Jose Castro — OGILVIE

Jose CastroCF FCL Yankees

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 176 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION147 act + 98 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .296 / .314

PA98

HR2

SB7

K%31

BB%9

BABIP278

ISO116

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE65

scouting grade only

SPEED77

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$10M	+$10M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$9M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$8M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$7M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.4	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$17M		$44M	+$37M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	146	124	17	3	0	1	8	74	13	18	3	137	262	185	448	48	320	51	5	194	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	146	117	26	5	0	2	15	49	13	18	3	222	372	316	689	94	358	34	10	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	138	114	21	3	0	4	14	42	6	20	4	184	306	316	622	132	236	30	10	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	138	107	26	4	0	6	21	29	6	20	4	243	396	449	844	206	263	21	15	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	NYY	—	147	119	25	1	1	5	18	52	9	27	8	210	356	361	718	151	317	35	12	316	100	+0	+2	+0	+1	+4	0.7
YTD	20	ROK	NYY	—	147	108	32	2	1	7	29	36	9	27	8	296	479	528	1.007	231	379	24	20	446	199	+16	+2	+0	+1	+4	2.4
ROS	20	ROK	NYY	0%	98	86	17	2	1	2	9	30	3	7	2	198	296	314	610	116	282	31	9	292	81	-2	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.2
ROS	20	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	271	66	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	NYY	—	147	120	25	1	1	5	18	52	9	27	8	208	356	358	714	150	312	35	12	316	100	+0	+2	+0	+1	+4	0.7
TOT	20	ROK	NYY	—	245	205	42	3	2	7	27	82	12	34	10	205	332	341	673	137	299	33	11	306	93	-2	+3	+0	+1	+7	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	NYY	34%	261	227	48	7	1	7	25	77	7	11	3	211	309	344	652	132	283	30	10	300	88	-4	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.6
2028	22	MLB	NYY	48%	371	324	70	10	2	11	35	107	9	14	3	216	310	361	671	145	285	29	9	306	93	-3	+2	+0	+1	+11	1.1
2029	23	MLB	NYY	54%	443	387	86	13	2	14	42	126	11	16	4	222	316	375	691	152	287	28	9	311	96	-2	+2	+0	+2	+13	1.4
2030	24	MLB	NYY	55%	490	428	96	14	3	16	47	138	12	18	4	224	318	383	701	159	288	28	10	314	99	-1	+2	+0	+2	+14	1.7
2031	25	MLB	NYY	56%	515	449	101	15	3	17	49	144	12	18	4	225	318	385	703	160	288	28	10	316	100	-0	+2	+0	+2	+15	1.9
2032	26	MLB	NYY	56%	529	460	105	16	3	18	51	148	13	18	4	228	323	393	716	165	288	28	10	317	101	+0	+2	+0	+2	+15	2.0
2033	27	MLB	NYY	55%	533	463	105	16	3	18	52	150	13	18	4	227	322	391	713	164	288	28	10	317	101	+1	+2	+0	+2	+15	2.0
2034	28	MLB	NYY	55%	531	461	104	15	3	18	52	150	13	18	4	226	321	388	710	163	287	28	10	316	100	+0	+2	-1	+2	+15	1.9
2035	29	MLB	NYY	53%	522	452	100	15	2	17	52	148	13	17	4	221	319	376	695	155	287	28	10	314	99	-1	+2	-1	+2	+15	1.7
2036	30	MLB	NYY	53%	513	445	99	15	2	17	51	147	12	16	4	222	319	380	699	157	286	29	10	312	97	-2	+2	-2	+2	+15	1.4
2037	31	MLB	NYY	52%	499	435	95	14	2	16	49	145	12	15	4	218	315	370	685	152	283	29	10	308	94	-3	+1	-3	+2	+14	1.1
2038	32	MLB	NYY	52%	481	420	90	13	2	15	47	141	11	14	3	214	310	362	672	148	280	29	10	303	90	-5	+2	-4	+2	+14	0.8
2039	33	MLB	NYY	56%	452	395	82	11	2	13	44	135	10	12	3	208	303	344	647	137	277	30	10	297	85	-8	+1	-4	+2	+13	0.4
2040	34	MLB	NYY	51%	406	354	71	9	2	11	40	124	9	10	2	201	298	331	628	130	271	31	10	289	79	-10	+1	-5	+1	+12	-0.0
2041	35	MLB	NYY	47%	352	307	60	8	1	9	34	110	8	9	2	195	292	316	608	121	266	31	10	280	72	-11	+1	-6	+1	+10	-0.4
2027	21	MLB	NYY	34%	90	79	16	2	0	3	9	27	2	4	1	203	300	342	642	139	285	30	10	283	75	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.1
2028	22	MLB	NYY	48%	180	157	35	5	1	6	17	52	4	7	2	223	315	382	697	159	287	29	9	291	81	-4	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.3
2029	23	MLB	NYY	54%	240	209	47	7	1	8	23	68	6	9	2	225	319	383	702	158	288	28	10	296	85	-4	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.5
2030	24	MLB	NYY	55%	272	237	53	8	1	9	26	76	7	10	2	224	319	380	698	156	289	28	10	300	87	-4	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.6
2031	25	MLB	NYY	56%	288	251	57	9	1	10	28	81	7	10	2	227	322	390	712	163	289	28	10	301	89	-4	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.7
2032	26	MLB	NYY	56%	298	260	59	9	2	10	29	84	7	10	2	227	321	392	713	165	289	28	10	302	90	-3	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.7
2033	27	MLB	NYY	55%	295	257	58	9	1	10	29	83	7	10	2	226	321	385	706	160	289	28	10	303	90	-3	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.7
2034	28	MLB	NYY	55%	291	253	57	9	1	10	29	82	7	10	2	225	322	387	709	162	289	28	10	302	89	-4	+1	-0	+1	+8	0.7
2035	29	MLB	NYY	53%	279	242	54	8	1	10	28	79	7	9	2	223	321	388	710	165	288	28	10	300	88	-4	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.5
2036	30	MLB	NYY	53%	270	235	52	8	1	9	27	77	6	8	2	221	317	379	696	157	287	29	10	298	86	-4	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.4
2037	31	MLB	NYY	52%	260	226	49	7	1	8	26	75	6	8	2	217	314	363	677	146	285	29	10	294	83	-5	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.3
2038	32	MLB	NYY	52%	249	216	47	7	1	8	25	73	6	7	2	218	316	370	686	153	282	29	10	289	79	-6	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.1
2039	33	MLB	NYY	56%	253	220	47	7	1	8	25	76	6	7	2	214	311	364	674	150	278	30	10	283	74	-7	+1	-2	+1	+7	-0.1
2040	34	MLB	NYY	51%	209	182	37	5	1	6	20	64	5	5	1	203	300	341	640	137	273	31	10	275	68	-7	+1	-3	+1	+6	-0.3
2041	35	MLB	NYY	47%	165	144	29	4	1	4	16	52	4	4	1	201	299	326	625	125	267	32	10	266	62	-7	+0	-3	+1	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3639	3169	697	104	15	119	357	1049	87	118	27	220	316	375	691	155	287	29	10	294	83	-69	+13	-13	+13	+103	4.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	125	19	3	21	64	187	16	21	5	221	318	376	694	155	288	29	10	294	83	-12	+2	-2	+2	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	7280	6331	1367	199	34	224	701	2136	187	269	61	216	312	364	677	148	285	29	10	305	91	-71	+29	-25	+26	+206	16.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	122	18	3	20	63	191	17	24	5	216	314	365	678	149	285	29	10	305	91	-6	+3	-2	+2	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	146	117	26	5	0	2	15	49	13	18	3	222	372	316	689	94	358	34	10	327	109	+1	+2	—	—	+4	0.8
2025	19	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	138	107	26	4	0	6	21	29	6	20	4	243	396	449	844	206	263	21	15	371	142	+7	+2	—	—	+4	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jackie Bradley Jr.last yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,192 PA	11	4,192	109	69	225	303	381	+6	+78	17.2	18.6
	/162	664	17	11	225	303	381	+1.0	+12.3	2.7	pk7: 20
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,789	118	123	219	310	369	+5	+22	10.0	8.5
	/162	664	21	22	219	310	369	+0.8	+3.9	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#6Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Castro (OGILVIE)	20	29→34	50→55	72→77	65	205/332/341	137	299	7	34	33%	11%	93	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	57	-1.2	191/237/342	151	271	18	8	36%	5%	55	-1.4	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→48	47→55	59→55	38	216/258/360	144	272	14	15	26%	4%	68	-0.5	239/275/399	160	304	18	22	27%	4%	85	+0.7	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	49	41→45	60→65	51	234/321/343	109	284	7	29	19%	8%	91	+1.1	235/310/360	125	296	12	18	23%	8%	91	+1.1	230/307/354	124	286	8	13	21%	9%	82	+0.1
✕Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	47→52	48→55	58→50	45	232/302/389	157	310	14	16	28%	8%	94	+1.3	239/303/395	156	305	17	9	26%	7%	96	+1.5	237/308/399	162	294	18	5	25%	8%	94	+1.1
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	47→54	44→50	61→55	44	226/282/354	129	300	9	28	27%	7%	76	+0.1	240/293/376	136	286	14	16	21%	7%	86	+0.8	254/312/374	120	299	11	11	18%	7%	92	+1.0
✕Jorge Mateo 2015 · A	20	43→46	41→50	60→65	44	207/270/305	98	282	7	30	28%	7%	58	-1.2	205/250/310	105	293	7	37	31%	5%	50	-1.7	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Kyren Paris 2023 · AA	21	41→49	47→50	60	41	197/277/337	139	311	14	27	39%	8%	71	-0.3	196/281/328	132	312	14	30	38%	10%	71	-0.3	182/275/315	133	288	15	35	39%	10%	62	-0.6
●Coby Mayo 2022 · A	20	49→45	49→60	55→45	47	243/313/397	153	307	17	13	26%	8%	101	+1.8	223/296/393	170	304	20	6	32%	8%	93	+1.3	221/303/414	193	290	23	4	31%	9%	99	+1.4
✕Roberto Caro 2015 · A	21	45→38	38→40	63→60	49	212/292/308	96	281	3	21	24%	9%	69	-0.4	201/272/280	79	302	2	16	31%	8%	53	-1.5	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Jonatan Clase 2022 · A	20	45→47	41→55	59→65	44	211/283/309	99	307	8	26	32%	8%	66	-0.6	207/279/366	159	301	18	39	35%	8%	79	+0.3	205/278/368	164	287	19	47	34%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Jake Marisnick 2011 · A	20	41→51	41→60	55	40	201/260/303	102	269	7	18	27%	5%	54	-1.4	229/284/355	126	294	11	19	25%	5%	78	+0.2	226/290/423	196	302	25	18	33%	6%	96	+0.7
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	45→49	41→60	55→50	47	217/288/313	96	267	8	16	21%	7%	69	-0.4	215/262/314	99	286	8	16	27%	5%	57	-1.2	261/322/478	218	301	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→52	42→55	56→55	46	201/275/316	115	288	8	13	31%	9%	63	-0.8	212/280/338	126	319	10	16	34%	8%	72	-0.2	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Carlos Jorge 2023 · A	19	44→46	47→45	63→60	45	216/296/360	144	307	13	30	32%	9%	85	+0.7	200/270/313	113	296	10	25	33%	8%	61	-1.0	209/271/302	94	301	8	33	31%	7%	55	-0.9
●Jarred Kelenic 2019 · A	20	45→55	43→60	57→50	42	218/277/333	115	296	10	13	29%	7%	69	-0.4	234/291/434	200	292	25	13	28%	7%	102	+1.9	227/288/440	213	276	26	14	28%	7%	100	+1.5
✕Delino DeShields 2013 · A	20	46→55	41→45	61→65	44	223/285/323	100	300	8	36	27%	7%	69	-0.4	229/299/333	104	311	8	37	27%	8%	78	+0.2	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Tyler Austin 2012 · A	20	49→55	44→65	57→45	40	238/286/359	120	317	10	17	28%	5%	79	+0.3	242/294/375	133	329	12	11	28%	6%	86	+0.8	232/292/438	206	310	26	3	33%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3