Jay Beshears

1B Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 220 lbs AA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AAMIA	39	.289/.308/.421	1	0	68	—	.263/.282/.395
2025	23	A+MIA	204	.201/.332/.355	4	4	47	—	.153/.257/.260
2026	24	AAMIA	288	.222/.325/.440	11	11	68	—	.186/.266/.364
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBMIA	5	.187/.264/.310	0	0	68	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	26	MLBMIA	98	.189/.266/.313	2	2	70	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed92

ISO80

Whiff%58

wRC+56

BB%56

wOBA53

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsNick Podkul (age 25) · Grae Kessinger (age 25) · Nick Quintana (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .264 / .310

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%8

BABIP248

ISO130

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	114	105	24	4	1	1	5	33	3	1	0	229	281	314	595	86	324	29	4	270	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	344	308	67	22	0	2	25	64	6	5	3	218	288	308	597	91	264	19	7	271	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	133	97	31	7	0	2	31	27	3	1	2	320	496	454	950	134	414	20	23	428	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	64	52	6	1	0	1	8	22	2	1	0	115	254	192	446	77	167	34	12	219	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	39	38	11	2	0	1	0	8	1	0	0	289	308	421	729	132	345	21	0	324	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	204	169	34	8	3	4	30	50	3	4	2	201	332	355	687	154	256	25	15	313	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	288	248	55	17	2	11	32	72	6	11	0	222	325	440	765	218	265	25	11	338	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	114	108	19	3	1	1	3	47	3	1	0	176	219	250	469	74	296	41	3	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	344	317	58	18	0	2	17	80	6	5	3	183	238	259	497	76	229	23	5	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	133	106	26	5	0	2	22	37	3	1	2	245	389	349	738	104	335	28	17	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	39	38	10	2	0	1	0	10	1	0	0	263	282	395	677	132	321	26	0	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	204	177	27	6	2	3	22	65	3	4	2	153	257	260	517	107	211	32	11	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	288	258	48	15	2	9	22	88	6	11	0	186	266	364	630	178	234	31	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	114	108	19	3	1	1	3	47	3	1	0	176	219	250	469	74	300	41	3	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	114	105	24	4	1	1	5	33	3	1	0	229	281	314	595	86	324	29	4	270	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	541	479	95	27	0	4	44	133	11	7	5	198	281	280	561	81	261	25	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	541	457	104	30	0	5	64	113	11	7	5	228	335	326	661	98	286	21	12	303	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	243	215	37	8	2	4	22	75	4	4	2	172	261	284	545	112	239	31	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	243	207	45	10	3	5	30	58	4	4	2	217	328	367	695	150	274	24	12	314	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	288	258	48	15	2	9	22	88	6	11	0	186	266	364	630	178	241	31	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	288	248	55	17	2	11	32	72	6	11	0	222	325	440	765	218	265	25	11	338	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	114	107	19	3	1	1	3	47	3	1	0	178	219	252	472	75	296	41	3	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	541	481	95	27	0	4	44	133	11	7	5	198	281	279	559	81	259	25	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	243	215	37	8	2	4	22	75	4	4	2	172	261	284	545	112	229	31	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	288	258	48	15	2	9	22	88	6	11	0	186	266	364	630	178	234	31	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	541	481	95	27	0	4	44	133	11	7	5	198	281	279	559	81	259	25	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	243	215	37	8	2	4	22	75	4	4	2	172	261	284	545	112	229	31	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	288	258	48	15	2	9	22	88	6	11	0	186	266	364	630	178	234	31	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIA	2%	338	303	59	15	2	7	27	98	5	6	1	194	271	326	596	131	258	29	8	269	68	-13	+1	+0	-6	+7	-0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIA	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	187	264	310	573	123	248	20	0	260	68	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIA	31%	316	283	56	14	2	7	25	90	5	6	1	197	273	329	602	133	259	28	8	272	70	-11	+1	+0	-6	+7	-0.9
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIA	31%	98	89	16	4	0	2	8	28	1	2	0	189	266	313	579	124	249	29	8	263	70	-3	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	98	89	16	4	0	2	8	28	1	2	0	180	255	292	547	112	237	29	8	263	59	-3	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	106	27	0	13	53	186	7	13	0	180	255	292	547	112	238	29	8	263	59	-23	+3	+0	-12	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	1775	1589	302	79	8	31	137	512	33	34	9	190	268	308	577	118	256	29	8	256	59	-21	+1	+0	-11	+13	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	110	29	3	11	50	187	12	12	3	189	267	306	573	117	254	29	8	256	59	-24	+2	+0	-12	+14	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jay Beshears (OGILVIE)	25	30	40	45	60	193/268/323	130	258	6	5	29%	8%	68	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA	25	39	44→50	51→50	46	196/271/312	116	260	11	11	28%	8%	66	-1.1	211/300/351	140	290	16	6	31%	9%	86	+0.3	202/300/344	142	280	17	3	32%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	34→30	44→45	49→50	45	182/254/292	110	240	14	18	30%	8%	55	-1.9	210/285/321	111	280	12	12	27%	9%	73	-0.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→40	43→45	42→45	48	191/274/298	107	258	11	5	29%	9%	64	-1.3	195/276/301	106	276	9	7	31%	8%	65	-1.2	110/220/193	83	161	7	0	33%	9%	22	-1.0
✕Jacob Heyward 2021 · AA	25	41→40	44→45	44→50	47	199/291/316	117	303	12	11	35%	10%	75	-0.5	189/269/323	134	288	17	6	38%	8%	69	-0.9	161/244/293	131	239	18	2	39%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Josh Altmann 2019 · A	25	36→39	45	48→50	42	190/256/313	123	245	14	9	28%	6%	61	-1.5	189/268/294	105	260	10	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	160/254/247	87	222	8	9	29%	8%	45	-1.7
✕Quincy Latimore 2014 · AA	25	42	45→50	43→50	41	210/264/333	123	276	13	9	28%	6%	68	-1.0	218/269/346	128	285	14	10	28%	6%	73	-0.6	207/260/336	129	270	15	8	28%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Trey Vavra 2017 · A	25	43→38	41→40	43→45	42	213/277/308	96	273	9	5	25%	6%	67	-1.1	193/266/279	86	272	8	7	30%	6%	57	-1.8	93/190/126	33	148	4	0	37%	6%	-5	-1.3
✕Zavier Warren 2024 · AA	25	39	46→45	49→45	45	199/263/327	128	252	14	7	27%	7%	66	-1.1	185/252/289	104	256	11	8	31%	8%	54	-2.0	163/236/254	91	229	10	8	32%	8%	38	-1.9
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/278/294	103	260	10	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	197/274/326	129	246	14	10	25%	7%	71	-0.8	183/262/322	139	217	16	12	24%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/261/307	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	204/263/312	108	293	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/309	114	278	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Davis Wendzel 2022 · AAA	25	43→32	45→50	43→40	43	215/289/338	123	285	13	5	28%	7%	79	-0.2	194/269/332	138	249	18	5	29%	8%	71	-0.8	194/271/323	128	229	14	4	22%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Maxwell Costes 2024 · AA	25	42	47→50	50→45	46	213/296/347	134	270	16	8	26%	8%	84	+0.1	204/274/304	100	255	10	8	23%	7%	65	-1.2	162/236/211	50	196	5	3	20%	7%	29	-1.2
✕Zach Zubia 2023 · A	25	38→33	43→45	46→30	52	184/296/291	107	292	12	3	37%	13%	72	-0.7	200/293/327	127	303	16	4	36%	11%	78	-0.3	187/281/316	129	273	18	2	36%	11%	69	-0.4
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	40	42→45	44→45	46	198/280/299	102	270	11	5	30%	8%	67	-1.1	225/320/359	134	292	13	10	25%	11%	95	+1.0	219/322/357	138	284	14	11	26%	12%	93	+0.4
✕Tyler Marincov 2017 · AA	25	42→41	44→50	45→50	40	209/261/328	118	282	12	10	30%	6%	65	-1.2	198/254/329	131	289	15	10	35%	6%	63	-1.3	177/235/308	132	263	16	10	38%	6%	51	-1.3
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2015 · A	25	42→40	47→45	51→50	44	214/281/349	135	275	15	14	27%	7%	78	-0.3	203/258/328	125	275	13	9	30%	6%	64	-1.3	159/208/266	107	210	12	5	31%	5%	28	-1.7
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	188/256/297	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	196/270/312	116	292	12	14	34%	9%	65	-1.2	182/266/286	104	281	10	16	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Logan Hill 2018 · AA	25	41→40	49→50	45	40	210/273/356	146	293	17	7	34%	7%	76	-0.4	207/269/351	144	294	17	4	34%	7%	74	-0.5	196/259/339	143	277	17	1	34%	6%	66	-0.9
✕Ruben Ibarra 2024 · A	25	39→36	50	47→30	43	204/279/349	145	273	19	4	32%	8%	78	-0.3	200/271/347	147	265	19	2	31%	7%	75	-0.5	190/263/343	153	244	21	1	31%	7%	69	-0.7