Jeral Toledo

SS Bradenton Marauders

Age 24 S/R 5'10" / 135 lbs A HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	20	ROKPIT	151	.306/.425/.479	2	11	80	—	.223/.308/.346
2024	21	APIT	239	.224/.319/.302	0	6	38	—	.186/.255/.247
2025	22	APIT	145	.215/.321/.289	2	2	39	—	.189/.264/.252
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBPIT	200	.197/.263/.301	3	3	59	0.0
2028PROJ29% MLB	25	MLBPIT	24	.201/.267/.309	0	0	64	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A

Max EV87

Chase%59

K%54

Whiff%49

BB%47

Z-Con%43

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .261 / .298

PA47

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	192	148	35	9	0	1	35	24	6	9	6	236	402	318	720	81	270	12	18	339	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	123	98	17	5	2	0	20	31	4	5	4	173	336	265	601	92	250	25	16	289	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	151	121	37	9	3	2	24	25	1	11	4	306	425	479	904	174	357	17	16	390	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	239	205	46	10	3	0	28	48	1	6	5	224	319	302	622	78	289	20	12	284	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	121	26	3	0	2	17	33	2	2	3	215	321	289	611	74	279	23	12	278	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	—	192	158	26	6	0	1	25	29	6	9	6	165	302	222	523	57	182	15	13	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	123	105	13	4	1	0	13	42	4	5	4	124	246	181	427	57	198	34	11	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	151	130	29	6	2	2	15	38	1	11	4	223	308	346	654	123	276	25	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	239	215	40	7	3	0	19	67	1	6	5	186	255	247	502	60	257	28	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	127	24	2	0	2	11	45	2	2	3	189	264	252	516	63	261	31	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	—	192	158	26	6	0	1	25	29	6	9	6	165	302	222	523	57	191	15	13	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Gold	—	192	148	35	9	0	1	35	24	6	9	6	236	402	318	720	81	270	12	18	339	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	123	105	13	4	1	0	13	42	4	5	4	124	246	181	427	57	203	34	11	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	123	98	17	5	2	0	20	31	4	5	4	173	336	265	601	92	250	25	16	289	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	151	130	29	6	2	2	15	38	1	11	4	223	308	346	654	123	287	25	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	151	121	37	9	3	2	24	25	1	11	4	306	425	479	904	174	357	17	16	390	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	239	215	40	7	3	0	19	67	1	6	5	186	255	247	502	60	267	28	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	239	205	46	10	3	0	28	48	1	6	5	224	319	302	622	78	289	20	12	284	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	127	24	2	0	2	11	45	2	2	3	189	264	252	516	63	275	31	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	121	26	3	0	2	17	33	2	2	3	215	321	289	611	74	279	23	12	278	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	—	192	159	26	6	0	1	25	29	6	9	6	164	302	220	522	57	182	15	13	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	123	105	13	4	1	0	13	42	4	5	4	124	246	181	427	57	198	34	11	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	151	134	29	6	2	2	15	38	1	11	4	216	308	336	644	119	276	25	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	239	217	40	7	3	0	19	67	1	6	5	184	255	244	500	60	257	28	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	131	24	2	0	2	11	45	2	2	3	183	264	244	509	61	261	31	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	239	217	40	7	3	0	19	67	1	6	5	184	255	244	500	60	257	28	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	145	131	24	2	0	2	11	45	2	2	3	183	264	244	509	61	261	31	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	200	181	36	7	1	3	15	55	2	3	1	197	263	301	564	104	260	28	8	256	59	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	29%	81	74	15	3	0	2	6	22	1	1	0	201	268	313	581	112	262	27	7	263	64	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	29%	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	201	267	309	577	109	262	29	8	261	64	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	182	250	227	477	45	267	29	8	261	48	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	108	27	0	0	54	190	0	0	0	181	249	227	476	45	266	29	8	261	48	-28	+0	+0	+7	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	978	853	156	30	6	8	92	256	15	35	22	183	274	260	534	77	247	26	9	240	48	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	103	20	4	5	61	170	10	23	15	182	273	257	530	76	246	26	9	240	48	-29	+2	+0	+7	+14	-0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ABradenton Marauders · 145 PAwOBA .272 → .226 (−46)K% 22.8% → 31.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.76%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	30.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.72%	÷1.052	×0.690	—	—	7.69%
HBP% /PA	1.38%	—	×0.780	—	—	1.08%
Singles /BIP	23.86%	÷0.993	×0.920	×1.035	—	22.88%
Doubles /BIP	3.41%	÷1.084	×0.830	×1.035	—	2.70%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.952	×0.910	×1.035	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.27%	÷0.932	×0.800	—	—	1.95%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 100, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.

Result: wOBA .272 → .226; ISO .074 → .062; BABIP .279 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ABradenton Marauders · 239 PAwOBA .279 → .224 (−55)K% 20.1% → 28.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.08%	÷0.975	×1.360	—	—	28.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.72%	÷1.010	×0.690	—	×1.015	8.12%
HBP% /PA	0.42%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	0.33%
Singles /BIP	21.02%	÷0.977	×0.920	×0.983	×1.015	19.75%
Doubles /BIP	6.37%	÷1.124	×0.830	×0.983	×1.015	4.69%
Triples /BIP	1.91%	÷1.052	×0.910	×0.983	×1.015	1.65%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.046	×0.800	—	×1.015	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 125, 3B 110, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .279 → .224; ISO .078 → .059; BABIP .289 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Pirates · 151 PAwOBA .391 → .287 (−104)K% 16.6% → 25.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.56%	÷0.949	×1.440	—	—	25.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.89%	÷1.002	×0.620	—	×0.995	9.79%
HBP% /PA	0.66%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.47%
Singles /BIP	23.96%	÷0.984	×0.820	×0.983	×0.995	19.53%
Doubles /BIP	9.38%	÷1.026	×0.720	×0.983	×0.995	6.44%
Triples /BIP	3.12%	÷0.966	×0.720	×0.983	×0.995	2.28%
Home runs /BIP	2.08%	÷0.925	×0.780	—	×0.995	1.75%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 93, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .391 → .287; ISO .174 → .131; BABIP .357 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKFCL Pirates · 123 PAwOBA .286 → .203 (−83)K% 25.2% → 33.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.20%	÷1.069	×1.440	—	—	33.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.26%	÷0.988	×0.620	—	×1.008	10.28%
HBP% /PA	3.25%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.36%
Singles /BIP	14.93%	÷1.005	×0.820	×1.021	×1.008	12.53%
Doubles /BIP	7.46%	÷1.027	×0.720	×1.021	×1.008	5.38%
Triples /BIP	2.99%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.021	×1.008	2.21%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.977	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 100, K 114, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .286 → .203; ISO .092 → .066; BABIP .250 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL PIT Gold · 192 PAwOBA .337 → .242 (−95)K% 12.5% → 14.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.50%	÷1.020	×1.220	—	—	14.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.23%	÷0.972	×0.700	—	×1.008	13.23%
HBP% /PA	3.12%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.20%
Singles /BIP	20.16%	÷0.959	×0.680	×0.981	×1.008	14.13%
Doubles /BIP	7.26%	÷0.968	×0.600	×0.981	×1.008	4.45%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.981	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.81%	÷0.899	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.42%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 92, 2B 94, 3B 100, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .337 → .242; ISO .081 → .052; BABIP .270 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).