Angel Herrera — OGILVIE

Angel HerreraOF DSL Rangers Blue

Age 20 L/L 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 86 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .282 / .307

PA7

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	130	25	2	6	1	32	33	0	13	7	192	352	323	675	131	247	20	20	314	98	-0	-0	—	—	+4	0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	196	154	36	6	2	1	33	37	5	27	5	234	385	318	704	84	294	19	17	327	108	+2	+3	—	—	+4	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	143	19	2	4	1	19	49	0	13	7	133	235	224	458	91	189	30	12	209	28	-14	-0	—	—	+4	-1.1
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	196	166	30	5	1	1	21	54	5	27	5	181	292	241	533	60	241	28	11	242	50	-12	+3	—	—	+4	-0.4
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	143	19	2	4	1	19	49	0	13	7	133	235	224	458	91	191	30	12	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	130	25	2	6	1	32	33	0	13	7	192	352	323	675	131	247	20	20	314	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	196	166	30	5	1	1	21	54	5	27	5	181	292	241	533	60	254	28	11	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	196	154	36	6	2	1	33	37	5	27	5	234	385	318	704	84	294	19	17	327	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	143	19	2	4	1	19	49	0	13	7	133	235	224	458	91	189	30	12	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	196	168	30	5	1	1	21	54	5	27	5	179	292	238	530	60	241	28	11	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	163	143	19	2	4	1	19	49	0	13	7	133	235	224	458	91	189	30	12	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	196	168	30	5	1	1	21	54	5	27	5	179	292	238	530	60	241	28	11	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		284	29	14	270	69	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	126	114	24	4	1	2	10	33	1	3	1	211	280	316	596	105	286	26	8	282	77	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	272	244	55	9	3	5	23	70	3	7	1	225	300	348	648	123	288	26	8	291	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	376	337	76	13	3	8	32	95	4	9	2	226	300	353	653	128	289	25	9	296	87	-6	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	448	402	92	16	4	10	38	113	5	11	2	229	303	363	667	134	290	25	8	300	89	-6	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	491	441	101	17	4	12	42	123	5	12	2	229	303	367	671	138	290	25	9	302	91	-6	+2	+0	-3	+11	0.4
2032	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	516	461	107	18	5	13	44	129	6	12	2	232	307	377	685	145	290	25	9	303	91	-5	+2	+0	-3	+11	0.5
2033	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	528	471	109	18	5	13	46	133	6	13	2	231	308	374	682	142	290	25	9	303	92	-5	+2	+0	-3	+11	0.5
2034	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	531	474	109	18	5	13	46	134	6	12	2	230	306	371	677	141	289	25	9	302	91	-6	+2	-1	-3	+12	0.3
2035	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	526	469	107	18	4	13	46	134	6	11	2	228	305	367	672	139	288	25	9	301	90	-7	+1	-1	-3	+11	0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	518	461	104	17	4	12	46	133	6	10	2	226	304	358	662	132	287	26	9	298	88	-8	+1	-2	-3	+11	-0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	43	39	8	1	0	1	4	11	0	1	0	205	279	308	587	103	288	26	9	278	77	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	132	119	27	5	1	3	11	34	1	3	1	227	298	361	659	134	290	26	8	287	83	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	204	183	42	7	2	5	17	52	2	5	1	230	302	372	674	142	291	25	8	292	87	-3	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	248	222	52	9	2	6	21	62	3	6	1	234	309	374	683	140	292	25	8	296	89	-3	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	275	247	57	10	2	7	23	69	3	7	1	231	304	372	676	142	292	25	8	299	91	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	290	260	61	10	3	8	25	73	3	7	1	235	309	388	697	154	292	25	9	300	91	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2033	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	292	262	62	10	3	8	25	73	3	7	1	237	310	389	700	153	292	25	9	300	92	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2034	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	291	261	61	10	3	8	25	74	3	7	1	234	308	387	695	153	292	25	9	299	91	-3	+1	-0	-2	+6	0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	281	251	58	10	2	7	25	72	3	6	1	231	308	371	679	139	291	26	9	297	90	-3	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	273	244	55	9	2	7	24	70	3	5	1	225	303	365	667	139	289	26	9	294	88	-4	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2329	2088	483	81	20	60	200	590	24	54	9	231	306	375	681	144	292	25	9	297	85	-30	+7	-2	-14	+50	1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	136	23	6	17	56	165	7	15	3	233	309	381	689	148	295	25	9	297	85	-8	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4698	4189	934	155	43	103	414	1202	53	140	30	223	301	354	655	131	285	26	9	294	85	-57	+13	-4	-26	+94	2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	129	21	6	14	57	166	7	19	4	222	300	352	651	129	285	26	9	294	85	-9	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.6	2,415	56	55	229	301	365	-14	+0	2.7	2.6
/162	664	15	15	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Herrera (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	210/282/307	97	284	1	2	27%	8%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→52	43→50	56→55	47	203/279/323	120	288	8	13	30%	9%	71	-0.8	213/282/343	130	314	11	16	33%	9%	76	-0.4	236/319/383	147	308	15	24	26%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2022 · A	20	44	40→55	52→50	40	212/257/310	97	289	6	9	28%	5%	59	-1.7	208/259/315	107	277	10	9	27%	6%	61	-1.5	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Jarred Kelenic 2019 · A	20	45→54	43→60	57→50	42	218/277/333	115	296	10	13	29%	7%	72	-0.7	226/284/402	176	289	21	13	28%	7%	91	+0.7	223/292/404	181	286	20	15	29%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Taylor Trammell 2018 · A	20	45→46	41→55	57→55	43	217/275/321	104	306	8	21	30%	7%	69	-0.9	208/280/300	92	300	8	18	31%	9%	66	-1.1	203/297/373	170	273	21	23	32%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	39→47	41→55	46→55	42	195/250/286	91	268	9	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	201/262/331	130	269	14	13	29%	7%	67	-1.1	222/289/387	165	276	18	21	26%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2019 · A	20	39→46	42→55	49→45	45	192/258/305	112	251	9	7	27%	7%	59	-1.6	194/247/315	121	261	13	7	30%	6%	57	-1.8	219/282/397	178	265	23	8	27%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	47→55	42→45	57→70	46	225/280/336	111	286	8	18	24%	7%	74	-0.6	219/272/313	94	293	8	18	26%	6%	65	-1.2	253/326/354	101	349	8	50	27%	9%	92	+0.5
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	197/265/289	92	278	8	16	30%	8%	58	-1.7	238/299/342	104	319	7	24	25%	8%	82	+0.0	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	43→53	40→45	54→55	44	206/262/313	106	260	6	11	22%	6%	61	-1.5	245/294/353	108	322	5	15	24%	6%	82	+0.0	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	43→52	39→45	52→50	43	208/260/292	85	279	6	14	27%	6%	56	-1.9	222/281/343	121	321	10	8	32%	7%	76	-0.4	219/279/346	127	314	10	7	32%	7%	73	-0.6
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A	20	41	44→50	47→50	41	198/276/319	121	305	10	9	36%	8%	70	-0.9	189/268/291	102	310	9	8	39%	8%	61	-1.5	158/247/253	95	261	8	8	39%	9%	43	-0.7
●Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	37→47	43→55	45→50	46	184/266/293	108	267	10	7	33%	10%	60	-1.6	197/285/328	131	277	13	9	31%	11%	75	-0.5	225/304/406	181	290	21	8	29%	10%	98	+1.1
✕William Beckwith 2011 · A	20	44	41→50	52→50	47	212/283/313	101	273	9	9	25%	8%	70	-0.8	218/283/364	146	288	16	10	29%	6%	83	+0.1	211/277/364	153	280	19	11	31%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Jason Martin 2016 · A	20	47→49	40→60	47→50	46	224/278/320	96	284	6	10	23%	7%	69	-0.9	220/271/362	142	295	15	13	29%	7%	77	-0.3	219/286/408	189	272	25	8	29%	8%	91	+0.4
✕Daryl Jones 2007 · A	20	41→51	41→45	49→50	41	200/266/295	96	265	8	10	27%	5%	60	-1.6	221/285/315	94	296	7	14	26%	6%	72	-0.7	238/305/342	104	309	8	14	24%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Ramón Flores 2012 · A	20	45→55	40→45	50	46	218/274/310	92	277	7	8	24%	7%	65	-1.2	233/289/332	99	292	7	10	21%	7%	76	-0.4	248/322/344	96	296	8	8	18%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A	20	41→51	42→55	52→55	41	203/255/306	103	257	10	13	25%	5%	58	-1.7	228/267/375	147	291	14	19	26%	4%	78	-0.3	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps