Jonah Advincula

OF Lake County Captains

Age 26 L/R 6'2" / 190 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AACLE	148	.187/.306/.228	0	17	32	—	.164/.257/.195
2025	24	A+CLE	205	.278/.436/.456	5	26	101	—	.231/.356/.373
2026	25	AACLE	33	.321/.424/.750	3	4	157	—	.276/.364/.586
2026	25	A+CLE	87	.239/.414/.418	1	15	85	—	.192/.322/.342
2027PROJ0% MLB	26	MLBCLE	1	.228/.330/.344	0	0	95	0.0
2028PROJ33% MLB	27	MLBCLE	68	.228/.329/.344	1	3	95	0.1
2029PROJ49% MLB	28	MLBCLE	136	.227/.327/.343	2	5	94	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed99

Whiff%98

K%96

BB%93

Chase%91

Z-Con%87

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsJacob Hurtubise (age 26) · Flavio Romero (age 27) · José Caballero (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†95

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .330 / .344

PA1

HR0

K%20

BB%12

BABIP277

ISO111

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	27	16	4	1	2	0	9	1	1	3	0	250	538	562	1.101	312	250	4	33	460	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Lake County Captains	—	373	306	76	10	3	5	54	75	9	32	4	248	377	350	726	101	310	20	14	335	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	148	123	23	5	0	0	20	24	1	17	1	187	306	228	533	41	228	16	14	253	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Lake County Captains	—	205	158	44	5	4	5	39	28	5	26	8	278	436	456	891	177	307	14	19	397	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	33	28	9	3	0	3	4	4	1	4	0	321	424	750	1.174	429	286	12	12	495	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+	Lake County Captains	—	87	67	16	5	2	1	17	11	3	15	3	239	414	418	832	179	273	13	20	380	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	27	20	4	1	2	0	5	1	1	3	0	200	385	450	835	250	192	4	19	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	373	322	66	8	2	3	38	93	9	32	4	205	306	270	576	65	273	25	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	148	128	21	4	0	0	15	31	1	17	1	164	257	195	452	31	208	21	10	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	205	169	39	4	4	4	28	35	5	26	8	231	356	373	729	142	254	17	14	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	33	29	8	3	0	2	3	5	1	4	0	276	364	586	950	310	253	15	9	400	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	87	73	14	4	2	1	11	14	3	15	3	192	322	342	664	151	224	16	13	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	27	20	4	1	2	0	5	1	1	3	0	200	385	450	835	250	200	4	19	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	27	16	4	1	2	0	9	1	1	3	0	250	538	562	1.101	312	250	4	33	460	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	373	322	66	8	2	3	38	93	9	32	4	205	306	270	576	65	275	25	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	373	306	76	10	3	5	54	75	9	32	4	248	377	350	726	101	310	20	14	335	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	353	298	61	8	4	4	42	66	6	43	9	205	315	299	614	94	246	19	12	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	353	281	67	10	4	5	59	52	6	43	9	238	382	356	737	117	272	15	17	336	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	120	102	22	7	2	3	14	19	4	19	3	216	333	412	745	196	237	16	12	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	120	95	25	8	2	4	21	15	4	19	3	263	417	516	932	253	276	12	18	411	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	27	21	4	1	2	0	5	1	1	3	0	190	385	429	813	238	192	4	19	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	373	323	66	8	2	3	38	93	9	32	4	204	306	269	576	65	273	25	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	353	302	61	8	4	4	42	66	6	43	9	202	315	295	610	93	235	19	12	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	120	101	22	7	2	3	14	19	4	19	3	218	333	416	749	198	232	16	12	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	373	323	66	8	2	3	38	93	9	32	4	204	306	269	576	65	273	25	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	353	302	61	8	4	4	42	66	6	43	9	202	315	295	610	93	235	19	12	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	120	101	22	7	2	3	14	19	4	19	3	218	333	416	749	198	232	16	12	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	200	172	39	7	2	3	23	40	3	11	2	229	331	347	678	118	278	20	12	309	95	-1	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	CLE	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	228	330	344	674	116	277	0	0	308	95	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CLE	33%	209	179	41	8	2	3	24	42	4	9	2	229	329	348	677	119	278	20	11	309	95	-1	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	CLE	49%	276	239	53	10	2	4	31	57	4	10	2	228	327	346	673	118	278	21	11	307	94	-2	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.3
2030	29	MLB MLE	CLE	56%	310	268	61	11	3	5	34	65	5	9	2	226	324	343	667	117	277	21	11	304	92	-3	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	CLE	59%	333	289	65	12	3	5	36	71	5	8	2	224	320	338	658	114	276	21	11	300	89	-4	+1	-2	-2	+7	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	CLE	33%	68	59	14	3	1	1	8	14	1	3	1	228	329	344	673	116	277	21	12	307	95	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	CLE	49%	136	118	26	5	1	2	15	28	2	5	1	227	327	343	670	116	277	21	11	306	94	-1	+1	-0	-1	+3	0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	CLE	56%	172	148	33	6	1	3	19	36	3	5	1	226	324	340	663	114	277	21	11	303	92	-2	+1	-1	-1	+4	0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	CLE	59%	197	171	38	7	1	3	21	42	3	5	1	224	320	336	655	112	276	21	11	299	89	-2	+1	-1	-1	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	573	496	111	21	4	9	63	120	9	18	4	224	322	337	659	113	276	21	11	303	86	-6	+2	-2	-3	+12	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	563	126	24	5	10	71	136	10	20	5	224	321	337	658	114	276	21	11	303	86	-6	+2	-3	-4	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2137	1834	399	70	21	29	240	441	40	140	25	218	321	326	647	109	268	21	11	295	86	-11	+5	-4	-8	+27	0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	121	21	6	9	73	134	12	43	8	217	320	324	645	108	267	21	11	295	86	-6	+3	-2	-4	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#3Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#4Ted Savage'62-'71 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,613 PA	2.4	1,613	34	49	233*	335*	390*	-13	+0	3.4	3.8
/162	664	14	20	-5.5	+0.1	1.4	pk7: 4
#5Al Pilarcik'56-'61 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,860 PA	2.8	1,860	22	41	252*	326*	363*	-12	-8	2.1	2.1
/162	664	8	15	-4.1	-3.0	0.7	pk7: 2
#6James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	575	9	18	227	321	344	-3	+0	0.8	0.8
/162	664	11	21	-4.0	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonah Advincula (OGILVIE)	26	55	45	60	60	227/328/344	117	278	2	7	20%	11%	95	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Hurtubise 2024 · AAA	26	56→63	40	64→60	54	262/364/357	95	331	6	37	20%	10%	111	+2.1	226/325/303	77	295	4	30	22%	9%	84	+0.2	203/305/255	53	276	1	32	24%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Flavio Romero 2007 · AAA	27	51→57	42→45	55→60	53	245/325/351	106	295	10	31	20%	10%	95	+0.9	233/321/320	87	289	6	23	20%	11%	86	+0.3	248/338/291	43	307	1	22	17%	11%	86	+0.1
✕José Caballero 2023 · AA	26	45	44→45	58→70	60	218/329/337	119	274	12	33	23%	13%	95	+0.9	227/322/342	115	296	10	49	25%	10%	93	+0.8	226/318/339	113	301	10	63	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Mallex Smith 2019 · MLB	26	57→64	40→45	64→65	50	270/334/379	109	337	5	39	20%	8%	103	+1.6	238/306/348	110	310	7	39	24%	8%	86	+0.3	228/299/332	105	303	7	49	25%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Eric Patterson 2009 · MLB	26	51→55	45→50	58→60	45	249/300/376	127	309	11	27	23%	7%	91	+0.6	236/291/374	138	297	11	31	23%	7%	86	+0.3	227/284/367	140	281	11	34	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Drew Avans 2022 · AAA	26	51→55	44→45	59→60	47	242/310/369	127	331	10	26	28%	9%	93	+0.8	236/307/347	111	333	7	28	29%	9%	86	+0.3	231/303/334	103	328	7	29	29%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Kevin Thompson 2006 · AAA	26	52→53	46→50	57→60	49	250/322/392	142	310	11	29	22%	8%	103	+1.5	239/305/369	130	293	10	27	21%	8%	91	+0.7	236/301/360	124	286	10	31	20%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Max Schuemann 2023 · AAA	26	47→51	43→45	59→60	47	225/314/340	114	306	10	29	28%	8%	88	+0.5	226/317/332	106	299	10	21	26%	10%	88	+0.4	221/316/318	97	288	9	20	24%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2024 · AA	25	53→58	41→40	59→60	46	251/305/353	101	312	7	31	21%	7%	86	+0.3	245/302/330	85	317	5	25	23%	7%	80	-0.1	248/308/313	65	326	3	26	23%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Richie Palacios 2023 · MLB	26	53→54	43→45	59→55	51	250/322/375	125	311	8	20	21%	9%	99	+1.2	231/317/350	119	273	11	19	19%	10%	92	+0.7	220/318/331	111	261	12	29	19%	12%	88	+0.2
✕Leo Rivas 2024 · AAA	26	47→56	40	59→65	53	222/312/310	88	294	8	34	25%	11%	81	-0.1	237/343/333	96	318	8	32	25%	13%	98	+1.2	234/353/322	88	317	8	32	25%	14%	98	+0.7
✕Chris Getz 2010 · MLB	26	55→56	41→40	57→60	51	261/318/362	101	292	8	23	14%	7%	94	+0.9	247/303/314	67	279	3	27	12%	7%	77	-0.3	246/300/292	46	276	0	29	10%	7%	71	-0.4
✕Ezequiel Carrera 2013 · MLB	26	55→65	39→45	61→60	46	262/309/352	90	315	5	30	18%	6%	87	+0.4	255/305/351	96	314	7	36	20%	6%	86	+0.3	256/323/359	102	320	11	15	22%	8%	95	+0.5
✕Cal Stevenson 2024 · MLB	27	48→56	43→45	54→60	55	230/323/340	110	302	11	24	26%	12%	92	+0.7	237/323/358	121	312	10	26	25%	11%	95	+1.0	234/323/358	124	310	9	27	25%	11%	94	+0.5
✕Eddy Alvarez 2016 · A	26	53→54	41→50	55	51	250/319/357	107	318	7	25	22%	9%	93	+0.8	229/294/322	93	297	6	13	23%	8%	76	-0.4	247/326/401	154	324	16	14	27%	7%	103	+0.6
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2024 · MLB	25	51→55	41→45	58→60	47	243/305/348	104	315	7	31	24%	8%	86	+0.3	245/313/347	102	333	7	33	26%	8%	88	+0.5	246/318/343	97	336	6	39	26%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Micah Johnson 2016 · MLB	25	57→61	41→45	58→60	45	272/318/375	103	340	7	30	22%	6%	97	+1.1	232/280/328	96	318	7	21	27%	6%	71	-0.8	212/258/303	91	298	6	19	29%	5%	54	-1.1
✕Andrew Aplin 2016 · AAA	25	53→60	39→40	55	57	249/328/334	84	294	6	25	16%	10%	91	+0.7	216/288/307	91	280	7	18	23%	9%	71	-0.8	196/268/288	91	256	7	13	25%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Josh Rojas 2020 · MLB	26	47→53	48→50	55	50	235/303/384	149	279	14	25	21%	8%	94	+0.9	243/317/377	134	302	13	19	22%	10%	97	+1.1	249/322/365	117	312	11	18	22%	10%	97	+0.9
✕Dustin Harris 2024 · AAA	25	45→55	49→50	59→60	49	228/305/379	151	286	16	26	26%	9%	94	+0.9	242/308/364	122	304	11	30	23%	8%	91	+0.7	253/317/371	118	309	11	34	21%	7%	94	+0.7

Jonah Advincula

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps