Jeral Toledo — OGILVIE

Jeral ToledoSS Bradenton Marauders

Age 23 S/R 5'10" / 135 lbs A HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 138 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .269 / .274

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	192	148	35	9	0	1	35	24	6	9	6	236	402	318	720	81	270	12	18	339	116	+4	-1	—	—	+4	0.7
2022	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	123	98	17	5	2	0	20	31	4	5	4	173	336	265	601	92	250	25	16	289	82	-3	-1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2023	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	151	121	37	9	3	2	24	25	1	11	4	306	425	479	904	174	357	17	16	390	150	+9	+1	—	—	+3	1.3
2024	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	239	205	46	10	3	0	28	48	1	6	5	224	319	302	622	78	289	20	12	284	78	-6	-1	—	—	+5	-0.2
2025	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	121	26	3	0	2	17	33	2	2	3	215	321	289	611	74	279	23	12	278	74	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	—	192	161	30	7	0	1	22	34	6	9	6	186	307	248	555	62	219	18	11	257	60	-9	-1	—	—	+4	-0.6
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	123	105	13	4	1	0	13	42	4	5	4	124	246	181	427	57	197	34	11	202	23	-11	-1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	151	130	29	6	2	2	15	38	1	11	4	223	308	346	654	123	277	25	10	288	81	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.0
2024	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	239	213	39	8	2	0	21	70	1	6	5	183	260	239	499	56	259	29	9	225	38	-18	-1	—	—	+5	-1.3
2025	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	126	24	3	0	2	12	47	2	2	3	190	271	262	533	71	266	32	8	231	42	-10	-1	—	—	+3	-0.8
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	—	192	161	30	7	0	1	22	34	6	9	6	186	307	248	555	62	225	18	11	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Gold	—	192	148	35	9	0	1	35	24	6	9	6	236	402	318	720	81	270	12	18	339	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	123	105	13	4	1	0	13	42	4	5	4	124	246	181	427	57	203	34	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	123	98	17	5	2	0	20	31	4	5	4	173	336	265	601	92	250	25	16	289	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	151	130	29	6	2	2	15	38	1	11	4	223	308	346	654	123	287	25	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	151	121	37	9	3	2	24	25	1	11	4	306	425	479	904	174	357	17	16	390	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	239	213	39	8	2	0	21	70	1	6	5	183	260	239	499	56	269	29	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	239	205	46	10	3	0	28	48	1	6	5	224	319	302	622	78	289	20	12	284	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	126	24	3	0	2	12	47	2	2	3	190	271	262	533	71	286	32	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	121	26	3	0	2	17	33	2	2	3	215	321	289	611	74	279	23	12	278	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	—	192	162	30	7	0	1	22	34	6	9	6	185	307	247	554	62	219	18	11	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	123	105	13	4	1	0	13	42	4	5	4	124	246	181	427	57	197	34	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	151	134	29	6	2	2	15	38	1	11	4	216	308	336	644	119	277	25	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	239	215	39	8	2	0	21	70	1	6	5	181	260	237	497	56	259	29	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	130	24	3	0	2	12	47	2	2	3	185	271	254	525	69	266	32	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	151	134	29	6	2	2	15	38	1	11	4	216	308	336	644	119	277	25	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	239	215	39	8	2	0	21	70	1	6	5	181	260	237	497	56	259	29	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	130	24	3	0	2	12	47	2	2	3	185	271	254	525	69	266	32	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		261	27	9	253	57	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PIT	30%	212	190	38	7	1	3	18	55	2	4	1	200	276	295	571	95	265	26	8	265	65	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	44%	300	268	56	11	2	5	26	77	3	5	2	209	286	321	607	112	267	26	9	272	70	-11	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	PIT	51%	360	321	68	13	2	7	32	92	4	6	2	212	291	330	622	118	268	26	9	276	73	-12	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	390	348	73	14	2	7	35	99	4	7	2	210	289	322	611	112	269	25	9	278	74	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	407	363	76	15	2	7	37	104	4	7	2	209	290	320	609	110	269	26	9	277	73	-13	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	410	366	76	15	2	7	37	106	4	6	2	208	287	317	604	109	268	26	9	275	72	-14	+0	-1	+4	+9	-0.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	409	365	75	14	2	7	37	107	4	5	2	205	286	312	598	107	267	26	9	273	71	-14	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	PIT	30%	64	57	11	2	0	1	6	17	1	1	0	193	281	281	562	88	263	27	9	255	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	44%	132	118	25	5	1	2	12	34	1	2	1	212	290	322	612	110	265	26	9	262	70	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	PIT	51%	183	163	34	7	1	3	16	47	2	3	1	209	287	319	606	110	267	26	9	265	73	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	204	182	37	7	1	3	18	52	2	3	1	203	282	302	584	99	267	25	9	267	74	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	217	194	41	8	1	4	19	56	2	3	1	211	288	325	613	113	267	26	9	266	73	-7	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	215	192	40	8	1	4	19	55	2	3	1	208	286	323	609	115	266	26	9	264	72	-7	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	213	190	38	7	1	3	19	55	2	3	1	200	280	295	574	95	265	26	9	262	71	-7	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1228	1096	226	44	6	20	109	316	12	18	6	206	285	312	597	106	269	26	9	264	66	-41	+1	-2	+13	+27	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	120	23	3	11	58	167	6	10	3	207	286	314	600	107	269	26	9	264	66	-22	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3349	2966	598	117	18	48	306	874	39	73	35	202	285	302	587	100	266	26	9	266	66	-84	+3	-4	+27	+54	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	116	23	3	9	59	170	8	14	7	201	285	299	583	97	267	26	9	266	66	-22	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.1	1,366	23	22	207	283	314	+15	+12	0.5	0.6
/162	664	11	11	+7.1	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeral Toledo (OGILVIE)	23	34→39	31→36	47→52	56	192/269/274	82	261	1	2	27%	9%	57	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Papierski 2019 · A	23	37→44	39→40	47→40	54	180/284/263	83	241	7	6	26%	11%	61	-1.5	192/281/278	86	270	8	4	29%	10%	63	-1.4	200/288/293	93	258	9	0	25%	10%	66	-0.6
✕Gerard Hall 2011 · A	23	41→39	37→40	49→50	44	196/256/272	76	277	4	12	29%	7%	50	-2.3	214/268/301	87	306	3	10	29%	7%	61	-1.5	225/275/316	91	323	0	8	28%	6%	64	-0.7
✕Frainyer Chavez 2022 · A	23	44→48	35→40	46→50	46	203/276/259	55	287	2	11	28%	8%	55	-1.9	210/273/279	69	293	5	13	28%	7%	58	-1.7	225/293/309	84	295	8	18	25%	8%	70	-0.6
✕Carlos Ramirez 2012 · A	23	43	38→40	47→45	48	205/272/280	75	254	6	8	21%	8%	59	-1.7	198/267/269	71	267	6	8	26%	8%	54	-2.0	146/231/157	11	210	0	6	27%	9%	14	-1.1
✕Austin Elkins 2014 · A	23	43→42	40	49→50	53	208/296/306	98	259	7	13	22%	10%	74	-0.5	216/295/307	91	278	7	10	23%	9%	74	-0.6	211/298/277	66	273	4	6	22%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Oliver Dominguez 2012 · A	23	40	40	52→45	49	197/272/290	93	263	7	15	27%	9%	61	-1.5	198/260/296	98	289	8	8	32%	7%	57	-1.8	182/242/277	95	271	7	3	34%	7%	44	-1.0
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	206/268/286	80	275	6	9	26%	7%	58	-1.7	216/267/308	92	323	7	4	33%	6%	62	-1.4	212/260/299	87	317	7	0	34%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2021 · AA	23	38→45	36→40	51→50	45	181/256/249	69	269	4	15	32%	9%	45	-2.7	201/280/295	94	290	8	14	30%	10%	65	-1.2	199/285/288	89	292	7	15	31%	10%	63	-0.8
✕Elih Marrero 2021 · A	24	44	39→40	49→55	44	210/266/295	85	273	6	7	25%	7%	59	-1.7	214/286/290	76	305	4	21	28%	9%	66	-1.1	210/267/320	110	294	8	22	29%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	23	42→46	36→40	47→50	46	199/262/267	68	267	2	10	25%	8%	51	-2.2	207/260/295	88	280	5	8	26%	6%	57	-1.8	212/294/350	138	266	14	2	25%	10%	81	-0.0
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	38→42	38→40	53→55	44	185/253/266	81	273	5	13	32%	8%	48	-2.5	202/277/292	90	295	6	20	31%	9%	63	-1.3	211/276/297	86	290	7	22	28%	8%	61	-0.9
✕Nash Knight 2016 · A	23	40→48	38→40	46→40	46	190/265/264	74	283	6	5	33%	9%	53	-2.1	224/289/308	84	302	6	4	26%	8%	71	-0.8	223/289/297	75	292	5	2	24%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Carlos Colmenares 2009 · A	23	43→53	39→40	47→50	45	208/276/292	84	279	7	12	27%	7%	63	-1.4	236/285/306	70	315	2	13	24%	6%	68	-1.0	259/295/394	135	304	9	17	18%	5%	89	+0.1
✕Robi Estrada 2012 · A	23	45	36→40	51→50	48	212/271/275	63	270	3	13	22%	8%	56	-1.9	219/271/307	88	269	6	9	20%	7%	63	-1.3	217/265/303	85	265	7	9	20%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2013 · A	23	41	36→40	52→50	47	193/261/264	71	245	3	7	22%	7%	51	-2.3	207/282/289	82	278	6	8	26%	8%	65	-1.2	203/283/282	80	272	6	8	26%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Coty Blanchard 2015 · A	23	41	36→40	48→45	47	192/261/260	67	258	2	6	25%	8%	50	-2.3	227/277/301	74	309	3	7	26%	6%	64	-1.3	246/290/315	69	329	2	7	24%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Cal Conley 2022 · A	23	42→48	39→40	50→55	41	202/266/290	88	280	7	13	29%	6%	59	-1.7	211/262/307	96	279	8	23	26%	6%	60	-1.6	211/262/295	84	276	7	28	25%	6%	55	-1.8
✕Larry Cobb 2008 · A	23	40→43	39→45	47→50	49	193/267/275	82	244	7	10	23%	8%	56	-1.9	210/273/324	114	268	12	11	25%	6%	69	-0.9	206/269/325	118	259	13	11	25%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Terry Serrano 2009 · A	22	41	36→30	51→55	45	194/254/257	63	262	3	15	26%	7%	46	-2.6	209/290/282	73	320	3	15	32%	10%	65	-1.2	204/311/268	64	327	2	21	33%	13%	68	-0.5
✕Jose R. Flores 2010 · A	22	41→50	39→40	51→45	44	198/255/282	85	264	7	9	27%	7%	53	-2.1	242/287/330	88	290	7	8	18%	6%	74	-0.5	240/287/320	79	288	5	7	18%	6%	69	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps