Spence Coffman
SS Lake Elsinore Storm| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROKSD | 71 | .237/.348/.288 | 0 | 4 | 35 | — | .190/.261/.238 |
| 2024 | 20 | A/ROKSD | 231 | .286/.358/.330 | 0 | 19 | 47 | — | .227/.279/.261 |
| 2025 | 21 | ASD | 17 | .188/.235/.188 | 0 | 1 | -11 | — | .125/.176/.125 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBSD | 196 | .211/.270/.286 | 2 | 4 | 58 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ29% MLB | 24 | MLBSD | 26 | .211/.272/.296 | 0 | 1 | 63 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 71 | 59 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 237 | 348 | 288 | 636 | 51 | 311 | 21 | 14 | 292 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 31 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 259 | 559 | 37 | 300 | 26 | 6 | 256 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 200 | 176 | 52 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 29 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 295 | 367 | 341 | 708 | 45 | 349 | 14 | 10 | 320 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 188 | 423 | 273 | 29 | 6 | 201 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 71 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 190 | 261 | 238 | 499 | 48 | 265 | 31 | 8 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 31 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 233 | 214 | 448 | 36 | 266 | 35 | 3 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 200 | 183 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 42 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 235 | 286 | 268 | 553 | 33 | 287 | 21 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 17 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 176 | 125 | 301 | 258 | 41 | 6 | 152 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 71 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 190 | 261 | 238 | 499 | 48 | 286 | 31 | 8 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Padres | — | 71 | 59 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 237 | 348 | 288 | 636 | 51 | 311 | 21 | 14 | 292 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 231 | 211 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 53 | 2 | 19 | 2 | 223 | 274 | 251 | 526 | 28 | 292 | 23 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 231 | 203 | 58 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 37 | 2 | 19 | 2 | 286 | 358 | 330 | 688 | 44 | 343 | 16 | 9 | 312 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 17 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 176 | 125 | 301 | 222 | 41 | 6 | 152 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 21 | A RAW | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 188 | 423 | 273 | 29 | 6 | 201 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 71 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 185 | 261 | 231 | 492 | 46 | 265 | 31 | 8 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 231 | 214 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 53 | 2 | 19 | 2 | 220 | 274 | 248 | 522 | 28 | 284 | 23 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 17 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 176 | 125 | 301 | 258 | 41 | 6 | 152 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 231 | 214 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 53 | 2 | 19 | 2 | 220 | 274 | 248 | 522 | 28 | 284 | 23 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 17 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 176 | 125 | 301 | 258 | 41 | 6 | 152 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | SD | 0% | 196 | 179 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 54 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 211 | 270 | 286 | 556 | 76 | 287 | 28 | 7 | 254 | 58 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | SD | 29% | 89 | 82 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 275 | 300 | 575 | 86 | 289 | 27 | 7 | 261 | 63 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | SD | 29% | 26 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 272 | 296 | 567 | 84 | 284 | 27 | 8 | 258 | 63 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 26 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 269 | 250 | 519 | 42 | 294 | 27 | 8 | 258 | 47 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 600 | 125 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 175 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 208 | 269 | 250 | 519 | 42 | 294 | 27 | 8 | 258 | 47 | -29 | +5 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 454 | 415 | 86 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 119 | 3 | 27 | 2 | 207 | 264 | 246 | 510 | 39 | 284 | 26 | 6 | 238 | 47 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 123 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 170 | 4 | 39 | 3 | 207 | 264 | 242 | 506 | 35 | 284 | 26 | 6 | 238 | 47 | -30 | +3 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 ALake Elsinore Storm · 17 PAwOBA .196 → .152 (−44)K% 29.4% → 41.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.41% | ÷0.956 | ×1.360 | — | — | 41.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 4.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 25.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .196 → .152; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .273 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Padres · 200 PAwOBA .316 → .242 (−74)K% 14.5% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.50% | ÷0.990 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.50% | ÷1.002 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.93% | ÷1.014 | ×0.820 | ×1.046 | ×0.995 | 25.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.44% | ÷1.042 | ×0.720 | ×1.046 | ×0.995 | 3.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.720 | ×1.046 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.892 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 94, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .316 → .242; ISO .045 → .032; BABIP .349 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ALake Elsinore Storm · 31 PAwOBA .258 → .209 (−49)K% 25.8% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.81% | ÷1.002 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.45% | ÷0.972 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 4.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 2.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 24.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.108 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 4.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.108 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 122, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .258 → .209; ISO .037 → .027; BABIP .300 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Padres · 71 PAwOBA .290 → .220 (−70)K% 21.1% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.13% | ÷0.983 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.08% | ÷0.972 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 9.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.006 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 23.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.001 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 1.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.931 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 1.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.912 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 86, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .290 → .220; ISO .051 → .039; BABIP .311 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).