Austin Newton
P
Fresno Grizzlies
Age 22
RHP
6'6" / 252 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION81 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%22.6%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.3%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 101 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 17 | 17 | 81 | 371 | 66 | 35 | 12 | 100% | 4.8 | 13.2% | 11.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.78 | 5.71 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | COL | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.6% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.6% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.42 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | COL | — | — | 101 | 455 | 85 | 43 | 15 | — | — | 18.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 5.51 | 5.45 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | COL | 4 | 4 | 21 | 88 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | COL | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.89 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 78 | 20 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 17 | 17 | 81 | 371 | 49 | 41 | 16 | 100% | 4.8 | 13.2% | 11.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.78 | 5.71 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 42 | 200 | 916 | 121 | 102 | 39 | 100% | 4.8 | 13.2% | 11.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.78 | 5.71 | -0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Austin Newton (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 22.6% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.27 | 23.4% | 14.5% | 21 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.67 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .341 | 3.99 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.32 | 3.44 | 259 | 87 |
| Ricky DeVito R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.36 | 22.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.57 | 21.5% | 2.4% | 151 | +0.21 | 4.05 | 215 | 85 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .241 | 5.26 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 176 | +1.61 | 3.65 | 211 | 83 |
| Glenn Sparkman R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.90 | 20.0% | 11.6% | 1.8% | .296 | 3.61 | 15.9% | 10.9% | 207 | -0.29 | 3.48 | 363 | 83 |
| Chad Patrick R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 82 |
| Curtis Taylor R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.10 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.42 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 96 | -0.68 | 2.58 | 408 | 82 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.06 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .268 | 5.93 | 17.4% | 2.1% | 47 | +1.87 | 4.06 | 101 | 81 |
| Chance Kirby R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.26 | 17.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | .298 | 5.86 | 14.2% | 6.7% | 166 | +1.60 | 4.26 | 325 | 81 |
| Gus Varland R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.13 | 19.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .294 | 5.81 | 18.1% | 5.7% | 105 | +1.68 | 2.54 | 304 | 81 |
| Gabriel Hughes R 2025 · 5.02 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.02 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 4.6% | .302 | 3.95 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 143 | -1.07 | 2.58 | 210 | 80 |
| Chih-Jung Liu R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .331 | 6.04 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 233 | +1.32 | 4.72 | 283 | 79 |
| Drew Anderson R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.54 | 21.1% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .295 | 4.74 | 16.3% | 7.6% | 273 | +1.20 | 3.11 | 506 | 79 |
| Slade Cecconi R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.09 | 19.6% | 9.3% | 2.7% | .300 | 4.52 | 19.8% | 13.6% | 397 | +0.43 | 4.09 | 700 | 79 |
| Bryce Jarvis R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.78 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 3.8% | .276 | 5.00 | 18.0% | 6.0% | 296 | +0.22 | 4.22 | 513 | 79 |
| Nick Kingham R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.96 | 20.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | .330 | 3.99 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 276 | +0.03 | 2.31 | 363 | 79 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 78 |
| TJ Shook R 2027 · 4.82 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.82 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.12 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 296 | +0.30 | 3.36 | 432 | 78 |
| Kyle Funkhouser R 2027 · 3.45 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.45 | 24.5% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .329 | 4.35 | 19.0% | 5.9% | 193 | +0.90 | 3.45 | 387 | 78 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 78 |
| Tanner Burns R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.07 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .292 | 5.42 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.35 | 4.07 | 378 | 78 |