.180	.280	24	2	33%	8%	86	+0.8	.190/.261/.367	.177	.249	25	0	34%	8%	71	-0.2
●Matt Joyce 2010 · MLB	25	44→54	54→60	45→50	47	.228/.297/.413	.185	.282	21	8	27%	8%	98	+1.6	.249/.334/.442	.193	.299	20	10	23%	11%	121	+3.2	.258/.351/.454	.197	.305	21	9	21%	12%	122	+2.5
●Scott Moore 2008 · MLB	24	44→51	52→55	45→50	41	.224/.288/.393	.169	.305	20	10	33%	7%	90	+1.0	.219/.279/.370	.151	.276	17	7	27%	6%	80	+0.4	.237/.304/.380	.142	.292	16	5	23%	7%	90	+0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)