Adrian Bello

C FCL Marlins

Age 21 S/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKMIA	178	.275/.432/.442	4	8	58	—	.173/.295/.240
2026	20	ROKMIA	149	.278/.385/.405	2	12	62	—	.209/.284/.306
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBMIA	259	.204/.277/.288	3	5	61	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBMIA	69	.202/.276/.290	1	1	67	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBMIA	153	.205/.279/.301	2	3	71	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%67

K%63

Z-Con%59

wRC+58

ISO55

wOBA48

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsNoah Miller (age 21) · Johnny Ascanio (age 21) · Arquímedes Gamboa (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 124 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .274 / .286

PA124

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	125	110	24	6	2	1	12	36	2	0	0	218	306	336	643	118	311	29	10	291	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	148	127	23	5	0	0	18	53	2	5	2	181	293	220	513	39	307	36	12	248	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	178	138	38	5	3	4	36	34	2	8	3	275	432	442	874	167	333	19	20	392	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	149	126	35	10	0	2	20	28	2	12	3	278	385	405	790	127	340	19	13	357	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	125	113	16	4	1	0	9	44	2	0	0	142	218	195	412	53	216	35	7	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	148	132	15	3	0	0	13	64	2	5	2	114	204	136	340	23	211	43	9	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	178	150	26	3	2	1	24	43	2	8	3	173	295	240	535	67	225	24	13	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	149	134	28	7	0	2	12	40	2	12	3	209	284	306	590	97	279	27	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	125	113	16	4	1	0	9	44	2	0	0	142	218	195	412	53	229	35	7	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	125	110	24	6	2	1	12	36	2	0	0	218	306	336	643	118	311	29	10	291	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	148	132	15	3	0	0	13	64	2	5	2	114	204	136	340	23	217	43	9	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	148	127	23	5	0	0	18	53	2	5	2	181	293	220	513	39	307	36	12	248	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	178	150	26	3	2	1	24	43	2	8	3	173	295	240	535	67	231	24	13	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	178	138	38	5	3	4	36	34	2	8	3	275	432	442	874	167	333	19	20	392	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	149	134	28	7	0	2	12	40	2	12	3	209	284	306	590	97	280	27	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	149	126	35	10	0	2	20	28	2	12	3	278	385	405	790	127	340	19	13	357	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	125	113	16	4	1	0	9	44	2	0	0	142	218	195	412	53	216	35	7	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	148	132	15	3	0	0	13	64	2	5	2	114	204	136	340	23	211	43	9	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	178	150	26	3	2	1	24	43	2	8	3	173	295	240	535	67	225	24	13	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	149	134	28	7	0	2	12	40	2	12	3	209	284	306	590	97	279	27	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	148	132	15	3	0	0	13	64	2	5	2	114	204	136	340	23	211	43	9	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	178	150	26	3	2	1	24	43	2	8	3	173	295	240	535	67	225	24	13	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	149	134	28	7	0	2	12	40	2	12	3	209	284	306	590	97	279	27	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	259	234	49	9	2	3	21	72	2	5	1	204	277	288	565	85	279	28	8	259	61	-12	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	202	181	38	7	1	3	17	55	2	4	1	208	282	303	585	95	281	27	8	267	67	-8	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	315	283	61	11	2	5	26	85	3	6	2	212	286	315	600	103	282	27	8	273	71	-11	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	395	355	77	14	2	7	33	105	4	7	2	215	289	324	613	109	284	27	8	278	74	-12	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	440	396	87	16	3	8	37	116	4	8	2	217	291	330	621	113	284	26	8	281	76	-12	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	468	421	93	17	3	9	39	123	5	9	2	219	292	335	627	116	284	26	8	283	78	-12	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	480	432	94	17	3	9	40	126	5	9	2	218	291	332	623	114	284	26	8	282	77	-13	+1	+0	+9	+10	0.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	483	436	94	17	3	9	40	128	4	8	2	216	289	327	616	111	283	27	8	279	75	-14	+1	-1	+9	+10	0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	478	431	92	17	3	8	40	128	4	7	2	213	286	321	607	108	281	27	8	275	73	-16	+1	-1	+9	+10	0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	471	425	89	16	2	8	39	128	4	6	3	210	283	313	596	103	279	27	8	271	69	-17	+0	-2	+8	+10	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	69	62	12	2	0	1	6	19	1	1	0	202	276	290	566	89	272	28	9	259	67	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	153	138	28	5	1	2	13	41	1	3	1	205	279	301	581	96	273	27	8	265	71	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	208	187	39	7	1	3	17	55	2	4	1	208	282	310	592	102	275	26	8	270	74	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	241	217	45	8	1	4	20	64	2	5	1	210	284	316	601	106	275	27	8	273	76	-7	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	260	233	50	9	1	5	22	68	3	5	1	212	286	320	606	108	275	26	8	275	78	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	264	238	50	9	1	5	22	70	2	5	1	211	285	318	602	107	274	27	8	274	77	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	264	238	49	9	1	4	22	70	2	4	1	209	283	313	596	104	274	27	8	271	75	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	255	230	47	8	1	4	21	68	2	4	1	206	280	307	587	101	272	27	8	267	73	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	248	224	46	8	1	4	20	67	2	3	1	204	277	300	576	96	270	27	8	263	69	-9	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1962	1767	366	65	8	32	163	522	17	34	8	207	280	307	588	100	274	27	8	270	68	-61	+4	-2	+35	+43	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	122	22	3	11	54	173	6	11	3	209	282	313	595	104	275	27	8	270	68	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4456	4001	833	153	26	70	379	1219	44	91	27	208	284	312	596	104	279	27	9	269	68	-122	+6	-4	+69	+84	3.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	121	22	4	10	55	178	6	13	4	207	282	310	592	103	278	27	8	269	68	-21	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Red Kleinow'04-'11 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,875 PA	2.8	1,875	3	42	219*	299*	350*	+33	-1	4.3	4.4
/162	664	1	15	+11.5	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,086	35	36	215	285	324	+37	+24	3.1	3.0
/162	664	11	11	+11.9	+7.6	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian Bello (OGILVIE)	21	45	35	50	60	202/274/286	84	279	1	2	28%	8%	61	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Noah Miller 2024 · A	21	40→47	38→40	51→50	47	191/267/270	79	268	5	11	29%	9%	55	-2.0	217/269/299	82	278	6	6	23%	7%	61	-1.5	224/272/309	85	279	7	4	21%	6%	63	-1.2
✕Johnny Ascanio 2024 · A	21	45	39→40	48→45	44	215/277/303	88	293	6	9	27%	7%	65	-1.2	210/284/284	74	275	6	8	24%	8%	64	-1.3	209/293/268	60	273	4	7	23%	9%	62	-0.8
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2019 · A	21	43→44	37→40	48→50	45	203/266/276	74	281	5	7	28%	8%	55	-1.9	190/267/267	77	281	5	14	31%	9%	54	-2.0	202/287/292	90	293	7	15	31%	10%	64	-0.7
✕Riley Unroe 2017 · A	21	42→47	36→45	46→55	44	199/262/261	62	279	4	12	29%	7%	50	-2.3	203/271/281	78	291	6	12	30%	8%	58	-1.7	218/301/329	112	292	11	26	27%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Allan Castro 2024 · A	21	42→45	42→45	52→50	47	205/277/316	111	276	7	12	27%	8%	69	-0.9	213/282/329	116	284	11	15	27%	8%	74	-0.6	212/279/324	113	274	12	17	26%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Josue Huma 2021 · A	21	44	38→40	50	48	209/277/287	78	277	5	9	25%	8%	62	-1.4	208/270/288	80	282	6	9	26%	7%	59	-1.6	207/267/282	76	274	6	9	25%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Jeremy Arocho 2021 · A	22	48→44	36→30	48→60	47	224/284/295	71	288	3	10	22%	7%	65	-1.2	228/321/282	54	318	2	26	25%	12%	78	-0.3	221/328/267	46	302	1	34	24%	13%	75	-0.3
✕Cole Tucker 2017 · A	21	49→51	37→45	49→55	43	229/274/303	74	302	4	13	25%	6%	63	-1.4	230/288/329	99	306	6	23	25%	7%	75	-0.5	230/292/338	108	300	7	25	24%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Darwin Perez 2010 · A	21	48→53	37→40	50	46	223/287/299	75	315	3	9	28%	8%	68	-1.0	230/290/304	74	316	4	14	26%	7%	70	-0.8	225/287/297	72	304	5	16	26%	7%	65	-1.0
✕Frainyer Chavez 2021 · A	22	44→47	36→40	50	44	210/266/274	64	282	3	15	26%	7%	54	-2.0	207/274/272	65	290	4	11	28%	8%	57	-1.8	223/291/306	84	291	8	18	25%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Herard Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	45→43	37→40	47→50	48	213/288/283	70	293	6	10	27%	9%	65	-1.2	199/278/288	89	323	6	10	36%	9%	63	-1.4	188/268/272	84	294	6	10	35%	9%	54	-1.4
✕Elih Marrero 2019 · A	22	45	36→40	49→55	47	212/276/279	66	277	3	5	23%	8%	59	-1.6	212/271/292	80	283	5	9	25%	7%	60	-1.6	210/266/317	107	293	8	22	29%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Dayan Frias 2022 · A	20	44→43	39→40	48→55	48	210/286/301	91	288	5	7	27%	9%	69	-0.9	209/284/301	92	305	7	6	31%	9%	68	-1.0	201/280/292	91	289	8	6	31%	9%	62	-1.1
✕Angel Franco 2011 · A	21	47→50	36→40	48→50	45	222/269/287	65	276	3	12	21%	6%	57	-1.8	236/278/322	86	275	6	7	16%	5%	69	-0.9	245/284/333	88	284	6	8	15%	5%	70	-0.5
✕Maick Collado 2024 · A	21	49	37→40	52→45	52	228/302/300	72	288	4	9	21%	9%	74	-0.6	214/281/293	79	263	6	5	20%	8%	65	-1.2	207/272/284	77	249	7	3	19%	7%	59	-0.9
✕Victor Acosta 2024 · A	20	43→45	38→40	51→50	44	202/287/286	84	286	4	11	28%	8%	66	-1.1	197/279/276	79	278	4	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	188/274/265	77	265	4	13	28%	7%	55	-1.1
✕Jose Lobatón 2006 · A	21	45	39→45	50→30	46	213/275/298	85	283	5	8	26%	8%	63	-1.3	216/286/337	121	301	12	3	30%	9%	77	-0.3	234/317/366	131	296	12	0	23%	10%	95	+0.4
✕Johan Macias 2024 · A	21	45→47	38→40	47→50	42	212/275/289	77	287	5	6	26%	6%	61	-1.5	216/267/297	81	285	5	9	24%	5%	60	-1.6	215/262/293	78	274	5	9	23%	5%	54	-1.0
✕Jeral Toledo 2024 · A	21	42	38→30	49→45	51	197/285/284	87	267	4	13	26%	10%	65	-1.2	199/267/272	73	286	4	9	29%	8%	55	-2.0	181/251/237	56	261	3	7	29%	8%	38	-1.0
✕Edgar Rondon 2016 · A	21	46	37→40	52→50	48	213/291/294	80	278	3	12	23%	8%	69	-0.9	206/275/275	69	326	3	10	34%	7%	59	-1.7	169/246/196	27	334	0	12	45%	7%	28	-0.7

Adrian Bello

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps