Carson Roccaforte

CF Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 25 L/L 5'11" / 195 lbs AA HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #635MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP41ETA2029FG ETA2027MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AANorthwest Ark…	212	.290/.387/.475	5	10	95	—	.245/.316/.396
2025	23	A+KC	339	.237/.366/.466	13	33	70	—	.173/.277/.337
2026	24	AAAKC	118	.284/.365/.500	5	11	92	—	.245/.304/.415
2026	24	AANorthwest Ark…	504	.251/.337/.523	30	21	84	—	.207/.271/.420
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBKC	6	.204/.272/.371	0	0	83	0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	26	MLBKC	113	.205/.275/.372	4	4	84	0.2
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBKC	163	.206/.276/.370	5	6	84	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$1M2032Arb-2$1M2033Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed66

BB%48

Max EV44

Z-Con%43

Chase%27

K%14

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 91%

CompsDrew Robinson (age 25) · John Rave (age 25) · Aaron Palensky (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .272 / .371

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP279

ISO169

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT37

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$0.1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	101	26	6	2	0	19	31	1	11	3	257	380	356	737	99	366	25	16	338	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Royals	—	16	15	8	1	0	0	0	3	0	5	0	533	533	600	1.133	67	615	19	0	476	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	535	471	98	23	5	10	56	139	3	34	13	208	296	342	638	134	269	26	10	288	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	212	183	53	15	2	5	27	61	2	10	5	290	387	475	862	186	410	29	13	383	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	339	279	66	15	5	13	55	101	2	33	7	237	366	466	832	229	317	30	16	366	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	84	68	19	8	0	2	13	28	1	7	2	279	402	485	888	206	425	33	15	386	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	118	102	29	7	0	5	13	37	0	11	0	284	365	500	865	216	393	31	11	372	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	504	438	110	19	5	30	52	144	5	21	17	251	337	523	860	272	295	29	10	368	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	106	20	4	1	0	14	44	1	11	3	189	289	245	535	57	319	36	11	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	16	15	6	1	0	0	0	4	0	5	0	400	400	467	867	67	476	25	0	371	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	535	485	79	16	3	8	42	172	3	34	13	163	234	258	492	95	227	32	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	212	192	47	13	2	4	18	73	2	10	5	245	316	396	712	151	371	34	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	339	294	51	10	4	10	40	127	2	33	7	173	277	337	614	163	253	37	12	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	118	106	26	6	0	4	9	44	0	11	0	245	304	415	719	170	361	37	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	504	455	94	15	5	24	35	176	5	21	17	207	271	420	690	213	256	35	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	138	121	26	5	1	0	14	49	1	16	3	215	301	273	574	58	351	36	10	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	138	116	34	7	2	0	19	34	1	16	3	293	397	388	785	95	405	25	14	354	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	535	485	79	16	3	8	42	172	3	34	13	163	234	258	492	95	229	32	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	535	471	98	23	5	10	56	139	3	34	13	208	296	342	638	134	269	26	10	288	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	635	558	113	27	7	16	67	231	5	50	14	203	294	362	656	159	308	36	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	635	530	138	38	7	20	95	190	5	50	14	260	378	472	849	211	364	30	15	374	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	622	561	119	21	5	27	44	220	5	32	17	212	275	412	687	200	286	35	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	622	540	139	26	5	35	65	181	5	32	17	257	343	519	861	261	313	29	10	369	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	138	122	26	5	1	0	14	49	1	16	3	213	301	270	572	57	337	36	10	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	535	485	79	16	3	8	42	172	3	34	13	163	234	258	492	95	227	32	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	635	558	113	27	7	16	67	231	5	50	14	203	294	362	656	159	298	36	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	622	568	119	21	5	27	44	220	5	32	17	210	275	407	682	197	276	35	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	535	485	79	16	3	8	42	172	3	34	13	163	234	258	492	95	227	32	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	635	558	113	27	7	16	67	231	5	50	14	203	294	362	656	159	298	36	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	622	568	119	21	5	27	44	220	5	32	17	210	275	407	682	197	276	35	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	KC	2%	380	344	72	14	3	14	30	128	3	14	6	207	276	382	658	175	281	34	8	291	83	-8	+0	+3	+1	+8	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	KC	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	204	272	371	643	167	279	33	0	285	83	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	KC	31%	365	330	70	14	3	13	29	121	3	13	6	209	278	383	661	174	281	33	8	293	84	-7	+0	+2	+1	+8	0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	KC	42%	388	351	74	14	3	14	31	127	3	14	6	210	279	382	661	172	281	33	8	293	84	-7	+0	+3	+1	+8	0.6
2030	28	MLB MLE	KC	48%	401	363	77	15	3	14	32	130	3	12	6	210	279	379	658	169	281	32	8	292	84	-8	+0	+2	+1	+9	0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	KC	49%	400	362	75	15	2	13	32	129	3	10	5	209	278	374	652	165	280	32	8	290	82	-9	+0	+1	+1	+9	0.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	KC	50%	398	360	75	15	2	13	32	128	3	8	5	208	277	368	645	160	278	32	8	287	80	-9	-0	+1	+1	+9	0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	KC	31%	113	102	21	4	1	4	9	37	1	4	2	205	275	372	646	166	279	33	8	287	84	-2	+0	+1	+0	+2	0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	KC	42%	163	148	30	6	1	5	13	53	1	6	3	206	276	370	646	164	279	33	8	287	84	-3	+0	+1	+1	+4	0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	KC	48%	192	174	35	7	1	6	15	62	1	6	3	206	276	367	643	161	278	32	8	286	84	-4	+0	+1	+1	+4	0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	KC	49%	197	178	36	7	1	6	16	64	1	5	3	206	275	363	638	157	277	32	8	284	82	-4	-0	+1	+1	+4	0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	KC	50%	200	181	36	7	1	6	16	64	1	4	2	204	274	357	631	153	276	32	8	281	80	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	865	783	158	31	5	27	69	280	5	25	13	202	271	358	628	156	272	32	8	285	76	-18	-0	+4	+3	+19	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	118	23	4	20	52	210	4	19	10	201	270	355	626	155	271	32	8	285	76	-13	-0	+3	+2	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4202	3781	768	154	31	129	348	1415	31	201	80	203	276	363	638	159	282	34	8	281	76	-46	+1	+11	+8	+49	2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	119	24	5	20	54	219	5	31	12	203	277	364	641	161	282	34	8	281	76	-13	+0	+3	+2	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jake Marisnicklast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA	3.3	2,213	63	81	227	280	381	+5	+54	8.3	8.1
/162	664	19	24	+1.4	+16.2	2.5	pk7: 8
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Ruben Rivera'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,818 PA	2.7	1,818	64	50	206*	292*	376*	-1	+20	4.0	4.0
/162	664	23	18	-0.3	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#4Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#5John Shelby'81-'91 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,326 PA	5.0	3,326	70	98	237*	281*	385*	+1	-4	1.7	3.8
/162	664	14	20	+0.1	-0.9	0.3	pk7: 6
#6Gerald Williams'92-'05 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,323 PA	5.0	3,323	85	106	242*	287*	395*	-18	+7	1.9	3.6
/162	664	17	21	-3.5	+1.4	0.4	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.3	872	30	26	210	276	378	-5	+8	0.1	0.1
/162	664	23	19	-3.9	+6.1	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carson Roccaforte (OGILVIE)	25	30→37	40→51	60→57	45	205/273/379	174	281	11	12	34%	8%	83	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Robinson 2017 · AAA	25	39→43	51→55	52→50	45	204/280/371	167	286	19	14	34%	9%	83	+0.1	217/293/379	162	329	18	12	36%	10%	89	+0.5	211/292/367	157	326	17	12	38%	10%	84	+0.1
✕John Rave 2023 · AAA	25	43→47	48→50	54→55	44	215/286/349	133	304	17	18	33%	9%	80	-0.2	216/282/348	132	295	14	16	30%	8%	78	-0.3	222/295/375	153	278	16	24	25%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Aaron Palensky 2024 · AAA	25	37→32	54→50	54→55	44	201/287/382	182	269	21	18	33%	8%	88	+0.5	204/286/326	122	277	12	19	29%	9%	75	-0.5	169/264/227	58	238	2	28	27%	10%	44	-1.0
✕Joey Wiemer 2024 · MLB	25	42→44	51→55	53→55	44	216/285/378	162	283	19	19	30%	8%	86	+0.3	200/275/316	116	285	12	15	32%	8%	69	-0.9	188/266/285	98	276	10	14	33%	8%	56	-1.2
✕Daniel Palka 2017 · AAA	25	38→43	55	48→50	37	206/260/386	179	298	23	10	38%	7%	79	-0.2	220/271/394	174	294	23	5	33%	6%	84	+0.2	207/274/387	180	261	25	4	31%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Elijah Dunham 2023 · AA	25	44	48→50	58→60	47	221/295/372	151	285	15	28	27%	8%	88	+0.5	208/279/348	140	290	14	25	31%	8%	77	-0.3	192/263/324	133	273	13	24	33%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Zach Kokoska 2024 · A	25	42	50→55	52→55	42	218/286/377	158	288	18	18	30%	7%	86	+0.3	188/256/346	158	271	19	17	37%	6%	69	-0.9	165/235/324	159	236	20	19	38%	6%	54	-1.1
✕Cade Marlowe 2022 · A	25	40→50	54→55	54→60	41	211/274/399	188	301	21	15	36%	8%	87	+0.4	225/293/377	152	325	17	31	34%	8%	88	+0.5	220/292/359	140	319	15	40	34%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Zac Cook 2023 · AA	25	38	48→55	50	33	183/277/320	137	314	16	15	43%	6%	72	-0.7	195/274/319	124	331	14	17	43%	5%	70	-0.8	142/226/246	104	257	15	29	48%	4%	34	-0.8
✕Alex Binelas 2024 · AA	24	35→44	53→50	53→50	38	192/252/364	171	278	22	11	39%	7%	71	-0.8	218/290/360	142	319	16	11	34%	9%	84	+0.1	223/304/366	143	320	18	8	34%	10%	88	+0.3
✕Sam Hilliard 2020 · MLB	26	41→49	50→55	52→55	38	208/263/359	151	308	18	20	37%	7%	74	-0.6	202/268/381	179	282	23	15	35%	8%	81	-0.1	208/281/383	175	283	19	18	32%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Nelson Velázquez 2023 · MLB	24	40→39	53→60	53→50	38	209/269/382	173	310	22	17	39%	7%	82	-0.0	211/276/393	182	273	25	11	31%	8%	87	+0.4	202/269/384	182	246	26	10	30%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Josh Stowers 2022 · AA	25	38→44	50	54→55	41	199/265/347	149	282	18	23	35%	7%	72	-0.7	182/251/309	127	259	14	20	34%	7%	58	-1.7	158/233/271	113	224	12	21	34%	7%	40	-1.9
✕Grant Richardson 2024 · AA	25	35→45	50	55→50	34	185/249/333	148	290	20	17	42%	6%	63	-1.4	204/257/330	126	325	14	15	39%	6%	64	-1.3	201/250/320	119	319	12	15	39%	5%	57	-1.0
✕Billy Cook 2024 · AA	25	37→44	48→50	57→55	37	196/250/333	137	277	17	23	35%	6%	63	-1.4	213/275/345	132	297	15	22	32%	7%	75	-0.5	211/276/340	129	293	14	25	32%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Taylor Trammell 2023 · MLB	25	45→48	53→55	49→55	47	229/304/403	174	298	20	15	29%	9%	99	+1.3	216/305/385	169	292	20	19	31%	11%	96	+1.0	201/299/368	166	270	20	20	31%	11%	89	+0.3
✕Jesse Franklin V 2023 · AA	24	38→28	55→60	53→55	36	206/267/389	184	295	24	15	38%	6%	83	+0.1	215/279/376	161	305	20	18	35%	6%	84	+0.1	199/266/371	171	275	23	24	35%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Parker Meadows 2024 · MLB	24	43→48	49→55	57→55	46	219/284/373	154	279	17	17	28%	8%	84	+0.2	234/303/394	160	302	16	20	26%	9%	96	+1.0	236/310/408	171	300	16	22	26%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Micah Pries 2023 · AA	25	46→45	49→50	56→50	39	228/284/382	154	310	15	17	31%	6%	86	+0.3	205/269/338	133	272	13	9	28%	6%	71	-0.8	183/253/306	123	238	12	5	28%	7%	55	-0.9
✕Corey Brown 2011 · AAA	25	46→49	50→55	57→50	42	228/287/385	157	317	17	14	32%	7%	88	+0.4	226/284/391	165	317	19	12	33%	7%	89	+0.5	218/278/395	176	303	22	12	34%	7%	85	+0.2

Carson Roccaforte

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps