Rainy Mota — OGILVIE

Rainy Mota P FCL Phillies

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 11 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.42

FIP5.42

K%20.1%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%4.3%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	2	0	1	6	1	1	0	0%	0.7	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.80	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	2	0	1	6	1	1	0	0%	0.7	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.85	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	15	0	28	131	26	19	1	0%	1.8	13.5%	18.1%	-4.6%	1.3%	7.16	4.95	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	15	0	28	131	26	19	1	0%	1.8	13.5%	18.1%	-4.6%	1.3%	7.16	4.95	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	15	0	28	131	26	19	1	0%	1.8	19.8%	14.5%	5.3%	0.8%	7.16	3.75	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	10	0	15	77	17	11	2	0%	1.5	15.0%	17.9%	-2.8%	3.6%	6.60	6.09	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	10	0	15	77	17	11	2	0%	1.5	15.0%	17.9%	-2.8%	3.6%	6.60	6.09	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	10	0	15	77	17	11	2	0%	1.5	22.1%	14.3%	7.8%	2.6%	6.60	4.77	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	PHI	10	0	11	46	9	7	1	0%	1.1	20.1%	15.8%	4.3%	3.0%	5.42	5.42	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	PHI	25	0	26	110	24	15	3	0%	1.0	21.4%	13.5%	7.9%	2.9%	5.12	4.99	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	PHI	12	0	13	55	12	7	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.5%	7.9%	2.9%	5.12	4.99	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	54	12	7	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.5%	7.9%	2.9%	5.12	4.61	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	109	31	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.5%	7.9%	2.9%	5.12	4.61	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		27	0	44	214	30	38	4	0%	1.6	14.1%	18.0%	-3.9%	2.1%	6.75	5.33	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		123	0	200	973	137	175	20	0%	1.6	14.1%	18.0%	-3.9%	2.1%	6.75	5.33	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rainy Mota (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.42	20.1%	15.8%	3.0%	—	4.99	21.4%	7.9%	26	-0.43	—	—	—
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	91
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	90
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	90
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	89
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	88
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	88
Drew Pestka R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	20	SU	4.26	19.0%	15.1%	1.6%	.298	4.55	18.1%	0.7%	83	+0.29	3.42	100	88
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	87
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	87
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	86
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	86
Isaac Gallegos R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	21	SU	4.40	22.9%	17.8%	1.8%	.267	3.09	19.9%	10.5%	106	-1.31	2.89	125	86
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	86
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	85
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	85
Tim Naughton R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	21	SU	4.53	17.9%	15.6%	1.8%	.312	3.58	20.7%	6.4%	83	-0.95	2.93	305	85
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	85
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	85
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	85
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	84