Spence Coffman — OGILVIE

Spence CoffmanSS Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 170 lbs A HR +13%BB +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.4 · 2031

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .285 / .326

PA78

HR1

K%27

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

52↗57

PWR

28↗33

SPD

60↗65

EYE

42↗47

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.4peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.4	$13M	+$12M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.3	$12M	+$11M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.2	$12M	+$11M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+1.0	$10M	+$8M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.8	$4M	+$1M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.5	$3M	+$0.2M
Totals		$10M		$54M	+$44M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	ACL Padres	71	62	12	1	1	0	7	22	0	4	0	.194	.275	.242	.517	.048	.293	31	10	.219	26	-6	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	231	211	47	6	0	0	13	53	2	19	2	.223	.274	.251	.526	.028	.292	23	6	.237	40	-16	+3	+0	+2	+7	-0.4
2025	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	17	16	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	.125	.176	.125	.301	.000	.222	41	6	.151	-26	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	SD	78	71	15	3	0	1	6	21	1	2	0	.211	.282	.296	.578	.085	.292	27	8	.278	71	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 11%	SD	154	140	32	6	1	3	12	41	1	4	1	.229	.294	.350	.644	.121	.293	27	8	.290	80	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2028	24	MLB 26%	SD	272	244	56	10	2	6	23	70	3	7	1	.230	.304	.361	.664	.131	.294	26	8	.297	85	-4	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.7
2029	25	MLB 43%	SD	348	312	72	13	2	8	30	88	3	9	2	.231	.304	.362	.667	.131	.295	25	9	.302	89	-4	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.1
2030	26	MLB 58%	SD	397	355	82	15	2	9	35	100	4	11	2	.231	.307	.361	.668	.130	.296	25	9	.304	91	-4	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.3
2031	27	MLB 76%	SD	420	376	87	16	2	10	37	106	4	11	2	.231	.307	.364	.671	.133	.296	25	9	.304	91	-4	+1	+0	+4	+12	1.4
2032	28	MLB 84%	SD	433	387	89	16	2	10	39	110	4	11	2	.230	.307	.359	.666	.129	.296	25	9	.303	90	-5	+1	-1	+5	+12	1.3
2033	29	MLB 90%	SD	432	386	89	16	2	10	39	111	4	11	2	.231	.308	.360	.668	.130	.295	26	9	.301	89	-5	+1	-1	+5	+12	1.2
2034	30	MLB	SD	429	383	88	16	2	10	39	112	4	11	1	.230	.308	.360	.668	.131	.294	26	9	.298	87	-7	+2	-2	+5	+12	1.0
2035	31	MLB	SD	419	374	84	15	2	9	38	111	4	10	1	.225	.303	.348	.650	.123	.293	26	9	.295	84	-8	+2	-3	+4	+12	0.8
2036	32	MLB	SD	403	360	80	14	2	8	36	109	4	9	0	.222	.300	.339	.639	.117	.292	27	9	.290	80	-9	+2	-4	+4	+11	0.5
2037	33	MLB	SD	375	335	73	13	2	7	34	104	3	8	0	.218	.296	.331	.627	.113	.291	28	9	.285	76	-10	+2	-4	+4	+11	0.2
2038	34	MLB	SD	331	296	64	11	2	6	29	95	3	8	0	.216	.293	.328	.620	.111	.290	29	9	.279	72	-11	+2	-5	+4	+9	-0.1
2039	35	MLB	SD	279	250	52	9	1	5	25	83	2	7	0	.208	.285	.312	.597	.104	.289	30	9	.272	67	-11	+1	-6	+3	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5089	4558	1024	180	25	102	443	1343	46	143	16	.225	.300	.342	.642	.118	.294	26	9	.291	81	-112	+22	-25	+55	+144	8.6
/ 162G	—			650	582	131	23	3	13	57	172	6	18	2	.225	.301	.342	.643	.117	.295	26	9	.291	81	-14	+3	-3	+7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	ACL Padres	71	59	14	1	1	10	15	0	4	0	.237	.348	.288	.636	.051	.311	21	14	.292	82	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	31	27	6	1	0	2	8	1	0	0	.222	.300	.259	.559	.037	.300	26	6	.256	54	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	20	ROK	ACL Padres	200	176	52	8	0	19	29	1	19	2	.295	.367	.341	.708	.045	.349	14	10	.320	103	+1	+3	—	—	+6	1.0
2025	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	17	16	3	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	.188	.235	.188	.423	.000	.273	29	6	.201	12	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Spence Coffman (OGILVIE)	22	52→57	28→33	60→65	47	.217/.285/.326	.108	.292	1	2	27%	8%	71	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kelby Tomlinson 2012 · A	22	49→59	40	55→60	44	.234/.284/.337	.103	.297	6	13	23%	6%	72	-0.2	.216/.269/.274	.058	.292	2	21	25%	6%	49	-1.8	.274/.334/.339	.065	.334	3	24	17%	7%	89	+0.7
●Maikel Garcia 2022 · A	22	50→56	39→45	58→60	50	.237/.300/.330	.093	.298	5	21	21%	8%	77	+0.1	.243/.299/.343	.100	.308	7	27	22%	7%	80	+0.4	.251/.312/.364	.113	.295	9	27	17%	8%	88	+1.0
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	46	44→45	55	46	.222/.297/.343	.121	.288	11	15	26%	8%	81	+0.4	.226/.283/.335	.109	.306	10	9	28%	5%	72	-0.2	.220/.277/.325	.105	.292	10	8	27%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Mark Zagunis 2015 · A	22	48→53	41→45	55→50	47	.227/.299/.337	.110	.295	7	14	24%	8%	79	+0.3	.237/.325/.365	.128	.306	11	9	24%	10%	98	+1.6	.233/.329/.369	.136	.303	12	8	25%	10%	98	+1.2
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	51→61	38→45	55→50	44	.241/.283/.325	.084	.294	5	14	20%	5%	68	-0.5	.258/.302/.361	.103	.312	5	15	18%	5%	85	+0.7	.259/.304/.363	.104	.312	6	15	18%	5%	84	+0.5
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	56→55	51	.229/.303/.336	.107	.265	9	17	17%	8%	81	+0.4	.248/.301/.331	.083	.281	5	14	13%	6%	77	+0.1	.256/.317/.334	.078	.294	4	14	13%	8%	82	+0.4
✕Travis Jones 2018 · A	22	54→50	41→40	55	44	.253/.318/.364	.110	.319	7	17	22%	6%	94	+1.3	.230/.306/.318	.088	.322	7	20	29%	6%	78	+0.2	.208/.296/.288	.081	.305	8	21	32%	7%	63	-0.4
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	47	40	51→55	46	.225/.293/.318	.094	.300	7	17	26%	8%	72	-0.2	.201/.260/.278	.077	.307	5	12	34%	6%	47	-1.9	.135/.182/.184	.049	.223	4	5	40%	2%	-12	-1.0
✕P.J. Higgins 2016 · A	23	44→54	41→45	54→40	42	.215/.265/.321	.106	.286	8	8	27%	6%	59	-1.1	.230/.300/.300	.070	.287	3	4	19%	8%	69	-0.4	.241/.304/.366	.126	.307	13	3	24%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Corey Toups 2016 · A	23	48→47	41→45	56→50	46	.230/.290/.340	.110	.297	7	16	24%	7%	76	+0.0	.212/.273/.328	.116	.301	10	16	31%	6%	66	-0.6	.197/.262/.309	.112	.294	10	16	34%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Mario Lisson 2006 · A	22	46→49	43→55	57→55	50	.222/.307/.345	.122	.296	10	18	26%	10%	85	+0.7	.222/.287/.338	.116	.289	11	21	26%	7%	75	-0.0	.233/.305/.376	.142	.304	18	8	28%	8%	91	+0.8
✕Tyler Goeddel 2015 · A	22	45→49	41→45	56→55	42	.216/.273/.320	.104	.300	7	18	29%	6%	63	-0.8	.226/.284/.340	.114	.295	9	17	25%	7%	73	-0.1	.224/.286/.334	.110	.283	10	18	23%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	38→40	55→60	41	.214/.268/.296	.082	.300	4	13	29%	6%	55	-1.4	.238/.294/.344	.106	.336	10	29	30%	6%	79	+0.3	.245/.298/.334	.089	.343	8	39	29%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2016 · A	22	48→45	42→50	55→50	41	.231/.276/.352	.121	.301	7	9	25%	5%	72	-0.2	.221/.267/.319	.098	.296	6	10	26%	5%	60	-1.0	.181/.239/.269	.088	.242	9	17	28%	4%	34	-0.5
✕Nate Eaton 2019 · A	22	50→51	42→50	57→60	42	.233/.290/.355	.122	.324	7	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.199/.252/.290	.091	.271	6	13	27%	6%	46	-2.0	.211/.272/.336	.126	.275	15	32	28%	6%	65	-0.5
●Michael Reed 2015 · A	22	50→60	38→45	55	50	.227/.310/.317	.090	.321	4	20	28%	10%	79	+0.3	.213/.296/.311	.098	.309	6	20	30%	10%	72	-0.2	.215/.303/.316	.101	.323	11	16	34%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Humberto Castro 2013 · AAA	22	51	41→40	53→45	42	.248/.297/.346	.097	.308	9	13	22%	5%	80	+0.4	.230/.276/.307	.077	.279	6	8	19%	4%	61	-1.0	.264/.322/.324	.060	.311	3	5	15%	5%	80	+0.1
✕Mauricio Dubón 2016 · A	22	50→60	38→45	53→55	43	.239/.281/.317	.078	.292	6	18	20%	5%	66	-0.6	.252/.291/.345	.093	.302	6	22	18%	5%	76	+0.1	.262/.299/.376	.114	.288	10	6	13%	4%	87	+0.6
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→50	51→50	43	.218/.284/.328	.110	.300	9	11	29%	7%	71	-0.3	.204/.275/.332	.128	.317	14	12	38%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Clay Fuller 2009 · A	22	46	42→45	58→55	44	.214/.295/.326	.111	.311	8	20	31%	8%	75	-0.0	.208/.279/.319	.111	.294	11	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	.200/.266/.307	.107	.277	12	18	31%	7%	55	-1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)