Miguel Gomez (P, DSL Astros Blue) prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Miguel Gomez P DSL Astros Blue

Age 20 RHP 5'11" / 152 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 125

ERA5.71

FIP5.71

K%21.0%

BB%18.6%

K-BB%2.3%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	12	4	26	132	28	30	2	33%	2.2	14.4%	28.4%	-14.0%	2.2%	6.23	6.71	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	12	4	26	132	28	30	2	33%	2.2	14.4%	28.4%	-14.0%	2.2%	6.23	6.71	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	12	4	26	132	28	30	2	33%	2.2	21.2%	22.7%	-1.5%	1.5%	6.23	5.41	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	11	1	24	109	20	20	2	9%	2.2	12.5%	22.9%	-10.5%	2.6%	4.94	6.39	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	11	1	24	109	20	20	2	9%	2.2	12.5%	22.9%	-10.5%	2.6%	4.94	6.39	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	11	1	24	109	20	20	2	9%	2.2	18.3%	18.3%	0.0%	1.8%	4.94	5.04	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	20	MLB	HOU	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.0%	18.6%	2.3%	3.0%	5.71	5.71	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	HOU	21	0	22	95	20	15	3	0%	1.1	21.6%	15.8%	5.8%	2.9%	5.39	5.27	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	HOU	10	0	11	46	10	7	1	0%	1.1	21.6%	15.8%	5.8%	2.9%	5.39	5.27	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	46	10	7	1	0%	1.1	21.6%	15.8%	5.8%	2.9%	5.39	4.89	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	127	18	0%	1.1	21.6%	15.8%	5.8%	2.9%	5.39	4.89	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		23	5	50	241	33	62	6	22%	2.2	13.5%	25.9%	-12.4%	2.4%	5.62	6.56	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	20	200	970	131	252	23	22%	2.2	13.5%	25.9%	-12.4%	2.4%	5.62	6.56	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Miguel Gomez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.71	21.0%	18.6%	3.0%	—	5.27	21.6%	5.8%	22	-0.44	—	—	—
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	89
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	87
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	86
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	83
Edinzo Marquez R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	17	SW	4.97	20.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.250	3.90	13.2%	0.4%	119	-1.07	3.26	188	82
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	81
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	80
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	79
Yimi Presinal R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	18	SW	4.75	20.2%	15.0%	2.7%	.326	4.71	20.8%	4.6%	92	-0.04	3.62	157	79
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	79
Doimil Perez R 2023 · 5.95 FIP	19	SU	5.95	17.8%	14.7%	4.5%	.322	5.36	16.6%	-2.0%	47	-0.59	3.32	139	79
Darlin Pinales R 2023 · 6.68 FIP	20	SW	6.68	17.0%	27.6%	2.8%	.350	4.44	21.7%	1.1%	117	-2.24	3.61	214	79
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	78
Dariel Francia R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	17	SW	5.09	19.8%	17.4%	2.7%	.322	5.13	19.9%	-0.4%	98	+0.04	3.84	134	78
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	78
Sandy Ozuna R 2023 · 5.42 FIP	17	SW	5.42	15.1%	17.4%	2.5%	.303	4.77	18.3%	7.9%	71	-0.65	3.03	103	78
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	78
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	78
Yehizon Sanchez R 2021 · 5.88 FIP	20	SW	5.88	18.1%	16.7%	4.0%	.417	6.18	13.4%	1.7%	217	+0.30	3.40	359	78
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	78