Jeral Toledo — OGILVIE

Jeral ToledoSS Bradenton Marauders

Age 23 S/R 5'10" / 135 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 138 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .268 / .275

PA138

HR1

K%27

BB%8

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	192	160	31	7	0	1	23	33	6	9	6	194	317	256	574	62	233	17	12	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	192	148	35	9	0	1	35	24	6	9	6	236	402	318	720	81	270	12	18	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	123	105	13	4	1	0	13	39	4	5	4	124	246	181	427	57	194	32	11	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	123	98	17	5	2	0	20	31	4	5	4	173	336	265	601	92	250	25	16	289	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	151	130	29	6	2	2	15	40	1	11	4	223	308	346	654	123	293	26	10	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	151	121	37	9	3	2	24	25	1	11	4	306	425	479	904	174	357	17	16	390	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	239	213	38	7	2	0	21	72	1	6	5	178	255	230	485	52	266	30	9	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	239	205	46	10	3	0	28	48	1	6	5	224	319	302	622	78	289	20	12	284	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	126	24	2	0	2	12	47	2	2	3	190	271	254	525	63	286	32	8	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	121	26	3	0	2	17	33	2	2	3	215	321	289	611	74	279	23	12	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	PIT	—	138	124	24	5	1	1	12	37	1	2	1	194	270	274	544	81	260	27	9	252	51	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	PIT	30%	212	190	38	7	1	3	18	55	2	4	1	200	276	295	571	95	265	26	8	264	61	-9	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	PIT	44%	300	268	56	11	2	5	26	77	3	5	2	209	286	321	607	112	267	26	9	272	66	-11	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.0
2029	26	MLB	PIT	51%	360	322	68	13	2	7	31	92	4	6	2	211	289	329	618	118	269	26	9	276	69	-12	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2030	27	MLB	PIT	52%	390	349	73	14	2	7	34	100	4	7	2	209	287	321	608	112	269	26	9	277	70	-13	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.3
2031	28	MLB	PIT	53%	407	364	75	14	2	7	36	104	4	7	2	206	285	313	598	107	269	26	9	276	70	-14	+1	-1	+4	+12	0.2
2027	24	MLB	PIT	30%	64	58	11	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	190	266	276	541	86	264	27	8	256	54	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	PIT	44%	132	119	25	5	1	2	11	34	1	2	1	210	282	319	602	109	266	26	8	264	60	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	PIT	51%	183	163	33	6	1	3	16	47	2	3	1	202	282	307	589	104	267	26	9	268	63	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2030	27	MLB	PIT	52%	204	182	38	7	1	4	18	52	2	3	1	209	287	324	611	115	268	25	9	269	64	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.0
2031	28	MLB	PIT	53%	217	194	41	8	1	4	19	56	2	3	1	211	288	325	613	113	267	26	9	268	63	-9	+0	-0	+2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	800	716	148	28	4	14	69	206	8	12	4	207	284	316	599	109	268	26	9	267	62	-34	+1	-0	+9	+23	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	120	23	3	11	56	167	6	10	3	206	282	313	595	107	268	26	9	267	62	-28	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	2657	2351	469	90	15	35	241	696	32	64	32	199	283	295	578	96	265	26	9	263	59	-122	+0	-1	+28	+75	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	115	22	4	9	59	170	8	16	8	200	283	299	583	99	264	26	9	263	59	-30	+0	-0	+7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	192	148	35	9	0	1	35	24	6	9	6	236	402	318	720	81	270	12	18	339	118	+4	-1	—	—	+5	0.9
2022	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	123	98	17	5	2	0	20	31	4	5	4	173	336	265	601	92	250	25	16	289	80	-3	-1	—	—	+3	0.0
2023	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	151	121	37	9	3	2	24	25	1	11	4	306	425	479	904	174	357	17	16	390	156	+10	+1	—	—	+4	1.5
2024	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	239	205	46	10	3	0	28	48	1	6	5	224	319	302	622	78	289	20	12	284	75	-7	-1	—	—	+7	-0.1
2025	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	121	26	3	0	2	17	33	2	2	3	215	321	289	611	74	279	23	12	278	71	-5	-1	—	—	+4	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	938	16	16	207	281	314	+10	+9	0.2	0.3
	/162	664	11	11	207	281	314	+7.1	+6.4	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeral Toledo (OGILVIE)	23	33→38	31→36	47→52	56	192/268/275	83	260	1	2	27%	8%	51	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Frainyer Chavez 2022 · A	23	43→47	35→40	46→50	47	199/275/254	55	281	3	11	28%	9%	48	-1.9	207/271/278	71	290	5	13	28%	8%	52	-1.6	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Gerard Hall 2011 · A	23	41→39	37→40	49→50	44	195/254/270	74	274	4	12	29%	7%	42	-2.3	214/267/300	86	306	4	10	29%	6%	55	-1.4	225/274/314	90	324	0	8	29%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Michael Papierski 2019 · A	23	38→44	39→45	47→40	54	184/290/266	83	249	7	6	27%	12%	59	-1.1	192/281/280	88	271	9	4	30%	10%	59	-1.1	204/292/309	105	261	11	0	25%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Elih Marrero 2021 · A	24	43	39→40	49→55	44	209/265/293	84	274	6	7	25%	7%	53	-1.5	210/281/284	74	303	4	21	29%	8%	58	-1.2	201/279/263	62	296	3	27	30%	9%	50	-0.6
✕Carlos Ramirez 2012 · A	23	42	38→40	47→45	48	203/268/279	77	249	6	8	21%	8%	51	-1.7	196/265/268	72	265	6	8	26%	8%	47	-1.9	143/229/152	10	209	0	6	28%	9%	1	-1.2
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	23	41→46	35→40	47→50	46	192/255/257	64	260	2	10	26%	8%	40	-2.4	204/256/289	85	277	5	8	27%	6%	48	-1.9	210/295/360	150	264	16	2	26%	10%	80	+0.1
✕Austin Elkins 2014 · A	23	43→41	40	49→50	53	207/296/306	99	256	7	13	21%	10%	71	-0.3	215/295/304	89	278	6	10	23%	9%	69	-0.4	208/296/270	62	273	3	6	23%	9%	57	-0.5
✕Cal Conley 2022 · A	23	41→49	39→40	50→55	41	200/264/285	86	280	6	13	30%	6%	51	-1.7	215/266/315	100	285	9	23	26%	6%	59	-1.1	216/267/307	91	282	7	28	25%	6%	54	-1.3
✕Marcus Littlewood 2015 · A	23	41	41→45	49→45	46	201/266/303	102	266	8	5	27%	8%	56	-1.3	214/272/330	116	284	11	5	27%	7%	66	-0.6	212/266/328	116	280	12	3	28%	7%	60	-0.5
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	205/266/285	80	275	6	9	27%	7%	52	-1.6	212/262/306	94	320	8	4	34%	6%	55	-1.4	201/249/291	90	304	8	0	35%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Oliver Dominguez 2012 · A	23	40	40	52→45	48	194/269/288	94	262	8	15	28%	9%	54	-1.4	194/256/291	97	283	8	8	32%	7%	49	-1.8	176/234/268	92	260	7	3	34%	7%	31	-1.1
✕Carlos Colmenares 2009 · A	23	43→53	39→40	47→50	45	208/276/292	84	279	7	12	27%	7%	58	-1.2	233/281/303	70	311	2	13	24%	6%	62	-0.9	271/304/429	158	312	13	17	17%	5%	101	+0.4
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2021 · AA	23	38→44	36→40	51→50	45	179/255/247	68	273	4	15	33%	9%	37	-2.6	199/279/294	95	294	8	14	32%	10%	59	-1.1	198/284/290	92	298	8	15	33%	10%	58	-0.7
✕Christian Lara 2008 · A	23	42→49	39→45	49→50	43	203/264/292	89	282	7	10	29%	7%	53	-1.5	213/264/307	94	308	6	10	31%	6%	56	-1.3	222/274/324	102	300	8	9	27%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Jose R. Flores 2010 · A	22	41→51	39→40	51→45	44	198/255/282	85	264	7	9	27%	7%	46	-2.0	243/289/332	89	292	7	8	18%	6%	72	-0.2	242/290/323	81	290	5	7	18%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Larry Cobb 2008 · A	23	40→43	39→45	47→50	49	193/267/275	82	244	7	10	23%	8%	50	-1.7	210/273/324	114	268	12	11	25%	6%	65	-0.7	206/269/325	118	259	13	11	25%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Mack Chambers 2022 · A	22	41	37→40	45→50	44	197/255/273	76	263	4	7	26%	7%	43	-2.2	211/273/309	98	276	8	11	25%	7%	61	-1.0	203/270/297	93	260	8	13	24%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Terry Serrano 2009 · A	22	41	36→30	51→55	45	194/254/257	63	262	3	15	26%	7%	39	-2.5	209/290/282	73	320	3	15	32%	10%	61	-1.0	204/311/268	64	327	2	21	33%	13%	64	-0.4
✕Kawika Emsley-Pai 2013 · A	24	43	36→30	46→40	53	198/292/268	70	276	3	7	27%	11%	59	-1.1	195/288/272	77	280	6	7	29%	11%	59	-1.1	161/272/222	60	234	6	4	30%	12%	39	-0.7
✕Sammy Diaz 2014 · A	23	47	37→40	49→50	49	220/277/286	67	256	4	8	16%	7%	56	-1.3	237/281/329	92	278	5	8	16%	6%	68	-0.5	247/284/344	97	281	2	5	12%	5%	71	-0.1