Andrew Tess — OGILVIE

Andrew TessC Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION20 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP283

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$29M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$10M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	39	30	7	2	0	0	6	14	2	1	1	233	395	300	695	67	438	36	15	327	107	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	188	133	34	5	2	2	34	39	18	17	4	256	465	368	833	113	337	21	18	390	150	+11	+2	—	—	+4	1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	39	32	6	2	0	0	4	20	2	1	1	188	316	250	566	62	410	51	10	238	47	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	188	146	29	4	1	2	21	57	18	17	4	199	368	281	648	82	273	30	11	285	79	-5	+2	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	227	179	34	5	1	2	24	77	20	18	5	190	350	263	612	73	311	34	11	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	227	163	41	7	2	2	40	53	20	18	5	252	453	356	809	104	351	23	18	379	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	227	181	34	5	1	2	24	77	20	18	5	188	350	260	609	72	297	34	11	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	227	181	34	5	1	2	24	77	20	18	5	188	350	260	609	72	297	34	11	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A MLE	BAL	—	20	18	3	0	0	1	2	11	0	1	2	167	250	333	583	167	333	55	10	226	39	-1	-1	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A RAW	BAL	—	20	17	4	0	0	1	3	8	0	1	2	235	350	412	762	176	375	40	15	344	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	BAL	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		279	27	9	265	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	BAL	—	31	28	4	0	0	1	3	14	0	1	2	143	226	250	476	107	231	45	10	240	48	-2	-1	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	296	261	53	9	2	4	26	83	7	7	1	203	293	299	591	96	282	28	9	276	73	-10	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2028	21	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	406	357	75	13	3	6	36	111	10	10	2	210	300	314	614	104	284	27	9	283	78	-11	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.7
2029	22	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	484	426	91	16	3	8	43	130	12	12	2	214	304	322	625	108	285	27	9	288	81	-11	+2	+0	+9	+10	1.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	520	457	99	17	3	10	46	139	12	13	3	217	305	333	637	116	286	27	9	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	520	455	99	17	3	10	47	138	13	13	3	218	309	334	643	116	287	27	9	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	520	455	99	17	3	10	47	138	13	13	3	218	309	334	643	116	287	27	9	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	520	455	99	17	3	10	47	138	13	13	3	218	309	334	643	116	287	27	9	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	BAL	60%	520	455	99	17	3	10	47	138	13	13	3	218	309	334	643	116	287	27	9	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	BAL	62%	520	454	99	17	3	10	48	139	13	12	3	218	311	335	645	117	286	27	9	293	85	-10	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	BAL	63%	520	454	98	17	3	10	48	140	13	12	3	216	309	333	641	117	285	27	9	291	83	-10	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2037	30	MLB MLE	BAL	63%	520	455	97	17	3	9	48	141	12	12	3	213	305	323	628	110	284	27	9	288	81	-12	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2038	31	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	504	440	93	16	3	9	47	139	12	11	2	211	305	323	627	111	281	28	9	284	79	-13	+1	-3	+9	+11	0.6
2039	32	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	489	429	89	15	3	8	45	136	12	10	2	207	300	312	613	105	278	28	9	279	75	-15	+1	-4	+9	+11	0.3
2040	33	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	463	406	81	13	2	7	43	132	11	9	2	200	293	293	587	94	274	29	9	273	71	-16	+1	-4	+8	+10	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	102	89	18	3	1	1	9	29	3	2	1	202	297	292	589	90	286	28	9	261	73	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	197	173	37	7	1	3	17	54	5	5	1	214	303	318	620	104	288	27	9	269	78	-5	+1	+0	+4	+4	0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	262	231	51	9	2	5	23	70	6	6	1	221	308	342	650	121	289	27	9	274	81	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2030	23	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	294	259	57	10	2	6	26	78	7	7	2	220	308	344	652	124	291	27	9	278	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2031	24	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	294	259	58	10	2	6	26	78	7	7	2	224	312	347	659	124	291	27	9	279	84	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	25	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	294	259	58	10	2	6	26	78	7	7	2	224	312	347	659	124	291	27	9	280	85	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	294	259	57	10	2	6	26	78	7	7	2	220	308	344	652	124	291	27	9	281	85	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	27	MLB CTX	BAL	60%	311	272	61	11	2	6	28	83	8	8	2	224	315	346	661	121	291	27	9	281	85	-5	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.8
2035	28	MLB CTX	BAL	62%	321	280	62	11	2	6	30	86	8	8	2	221	314	339	654	118	290	27	9	280	85	-6	+1	-0	+6	+7	0.7
2036	29	MLB CTX	BAL	63%	326	285	62	11	2	6	30	88	8	8	2	218	310	333	643	116	289	27	9	278	83	-6	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.6
2037	30	MLB CTX	BAL	63%	330	288	63	11	2	6	31	90	8	7	2	219	312	333	645	115	288	27	9	275	81	-7	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.5
2038	31	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	328	287	62	11	2	6	30	90	8	7	2	216	308	331	639	115	286	27	9	271	79	-8	+1	-2	+6	+7	0.3
2039	32	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	318	279	58	10	2	5	29	89	7	7	1	208	298	312	610	104	282	28	9	265	75	-9	+1	-2	+6	+7	0.2
2040	33	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	301	263	55	9	2	5	28	85	7	6	1	209	302	316	618	106	278	28	9	259	71	-11	+1	-3	+5	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3972	3483	759	133	26	73	359	1076	96	92	23	218	308	334	642	116	291	27	9	274	81	-89	+9	-9	+71	+86	6.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	124	22	4	12	59	176	16	15	4	218	309	333	642	116	291	27	9	274	81	-15	+2	-2	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7040	6148	1306	223	41	123	643	1922	186	178	40	212	306	322	628	110	286	27	9	288	81	-154	+18	-15	+122	+148	12.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	121	21	4	11	59	177	17	16	4	213	306	322	628	109	286	27	9	288	81	-15	+2	-1	+12	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.3	4,185	73	98	214	301	324	+75	+36	10.3	8.4
/162	664	12	15	+11.9	+5.7	1.6	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrew Tess (OGILVIE)	19	40	25	60	60	196/287/279	82	279	2	5	29%	9%	65	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	69	-0.9	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	65	-1.2	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→45	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	55	-2.0	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2018 · A	19	42	37→40	54→60	45	200/270/270	70	284	4	22	29%	8%	55	-1.9	208/268/293	85	302	6	18	31%	7%	59	-1.6	157/239/224	68	251	6	32	37%	8%	33	-0.9
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	39→40	55→60	46	209/291/296	87	283	6	13	26%	8%	70	-0.8	190/254/255	65	320	4	20	39%	6%	47	-2.6	197/269/273	76	310	7	32	36%	7%	54	-1.5
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	56	-1.9	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	67	-1.1	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	73	-0.2
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	64	-1.3	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	70	-0.8	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	43	37→40	55→45	46	200/274/277	78	262	3	13	23%	7%	59	-1.6	205/269/296	91	280	7	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	182/247/261	79	270	7	8	33%	7%	43	-1.1
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	53→55	49	207/286/270	62	293	2	17	28%	9%	61	-1.5	187/257/246	59	306	2	15	36%	8%	45	-2.7	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	8	-1.1
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A	20	43	37→40	52→55	44	204/258/281	77	261	3	10	22%	6%	53	-2.1	205/283/290	85	253	7	15	20%	9%	65	-1.2	194/284/274	80	231	8	20	19%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	55	196/303/262	65	273	4	8	27%	12%	68	-1.0	197/297/284	87	275	8	5	28%	11%	70	-0.8	175/284/254	79	245	9	2	29%	12%	58	-0.6
✕Jermaine Palacios 2015 · A	19	45→49	36→45	55→50	49	206/290/287	81	280	2	13	25%	9%	68	-1.0	231/273/325	94	292	5	10	22%	5%	68	-1.0	237/268/338	101	297	7	10	22%	3%	66	-0.7
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	50→52	39→40	54→50	56	234/323/325	91	290	6	14	20%	11%	88	+0.4	239/315/327	88	307	7	14	23%	8%	86	+0.3	239/316/323	84	307	7	14	23%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Braulio Vasquez 2018 · A	19	47	34→40	52→65	43	217/282/271	54	313	1	15	29%	7%	59	-1.6	197/255/270	73	303	5	8	34%	6%	49	-2.4	188/266/266	78	286	5	32	33%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	45→37	40	52→60	57	212/316/313	100	269	5	12	21%	12%	83	+0.1	225/310/312	87	311	7	23	27%	10%	80	-0.1	226/313/303	78	310	7	32	27%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→45	54→55	47	208/265/283	75	252	3	14	19%	6%	56	-1.9	245/295/319	74	283	3	14	14%	5%	75	-0.5	286/329/371	85	315	6	22	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Jesus Hernandez 2023 · A	19	43	35→40	52→55	49	203/266/262	59	256	3	15	21%	8%	51	-2.2	192/274/272	80	272	5	15	28%	10%	58	-1.7	193/277/283	91	280	6	24	31%	10%	59	-0.8
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2021 · A	20	46	37→45	53→45	46	215/277/285	71	288	4	10	25%	8%	61	-1.5	229/281/339	110	310	11	8	28%	6%	75	-0.5	215/267/317	102	288	11	9	28%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2009 · A	19	44	39→40	48→55	47	209/298/288	79	282	7	17	26%	8%	72	-0.7	199/266/274	75	324	6	12	37%	7%	55	-1.9	172/232/231	59	310	6	11	43%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Mikey Edie 2016 · A	19	48	35→30	49→50	42	224/295/281	56	296	3	13	24%	5%	68	-1.0	212/267/270	58	314	2	15	31%	4%	54	-2.0	183/233/236	53	275	2	10	32%	3%	30	-1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps