Andrew Tess — OGILVIE

Andrew TessC FCL Orioles

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 213 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .287 / .276

PA213

HR2

SB5

K%29

BB%9

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$15M		$36M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	227	179	34	5	1	2	24	79	20	18	5	190	350	263	612	73	317	35	11	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	227	163	41	7	2	2	40	53	20	18	5	252	453	356	809	104	351	23	18	379	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	BAL	—	213	187	36	6	1	2	18	62	6	5	1	193	284	267	552	75	279	29	8	264	60	-10	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	BAL	34%	296	260	53	9	2	4	26	83	8	7	1	204	296	300	596	96	282	28	9	275	69	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2028	21	MLB	BAL	48%	406	356	75	13	3	6	36	111	11	10	2	211	303	315	617	104	284	27	9	283	74	-12	+1	+0	+7	+12	0.8
2029	22	MLB	BAL	54%	484	425	91	16	3	8	43	131	13	12	2	214	306	322	628	108	286	27	9	287	78	-12	+2	+0	+9	+14	1.2
2030	23	MLB	BAL	57%	520	456	98	17	3	9	46	139	13	13	3	215	305	325	629	110	287	27	9	290	80	-11	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2031	24	MLB	BAL	57%	520	456	99	17	3	10	46	139	13	13	3	217	307	333	640	116	288	27	9	292	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2032	25	MLB	BAL	57%	520	456	99	17	3	10	46	139	13	13	3	217	307	333	640	116	288	27	9	293	82	-10	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2033	26	MLB	BAL	56%	520	456	99	17	3	10	46	139	13	13	3	217	307	333	640	116	287	27	9	293	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2034	27	MLB	BAL	55%	520	455	99	17	3	10	47	139	13	13	3	218	309	334	643	116	287	27	9	293	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2035	28	MLB	BAL	55%	520	455	99	17	3	10	47	140	13	12	3	218	309	334	643	116	287	27	9	292	82	-11	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.4
2036	29	MLB	BAL	58%	520	454	97	17	3	9	48	141	13	12	2	214	307	324	631	110	286	27	9	290	80	-12	+2	-1	+9	+15	1.3
2037	30	MLB	BAL	60%	520	454	97	17	3	9	48	142	13	12	2	214	307	324	631	110	284	27	9	288	78	-13	+2	-2	+9	+15	1.1
2038	31	MLB	BAL	62%	504	440	92	16	3	8	46	139	13	11	2	209	303	314	616	105	282	28	9	283	75	-14	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.8
2027	20	MLB	BAL	34%	102	89	18	3	1	1	9	29	3	2	0	202	297	292	589	90	286	28	9	259	56	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2028	21	MLB	BAL	48%	197	173	37	7	1	3	17	54	5	5	1	214	303	318	620	104	288	27	9	267	62	-8	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2029	22	MLB	BAL	54%	262	230	51	9	2	5	23	71	7	6	1	222	312	343	655	122	290	27	9	272	66	-10	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.3
2030	23	MLB	BAL	57%	294	258	56	10	2	5	26	79	8	7	1	217	308	329	638	112	291	27	9	275	69	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2031	24	MLB	BAL	57%	294	258	57	10	2	6	26	79	8	7	1	221	312	345	657	124	292	27	9	277	70	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2032	25	MLB	BAL	57%	294	258	57	10	2	6	26	78	8	7	1	221	312	345	657	124	292	27	9	278	71	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2033	26	MLB	BAL	56%	294	258	57	10	2	6	26	78	8	7	1	221	312	345	657	124	291	27	9	278	71	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2034	27	MLB	BAL	55%	288	253	56	10	2	6	26	77	7	7	1	221	311	348	659	126	291	27	9	278	71	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2035	28	MLB	BAL	55%	285	250	55	10	2	5	26	77	7	7	1	220	311	336	647	116	291	27	9	277	70	-10	+1	-0	+5	+8	0.4
2036	29	MLB	BAL	58%	302	263	58	10	2	6	28	82	8	7	1	221	314	342	657	122	290	27	9	275	69	-11	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.4
2037	30	MLB	BAL	60%	313	273	59	10	2	6	29	86	8	7	1	216	310	333	643	117	288	27	9	273	67	-12	+1	-1	+6	+9	0.2
2038	31	MLB	BAL	62%	311	271	58	10	2	5	29	86	8	7	1	214	308	321	629	107	286	28	9	269	64	-13	+1	-2	+6	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3236	2834	619	109	22	60	291	876	85	76	11	218	310	336	646	118	292	27	9	274	68	-117	+11	-4	+58	+92	4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	124	22	4	12	58	176	17	15	2	218	309	334	642	116	292	27	9	274	68	-23	+2	-1	+12	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	6290	5489	1168	201	37	107	567	1723	175	164	35	213	307	321	628	109	287	27	9	288	78	-154	+19	-7	+112	+178	15.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	121	21	4	11	59	178	18	17	4	213	307	323	630	109	288	27	9	288	78	-16	+2	-1	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	39	30	7	2	0	0	6	14	2	1	1	233	395	300	695	67	438	36	15	327	108	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	188	133	34	5	2	2	34	39	18	17	4	256	465	368	833	113	337	21	18	390	157	+12	+2	—	—	+5	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,450	59	82	215	303	325	+62	+32	8.4	7.1
	/162	664	11	16	215	303	325	+11.9	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrew Tess (OGILVIE)	19	40	25	60	60	196/287/276	80	279	2	5	29%	9%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	60	-1.0	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	53	-0.4
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	53→55	49	207/286/270	62	293	2	17	28%	9%	56	-1.3	187/257/246	59	306	2	15	36%	8%	38	-2.6	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	-4	-1.2
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	38→40	55→60	45	206/289/290	83	281	5	13	27%	8%	63	-0.8	190/255/255	65	322	4	20	39%	6%	40	-2.4	197/270/275	78	320	7	32	37%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2018 · A	19	42	37→40	54→60	45	200/270/270	70	284	4	22	29%	8%	50	-1.8	208/268/293	85	302	6	18	31%	7%	54	-1.4	155/238/219	64	252	5	32	37%	8%	22	-1.0
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	43	37→40	55→45	46	200/274/277	78	262	3	13	23%	7%	54	-1.4	206/269/298	92	281	7	9	27%	7%	56	-1.3	184/247/261	77	274	7	8	33%	7%	35	-1.1
✕Jermaine Palacios 2015 · A	19	45→47	36→45	55→50	49	206/290/287	81	280	2	13	25%	9%	63	-0.8	230/271/322	92	291	5	10	22%	5%	63	-0.9	211/262/352	141	281	20	13	32%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A	20	43	37→40	52→55	44	204/258/281	77	261	3	10	22%	6%	46	-2.0	205/283/290	85	253	7	15	20%	9%	61	-1.0	194/284/274	80	231	8	20	19%	10%	56	-0.4
✕Braulio Vasquez 2018 · A	19	47	34→45	52→65	43	217/282/271	54	313	1	15	29%	7%	54	-1.4	197/255/270	73	303	5	8	34%	6%	43	-2.2	192/271/270	78	293	5	32	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	50	-1.7	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	63	-0.9	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	69	-0.1
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→35	40→45	55	45	230/305/328	98	330	7	18	30%	8%	80	+0.4	188/317/307	119	267	12	20	31%	11%	83	+0.6	183/337/342	159	234	19	21	28%	12%	99	+0.8
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	54	195/298/259	64	275	4	8	28%	12%	60	-1.0	196/296/284	88	277	8	5	29%	11%	66	-0.6	173/283/253	79	246	9	2	30%	12%	51	-0.6
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	42	37→40	53→50	38	197/250/268	71	300	4	9	34%	6%	40	-2.4	215/278/290	75	306	3	10	28%	7%	58	-1.2	221/291/292	71	306	2	12	26%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Ronald Bermudez 2007 · A	19	43→46	36→40	56→45	43	203/261/277	74	282	2	9	27%	6%	46	-2.0	233/299/325	92	298	5	10	22%	8%	76	+0.0	255/281/326	71	326	4	4	22%	3%	64	-0.3
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	44	38→40	51→60	58	207/313/298	91	265	4	12	22%	12%	76	+0.1	218/305/301	83	307	6	23	28%	10%	73	-0.1	216/305/292	77	301	7	32	28%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Mikey Edie 2016 · A	19	48	35→30	49→50	42	224/295/281	56	296	3	13	24%	5%	64	-0.8	212/267/270	58	314	2	15	31%	4%	48	-1.9	187/236/240	52	281	2	10	32%	3%	22	-1.4